Blue Jays vs. Rays
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 23 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 23, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays (25–24) will face the Tampa Bay Rays (23–26) at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Both teams are seeking to improve their standings in the competitive American League East.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 23, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (23-26)

Blue Jays Record: (25-24)

OPENING ODDS

TOR Moneyline: +121

TB Moneyline: -143

TOR Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have a 6–4 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have a 5–5 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Blue Jays have a 24–25 record against the run line this season, covering 49% of the time. The Rays have a 23–26 record against the run line this season, covering 47% of the time.

TOR vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Kirk under 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Toronto vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/23/25

The May 23, 2025 matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field is a meaningful AL East showdown between two teams hovering around the .500 mark and eager to shift their seasons into a higher gear before the midpoint of the year arrives. The Blue Jays, sitting at 25–24, have shown flashes of playoff-caliber potential, powered by a resilient offense that continues to fight through injuries and lean on the consistent bat of Bo Bichette, who’s hitting .293, and the raw power of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who has provided timely home runs and clutch RBIs. Toronto’s pitching staff, led by Kevin Gausman, has stabilized after an inconsistent April, giving the team a better foundation from which to compete in close games, and their 6–4 record against the run line in their last 10 contests speaks to their ability to keep games tight and deliver in key moments. The Blue Jays’ overall 24–25 ATS record reflects just how close many of their games have been, but also hints at a team capable of taking the next step if they can string together more complete performances.

On the other side, the Rays enter the game at 23–26 and are in a more precarious position—not only are they under .500, but they’ve also been displaced from Tropicana Field due to Hurricane Milton and are playing their home games at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, a temporary relocation that’s added logistical and psychological hurdles to an already challenging season. Despite these circumstances, the Rays have managed to stay afloat thanks to contributions from young talent like Junior Caminero, who leads the team in home runs, and veteran presence from Yandy Díaz, whose consistent production has kept the lineup from completely unraveling. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff, anchored by Shane Baz (3–2, 4.93 ERA), continues to develop, with moments of brilliance often overshadowed by innings where command and execution falter. Their bullpen has been adequate but inconsistent, and their overall run differential suggests a team that often struggles to recover once they fall behind early. From a betting perspective, Tampa Bay’s 23–26 ATS record mirrors Toronto’s and points to two evenly matched teams that often find themselves in late-game battles decided by one swing or one pitch. This series opener is especially critical as both teams try to gain traction in an AL East race currently led by the Yankees and Orioles, with the Red Sox also lingering close. The matchup between Gausman and Baz will be one to watch closely, and whichever starter can establish command early and limit big innings will likely steer his team toward victory. Expect a tightly contested affair with playoff-like urgency as both the Blue Jays and Rays aim to avoid falling further behind in one of baseball’s most competitive divisions, making every game—including this one—feel like it counts just a little more than it should for a Friday night in May.

Toronto Blue Jays MLB Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays come into their May 23 road matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays with a 25–24 record and a growing sense of urgency to gain consistency and make a statement within a competitive AL East, especially against a divisional opponent that has historically given them fits. Toronto has shown flashes of a complete team this season—strong starting pitching, timely offense, and defensive steadiness—but has yet to string together the kind of dominant stretch that would elevate them into the upper tier of the division standings. Leading the charge offensively is Bo Bichette, who enters the game batting .293 and providing the kind of reliable contact and on-base presence that sets the table for the power hitters behind him, most notably Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who continues to serve as the club’s primary run producer with five home runs and 20 RBIs despite stretches of inconsistency. The Blue Jays have also benefited from contributions up and down the lineup, with younger players stepping in during injury absences and a deep bench allowing manager John Schneider to mix and match based on matchups.

On the mound, Kevin Gausman remains the ace of the rotation, giving Toronto a dependable arm who can not only go deep into games but also neutralize opposing lineups with strikeout-heavy stuff and veteran poise. Gausman’s presence on the hill gives the Blue Jays a clear advantage heading into this series opener, particularly against a Tampa Bay offense that has lacked explosiveness. The bullpen has held its own in recent weeks, doing just enough to close out tight games and help Toronto to a 6–4 ATS record in its last 10 games, reflecting an improved ability to win or stay competitive in low-scoring, closely fought battles. Defensively, the Blue Jays have been steady and mistake-free, supporting their pitching staff with solid fundamentals and run-saving plays, particularly in the infield where Bichette and Matt Chapman form one of the league’s more dependable left sides. Facing a Rays team that’s adjusting to life in a temporary home at George M. Steinbrenner Field due to Hurricane Milton displacement, Toronto will look to capitalize on any lapses in Tampa Bay’s rhythm or comfort. With divisional matchups carrying added weight and the Yankees and Orioles already setting a blistering pace atop the standings, the Blue Jays can’t afford to tread water any longer if they plan to remain in the playoff conversation. A strong outing from Gausman, paired with early offense from Bichette, Guerrero, and company, could set the tone not just for this game but for the series as a whole, giving Toronto a shot to climb above .500 and reassert their relevance in a loaded division.

On May 23, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays (25–24) will face the Tampa Bay Rays (23–26) at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Both teams are seeking to improve their standings in the competitive American League East. Toronto vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter their May 23 matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays with a 23–26 record and a season defined by transition and adversity, including their current displacement from Tropicana Field due to Hurricane Milton, which has forced them to play their home games at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, disrupting their routine and home-field advantage. Despite these off-field challenges, the Rays have managed to remain competitive, hovering just below .500 and still within striking distance in the crowded American League East, thanks in large part to the emergence of young talent like Junior Caminero and steady veteran contributors such as Yandy Díaz. Caminero has delivered a team-leading seven home runs and 16 RBIs, while Díaz has provided balance with six home runs and 20 RBIs of his own, keeping the offense afloat amid inconsistency from the rest of the lineup. Offensively, Tampa Bay has struggled at times to generate sustained rallies, often relying on solo homers and isolated bursts of offense rather than prolonged innings, which has made them vulnerable against teams with deep rotations and effective bullpens. On the mound, Shane Baz will take the ball with a 3–2 record and a 4.93 ERA, hoping to deliver a bounce-back performance and help stabilize a pitching staff that has been inconsistent all season, with young starters still finding their footing and a bullpen that has been asked to shoulder a heavy load.

Baz’s upside remains high, and his ability to miss bats gives him the potential to contain even strong lineups like Toronto’s, but command and pitch efficiency will be crucial if he’s to navigate the Blue Jays’ patient, power-hitting lineup. Defensively, the Rays have played relatively clean baseball, although lapses in concentration have occasionally led to costly mistakes in close games, something they can’t afford against a divisional opponent that capitalizes on errors. Tampa Bay has gone 5–5 against the run line in their last 10 games, illustrating their ability to keep games close even when they fall short on the scoreboard, and they’ll need to lean into their strengths—situational hitting, defensive positioning, and aggressive baserunning—to overcome a Toronto team that comes in with more momentum. Manager Kevin Cash continues to get the most out of his roster, mixing and matching lineups and bullpen arms to give his team a chance to compete nightly, even with limited resources and the added challenge of playing away from their traditional home. As they look to claw their way back to .500 and reignite a push within the division, this game against the Blue Jays offers both a test and an opportunity—a test of their resilience under challenging conditions and an opportunity to reset the tone of their season with a win against a direct rival in the standings. A sharp outing from Baz and a few timely hits from their core could be just what the Rays need to spark momentum at a time when their season could go in either direction.

Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Blue Jays and Rays play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Kirk under 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Blue Jays and Rays and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Blue Jays team going up against a possibly tired Rays team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Toronto vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Blue Jays vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 6–4 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 5–5 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Matchup Trends

The Blue Jays have a 24–25 record against the run line this season, covering 49% of the time. The Rays have a 23–26 record against the run line this season, covering 47% of the time.

Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Toronto vs Tampa Bay starts on May 23, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Toronto +121, Tampa Bay -143
Over/Under: 9

Toronto: (25-24)  |  Tampa Bay: (23-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Kirk under 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Blue Jays have a 24–25 record against the run line this season, covering 49% of the time. The Rays have a 23–26 record against the run line this season, covering 47% of the time.

TOR trend: The Toronto Blue Jays have a 6–4 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

TB trend: The Tampa Bay Rays have a 5–5 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Toronto vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Toronto vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

TOR Moneyline: +121
TB Moneyline: -143
TOR Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Toronto vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
0
3
+950
-2000
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-130)
O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
0
0
 
-185
 
-1.5 (+105)
O 9.5 (-125)
U 9.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
-105
-115
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+190
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-140
+115
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+105
-125
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-215
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays on May 23, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS