Royals vs Twins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 23)
Updated: 2025-05-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On May 23, 2025, the Kansas City Royals (28–23) will face the Minnesota Twins (26–21) at Target Field in Minneapolis. This pivotal AL Central matchup features two teams vying for position in a tightly contested division race.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 23, 2025
Start Time: 8:10 PM EST
Venue: Target Field
Twins Record: (27-22)
Royals Record: (28-23)
OPENING ODDS
KC Moneyline: +139
MIN Moneyline: -164
KC Spread: +1.5
MIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
KC
Betting Trends
- The Kansas City Royals have a 25–19 record against the run line this season.
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Minnesota Twins have a 20–18 record against the run line this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Royals have covered the run line in approximately 56.8% of their games, while the Twins have done so in about 52.6% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for Kansas City in betting performance.
KC vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Larnach over 4.5 Fantasy Score.
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Kansas City vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/23/25
The Royals have shown versatility, finding ways to manufacture runs, stay competitive in close games, and close things out with a bullpen that has outperformed expectations through the first half. Meanwhile, the Twins have seen Byron Buxton heat up, leading the team in hits and home runs, and have benefited from timely offense throughout their order, averaging over five runs per game during their recent 13–3 stretch in May. The Twins’ bullpen has also been a key strength, supporting a rotation that has remained steady despite injuries earlier in the year, and their defense has been airtight, executing double plays and making smart plays behind their staff. From a betting perspective, the Royals have a slight edge against the spread, going 25–19 ATS this season compared to the Twins’ 20–18 mark, suggesting Kansas City’s knack for covering tight lines. Both teams will look to set the tone in the first game of the series, and with each side relying on strong starting pitching, disciplined defense, and explosive offense, this game has all the makings of a tightly contested, playoff-like atmosphere. The outcome could go a long way toward determining momentum in the division heading into the summer stretch, and whether it’s Ragans taming a red-hot Twins lineup or Ryan controlling the Royals’ attack, the stage is set for a defining AL Central showdown between two clubs determined to stay in striking distance of the division lead.
The Captain goes oppo! 🫡 pic.twitter.com/YwKzFgZrWu
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) May 21, 2025
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals enter their May 23 road matchup against the Minnesota Twins with a 28–23 record and a growing sense of confidence as they continue to assert themselves as legitimate contenders in the AL Central following a strong start built on balanced offense, steady pitching, and disciplined fundamentals. After a rough 2023, the Royals have turned the corner under manager Matt Quatraro, and they’ve done so by getting contributions throughout the roster while developing young stars like Bobby Witt Jr., who has evolved into one of the most dynamic shortstops in the league, blending speed, power, and elite defense. Witt has been a catalyst at the top of the lineup, creating havoc on the basepaths and putting pressure on opposing pitchers, while Salvador Perez continues to anchor the middle of the order with clutch hitting and veteran leadership, bringing a reliable bat and a calming presence behind the plate. Left-hander Cole Ragans takes the mound for Kansas City, and he’s quietly become one of the most effective arms in their rotation, frequently delivering quality starts and showing the poise of a frontline starter with a deep pitch mix and above-average command.
The Royals’ pitching staff has been a major reason they’ve remained above .500, and their bullpen—led by James McArthur and John Schreiber—has been dependable late in games, often slamming the door in high-leverage situations. Defensively, Kansas City has been one of the cleaner teams in baseball, limiting errors and playing sharp infield defense that supports their ground-ball-heavy pitching approach, and their outfield has helped save runs with smart positioning and accurate throws. The Royals are 25–19 against the run line, highlighting their ability not only to win games but to do so decisively when their offense clicks early and the staff protects the lead. Entering this game, Kansas City has gone 6–4 in their last 10 games, including multiple wins over division opponents, and they’ve shown an ability to adjust their approach depending on the situation—willing to scrap for runs in tight games or apply pressure early when they sense a starter is vulnerable. Facing Joe Ryan, who has been excellent for the Twins, the Royals will need to be patient at the plate and avoid chasing pitches out of the zone, instead forcing deep counts and capitalizing on mistakes. The offense’s versatility has been a strength, with contributions from Michael Massey, Vinnie Pasquantino, and Maikel Garcia helping to create depth and reduce the pressure on the core stars. A road win at Target Field against a red-hot Twins team would be a major statement and could help the Royals close the gap on both Minnesota and division-leading Detroit, keeping them firmly in the thick of the playoff hunt as summer approaches. For a franchise looking to turn the page from recent rebuilding years, this game presents both a challenge and an opportunity to solidify their place as true contenders in the American League.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Twins MLB Preview
The Minnesota Twins enter their May 23 home game against the Kansas City Royals with a 26–21 record and a surge of momentum that has catapulted them back into the heart of the AL Central race after a rocky start to the season. Fueled by a scorching 13–3 run in May and dominant play at Target Field, where they hold a 15–6 record, the Twins have rediscovered the formula that made them division champions in recent years—strong starting pitching, timely offense, and efficient defense. Much of the credit for their recent surge belongs to a rotation that has settled into a groove, led by right-hander Joe Ryan, who has delivered consistent, strike-throwing performances and enters this matchup as the clear staff ace with 28 strikeouts in his last several starts. Ryan’s ability to work deep into games and set the tone early has alleviated pressure on a bullpen that has quietly been one of the league’s most effective in protecting leads and shutting down late threats. Offensively, Byron Buxton has sparked the lineup with his mix of power and speed, leading the team in home runs and hits while reestablishing himself as one of the most dynamic centerfielders in baseball when healthy. His presence has elevated the play of those around him, and contributions from hitters like Edouard Julien and Willi Castro have rounded out a lineup that no longer leans entirely on its veterans.
Though Carlos Correa’s bat hasn’t fully come alive yet this season, his defensive leadership and clutch potential remain invaluable, especially in tight divisional games like this one. The Twins’ defense has been rock solid, turning double plays with precision and limiting unearned runs, which has played a key role in their ability to hold onto late-inning leads and win close games. From a betting perspective, Minnesota is 20–18 against the run line, showing a tendency to not just win but often outpace expectations when playing at home or during winning streaks. Manager Rocco Baldelli has expertly balanced rest and aggression, rotating his lineup effectively while keeping his bullpen arms fresh and ready to go in key moments, a big reason the team has been able to turn its season around. Facing Kansas City’s Cole Ragans, the Twins will look to be aggressive early, particularly if they can get runners on base ahead of Buxton and capitalize on any early command issues. With the division-leading Tigers still within reach, the Twins have a golden opportunity to gain ground and further solidify themselves as a postseason contender. A win in this game would extend their dominance at Target Field and send a strong message to the rest of the division that the Twins are back on track and ready to challenge for the top spot once again.
Anyone want to hang out this weekend?
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) May 22, 2025
You can come to our place: https://t.co/DSUBpte5A8 pic.twitter.com/2fDkBm9ayR
Kansas City vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
Kansas City vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Royals and Twins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors tend to put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Royals team going up against a possibly unhealthy Twins team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Royals vs Twins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals have a 25–19 record against the run line this season.
Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins have a 20–18 record against the run line this season.
Royals vs. Twins Matchup Trends
The Royals have covered the run line in approximately 56.8% of their games, while the Twins have done so in about 52.6% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for Kansas City in betting performance.
Kansas City vs. Minnesota Game Info
What time does Kansas City vs Minnesota start on May 23, 2025?
Kansas City vs Minnesota starts on May 23, 2025 at 8:10 PM EST.
Where is Kansas City vs Minnesota being played?
Venue: Target Field.
What are the opening odds for Kansas City vs Minnesota?
Spread: Minnesota -1.5
Moneyline: Kansas City +139, Minnesota -164
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Kansas City vs Minnesota?
Kansas City: (28-23) | Minnesota: (27-22)
What is the AI best bet for Kansas City vs Minnesota?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Larnach over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Kansas City vs Minnesota trending bets?
The Royals have covered the run line in approximately 56.8% of their games, while the Twins have done so in about 52.6% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for Kansas City in betting performance.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Kansas City Royals have a 25–19 record against the run line this season.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Minnesota Twins have a 20–18 record against the run line this season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Kansas City vs Minnesota?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kansas City vs. Minnesota Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Kansas City vs Minnesota Opening Odds
KC Moneyline:
+139 MIN Moneyline: -164
KC Spread: +1.5
MIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Kansas City vs Minnesota Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+107
-128
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+165)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins on May 23, 2025 at Target Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |