Padres vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 23 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On May 23, 2025, the San Diego Padres (27–21) will face the Atlanta Braves (24–25) at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. This game marks the return of Braves star Ronald Acuña Jr., who is set to make his season debut after recovering from a torn ACL.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 23, 2025
Start Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: Truist Park
Braves Record: (24-25)
Padres Record: (27-21)
OPENING ODDS
SD Moneyline: +122
ATL Moneyline: -146
SD Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
SD
Betting Trends
- The San Diego Padres have a 27–19 record against the run line this season.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Atlanta Braves have a 23–22 record against the run line this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Padres have covered the run line in approximately 58.7% of their games, while the Braves have covered in about 51.1% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for the Padres in terms of betting performance.
SD vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Olson over 0.5 Total Bases.
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San Diego vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/23/25
Acuña joins a lineup already featuring Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies, both of whom have delivered solid but not spectacular production in Acuña’s absence, and the hope is that his presence will ignite the offense and reduce the burden on the supporting cast. On the mound, the Braves’ rotation has been steady enough to keep games competitive, but their bullpen remains a major question mark, with late-inning inconsistencies costing them winnable games throughout the first two months. In terms of betting trends, the Padres hold a stronger edge with a 27–19 run line record, compared to Atlanta’s 23–22 mark, signaling that San Diego has more frequently outpaced expectations, though recent form has shifted that balance. This game serves as a crossroads for both clubs: the Padres are fighting to avoid a free fall that could unravel what was shaping up to be a promising season, while the Braves are aiming to build momentum and recapture their expected role as NL East favorites. With storylines swirling around Acuña’s return, Cease’s redemption opportunity, and both teams battling internal inconsistencies, this Friday night showdown promises high stakes, playoff-caliber energy, and the kind of urgency that defines midseason baseball between two talented rosters trying to rewrite their recent narratives.
Gavin Sheets strikes again. pic.twitter.com/zdYBNagj3L
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 22, 2025
San Diego Padres MLB Preview
The San Diego Padres enter their May 23 road matchup against the Atlanta Braves with a 27–21 record and a desperate need to halt their six-game losing streak, a skid that has abruptly halted their early momentum and exposed issues on both sides of the ball as they try to keep pace in a competitive NL West. Despite remaining above .500, the Padres have scored just 10 runs over their last six games, a stunning drop-off for a lineup that features sluggers like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, both of whom have continued to produce but have lacked consistent support from the rest of the batting order. San Diego’s recent offensive woes have highlighted the team’s over-reliance on its stars, with role players failing to capitalize on opportunities or sustain rallies, particularly in high-leverage situations where the Padres have come up empty far too often during this slump. On the mound, the rotation has been solid but not spectacular, and Friday’s probable starter Dylan Cease embodies that inconsistency—capable of dominant, swing-and-miss stuff but also prone to elevated pitch counts and the occasional meltdown inning when command slips. Cease will be asked to provide length in this outing, as the bullpen has been heavily taxed during the losing streak, often entering games early due to short starts or being forced to cover late deficits that have only widened.
The Padres’ bullpen, while talented, has begun to show signs of wear, and without better offensive support or more efficient starts, the pressure on the relievers has become unsustainable over long stretches. Defensively, San Diego has been reliable overall but not immune to the occasional miscue, and during losing streaks, even one or two unforced errors can be the difference in a close game. Despite their recent slide, the Padres have covered the run line in 27 of their 46 games this season, reflecting an overall ability to win by margins or keep games close when they’re on their game, though that hasn’t been the case over the past week. Manager Mike Shildt will need to spark the clubhouse, whether through lineup shuffling, aggressive baserunning, or situational tactics, to reverse the momentum before the team falls deeper behind division leader Los Angeles. Facing a Braves team that has also had its struggles but is re-energized by the return of Ronald Acuña Jr. only increases the pressure, and the Padres will need a fast start, strong outing from Cease, and timely hits to snap their streak and start rebuilding confidence. With tough series looming, this game is a vital opportunity for San Diego to reset its trajectory and avoid letting a promising season begin to unravel under the weight of a poorly timed losing stretch.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves enter their May 23 home game against the San Diego Padres with a 24–25 record and a unique sense of renewal as they prepare to welcome back superstar Ronald Acuña Jr., who is set to make his 2025 season debut following a lengthy recovery from a torn ACL. Despite being under .500, the Braves have played much better at home, boasting a 15–7 record at Truist Park and showing glimpses of their championship-caliber potential even during a stretch of inconsistent play. Acuña’s return is expected to be a massive emotional and on-field boost, as his blend of speed, power, and defensive range has been sorely missed and his presence alone reshapes the dynamics of Atlanta’s lineup by giving it a true leadoff threat and a game-changing bat that can spark rallies or break games open. In his absence, the Braves have relied on Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies to carry the offense, and while both have been solid—Riley with his power stroke and Albies providing key hits and run production—the lineup has often looked incomplete and struggled to string together multi-run innings against top-tier pitching. The addition of Acuña will not only help the offense but should also ease the pressure on the bullpen, which has been one of Atlanta’s biggest question marks this season, frequently faltering in high-leverage spots and turning winnable games into late losses.
The starting rotation has performed admirably, giving the Braves opportunities to win most nights, but the lack of consistent run support and bullpen efficiency has made it difficult to sustain any meaningful winning streaks. Friday’s game presents an opportunity to change that narrative, especially against a Padres team that enters the contest on a six-game losing streak and appears vulnerable both at the plate and in the bullpen. The Braves’ 23–22 record against the run line suggests that while they have kept most games competitive, they’ve struggled to pull away, making Acuña’s return all the more critical for creating a more dynamic offensive attack. Manager Brian Snitker will be tasked with carefully managing Acuña’s usage while trying to build momentum for a team that still has the talent to compete at the top of the division but has underperformed for stretches of the first half. A win in this matchup could serve as a turning point in the season—reigniting confidence, setting the tone for the weekend, and showing the rest of the league that the Braves, with their MVP back in the fold, are ready to get back to business. With home-field energy, a motivated roster, and the emotional lift that comes with the return of a franchise cornerstone, Atlanta enters this game with more than just a chance to move above .500—they have a shot to start rewriting the narrative of their 2025 campaign.
All tied up!#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/yWJ0uWd21u
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) May 20, 2025
San Diego vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
San Diego vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Padres and Braves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending weight human bettors often put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly deflated Braves team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI San Diego vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Padres vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres have a 27–19 record against the run line this season.
Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves have a 23–22 record against the run line this season.
Padres vs. Braves Matchup Trends
The Padres have covered the run line in approximately 58.7% of their games, while the Braves have covered in about 51.1% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for the Padres in terms of betting performance.
San Diego vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does San Diego vs Atlanta start on May 23, 2025?
San Diego vs Atlanta starts on May 23, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.
Where is San Diego vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Truist Park.
What are the opening odds for San Diego vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: San Diego +122, Atlanta -146
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for San Diego vs Atlanta?
San Diego: (27-21) | Atlanta: (24-25)
What is the AI best bet for San Diego vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Olson over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are San Diego vs Atlanta trending bets?
The Padres have covered the run line in approximately 58.7% of their games, while the Braves have covered in about 51.1% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for the Padres in terms of betting performance.
What are San Diego trending bets?
SD trend: The San Diego Padres have a 27–19 record against the run line this season.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Atlanta Braves have a 23–22 record against the run line this season.
Where can I find AI Picks for San Diego vs Atlanta?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
San Diego vs. Atlanta Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
San Diego vs Atlanta Opening Odds
SD Moneyline:
+122 ATL Moneyline: -146
SD Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
San Diego vs Atlanta Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+192
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-178
|
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+135
-160
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+192
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
|
O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+175
-210
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+150
-178
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+122
-145
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+118
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-145
+122
|
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
|
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
|
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves on May 23, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |