Reds vs Royals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 26)

Updated: 2025-05-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 26, 2025, the Cincinnati Reds (25–27) will face the Kansas City Royals (28–24) at Kauffman Stadium. Both teams aim to improve their standings in their respective divisions, making this matchup crucial for momentum.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 26, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: Kauffman Stadium​

Royals Record: (29-25)

Reds Record: (26-28)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: +101

KC Moneyline: -120

CIN Spread: -1.5

KC Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds have covered the run line in 16 of their last 25 games, indicating a strong recent performance against the spread.

KC
Betting Trends

  • The Royals have covered the run line in 26 of their last 41 games, reflecting consistent performance against the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Both teams have shown strong performances against the spread recently, with the Reds covering in 16 of 25 games and the Royals in 26 of 41 games, suggesting a competitive matchup.

CIN vs. KC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Friedl over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Cincinnati vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/26/25

The Memorial Day matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Kansas City Royals on May 26, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium brings together two clubs separated by just a few games in the standings but built on different foundations and heading into the summer stretch with varied levels of momentum. The Reds enter the game at 25–27, fighting to stay within reach in a tight National League Central while riding strong recent ATS trends and boosted by flashes of brilliance from their young core. Leading the charge offensively is Elly De La Cruz, a dynamic presence who’s hitting .259 with 25 home runs and has added electric baserunning and game-changing defense, making him one of the most exciting players in baseball. Cincinnati will send Nick Martinez to the mound, who despite a 2–5 record, sports a respectable 3.43 ERA and has been a solid arm in a rotation that has faced injury and depth challenges all season. Martinez’s ability to limit damage and avoid big innings will be critical against a Kansas City team that has thrived behind one of the league’s best young stars, Bobby Witt Jr. Witt has erupted offensively this season, slashing .332 with 32 home runs and establishing himself as one of the premier talents in the game. The Royals, currently sitting at 28–24, have consistently covered the run line (26 times in their last 41 games) and look like legitimate AL Central contenders thanks to balanced scoring, solid pitching, and timely hitting. Michael Lorenzen takes the ball for Kansas City, bringing with him a 3–5 record and 3.77 ERA—numbers that suggest a reliable, though not overpowering, presence who gives the team a chance to win each time out.

Defensively, both teams are above average, with the Reds holding a .985 fielding percentage and the Royals at .982, meaning miscues are unlikely to define the outcome. With both lineups capable of generating runs in bunches and both starters boasting sub-4.00 ERAs, this game projects as a closely fought battle where bullpen performance and late-inning execution could tip the balance. The Reds have played well against the spread lately and have shown they can hang with more talented rosters by leveraging speed, defensive efficiency, and the power of De La Cruz and Spencer Steer, but they’ll need Martinez to deliver at least six clean innings to avoid overexposing a bullpen that has struggled in high-leverage spots. Meanwhile, Kansas City continues to ride Witt’s red-hot bat and gets key contributions from veterans and role players alike, even while managing injuries to pitchers like Seth Lugo and Cole Ragans. The Royals’ home field advantage and more complete lineup might make them slight favorites, but with Cincinnati’s recent resilience and explosive upside, this could turn into one of the more exciting matchups of the day. Expect a tense, competitive contest where every pitch, defensive play, and base-running decision could carry added weight in two teams’ quests to stay relevant in their respective playoff races.

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds arrive at Kauffman Stadium for their May 26, 2025 matchup against the Kansas City Royals sitting just under .500 at 25–27, a reflection of a season marked by inconsistency, injuries, and flashes of brilliance from a youthful and energetic core. Their recent form against the spread has been impressive—covering the run line in 16 of their last 25 games—thanks in large part to competitive pitching performances and the electric play of budding superstar Elly De La Cruz. De La Cruz has been the spark plug for Cincinnati, leading the team with a .259 batting average and an eye-popping 25 home runs, combining elite bat speed with blazing speed on the basepaths and game-breaking defense in the infield. He’s been flanked in the lineup by Spencer Steer, who offers reliable power and versatility, giving the Reds a credible offensive core that can generate runs even when the bottom half of the lineup isn’t contributing. Cincinnati will turn to Nick Martinez for the start, a pitcher whose 2–5 record doesn’t tell the full story of his effectiveness; his 3.43 ERA is among the best on the staff, and his 1.17 WHIP shows he has done a good job limiting traffic and avoiding crooked innings. Martinez has been particularly effective at keeping the ball in the park and inducing soft contact, two traits that will be critical against a Kansas City lineup led by one of the league’s most dangerous hitters in Bobby Witt Jr.

While the Reds have shown offensive firepower, they’ve also had to navigate around a number of key injuries, including to Jake Fraley and Noelvi Marte, which have left the lineup thinner and forced greater reliance on young or unproven talent. Still, manager David Bell has managed to keep the Reds competitive with smart bullpen usage and defensive efficiency—Cincinnati owns a .985 fielding percentage and rarely beats itself with mental lapses or sloppy play. The bullpen has had its moments of inconsistency, but recent trends suggest improvement, especially in tight games where the Reds have outperformed expectations. To beat the Royals on the road, Cincinnati will need Martinez to navigate through the top of Kansas City’s order without damage and hope De La Cruz can once again ignite the offense with either his bat or baserunning. Playing in a pitcher-friendly park like Kauffman Stadium could help limit the Royals’ power, but the Reds must be aggressive early, get runners in scoring position, and cash in—something they’ve struggled with in losses. If Martinez continues to give them quality innings and the bullpen can hold serve, the Reds are well-positioned to grind out another hard-fought win against a formidable but beatable opponent. It’s the kind of game where Cincinnati’s margin for error is narrow, but with De La Cruz continuing to rise into stardom and Martinez keeping games within reach, the Reds have the tools to walk away with a win and inch closer to .500 in what’s shaping up to be a crowded NL Central race.

On May 26, 2025, the Cincinnati Reds (25–27) will face the Kansas City Royals (28–24) at Kauffman Stadium. Both teams aim to improve their standings in their respective divisions, making this matchup crucial for momentum. Cincinnati vs Kansas City AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Kansas City Royals MLB Preview

The Kansas City Royals return to Kauffman Stadium on May 26, 2025, to host the Cincinnati Reds with a 28–24 record and a growing sense of legitimacy as playoff contenders in the American League Central. After several seasons of rebuilding, the Royals are finally putting it all together, fueled by the breakout brilliance of Bobby Witt Jr., who is enjoying one of the best all-around seasons in baseball. Witt enters this matchup hitting .332 with 32 home runs, leading the team in nearly every offensive category and routinely delivering in clutch situations, whether with his bat, glove, or legs. He’s the engine of a Kansas City offense that has exceeded expectations, mixing power with speed and playing a fundamentally sound brand of baseball that has made them one of the league’s most surprising success stories. The Royals have also performed well against the spread, covering the run line in 26 of their last 41 games—a testament to their ability to not just win, but do so convincingly. On the mound, Michael Lorenzen will get the start, entering with a 3–5 record and a 3.77 ERA, numbers that reflect steadiness rather than dominance. Lorenzen has done a solid job limiting damage, keeping hitters off balance with his slider-changeup mix, and giving his team a chance to win in most outings, especially at home.

With frontline starters like Seth Lugo and Cole Ragans sidelined, Lorenzen’s dependability has been essential, and he’ll be counted on again to handle a scrappy Reds lineup led by the explosive Elly De La Cruz. Kansas City’s bullpen has quietly been a strength, protecting leads and closing out tight games with increasing confidence, something that will be crucial against a Cincinnati team that tends to hang around and strike late. Defensively, the Royals are clean and efficient, sporting a .982 fielding percentage and routinely making the kinds of plays that keep innings from unraveling. Manager Matt Quatraro has found a rhythm with his roster, maximizing matchups and keeping the team mentally focused, even in tight contests. Injuries have forced him to juggle the lineup and rotation at times, but the clubhouse chemistry and growing confidence have helped Kansas City maintain consistency. In this matchup, the Royals will aim to strike early and apply pressure on Nick Martinez, a Reds starter with a strong ERA but a losing record, suggesting that run support could again be an issue for Cincinnati. If Witt continues to lead the charge and the supporting cast—players like MJ Melendez, Michael Massey, and Vinnie Pasquantino—can chip in with timely hits, the Royals will be in excellent position to keep rolling. Playing at home, with momentum and a balanced roster that’s overachieving in all the right ways, Kansas City looks poised to deliver another disciplined, competitive performance that could extend their climb toward the top of the division and further cement their place as one of baseball’s most intriguing turnaround stories of 2025.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Reds and Royals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kauffman Stadium in May almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Friedl over 0.5 Total Bases.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Reds and Royals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Kansas City’s strength factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly improved Royals team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Reds vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have covered the run line in 16 of their last 25 games, indicating a strong recent performance against the spread.

Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have covered the run line in 26 of their last 41 games, reflecting consistent performance against the spread.

Reds vs. Royals Matchup Trends

Both teams have shown strong performances against the spread recently, with the Reds covering in 16 of 25 games and the Royals in 26 of 41 games, suggesting a competitive matchup.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Game Info

Cincinnati vs Kansas City starts on May 26, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Kansas City +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati +101, Kansas City -120
Over/Under: 8

Cincinnati: (26-28)  |  Kansas City: (29-25)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Friedl over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Both teams have shown strong performances against the spread recently, with the Reds covering in 16 of 25 games and the Royals in 26 of 41 games, suggesting a competitive matchup.

CIN trend: The Reds have covered the run line in 16 of their last 25 games, indicating a strong recent performance against the spread.

KC trend: The Royals have covered the run line in 26 of their last 41 games, reflecting consistent performance against the spread.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cincinnati vs Kansas City Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: +101
KC Moneyline: -120
CIN Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Cincinnati vs Kansas City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals on May 26, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN