Braves vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 20 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals face off at Nationals Park on May 20, 2025, in a pivotal NL East matchup. The Braves, bolstered by the return of ace Spencer Strider, aim to climb the standings, while the Nationals look to leverage home-field advantage to halt their recent skid.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 20, 2025

Start Time: 6:45 PM EST​

Venue: Nationals Park​

Nationals Record: (21-27)

Braves Record: (24-23)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: -190

WAS Moneyline: +159

ATL Spread: -1.5

WAS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showing improved performance against the run line.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite their overall record, the Nationals have a respectable 5-4 record at home, suggesting they perform better against the spread at Nationals Park.

ATL vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Strider over 5 Pitcher Strikeouts.

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Atlanta vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/20/25

The May 20, 2025 matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park brings together two NL East rivals at very different points in their competitive timelines, yet both with something to prove. The Braves, who enter with a 24-23 record, are seeking to reestablish themselves as a force in the division after a streaky start to the season that has seen their offense fire in spurts while injuries tested their pitching depth. The return of Spencer Strider to the rotation is the storyline of the day for Atlanta, as the flame-throwing righty comes off the injured list with the expectation of reclaiming the dominance that made him one of baseball’s most intimidating starters. Strider, who posted a 20-5 record with 281 strikeouts in 2023, brings elite velocity and a devastating slider to the table, and if he’s anywhere near full strength, he has the potential to turn this series into a launching pad for a Braves resurgence. Offensively, the Braves remain dangerous, though not yet operating at full capacity. Austin Riley and Sean Murphy have led the charge with a combined 15 home runs and over 40 RBIs, while Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies continue to add power from the left side. Ronald Acuña Jr. hasn’t caught fire yet but remains a constant threat in the leadoff spot with his speed and plate discipline.

The Braves’ lineup is deep, with few easy outs, and if they can string together timely hits, they can pressure any pitching staff in the league. Atlanta’s bullpen has also been a stabilizing factor, locking down late leads with a solid back-end trio and posting one of the lowest bullpen ERAs in the NL. Meanwhile, the Nationals come into this matchup with a 21-27 record, showing glimpses of potential but battling the inconsistencies that come with a young and developing roster. CJ Abrams has blossomed into a capable leadoff hitter, using his speed and improving bat-to-ball skills to set the table, while James Wood is quickly making an impact with his rare mix of size, athleticism, and power potential. However, beyond those two, the offense has been erratic, often failing to capitalize on scoring chances or string together meaningful rallies. The Nationals’ biggest issue remains their pitching staff, with a rotation that rarely works deep into games and a bullpen that has been prone to collapses. Their overall team ERA sits among the league’s worst, and that mismatch could be fully exposed against Atlanta’s potent lineup. That said, Washington has performed respectably at home, holding a 5-4 record at Nationals Park and occasionally catching opponents off guard with a scrappy, aggressive style of play. For them to keep this game competitive, they’ll need a strong outing from their starter—regardless of who toes the rubber—and mistake-free defense to support them. This game presents the Braves with a prime opportunity to assert control over a lesser opponent and build on the return of their ace, while the Nationals will look to test themselves against a playoff-caliber club and play spoiler. Expect a game driven by starting pitching early, and bullpen efficiency late—with the Braves carrying a distinct advantage if Strider resembles anything close to his dominant self.

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves arrive at Nationals Park on May 20, 2025, with renewed optimism and a critical piece of their puzzle falling back into place—ace Spencer Strider, returning from the injured list, is expected to make his first start in weeks. At 24-23, the Braves are hovering just above .500 and looking to shift into a higher gear after an uneven start to the season that has seen flashes of dominance offset by inconsistency both at the plate and on the mound. Strider’s return comes at a pivotal time, as the team seeks to stabilize a rotation that has been shuffled frequently in his absence. When healthy, Strider is one of the most electric pitchers in baseball, featuring a triple-digit fastball and a wipeout slider that helped him record 281 strikeouts in 2023, along with a 20-5 record. He has the tools to immediately transform the Braves’ rotation back into a formidable force, and his presence alone provides a major confidence boost to the clubhouse. Offensively, the Braves remain loaded with potential, though they’ve yet to fully click as a unit. Austin Riley and Sean Murphy have carried the offensive load in recent weeks, combining for 15 home runs and providing much-needed production in the middle of the order. Riley’s raw power continues to be a threat in any ballpark, while Murphy’s mix of pop and defensive excellence behind the plate has made him one of the more complete catchers in the National League. Ronald Acuña Jr., despite a slower start by his standards, still poses a constant threat with his ability to get on base, steal bags, and change games with his all-around talent.

The Braves also have depth throughout the order with Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies, and Michael Harris II all capable of big innings, and their team slugging percentage remains one of the better marks in the NL. On the pitching side, the bullpen has been a pillar of strength, locking down late leads and bridging the gap effectively on days when the starters don’t go deep. Veterans like A.J. Minter and Raisel Iglesias have continued to perform under pressure, and their consistency in high-leverage spots has often masked the rotation’s mid-season struggles. Defense, as expected, has been sharp and well-positioned, giving Strider the support he needs as he works back to full game shape. Atlanta’s challenge in this matchup will be simple: capitalize early against a shaky Washington rotation, let Strider set the tone, and force the Nationals into their bullpen where the Braves’ patient approach and depth can do real damage. With the NL East race tightening, this game represents more than just another date on the schedule—it’s a chance for the Braves to reassert their identity as contenders and begin crafting the kind of winning streak that has defined their recent seasons. If Strider is even close to form and the bats show up as expected, Atlanta will be in excellent position to grab a key road win and set the tone for the rest of the series.

The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals face off at Nationals Park on May 20, 2025, in a pivotal NL East matchup. The Braves, bolstered by the return of ace Spencer Strider, aim to climb the standings, while the Nationals look to leverage home-field advantage to halt their recent skid. Atlanta vs Washington AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 20. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals return home to Nationals Park on May 20, 2025, aiming to turn the tide of their season as they host division rival Atlanta in a challenging matchup headlined by the return of Braves ace Spencer Strider. At 21-27, the Nationals have endured the expected growing pains of a rebuilding team, mixing promising individual performances with stretches of inconsistency on both sides of the ball. Despite the sub-.500 record, the Nationals have been feisty at home with a 5-4 mark and have relied on young players stepping into leadership roles earlier than expected. CJ Abrams has been the offensive catalyst, evolving into a reliable top-of-the-order bat with a growing ability to get on base, swipe bags, and apply pressure to opposing defenses. The 23-year-old shortstop has flashed his potential not only as a contact hitter but also as a defensive leader, helping stabilize the infield. Alongside him, top prospect James Wood continues to excite with his rare physical tools—boasting a combination of size, power, and range that makes him a long-term centerpiece in Washington’s outfield. His emergence has been one of the bright spots of the Nationals’ campaign, and his bat is beginning to show signs of being a game-changer when locked in. Still, beyond those two, run production has been inconsistent, and the club has too often failed to capitalize with runners in scoring position, an issue that’s kept them from converting competitive games into wins.

On the mound, the Nationals remain in search of reliable starting pitching. While their rotation has managed occasional quality starts, the group overall has lacked consistency and length, too frequently forcing the bullpen into extended early-game roles. The bullpen, while occasionally effective, has struggled under that burden, faltering in several late-game scenarios and giving up decisive runs. The identity of their Game 1 starter remains uncertain as manager Dave Martinez continues to juggle innings among a young and injury-plagued pitching staff, but whoever gets the nod will have the unenviable task of facing a loaded Braves lineup backed by one of the league’s premier starters. For Washington to compete in this matchup, their path to success begins with a clean first few innings—limiting traffic against Strider, avoiding early defensive miscues, and giving their offense time to settle in. Getting production from the bottom half of the lineup, executing situational hitting, and putting pressure on Atlanta’s defense with smart baserunning will be key to leveling the playing field. More importantly, the bullpen must find a way to hold its ground if the game remains close into the middle innings. With the home crowd behind them and a chip on their shoulder as underdogs, the Nationals will look to turn potential into performance and remind the NL East that they are not to be taken lightly—especially when their young core begins to click. A strong showing against the Braves could provide a confidence jolt and build momentum for a team still carving out its identity but eager to evolve from developmental to competitive.

Atlanta vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Braves and Nationals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Nationals Park in May rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Strider over 5 Pitcher Strikeouts.

Atlanta vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Braves and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly unhealthy Nationals team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Washington picks, computer picks Braves vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showing improved performance against the run line.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games.

Braves vs. Nationals Matchup Trends

Despite their overall record, the Nationals have a respectable 5-4 record at home, suggesting they perform better against the spread at Nationals Park.

Atlanta vs. Washington Game Info

Atlanta vs Washington starts on May 20, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.

Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -190, Washington +159
Over/Under: 8.5

Atlanta: (24-23)  |  Washington: (21-27)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Strider over 5 Pitcher Strikeouts.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite their overall record, the Nationals have a respectable 5-4 record at home, suggesting they perform better against the spread at Nationals Park.

ATL trend: The Braves have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showing improved performance against the run line.

WAS trend: The Nationals have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Atlanta vs. Washington Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Atlanta vs Washington Opening Odds

ATL Moneyline: -190
WAS Moneyline: +159
ATL Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Atlanta vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-180
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals on May 20, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN