Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 26)

Updated: 2025-05-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 26, 2025, the Pittsburgh Pirates (19–35) will face the Arizona Diamondbacks (26–27) at Chase Field in Phoenix. Both teams are looking to gain momentum, with the Pirates aiming to improve their standing in the NL Central and the Diamondbacks seeking to climb the NL West rankings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 26, 2025

Start Time: 8:10 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Field​

Diamondbacks Record: (26-27)

Pirates Record: (19-35)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +156

ARI Moneyline: -186

PIT Spread: +1.5

ARI Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a slight uptick in performance against the spread.

ARI
Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the run line at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Both teams have shown fluctuations in their recent ATS performances, with the Pirates at 3–2 and the Diamondbacks at 4–6 in their last 10 games, suggesting an unpredictable matchup.

PIT vs. ARI
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Canario over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Pittsburgh vs Arizona Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/26/25

The Memorial Day matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on May 26, 2025, features two National League teams searching for stability and momentum as they approach the midseason mark with vastly different expectations. The Pirates enter the game at 19–35, languishing near the bottom of the NL Central but showing small signs of life after winning three of their last five games and covering the run line in those outings. Their season has been plagued by inconsistent offense and a shaky bullpen, but the emergence of Oneil Cruz as a legitimate power threat—slugging 11 home runs with 27 RBIs—has given Pittsburgh fans something to cheer for. Bryan Reynolds, expected to return from injury, adds another layer of talent to a lineup that otherwise lacks firepower, and his presence could prove crucial as the Pirates try to manufacture runs against an Arizona team that has been reeling. The Diamondbacks, now 26–27, have dropped five straight and are struggling to maintain traction in a competitive NL West despite showing strong offensive numbers in recent weeks. They’ve averaged 5.3 runs per game over their last ten contests, but that production hasn’t translated to wins due to a pitching staff that has posted a troubling 4.80 ERA during the same stretch, frequently letting leads slip away late.

Corbin Carroll has been a bright spot, hitting .284 with 14 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Eugenio Suárez has added 13 home runs and continues to be a middle-of-the-order presence. Still, the bullpen remains a key weakness, as Arizona has lost multiple games it was leading after the sixth inning, placing extra pressure on the starters to go deep into games and minimize reliance on relief arms. The betting market favors Arizona at -186 on the moneyline with an over/under of 9 runs, signaling that oddsmakers see a potential for offensive fireworks in this matchup between flawed pitching staffs. For Pittsburgh, the strategy will revolve around keeping the game close through solid starting pitching and hoping Cruz, Reynolds, or another hot bat can deliver in the clutch. For Arizona, a strong start on the mound paired with early offense is essential to relieve the burden on a bullpen that has yet to inspire much confidence. Both teams come into this game with reason to be desperate—Arizona to stop the bleeding and climb back over .500, and Pittsburgh to continue building confidence in a season that has largely been defined by frustration. With two inconsistent teams and a pair of lineups capable of putting up runs in bunches, this game could tilt in either direction depending on which side’s pitching holds up and who capitalizes on scoring chances late. It may not be a marquee matchup on paper, but the competitive urgency and streaky tendencies of both clubs could result in one of the more unpredictable and entertaining contests of the day.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter their May 26, 2025 matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19–35 record that reflects a season full of inconsistency, missed opportunities, and developing talent still working through growing pains. Yet, despite sitting at the bottom of the NL Central, the Pirates have shown flashes of competitiveness lately, winning three of their last five games and covering the run line in each of those victories. Much of that resurgence has come on the back of Oneil Cruz, whose rare combination of size, speed, and power continues to evolve into one of the team’s few constants—his 11 home runs and 27 RBIs offering sparks in a lineup that often struggles to string together offense. With Bryan Reynolds expected to return from a brief injury absence, the Pirates’ offense may get the boost it needs to challenge a Diamondbacks pitching staff that has faltered in recent weeks. The supporting cast, including Andrew McCutchen and Ke’Bryan Hayes, has shown moments of promise but lacks the consistency to shoulder the offensive load nightly. Pittsburgh’s ability to stay in games has often come down to its pitching, which, while inconsistent overall, has been serviceable in keeping games within striking distance.

The rotation has leaned on both youthful arms and journeyman experience, and while no single ace has emerged, recent starts have given the team a chance to compete, particularly when the bullpen avoids the kinds of blowups that have plagued them earlier in the season. The Pirates’ defense has improved marginally in May, limiting errors and converting more routine plays, which has helped reduce extra bases and avoid snowball innings. Still, the margin for error remains razor-thin, especially against a team like Arizona that can score quickly and in bunches when locked in. Manager Derek Shelton has continued to emphasize development while still pressing for competitiveness, often juggling lineups in search of a spark while managing workloads across a young pitching staff. For Pittsburgh to secure a road win in this matchup, the formula remains clear: keep the game close through six innings, rely on Cruz and Reynolds to create run-scoring opportunities, and avoid self-inflicted wounds through walks, errors, and missed defensive assignments. Arizona’s recent struggles, particularly out of the bullpen, provide a clear opening, and the Pirates will need to be opportunistic in high-leverage moments, something that has eluded them in far too many close losses this year. This matchup offers the Pirates a chance to build on recent positives, regain confidence, and perhaps begin laying the groundwork for a more competitive stretch as the calendar shifts toward summer. With Cruz red-hot and Reynolds returning, Pittsburgh has just enough firepower to challenge Arizona—if their pitching can hold the line.

On May 26, 2025, the Pittsburgh Pirates (19–35) will face the Arizona Diamondbacks (26–27) at Chase Field in Phoenix. Both teams are looking to gain momentum, with the Pirates aiming to improve their standing in the NL Central and the Diamondbacks seeking to climb the NL West rankings. Pittsburgh vs Arizona AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks return to Chase Field on May 26, 2025, to host the Pittsburgh Pirates amid a frustrating five-game losing streak that has dropped them to 26–27 and placed a sudden sense of urgency on a team that had been hovering just above .500. The Diamondbacks have seen a clear disconnect between their offensive productivity and their results, averaging 5.3 runs per game over their last 10 contests yet unable to turn those runs into wins due to persistent struggles on the mound, particularly from the bullpen. Corbin Carroll remains the offensive engine, carrying a .284 batting average with 14 home runs and 31 RBIs, continuing to showcase elite bat-to-ball skills and baserunning prowess that routinely puts pressure on opposing defenses. Eugenio Suárez has also been a critical power source with 13 home runs and 31 RBIs, providing pop in the middle of the order and timely hits, though the lineup as a whole has lacked consistency beyond its top contributors. Arizona’s biggest issue, however, has been its pitching—over the last ten games, the team has compiled a collective ERA of 4.80, with the bullpen in particular struggling to hold leads or stop rallies, turning potential victories into crushing defeats. This lack of reliability in late innings has forced extra pressure on the starting rotation to work deeper into games and often left the offense trying to mount comeback efforts in the final frames. Defensively, the Diamondbacks have been serviceable, but lapses in execution at key moments have contributed to their slide, extending innings and giving opponents additional chances to cash in.

Manager Torey Lovullo has had to make constant adjustments to manage innings and roles, but the lack of a clear shutdown option in the bullpen remains a vulnerability, especially in close games like the one expected against a rebuilding but scrappy Pirates squad. Despite their recent skid, Arizona remains slightly favored in the betting markets, largely due to their offensive potential and home-field advantage—factors that could tip the balance if the pitching staff can deliver even a league-average performance. The D-backs will look to strike early and put pressure on Pittsburgh’s inexperienced rotation, using aggressive base running and situational hitting to exploit any defensive mistakes. Getting production from players outside of Carroll and Suárez will be crucial, and Arizona may need someone like Gabriel Moreno or Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to come up big to relieve pressure on the stars. A win in this game could provide a much-needed jolt of confidence and help the Diamondbacks recalibrate heading into a crucial stretch of the season. If their pitching can simply keep them in the game long enough for the offense to work, Arizona has the firepower and experience to snap the skid and start building momentum once again in the highly competitive NL West.

Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Diamondbacks play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Field in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Canario over 0.5 Total Bases.

Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Pirates and Diamondbacks and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly strong Diamondbacks team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Arizona picks, computer picks Pirates vs Diamondbacks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a slight uptick in performance against the spread.

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the run line at home.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Trends

Both teams have shown fluctuations in their recent ATS performances, with the Pirates at 3–2 and the Diamondbacks at 4–6 in their last 10 games, suggesting an unpredictable matchup.

Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Arizona starts on May 26, 2025 at 8:10 PM EST.

Spread: Arizona -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +156, Arizona -186
Over/Under: 9

Pittsburgh: (19-35)  |  Arizona: (26-27)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Canario over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Both teams have shown fluctuations in their recent ATS performances, with the Pirates at 3–2 and the Diamondbacks at 4–6 in their last 10 games, suggesting an unpredictable matchup.

PIT trend: The Pirates have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a slight uptick in performance against the spread.

ARI trend: The Diamondbacks have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the run line at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Arizona trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Pittsburgh vs Arizona Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +156
ARI Moneyline: -186
PIT Spread: +1.5
ARI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Pittsburgh vs Arizona Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+110
-121
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+168)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks on May 26, 2025 at Chase Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN