Royals vs Twins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 23)

Updated: 2025-05-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 23, 2025, the Kansas City Royals (28–23) will face the Minnesota Twins (26–21) at Target Field in Minneapolis. This pivotal AL Central matchup features two teams vying for position in a tightly contested division race.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 23, 2025

Start Time: 8:10 PM EST​

Venue: Target Field​

Twins Record: (27-22)

Royals Record: (28-23)

OPENING ODDS

KC Moneyline: +139

MIN Moneyline: -164

KC Spread: +1.5

MIN Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

KC
Betting Trends

  • The Kansas City Royals have a 25–19 record against the run line this season.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Twins have a 20–18 record against the run line this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Royals have covered the run line in approximately 56.8% of their games, while the Twins have done so in about 52.6% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for Kansas City in betting performance.

KC vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Larnach over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Kansas City vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/23/25

The May 23, 2025 matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins at Target Field features two surging teams jockeying for position in the AL Central and provides one of the most intriguing intra-division clashes of the week. The Royals come into this game with a 28–23 record and currently sit third in the division, just behind the Twins at 26–21, making this contest vital in the chase to close the gap on the first-place Detroit Tigers. Both clubs have been in strong form, with Kansas City going 6–4 over their last 10 games and the Twins winning 20 of their last 27, including a 10-game home winning streak that was snapped earlier in the week but nonetheless reaffirmed their dominance at Target Field. Friday’s matchup features a compelling pitching duel between Kansas City’s standout left-hander Cole Ragans and Minnesota’s ace Joe Ryan, both of whom have played pivotal roles in their team’s early success. Ragans has been particularly sharp, giving the Royals consistent innings and keeping opponents off balance with a mix of velocity and command, while Ryan has anchored the Twins’ rotation, collecting 28 strikeouts this month and frequently putting his team in position to win with deep starts. Offensively, the Royals are powered by Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, with Witt bringing speed, pop, and aggressive baserunning, and Perez continuing to be a stabilizing presence in the middle of the lineup with clutch hitting and veteran leadership.

The Royals have shown versatility, finding ways to manufacture runs, stay competitive in close games, and close things out with a bullpen that has outperformed expectations through the first half. Meanwhile, the Twins have seen Byron Buxton heat up, leading the team in hits and home runs, and have benefited from timely offense throughout their order, averaging over five runs per game during their recent 13–3 stretch in May. The Twins’ bullpen has also been a key strength, supporting a rotation that has remained steady despite injuries earlier in the year, and their defense has been airtight, executing double plays and making smart plays behind their staff. From a betting perspective, the Royals have a slight edge against the spread, going 25–19 ATS this season compared to the Twins’ 20–18 mark, suggesting Kansas City’s knack for covering tight lines. Both teams will look to set the tone in the first game of the series, and with each side relying on strong starting pitching, disciplined defense, and explosive offense, this game has all the makings of a tightly contested, playoff-like atmosphere. The outcome could go a long way toward determining momentum in the division heading into the summer stretch, and whether it’s Ragans taming a red-hot Twins lineup or Ryan controlling the Royals’ attack, the stage is set for a defining AL Central showdown between two clubs determined to stay in striking distance of the division lead.

Kansas City Royals MLB Preview

The Kansas City Royals enter their May 23 road matchup against the Minnesota Twins with a 28–23 record and a growing sense of confidence as they continue to assert themselves as legitimate contenders in the AL Central following a strong start built on balanced offense, steady pitching, and disciplined fundamentals. After a rough 2023, the Royals have turned the corner under manager Matt Quatraro, and they’ve done so by getting contributions throughout the roster while developing young stars like Bobby Witt Jr., who has evolved into one of the most dynamic shortstops in the league, blending speed, power, and elite defense. Witt has been a catalyst at the top of the lineup, creating havoc on the basepaths and putting pressure on opposing pitchers, while Salvador Perez continues to anchor the middle of the order with clutch hitting and veteran leadership, bringing a reliable bat and a calming presence behind the plate. Left-hander Cole Ragans takes the mound for Kansas City, and he’s quietly become one of the most effective arms in their rotation, frequently delivering quality starts and showing the poise of a frontline starter with a deep pitch mix and above-average command.

The Royals’ pitching staff has been a major reason they’ve remained above .500, and their bullpen—led by James McArthur and John Schreiber—has been dependable late in games, often slamming the door in high-leverage situations. Defensively, Kansas City has been one of the cleaner teams in baseball, limiting errors and playing sharp infield defense that supports their ground-ball-heavy pitching approach, and their outfield has helped save runs with smart positioning and accurate throws. The Royals are 25–19 against the run line, highlighting their ability not only to win games but to do so decisively when their offense clicks early and the staff protects the lead. Entering this game, Kansas City has gone 6–4 in their last 10 games, including multiple wins over division opponents, and they’ve shown an ability to adjust their approach depending on the situation—willing to scrap for runs in tight games or apply pressure early when they sense a starter is vulnerable. Facing Joe Ryan, who has been excellent for the Twins, the Royals will need to be patient at the plate and avoid chasing pitches out of the zone, instead forcing deep counts and capitalizing on mistakes. The offense’s versatility has been a strength, with contributions from Michael Massey, Vinnie Pasquantino, and Maikel Garcia helping to create depth and reduce the pressure on the core stars. A road win at Target Field against a red-hot Twins team would be a major statement and could help the Royals close the gap on both Minnesota and division-leading Detroit, keeping them firmly in the thick of the playoff hunt as summer approaches. For a franchise looking to turn the page from recent rebuilding years, this game presents both a challenge and an opportunity to solidify their place as true contenders in the American League.

On May 23, 2025, the Kansas City Royals (28–23) will face the Minnesota Twins (26–21) at Target Field in Minneapolis. This pivotal AL Central matchup features two teams vying for position in a tightly contested division race. Kansas City vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Twins MLB Preview

The Minnesota Twins enter their May 23 home game against the Kansas City Royals with a 26–21 record and a surge of momentum that has catapulted them back into the heart of the AL Central race after a rocky start to the season. Fueled by a scorching 13–3 run in May and dominant play at Target Field, where they hold a 15–6 record, the Twins have rediscovered the formula that made them division champions in recent years—strong starting pitching, timely offense, and efficient defense. Much of the credit for their recent surge belongs to a rotation that has settled into a groove, led by right-hander Joe Ryan, who has delivered consistent, strike-throwing performances and enters this matchup as the clear staff ace with 28 strikeouts in his last several starts. Ryan’s ability to work deep into games and set the tone early has alleviated pressure on a bullpen that has quietly been one of the league’s most effective in protecting leads and shutting down late threats. Offensively, Byron Buxton has sparked the lineup with his mix of power and speed, leading the team in home runs and hits while reestablishing himself as one of the most dynamic centerfielders in baseball when healthy. His presence has elevated the play of those around him, and contributions from hitters like Edouard Julien and Willi Castro have rounded out a lineup that no longer leans entirely on its veterans.

Though Carlos Correa’s bat hasn’t fully come alive yet this season, his defensive leadership and clutch potential remain invaluable, especially in tight divisional games like this one. The Twins’ defense has been rock solid, turning double plays with precision and limiting unearned runs, which has played a key role in their ability to hold onto late-inning leads and win close games. From a betting perspective, Minnesota is 20–18 against the run line, showing a tendency to not just win but often outpace expectations when playing at home or during winning streaks. Manager Rocco Baldelli has expertly balanced rest and aggression, rotating his lineup effectively while keeping his bullpen arms fresh and ready to go in key moments, a big reason the team has been able to turn its season around. Facing Kansas City’s Cole Ragans, the Twins will look to be aggressive early, particularly if they can get runners on base ahead of Buxton and capitalize on any early command issues. With the division-leading Tigers still within reach, the Twins have a golden opportunity to gain ground and further solidify themselves as a postseason contender. A win in this game would extend their dominance at Target Field and send a strong message to the rest of the division that the Twins are back on track and ready to challenge for the top spot once again.

Kansas City vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Royals and Twins play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Field in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Larnach over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Kansas City vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Royals and Twins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors tend to put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Royals team going up against a possibly unhealthy Twins team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Royals vs Twins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals have a 25–19 record against the run line this season.

Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins have a 20–18 record against the run line this season.

Royals vs. Twins Matchup Trends

The Royals have covered the run line in approximately 56.8% of their games, while the Twins have done so in about 52.6% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for Kansas City in betting performance.

Kansas City vs. Minnesota Game Info

Kansas City vs Minnesota starts on May 23, 2025 at 8:10 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota -1.5
Moneyline: Kansas City +139, Minnesota -164
Over/Under: 7.5

Kansas City: (28-23)  |  Minnesota: (27-22)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Larnach over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Royals have covered the run line in approximately 56.8% of their games, while the Twins have done so in about 52.6% of theirs, indicating a slight edge for Kansas City in betting performance.

KC trend: The Kansas City Royals have a 25–19 record against the run line this season.

MIN trend: The Minnesota Twins have a 20–18 record against the run line this season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Kansas City vs. Minnesota Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Kansas City vs Minnesota Opening Odds

KC Moneyline: +139
MIN Moneyline: -164
KC Spread: +1.5
MIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Kansas City vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+107
-128
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+165)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins on May 23, 2025 at Target Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN