Nationals vs Mariners Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 28)

Updated: 2025-05-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On Wednesday, May 28, 2025, the Seattle Mariners (30–23) host the Washington Nationals (24–30) at T-Mobile Park, aiming to secure a series win and maintain their lead in the AL West. The Nationals, despite recent struggles, look to rebound and showcase their developing talent against a formidable Mariners squad.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 28, 2025

Start Time: 9:40 PM EST​

Venue: T-Mobile Park​

Mariners Record: (30-23)

Nationals Record: (24-30)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: +170

SEA Moneyline: -206

WAS Spread: +1.5

SEA Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have covered the run line in 23 of their 54 games this season, reflecting a 42.6% cover rate.

SEA
Betting Trends

  • The Mariners hold a 25–26 ATS record for the current season, covering in 49% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mariners have won 53.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (16–14). This season, Seattle has been the underdog 20 times and won 12, or 60%, of those games.

WAS vs. SEA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Washington vs Seattle Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/28/25

The Seattle Mariners and Washington Nationals will meet on Wednesday, May 28, 2025, at T-Mobile Park for the second game of their three-game interleague series, with both teams aiming to capitalize on different objectives—Seattle to extend their AL West lead and Washington to gain traction during a transitional, youth-driven season. The Mariners come into the game with a 30–23 record and sit atop a competitive division thanks to a combination of emerging offensive consistency, solid bullpen performance, and one of the better defensive setups in the league. Although starter George Kirby has struggled early in the year with an alarming 12.27 ERA and an 0–1 record, Seattle’s depth in relief pitching has helped them maintain a +19 run differential, and their offense has picked up the slack with timely hits and contributions from a versatile lineup. Leading the charge is Julio Rodríguez, who has tallied 42 hits and continues to be a catalyst at the top of the order with speed, power, and strong defense in center field. Cal Raleigh has added thunder in the middle of the lineup with 15 home runs and a growing reputation as one of the more dangerous catchers in the league, while hitters like Ty France and J.P. Crawford add depth and contact skills that give pitchers little room for error. The Mariners are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have shown the ability to manufacture runs even when not hitting for power, supported by strong base running and situational hitting. On the mound, despite Kirby’s early-season issues, Seattle’s bullpen has stepped up to bridge the gap, giving manager Scott Servais a dependable arsenal to close tight games and hold slim leads.

On the other side, the Nationals enter the game with a 24–30 record, sitting fourth in the NL East and continuing their rebuild centered around young, high-upside talent like CJ Abrams and James Wood—both acquired in the blockbuster Juan Soto trade. Abrams has been a consistent leadoff presence with above-average contact and speed, while Wood has emerged as a potential middle-of-the-order mainstay with his power bat and developing plate approach. However, the Nationals have lacked offensive consistency and depth throughout the lineup, contributing to their uneven scoring output and inability to sustain pressure on opposing pitching staffs. Their pitching, too, has been problematic; Wednesday’s starter Trevor Williams carries a 2–5 record and a bloated 6.39 ERA into the matchup, with struggles to work deep into games and avoid the big inning. The Nationals’ bullpen has not fared much better, often giving up key runs in the later innings and undoing solid offensive efforts. Defensively, Washington has battled miscues that have led to extended innings and added pressure on their already vulnerable rotation. With an 11–16 road record, the Nationals have yet to prove they can consistently compete away from Nationals Park, and this matchup presents another tough challenge against a disciplined and playoff-minded Mariners team. Seattle enters as the clear favorite, but Washington’s emerging youth could spark an upset if they can capitalize on Kirby’s vulnerability and produce early offense. For the Mariners, a clean performance on the mound and continued offensive balance could secure another important win and keep them atop the AL West heading into the final game of the series.

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals head into Wednesday’s matchup at T-Mobile Park against the Seattle Mariners with a 24–30 record and the dual task of competing against a contending team while continuing to evaluate and develop their young core. As a franchise in the midst of a methodical rebuild, the Nationals have seen flashes of promise from cornerstone pieces like CJ Abrams and James Wood—both acquired in the Juan Soto trade—who represent the future of a team trying to transition from rebuilding to reloading. Abrams has taken firm hold of the leadoff spot, providing speed, athleticism, and improving bat-to-ball skills that have helped him reach base more consistently, while Wood has brought power potential to the middle of the order and begun to show signs of adjusting to big-league pitching with smarter pitch selection and better contact rates. Outside of those two, the Nationals’ offense has lacked depth and consistency, averaging just over four runs per game and often struggling to produce in clutch situations, particularly when facing quality pitching such as Seattle’s. That inconsistency has been especially evident on the road, where Washington is just 11–16 this season and has frequently come up short in close games due to an inability to sustain rallies or capitalize on scoring chances. On the mound, Trevor Williams is expected to start, carrying a 2–5 record and a bloated 6.39 ERA into the game, emblematic of the rotation’s broader struggles with command, efficiency, and durability.

Williams has shown the occasional ability to eat innings but has often been hit hard when falling behind in counts, and he’ll need pinpoint command and early contact outs to survive against a Mariners lineup that thrives on patience and power. Washington’s bullpen hasn’t offered much in the way of reinforcement either, with inconsistent middle relief and a lack of defined roles leading to late-game breakdowns in several losses. Defensively, the Nationals have been inconsistent, with unforced errors and poor positioning at times erasing positive pitching performances or extending innings that lead to backbreaking runs. The lack of veteran presence on the field and in the rotation continues to make it difficult for the Nationals to finish games strong or pull off comebacks when trailing late. That said, manager Dave Martinez remains committed to developing his young players, trusting that game experience and repetition will lead to growth as the season progresses. Against a Mariners team with playoff aspirations and a strong home-field presence, the Nationals will need an all-around effort—disciplined at-bats, clean fielding, and a surprising performance from Williams—to stay competitive. Though not favored, the Nationals can use this game as a benchmark for how their rising talent stacks up against more established rosters, and any signs of progress from their top prospects would provide value even in defeat. For Washington, the long view remains more important than immediate results, but that won’t stop them from pushing for a win against a playoff-caliber opponent.

On Wednesday, May 28, 2025, the Seattle Mariners (30–23) host the Washington Nationals (24–30) at T-Mobile Park, aiming to secure a series win and maintain their lead in the AL West. The Nationals, despite recent struggles, look to rebound and showcase their developing talent against a formidable Mariners squad. Washington vs Seattle AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Seattle Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners return to T-Mobile Park on Wednesday night with a 30–23 record and a clear objective: extend their lead in the American League West and bounce back from a brief stumble by taking full advantage of their home series against the rebuilding Washington Nationals. After a tough stretch against the Houston Astros, the Mariners now have a golden opportunity to reinforce their momentum against a team with significantly less experience and roster depth. Seattle’s offense has picked up in recent weeks, led by Julio Rodríguez, who has compiled 42 hits and remains the team’s most dynamic threat with his mix of contact, power, and speed. Rodríguez has been supported by the continued power production of catcher Cal Raleigh, who enters this matchup with 15 home runs, consistently delivering timely hits that swing games in Seattle’s favor. Players like Ty France and J.P. Crawford have added veteran stability to the lineup, helping Seattle average 4.6 runs per game and apply pressure through consistent at-bats, strategic baserunning, and good plate discipline. On the mound, the Mariners are expected to send George Kirby to start, and while he’s struggled to open the season with a 0–1 record and an alarming 12.27 ERA, Seattle’s coaching staff remains confident in his upside given his past success and advanced control metrics. The key will be for Kirby to limit early damage and hand the ball off to a bullpen that has quietly been one of the more effective units in the league.

Anchored by Andrés Muñoz and Gabe Speier, the bullpen has helped Seattle maintain a +19 run differential, often locking down tight games and preventing rallies from turning into deficits. Defensively, the Mariners have also been sharp, with few errors and strong infield communication helping them navigate tough innings and support their pitchers. Their 13–11 home record doesn’t fully reflect how comfortable and confident this team looks in front of its home fans, especially when they jump out to early leads and play from ahead. From a betting standpoint, the Mariners are solid favorites, having won 53.3% of their games when listed as the moneyline favorite and boasting a 60% win rate when listed as underdogs, suggesting they consistently compete regardless of role. Manager Scott Servais has done well managing workloads and rotations while maximizing matchups in late innings, and his group has shown maturity in winning close games and bouncing back after setbacks. To take care of business on Wednesday, Seattle will need Kirby to find his command early and trust the bullpen to protect any lead while the offense does its job against Washington’s struggling staff. A win would not only secure a series lead but also send a message that the Mariners are ready to take advantage of weaker opponents and maintain their place among the AL’s postseason contenders.

Washington vs. Seattle Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Nationals and Mariners play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Park in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.

Washington vs. Seattle Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Nationals and Mariners and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing emphasis emotional bettors often put on Washington’s strength factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly rested Mariners team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Seattle picks, computer picks Nationals vs Mariners, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have covered the run line in 23 of their 54 games this season, reflecting a 42.6% cover rate.

Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners hold a 25–26 ATS record for the current season, covering in 49% of their games.

Nationals vs. Mariners Matchup Trends

The Mariners have won 53.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (16–14). This season, Seattle has been the underdog 20 times and won 12, or 60%, of those games.

Washington vs. Seattle Game Info

Washington vs Seattle starts on May 28, 2025 at 9:40 PM EST.

Spread: Seattle -1.5
Moneyline: Washington +170, Seattle -206
Over/Under: 8

Washington: (24-30)  |  Seattle: (30-23)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mariners have won 53.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (16–14). This season, Seattle has been the underdog 20 times and won 12, or 60%, of those games.

WAS trend: The Nationals have covered the run line in 23 of their 54 games this season, reflecting a 42.6% cover rate.

SEA trend: The Mariners hold a 25–26 ATS record for the current season, covering in 49% of their games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Seattle Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Seattle trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Washington vs Seattle Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: +170
SEA Moneyline: -206
WAS Spread: +1.5
SEA Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

Washington vs Seattle Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+112
-123
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+171)
O 7.5 (-114)
U 7.5 (-101)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Seattle Mariners on May 28, 2025 at T-Mobile Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN