The Minnesota Twins enter Sunday’s series finale against the Kansas City Royals playing their best baseball of the season, holding a 28–22 record and riding the wave of a 13–3 stretch in the month of May that has vaulted them back into serious AL Central contention. The Twins have been especially dominant at Target Field, where they’ve compiled a 15–6 home record and used a blend of stellar starting pitching, timely hitting, and airtight defense to stifle visiting teams. This run has been marked by improved offensive balance, as Trevor Larnach has emerged as one of their most consistent bats in recent weeks, driving in key runs and extending at-bats in high-leverage situations. Edouard Julien and Carlos Correa have also provided pop and situational awareness in the heart of the order, allowing the Twins to win both slugfests and pitcher’s duels depending on the matchup. The lineup isn’t the flashiest in the league, but its depth and plate discipline have worn down opposing pitchers, setting up opportunities for big innings. On the mound, the Twins have gotten excellent performances from a rotation that’s settled into a groove during their May surge, with Pablo López, Joe Ryan, and Bailey Ober each turning in quality starts and keeping the bullpen fresh.

The Twins’ relievers—led by Jhoan Duran and Griffin Jax—have been nails late in games, converting saves and preserving leads with high-velocity stuff and improved command. Defensively, Minnesota has played sharp and error-free baseball, with improved range up the middle and an outfield that’s kept extra-base hits in check, giving their pitchers added confidence to challenge hitters. Manager Rocco Baldelli has found the right balance in his lineup construction and bullpen usage, allowing the Twins to stay competitive even when the offense doesn’t explode. From a betting standpoint, the Twins have delivered value with a strong 13–3 May record and a home-field advantage that has translated into a consistent ATS performance. With a chance to take the series from a pesky Royals squad and further solidify their place in the AL Central standings, Minnesota will look to continue riding its hot streak with another fundamentally sound, detail-oriented performance. If their starters can keep Kansas City’s offense in check and the bats continue to produce timely hits, the Twins are well-positioned to close out the weekend with a win that maintains momentum heading into a pivotal early summer stretch. With Target Field buzzing and confidence building, Sunday presents an opportunity for Minnesota to make a definitive statement about its intentions to control the division for the long haul.