Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 26)
Updated: 2025-05-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On May 26, 2025, the Pittsburgh Pirates (19–35) will face the Arizona Diamondbacks (26–27) at Chase Field in Phoenix. Both teams are looking to gain momentum, with the Pirates aiming to improve their standing in the NL Central and the Diamondbacks seeking to climb the NL West rankings.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 26, 2025
Start Time: 8:10 PM EST
Venue: Chase Field
Diamondbacks Record: (26-27)
Pirates Record: (19-35)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +156
ARI Moneyline: -186
PIT Spread: +1.5
ARI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a slight uptick in performance against the spread.
ARI
Betting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the run line at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Both teams have shown fluctuations in their recent ATS performances, with the Pirates at 3–2 and the Diamondbacks at 4–6 in their last 10 games, suggesting an unpredictable matchup.
PIT vs. ARI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Canario over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Pittsburgh vs Arizona Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/26/25
Corbin Carroll has been a bright spot, hitting .284 with 14 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Eugenio Suárez has added 13 home runs and continues to be a middle-of-the-order presence. Still, the bullpen remains a key weakness, as Arizona has lost multiple games it was leading after the sixth inning, placing extra pressure on the starters to go deep into games and minimize reliance on relief arms. The betting market favors Arizona at -186 on the moneyline with an over/under of 9 runs, signaling that oddsmakers see a potential for offensive fireworks in this matchup between flawed pitching staffs. For Pittsburgh, the strategy will revolve around keeping the game close through solid starting pitching and hoping Cruz, Reynolds, or another hot bat can deliver in the clutch. For Arizona, a strong start on the mound paired with early offense is essential to relieve the burden on a bullpen that has yet to inspire much confidence. Both teams come into this game with reason to be desperate—Arizona to stop the bleeding and climb back over .500, and Pittsburgh to continue building confidence in a season that has largely been defined by frustration. With two inconsistent teams and a pair of lineups capable of putting up runs in bunches, this game could tilt in either direction depending on which side’s pitching holds up and who capitalizes on scoring chances late. It may not be a marquee matchup on paper, but the competitive urgency and streaky tendencies of both clubs could result in one of the more unpredictable and entertaining contests of the day.
Final. pic.twitter.com/RExyRaGVT0
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) May 25, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter their May 26, 2025 matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19–35 record that reflects a season full of inconsistency, missed opportunities, and developing talent still working through growing pains. Yet, despite sitting at the bottom of the NL Central, the Pirates have shown flashes of competitiveness lately, winning three of their last five games and covering the run line in each of those victories. Much of that resurgence has come on the back of Oneil Cruz, whose rare combination of size, speed, and power continues to evolve into one of the team’s few constants—his 11 home runs and 27 RBIs offering sparks in a lineup that often struggles to string together offense. With Bryan Reynolds expected to return from a brief injury absence, the Pirates’ offense may get the boost it needs to challenge a Diamondbacks pitching staff that has faltered in recent weeks. The supporting cast, including Andrew McCutchen and Ke’Bryan Hayes, has shown moments of promise but lacks the consistency to shoulder the offensive load nightly. Pittsburgh’s ability to stay in games has often come down to its pitching, which, while inconsistent overall, has been serviceable in keeping games within striking distance.
The rotation has leaned on both youthful arms and journeyman experience, and while no single ace has emerged, recent starts have given the team a chance to compete, particularly when the bullpen avoids the kinds of blowups that have plagued them earlier in the season. The Pirates’ defense has improved marginally in May, limiting errors and converting more routine plays, which has helped reduce extra bases and avoid snowball innings. Still, the margin for error remains razor-thin, especially against a team like Arizona that can score quickly and in bunches when locked in. Manager Derek Shelton has continued to emphasize development while still pressing for competitiveness, often juggling lineups in search of a spark while managing workloads across a young pitching staff. For Pittsburgh to secure a road win in this matchup, the formula remains clear: keep the game close through six innings, rely on Cruz and Reynolds to create run-scoring opportunities, and avoid self-inflicted wounds through walks, errors, and missed defensive assignments. Arizona’s recent struggles, particularly out of the bullpen, provide a clear opening, and the Pirates will need to be opportunistic in high-leverage moments, something that has eluded them in far too many close losses this year. This matchup offers the Pirates a chance to build on recent positives, regain confidence, and perhaps begin laying the groundwork for a more competitive stretch as the calendar shifts toward summer. With Cruz red-hot and Reynolds returning, Pittsburgh has just enough firepower to challenge Arizona—if their pitching can hold the line.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks return to Chase Field on May 26, 2025, to host the Pittsburgh Pirates amid a frustrating five-game losing streak that has dropped them to 26–27 and placed a sudden sense of urgency on a team that had been hovering just above .500. The Diamondbacks have seen a clear disconnect between their offensive productivity and their results, averaging 5.3 runs per game over their last 10 contests yet unable to turn those runs into wins due to persistent struggles on the mound, particularly from the bullpen. Corbin Carroll remains the offensive engine, carrying a .284 batting average with 14 home runs and 31 RBIs, continuing to showcase elite bat-to-ball skills and baserunning prowess that routinely puts pressure on opposing defenses. Eugenio Suárez has also been a critical power source with 13 home runs and 31 RBIs, providing pop in the middle of the order and timely hits, though the lineup as a whole has lacked consistency beyond its top contributors. Arizona’s biggest issue, however, has been its pitching—over the last ten games, the team has compiled a collective ERA of 4.80, with the bullpen in particular struggling to hold leads or stop rallies, turning potential victories into crushing defeats. This lack of reliability in late innings has forced extra pressure on the starting rotation to work deeper into games and often left the offense trying to mount comeback efforts in the final frames. Defensively, the Diamondbacks have been serviceable, but lapses in execution at key moments have contributed to their slide, extending innings and giving opponents additional chances to cash in.
Manager Torey Lovullo has had to make constant adjustments to manage innings and roles, but the lack of a clear shutdown option in the bullpen remains a vulnerability, especially in close games like the one expected against a rebuilding but scrappy Pirates squad. Despite their recent skid, Arizona remains slightly favored in the betting markets, largely due to their offensive potential and home-field advantage—factors that could tip the balance if the pitching staff can deliver even a league-average performance. The D-backs will look to strike early and put pressure on Pittsburgh’s inexperienced rotation, using aggressive base running and situational hitting to exploit any defensive mistakes. Getting production from players outside of Carroll and Suárez will be crucial, and Arizona may need someone like Gabriel Moreno or Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to come up big to relieve pressure on the stars. A win in this game could provide a much-needed jolt of confidence and help the Diamondbacks recalibrate heading into a crucial stretch of the season. If their pitching can simply keep them in the game long enough for the offense to work, Arizona has the firepower and experience to snap the skid and start building momentum once again in the highly competitive NL West.
Final. pic.twitter.com/cmcx0OCw5w
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) May 25, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Pirates and Diamondbacks and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly strong Diamondbacks team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Arizona picks, computer picks Pirates vs Diamondbacks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a slight uptick in performance against the spread.
Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Diamondbacks have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the run line at home.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Trends
Both teams have shown fluctuations in their recent ATS performances, with the Pirates at 3–2 and the Diamondbacks at 4–6 in their last 10 games, suggesting an unpredictable matchup.
Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Arizona start on May 26, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Arizona starts on May 26, 2025 at 8:10 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Arizona being played?
Venue: Chase Field.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Arizona?
Spread: Arizona -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +156, Arizona -186
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Arizona?
Pittsburgh: (19-35) | Arizona: (26-27)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Arizona?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Canario over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Arizona trending bets?
Both teams have shown fluctuations in their recent ATS performances, with the Pirates at 3–2 and the Diamondbacks at 4–6 in their last 10 games, suggesting an unpredictable matchup.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a slight uptick in performance against the spread.
What are Arizona trending bets?
ARI trend: The Diamondbacks have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the run line at home.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Arizona?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Arizona trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Arizona Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+156 ARI Moneyline: -186
PIT Spread: +1.5
ARI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
Pittsburgh vs Arizona Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+110
-121
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+168)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks on May 26, 2025 at Chase Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |