Reds vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 20 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates continue their NL Central rivalry with a matchup on May 20, 2025, at PNC Park. The Reds, aiming to climb the division standings, face a Pirates team looking to reverse their recent struggles.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 20, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (15-33)

Reds Record: (25-24)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: -129

PIT Moneyline: +108

CIN Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Cincinnati Reds have a 24-24 record this season, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a 16-26 record against the spread this season, indicating challenges in covering betting lines.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite the Pirates’ struggles, they have a 9-14 home record, suggesting a slight edge when playing at PNC Park.

CIN vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McLain over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/20/25

The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates are set to square off on May 20, 2025, in what marks another chapter in their long-standing NL Central rivalry. The Reds, sitting at an even 24-24 record, are right in the thick of the division race and view this series as a prime opportunity to gain ground against a struggling Pittsburgh squad. The Pirates, with a 15-33 record, are enduring a difficult campaign marked by offensive inconsistency and pitching woes, and they’ll need to dig deep to protect home turf at PNC Park. Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a more balanced and consistent roster, anchored by emerging star Elly De La Cruz, who leads the team in both home runs (8) and RBIs (33), and supported by the steady bat of Gavin Lux, who boasts a .294 average. Their lineup has shown it can manufacture runs in a variety of ways, whether through speed, power, or timely situational hitting. On the mound, Nick Martinez (2-4, 3.66 ERA) gets the start, providing the Reds with a reliable arm capable of navigating Pittsburgh’s inconsistent offense. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has quietly been one of the most effective in baseball, ranking fifth in team ERA (3.39) and doing a solid job of limiting big innings and working out of jams. Meanwhile, the Pirates have struggled to get any kind of momentum going, ranking near the bottom of the league in team batting average (.220) and home runs (29). Oneil Cruz has been their lone bright spot, supplying power with 8 homers, while Bryan Reynolds has chipped in 22 RBIs but lacks consistent help around him.

Bailey Falter (2-3, 4.02 ERA) will take the ball for Pittsburgh, hoping to keep the game within reach and give his team a chance late. The Pirates’ bullpen has had trouble closing games, often surrendering leads or allowing deficits to balloon, which has further contributed to their underwhelming 9-14 record at home. Statistically, the Pirates also lag behind in spread performance with a 16-26 ATS mark, reflecting their difficulties in keeping games close. In contrast, Cincinnati’s 24-24 ATS record is emblematic of a team that competes nightly and generally meets or exceeds market expectations. Strategically, the Reds will look to pressure Pittsburgh’s pitching early, force the bullpen into action, and use their strong arms to contain what’s been a tepid Pirates offense. The Pirates, conversely, will need to play near-flawless baseball, limit errors, and hope for a standout performance from Falter to change the momentum. This matchup tilts heavily in favor of the Reds based on current form, team metrics, and roster stability, but division games are rarely predictable, and Pittsburgh will be motivated to make a statement at home. If the Reds can jump out early and get another efficient start from Martinez, they’ll be in a prime position to walk away with a critical road win. However, should the Pirates find life at the plate and get some help from their bullpen, they could flip the script and notch a morale-boosting victory.

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds approach their May 20 matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates with renewed confidence and urgency as they seek to climb the NL Central standings and establish consistency in a division where parity continues to define the early season. Sitting at 24-24, the Reds are hovering at .500, but signs point to a team finding its stride, powered by a young, energetic lineup and a pitching staff that has been quietly effective. Leading the charge is Elly De La Cruz, whose blend of power and speed makes him one of the most dynamic young players in the game. De La Cruz has already notched 8 home runs and 33 RBIs, sparking the offense from the top of the order and turning routine grounders into infield singles with his blistering speed. Complementing him is Gavin Lux, who is hitting a steady .294 and has provided a consistent bat in the middle of the lineup. The Reds’ offense doesn’t rely solely on the long ball, instead applying pressure with aggressive base running, gap-to-gap contact, and timely situational hitting. Their team approach has yielded respectable offensive outputs even when power has been inconsistent, and their ability to execute small ball tactics gives them versatility that bodes well for road environments like PNC Park. On the mound, Nick Martinez will get the start, entering with a 2-4 record and a solid 3.66 ERA.

While Martinez’s win-loss mark isn’t flattering, his command and ability to navigate through lineups has made him a dependable presence, particularly in games where run support shows up. The Reds’ pitching staff as a whole has impressed, with a cumulative ERA of 3.39, good for fifth-best in the league—proof that they’ve been more effective than the record might suggest. Cincinnati’s bullpen has also stepped up, locking down late leads and limiting damage in high-leverage spots, a sharp contrast to prior seasons when late-inning implosions were common. Strategically, the Reds will look to jump on Bailey Falter early, forcing high pitch counts and taking advantage of Pittsburgh’s bullpen, which has struggled mightily to maintain control of games. Cincinnati’s coaching staff has emphasized the importance of plate discipline, and if the Reds can string together patient at-bats and force Pirates pitchers into the strike zone, they have the offensive tools to do damage. Defensively, the Reds are athletic and aggressive, with De La Cruz and Jonathan India forming a capable infield duo that turns double plays efficiently and covers ground. Against a Pirates team that’s hit just .220 on the season, the Reds can afford to pitch to contact and trust their defense. This is a key series for a Reds team that has flirted with breaking out of mediocrity, and a win in this opener would send a strong message that they’re ready to take control of their season. With rising stars, a balanced lineup, and a top-tier pitching staff, Cincinnati appears poised to capitalize on Pittsburgh’s missteps and take one step closer to the upper tier of the division.

The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates continue their NL Central rivalry with a matchup on May 20, 2025, at PNC Park. The Reds, aiming to climb the division standings, face a Pirates team looking to reverse their recent struggles. Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 20. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates return to PNC Park on May 20 desperately seeking a spark to reverse what has been a frustrating and underwhelming start to the 2025 season. Sitting at 15-33, the Pirates are anchored at the bottom of the NL Central standings, plagued by inconsistent pitching, a sputtering offense, and missed opportunities in high-leverage situations. Despite some individual standouts, the team has struggled to generate momentum, particularly on offense where their .220 team batting average ranks near the bottom of Major League Baseball. The lack of sustained offensive pressure has hurt their ability to stay competitive in games, and their 29 home runs on the season indicate a power outage that has left the lineup mostly punchless. Oneil Cruz has been one of the few bright spots, leading the team with 8 home runs and showing flashes of the five-tool potential that made him such an anticipated prospect. Bryan Reynolds has chipped in with 22 RBIs, providing some middle-of-the-order stability, but the surrounding cast has not consistently supported them, often stranding runners and failing to extend rallies. Bailey Falter will be on the mound to start this game, entering with a 2-3 record and a 4.02 ERA, hoping to build off moments of effectiveness in what has otherwise been an erratic campaign. Falter’s ability to command the strike zone early and avoid giving up the big inning will be critical against a Reds lineup that thrives on turning pressure into runs. The Pirates’ bullpen, already a sore spot this season, has struggled to hold late leads or keep deficits manageable, an issue that’s repeatedly allowed close games to slip away.

Defensively, Pittsburgh has been average at best, and fielding miscues have compounded their pitching issues, often opening the door for multi-run innings. Their 9-14 home record doesn’t offer much of a cushion, but PNC Park still provides a familiar setting that could help stabilize their rhythm. Manager Derek Shelton has emphasized the need to focus on execution and fundamentals—advancing runners, situational hitting, and clean innings—but the results have yet to materialize with consistency. Against the Reds, the Pirates must avoid falling behind early, which has been a frequent issue, forcing them into catch-up mode where their thin offensive resources become even more exposed. If Falter can give them five or six solid innings and the offense can scratch out early runs, Pittsburgh has the pitching and defense to compete late into the game. However, to shift their season’s narrative, they’ll need to not only play competitive baseball but start closing games with authority and finding ways to manufacture offense even when the bats are quiet. This game offers a chance for the Pirates to regroup at home and try to claw their way out of the division basement, but it will require a complete performance—something that’s been elusive so far this year. With growing pressure to produce and a division rival in town, the time is now for Pittsburgh to tighten the screws and start stacking wins, one solid outing at a time.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Reds and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McLain over 0.5 Total Bases.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Reds and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing weight human bettors often put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Reds vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds have a 24-24 record this season, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a 16-26 record against the spread this season, indicating challenges in covering betting lines.

Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

Despite the Pirates’ struggles, they have a 9-14 home record, suggesting a slight edge when playing at PNC Park.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh starts on May 20, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -129, Pittsburgh +108
Over/Under: 8

Cincinnati: (25-24)  |  Pittsburgh: (15-33)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McLain over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite the Pirates’ struggles, they have a 9-14 home record, suggesting a slight edge when playing at PNC Park.

CIN trend: The Cincinnati Reds have a 24-24 record this season, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.

PIT trend: The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a 16-26 record against the spread this season, indicating challenges in covering betting lines.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: -129
PIT Moneyline: +108
CIN Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 20, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN