Mariners vs Padres Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 18)
Updated: 2025-05-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres conclude their three-game series at Petco Park on Sunday, May 18, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM ET. The Mariners aim for a series sweep, while the Padres look to salvage the finale and avoid a three-game skid.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 18, 2025
Start Time: 4:10 PM EST
Venue: Petco Park
Padres Record: (27-17)
Mariners Record: (25-19)
OPENING ODDS
SEA Moneyline: +120
SD Moneyline: -142
SEA Spread: +1.5
SD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
SEA
Betting Trends
- The Mariners have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, indicating a 66.7% cover rate.
SD
Betting Trends
- The Padres have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 home games, reflecting a 60% cover rate at Petco Park.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have covered the spread in 3 games, while the Padres have covered in 2. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of those 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests between these teams.
SEA vs. SD
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Raleigh over 4.5 Fantasy Score.
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Seattle vs San Diego Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/18/25
San Diego, meanwhile, has seen its offense go cold at the wrong time, managing just two runs in the series despite a lineup packed with stars like Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, and Xander Bogaerts. Starter Nick Pivetta’s struggles with pitch efficiency in Game 2 forced an early exit and left the bullpen overexposed, while the offense failed to mount any sustained threats outside of scattered base runners. As the Padres hand the ball to Michael King in the finale, they’ll need more than just a quality start—they’ll need timely hits, better approaches with runners in scoring position, and sharper defensive execution, especially in the late innings. King, who has been reliable for most of the season, will look to reverse San Diego’s slide and contain a Mariners team that’s regained its confidence and swagger. The outcome of Sunday’s finale could swing momentum for both clubs as they approach the midpoint of the season: a sweep would give Seattle a much-needed boost heading into a difficult upcoming schedule, while a win for the Padres could steady the ship and help restore belief in their NL West campaign. With strong pitching matchups, superstar names on both sides, and contrasting recent form, the rubber match of the Vedder Cup series promises playoff-like energy and high-stakes execution between two teams hungry to prove they can consistently compete with the league’s best.
Dancing in the rain 🌧️🕺 pic.twitter.com/DQTaehKlMu
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) May 18, 2025
Seattle Mariners MLB Preview
The Seattle Mariners enter Sunday’s series finale at Petco Park with a 25–20 record and a golden opportunity to complete a three-game sweep over the San Diego Padres, a win that would not only cap off a strong rebound from a tough homestand but also send a message that this team is built to handle adversity and respond with poise. After back-to-back wins by scores of 6–1 and 4–1, the Mariners have outperformed the Padres in every phase—getting exceptional starting pitching, timely hitting, and sharp defense that has neutralized San Diego’s high-profile offense. In Game 2, Emerson Hancock delivered his best start of the season, touching 97.6 mph on the radar gun and limiting the Padres to just one run over six innings while striking out Manny Machado in a pivotal moment that set the tone for the rest of the game. Offensively, catcher Cal Raleigh continues to be a breakout star, blasting a go-ahead home run and drawing multiple walks to spark the lineup, while J.P. Crawford and Julio Rodríguez have supplied clutch hits and helped drive the team’s aggressive approach on the bases. The Mariners’ bullpen has been lights out in this series, with Gabe Speier, Matt Brash, Casey Legumina, and closer Andrés Muñoz all delivering clean innings and locking down leads without drama.
This resurgence from Seattle’s pitching staff is especially encouraging given the heavy workload they endured earlier in the month, and Sunday’s game presents a chance for the club to extend its dominance and return to the AL West with momentum firmly in hand. Offensively, Seattle has also benefited from better pitch selection and execution in big moments, showing an ability to string together walks, opposite-field hits, and deep counts to wear down Padres starters and break games open late. Manager Scott Servais has preached patience and balance at the plate, and the team is responding with more consistency from top to bottom of the order. If the Mariners can get another quality outing on Sunday—whether from a spot starter or bullpen game—their bullpen depth and surging offense give them the edge in the finale. With the club finding success through contributions from both veterans and rising stars, the Mariners have the tools to make this a statement win and continue proving they’re more than just a pitching-first team. A sweep at Petco Park would not only cap a dominant weekend but also reinforce Seattle’s status as a team capable of competing with any lineup in either league, provided they maintain the balance, discipline, and execution they’ve displayed over the last two games.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
San Diego Padres MLB Preview
The San Diego Padres enter Sunday’s series finale at Petco Park with a 27–20 record and in need of a bounce-back performance to avoid a sweep at the hands of the Seattle Mariners, who have dictated the pace in the first two games of the series with dominant pitching and timely execution. The Padres’ offense, which has generally been a strength in 2025, has been quieted by Seattle’s rotation and bullpen, managing just two total runs over the last 18 innings and struggling to cash in on limited scoring opportunities. In Game 2, starter Nick Pivetta lasted only 4.1 innings after seeing his pitch count spike early, forcing the bullpen into another extended outing that ended with a 4–1 defeat despite some hard-hit outs and scattered base runners. Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado have both been contained effectively this weekend, and while Xander Bogaerts and Jake Cronenworth have chipped in singles and walks, the lack of extra-base hits and overall traffic has made it difficult for San Diego to apply sustained pressure. Heading into Sunday’s matchup, right-hander Michael King will get the start, bringing a mid-3.00s ERA and solid strikeout numbers, and he’ll be tasked with slowing down a Mariners team that has consistently found ways to score late in games by grinding out at-bats and putting pressure on opposing bullpens.
King has been reliable this season when ahead in counts, using a mix of fastball, cutter, and changeup to neutralize both lefties and righties, but he’ll need to work efficiently and avoid deep counts if the Padres want to stay in control early. The Padres’ bullpen, which includes Robert Suarez and Wandy Peralta, has been solid overall but has struggled when forced into early action, and the team’s recent trend of short starts has taxed the middle relief core. Defensively, San Diego has been clean this series, with no errors and solid infield positioning, but the lack of run support has made even minor lapses feel magnified. Manager Mike Shildt will be looking for more energy and urgency at the plate, particularly from the top of the order, where Tatis and Ha-Seong Kim need to get on base to create RBI chances for the middle bats. A win on Sunday would stop a three-game skid and reestablish the Padres’ confidence before heading back into division play, and with King on the mound and their full bullpen available, the blueprint is clear: control the tempo early, score first, and avoid the mental and physical fatigue that has plagued them over the last 48 hours. If San Diego can break through early and force the Mariners into a bullpen scramble, they’ll have a strong chance to close out the series on a high note and remind the league why they remain a serious contender in the National League.
Game 2 of the Vedder Cup. pic.twitter.com/JIEU9vKF2L
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 17, 2025
Seattle vs. San Diego Prop Picks (AI)
Seattle vs. San Diego Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Mariners and Padres and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the growing factor emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Mariners team going up against a possibly deflated Padres team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Seattle vs San Diego picks, computer picks Mariners vs Padres, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, indicating a 66.7% cover rate.
Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 home games, reflecting a 60% cover rate at Petco Park.
Mariners vs. Padres Matchup Trends
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have covered the spread in 3 games, while the Padres have covered in 2. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of those 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests between these teams.
Seattle vs. San Diego Game Info
What time does Seattle vs San Diego start on May 18, 2025?
Seattle vs San Diego starts on May 18, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.
Where is Seattle vs San Diego being played?
Venue: Petco Park.
What are the opening odds for Seattle vs San Diego?
Spread: San Diego -1.5
Moneyline: Seattle +120, San Diego -142
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Seattle vs San Diego?
Seattle: (25-19) | San Diego: (27-17)
What is the AI best bet for Seattle vs San Diego?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Raleigh over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Seattle vs San Diego trending bets?
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have covered the spread in 3 games, while the Padres have covered in 2. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of those 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests between these teams.
What are Seattle trending bets?
SEA trend: The Mariners have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, indicating a 66.7% cover rate.
What are San Diego trending bets?
SD trend: The Padres have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 home games, reflecting a 60% cover rate at Petco Park.
Where can I find AI Picks for Seattle vs San Diego?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Seattle vs. San Diego Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Seattle vs San Diego trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Seattle vs San Diego Opening Odds
SEA Moneyline:
+120 SD Moneyline: -142
SEA Spread: +1.5
SD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Seattle vs San Diego Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
|---|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres on May 18, 2025 at Petco Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD@TOR | TOR +1.5 | 56.7% | 2 | WIN |
| TOR@LAD | TOR +1.5 | 55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |