Padres vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 23 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 23, 2025, the San Diego Padres (27–21) will face the Atlanta Braves (24–25) at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. This game marks the return of Braves star Ronald Acuña Jr., who is set to make his season debut after recovering from a torn ACL.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 23, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Truist Park​

Braves Record: (24-25)

Padres Record: (27-21)

OPENING ODDS

SD Moneyline: +122

ATL Moneyline: -146

SD Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

SD
Betting Trends

  • The San Diego Padres have a 27–19 record against the run line this season.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta Braves have a 23–22 record against the run line this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Padres have covered the run line in approximately 58.7% of their games, while the Braves have covered in about 51.1% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for the Padres in terms of betting performance.

SD vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Olson over 0.5 Total Bases.

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San Diego vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/23/25

The May 23, 2025 matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park sets the stage for a pivotal contest between two National League contenders with something to prove, as the Padres look to snap a six-game losing streak and the Braves welcome back superstar Ronald Acuña Jr. for his long-awaited return from injury. San Diego arrives with a 27–21 record but is trending in the wrong direction, having lost six straight and scored only 10 runs across that stretch, underscoring offensive stagnation and increasing pressure on a starting rotation and bullpen that have been taxed heavily. Despite boasting elite names like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, the Padres have lacked consistency outside of those cornerstones, with situational hitting and lineup depth becoming issues during this recent slump. Dylan Cease is expected to take the mound and, while capable of dominant outings, he has been uneven this season, making his performance a critical variable in whether the Padres can regain their footing against a Braves lineup that should be energized by Acuña’s return. The Braves, sitting at 24–25, are not where they expected to be at this point in the season, but their 15–7 record at home is a sign they’re still a dangerous team at Truist Park. With Ronald Acuña Jr. rejoining the lineup after missing nearly two months recovering from a torn ACL, Atlanta regains not only one of the league’s most electrifying players but also the emotional heartbeat of the franchise, potentially providing the spark needed to push the team back above .500.

Acuña joins a lineup already featuring Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies, both of whom have delivered solid but not spectacular production in Acuña’s absence, and the hope is that his presence will ignite the offense and reduce the burden on the supporting cast. On the mound, the Braves’ rotation has been steady enough to keep games competitive, but their bullpen remains a major question mark, with late-inning inconsistencies costing them winnable games throughout the first two months. In terms of betting trends, the Padres hold a stronger edge with a 27–19 run line record, compared to Atlanta’s 23–22 mark, signaling that San Diego has more frequently outpaced expectations, though recent form has shifted that balance. This game serves as a crossroads for both clubs: the Padres are fighting to avoid a free fall that could unravel what was shaping up to be a promising season, while the Braves are aiming to build momentum and recapture their expected role as NL East favorites. With storylines swirling around Acuña’s return, Cease’s redemption opportunity, and both teams battling internal inconsistencies, this Friday night showdown promises high stakes, playoff-caliber energy, and the kind of urgency that defines midseason baseball between two talented rosters trying to rewrite their recent narratives.

San Diego Padres MLB Preview

The San Diego Padres enter their May 23 road matchup against the Atlanta Braves with a 27–21 record and a desperate need to halt their six-game losing streak, a skid that has abruptly halted their early momentum and exposed issues on both sides of the ball as they try to keep pace in a competitive NL West. Despite remaining above .500, the Padres have scored just 10 runs over their last six games, a stunning drop-off for a lineup that features sluggers like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, both of whom have continued to produce but have lacked consistent support from the rest of the batting order. San Diego’s recent offensive woes have highlighted the team’s over-reliance on its stars, with role players failing to capitalize on opportunities or sustain rallies, particularly in high-leverage situations where the Padres have come up empty far too often during this slump. On the mound, the rotation has been solid but not spectacular, and Friday’s probable starter Dylan Cease embodies that inconsistency—capable of dominant, swing-and-miss stuff but also prone to elevated pitch counts and the occasional meltdown inning when command slips. Cease will be asked to provide length in this outing, as the bullpen has been heavily taxed during the losing streak, often entering games early due to short starts or being forced to cover late deficits that have only widened.

The Padres’ bullpen, while talented, has begun to show signs of wear, and without better offensive support or more efficient starts, the pressure on the relievers has become unsustainable over long stretches. Defensively, San Diego has been reliable overall but not immune to the occasional miscue, and during losing streaks, even one or two unforced errors can be the difference in a close game. Despite their recent slide, the Padres have covered the run line in 27 of their 46 games this season, reflecting an overall ability to win by margins or keep games close when they’re on their game, though that hasn’t been the case over the past week. Manager Mike Shildt will need to spark the clubhouse, whether through lineup shuffling, aggressive baserunning, or situational tactics, to reverse the momentum before the team falls deeper behind division leader Los Angeles. Facing a Braves team that has also had its struggles but is re-energized by the return of Ronald Acuña Jr. only increases the pressure, and the Padres will need a fast start, strong outing from Cease, and timely hits to snap their streak and start rebuilding confidence. With tough series looming, this game is a vital opportunity for San Diego to reset its trajectory and avoid letting a promising season begin to unravel under the weight of a poorly timed losing stretch.

On May 23, 2025, the San Diego Padres (27–21) will face the Atlanta Braves (24–25) at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. This game marks the return of Braves star Ronald Acuña Jr., who is set to make his season debut after recovering from a torn ACL. San Diego vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves enter their May 23 home game against the San Diego Padres with a 24–25 record and a unique sense of renewal as they prepare to welcome back superstar Ronald Acuña Jr., who is set to make his 2025 season debut following a lengthy recovery from a torn ACL. Despite being under .500, the Braves have played much better at home, boasting a 15–7 record at Truist Park and showing glimpses of their championship-caliber potential even during a stretch of inconsistent play. Acuña’s return is expected to be a massive emotional and on-field boost, as his blend of speed, power, and defensive range has been sorely missed and his presence alone reshapes the dynamics of Atlanta’s lineup by giving it a true leadoff threat and a game-changing bat that can spark rallies or break games open. In his absence, the Braves have relied on Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies to carry the offense, and while both have been solid—Riley with his power stroke and Albies providing key hits and run production—the lineup has often looked incomplete and struggled to string together multi-run innings against top-tier pitching. The addition of Acuña will not only help the offense but should also ease the pressure on the bullpen, which has been one of Atlanta’s biggest question marks this season, frequently faltering in high-leverage spots and turning winnable games into late losses.

The starting rotation has performed admirably, giving the Braves opportunities to win most nights, but the lack of consistent run support and bullpen efficiency has made it difficult to sustain any meaningful winning streaks. Friday’s game presents an opportunity to change that narrative, especially against a Padres team that enters the contest on a six-game losing streak and appears vulnerable both at the plate and in the bullpen. The Braves’ 23–22 record against the run line suggests that while they have kept most games competitive, they’ve struggled to pull away, making Acuña’s return all the more critical for creating a more dynamic offensive attack. Manager Brian Snitker will be tasked with carefully managing Acuña’s usage while trying to build momentum for a team that still has the talent to compete at the top of the division but has underperformed for stretches of the first half. A win in this matchup could serve as a turning point in the season—reigniting confidence, setting the tone for the weekend, and showing the rest of the league that the Braves, with their MVP back in the fold, are ready to get back to business. With home-field energy, a motivated roster, and the emotional lift that comes with the return of a franchise cornerstone, Atlanta enters this game with more than just a chance to move above .500—they have a shot to start rewriting the narrative of their 2025 campaign.

San Diego vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Padres and Braves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Truist Park in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Olson over 0.5 Total Bases.

San Diego vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Padres and Braves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending weight human bettors often put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly deflated Braves team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI San Diego vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Padres vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres have a 27–19 record against the run line this season.

Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves have a 23–22 record against the run line this season.

Padres vs. Braves Matchup Trends

The Padres have covered the run line in approximately 58.7% of their games, while the Braves have covered in about 51.1% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for the Padres in terms of betting performance.

San Diego vs. Atlanta Game Info

San Diego vs Atlanta starts on May 23, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: San Diego +122, Atlanta -146
Over/Under: 7.5

San Diego: (27-21)  |  Atlanta: (24-25)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Olson over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Padres have covered the run line in approximately 58.7% of their games, while the Braves have covered in about 51.1% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for the Padres in terms of betting performance.

SD trend: The San Diego Padres have a 27–19 record against the run line this season.

ATL trend: The Atlanta Braves have a 23–22 record against the run line this season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Diego vs. Atlanta Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

San Diego vs Atlanta Opening Odds

SD Moneyline: +122
ATL Moneyline: -146
SD Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

San Diego vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+122
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+110
-130
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves on May 23, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN