Reds vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 20 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates continue their NL Central rivalry with a matchup on May 20, 2025, at PNC Park. The Reds, aiming to climb the division standings, face a Pirates team looking to reverse their recent struggles.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 20, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: PNC Park
Pirates Record: (15-33)
Reds Record: (25-24)
OPENING ODDS
CIN Moneyline: -129
PIT Moneyline: +108
CIN Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Cincinnati Reds have a 24-24 record this season, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a 16-26 record against the spread this season, indicating challenges in covering betting lines.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite the Pirates’ struggles, they have a 9-14 home record, suggesting a slight edge when playing at PNC Park.
CIN vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McLain over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/20/25
Bailey Falter (2-3, 4.02 ERA) will take the ball for Pittsburgh, hoping to keep the game within reach and give his team a chance late. The Pirates’ bullpen has had trouble closing games, often surrendering leads or allowing deficits to balloon, which has further contributed to their underwhelming 9-14 record at home. Statistically, the Pirates also lag behind in spread performance with a 16-26 ATS mark, reflecting their difficulties in keeping games close. In contrast, Cincinnati’s 24-24 ATS record is emblematic of a team that competes nightly and generally meets or exceeds market expectations. Strategically, the Reds will look to pressure Pittsburgh’s pitching early, force the bullpen into action, and use their strong arms to contain what’s been a tepid Pirates offense. The Pirates, conversely, will need to play near-flawless baseball, limit errors, and hope for a standout performance from Falter to change the momentum. This matchup tilts heavily in favor of the Reds based on current form, team metrics, and roster stability, but division games are rarely predictable, and Pittsburgh will be motivated to make a statement at home. If the Reds can jump out early and get another efficient start from Martinez, they’ll be in a prime position to walk away with a critical road win. However, should the Pirates find life at the plate and get some help from their bullpen, they could flip the script and notch a morale-boosting victory.
Tell a friend to tell a friend that the Reds are hot#ATOBTTR pic.twitter.com/lEGCZ8BthF
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) May 20, 2025
Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview
The Cincinnati Reds approach their May 20 matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates with renewed confidence and urgency as they seek to climb the NL Central standings and establish consistency in a division where parity continues to define the early season. Sitting at 24-24, the Reds are hovering at .500, but signs point to a team finding its stride, powered by a young, energetic lineup and a pitching staff that has been quietly effective. Leading the charge is Elly De La Cruz, whose blend of power and speed makes him one of the most dynamic young players in the game. De La Cruz has already notched 8 home runs and 33 RBIs, sparking the offense from the top of the order and turning routine grounders into infield singles with his blistering speed. Complementing him is Gavin Lux, who is hitting a steady .294 and has provided a consistent bat in the middle of the lineup. The Reds’ offense doesn’t rely solely on the long ball, instead applying pressure with aggressive base running, gap-to-gap contact, and timely situational hitting. Their team approach has yielded respectable offensive outputs even when power has been inconsistent, and their ability to execute small ball tactics gives them versatility that bodes well for road environments like PNC Park. On the mound, Nick Martinez will get the start, entering with a 2-4 record and a solid 3.66 ERA.
While Martinez’s win-loss mark isn’t flattering, his command and ability to navigate through lineups has made him a dependable presence, particularly in games where run support shows up. The Reds’ pitching staff as a whole has impressed, with a cumulative ERA of 3.39, good for fifth-best in the league—proof that they’ve been more effective than the record might suggest. Cincinnati’s bullpen has also stepped up, locking down late leads and limiting damage in high-leverage spots, a sharp contrast to prior seasons when late-inning implosions were common. Strategically, the Reds will look to jump on Bailey Falter early, forcing high pitch counts and taking advantage of Pittsburgh’s bullpen, which has struggled mightily to maintain control of games. Cincinnati’s coaching staff has emphasized the importance of plate discipline, and if the Reds can string together patient at-bats and force Pirates pitchers into the strike zone, they have the offensive tools to do damage. Defensively, the Reds are athletic and aggressive, with De La Cruz and Jonathan India forming a capable infield duo that turns double plays efficiently and covers ground. Against a Pirates team that’s hit just .220 on the season, the Reds can afford to pitch to contact and trust their defense. This is a key series for a Reds team that has flirted with breaking out of mediocrity, and a win in this opener would send a strong message that they’re ready to take control of their season. With rising stars, a balanced lineup, and a top-tier pitching staff, Cincinnati appears poised to capitalize on Pittsburgh’s missteps and take one step closer to the upper tier of the division.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates return to PNC Park on May 20 desperately seeking a spark to reverse what has been a frustrating and underwhelming start to the 2025 season. Sitting at 15-33, the Pirates are anchored at the bottom of the NL Central standings, plagued by inconsistent pitching, a sputtering offense, and missed opportunities in high-leverage situations. Despite some individual standouts, the team has struggled to generate momentum, particularly on offense where their .220 team batting average ranks near the bottom of Major League Baseball. The lack of sustained offensive pressure has hurt their ability to stay competitive in games, and their 29 home runs on the season indicate a power outage that has left the lineup mostly punchless. Oneil Cruz has been one of the few bright spots, leading the team with 8 home runs and showing flashes of the five-tool potential that made him such an anticipated prospect. Bryan Reynolds has chipped in with 22 RBIs, providing some middle-of-the-order stability, but the surrounding cast has not consistently supported them, often stranding runners and failing to extend rallies. Bailey Falter will be on the mound to start this game, entering with a 2-3 record and a 4.02 ERA, hoping to build off moments of effectiveness in what has otherwise been an erratic campaign. Falter’s ability to command the strike zone early and avoid giving up the big inning will be critical against a Reds lineup that thrives on turning pressure into runs. The Pirates’ bullpen, already a sore spot this season, has struggled to hold late leads or keep deficits manageable, an issue that’s repeatedly allowed close games to slip away.
Defensively, Pittsburgh has been average at best, and fielding miscues have compounded their pitching issues, often opening the door for multi-run innings. Their 9-14 home record doesn’t offer much of a cushion, but PNC Park still provides a familiar setting that could help stabilize their rhythm. Manager Derek Shelton has emphasized the need to focus on execution and fundamentals—advancing runners, situational hitting, and clean innings—but the results have yet to materialize with consistency. Against the Reds, the Pirates must avoid falling behind early, which has been a frequent issue, forcing them into catch-up mode where their thin offensive resources become even more exposed. If Falter can give them five or six solid innings and the offense can scratch out early runs, Pittsburgh has the pitching and defense to compete late into the game. However, to shift their season’s narrative, they’ll need to not only play competitive baseball but start closing games with authority and finding ways to manufacture offense even when the bats are quiet. This game offers a chance for the Pirates to regroup at home and try to claw their way out of the division basement, but it will require a complete performance—something that’s been elusive so far this year. With growing pressure to produce and a division rival in town, the time is now for Pittsburgh to tighten the screws and start stacking wins, one solid outing at a time.
Final. pic.twitter.com/y24ZJpDWuB
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) May 20, 2025
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Reds and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing weight human bettors often put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Reds vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have a 24-24 record this season, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a 16-26 record against the spread this season, indicating challenges in covering betting lines.
Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Trends
Despite the Pirates’ struggles, they have a 9-14 home record, suggesting a slight edge when playing at PNC Park.
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
What time does Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh start on May 20, 2025?
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh starts on May 20, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh being played?
Venue: PNC Park.
What are the opening odds for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -129, Pittsburgh +108
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
Cincinnati: (25-24) | Pittsburgh: (15-33)
What is the AI best bet for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McLain over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh trending bets?
Despite the Pirates’ struggles, they have a 9-14 home record, suggesting a slight edge when playing at PNC Park.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Cincinnati Reds have a 24-24 record this season, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a 16-26 record against the spread this season, indicating challenges in covering betting lines.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds
CIN Moneyline:
-129 PIT Moneyline: +108
CIN Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+190
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-175
|
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+130
-155
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+185
-225
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
|
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+170
-205
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+135
-165
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+115
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-165
+135
|
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
|
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 20, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |