Pirates vs. Phillies
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 18 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies will conclude their three-game series on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies aim for a sweep after securing victories in the first two games, while the Pirates look to avoid a series loss.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 18, 2025
Start Time: 1:35 PM EST
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Phillies Record: (27-18)
Pirates Record: (15-31)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: -114
PHI Moneyline: -105
PIT Spread: -1.5
PHI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have covered the spread in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating inconsistent performance against the spread.
PHI
Betting Trends
- The Phillies have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, showing a moderate trend in covering the spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Phillies’ last 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.
PIT vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 5 Fantasy Score.
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Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/18/25
The Pirates have dropped four of their last five games and continue to struggle both at the plate and in the field, with only six runs scored over the first two games of this series and multiple defensive miscues contributing to the Phillies’ scoring. Players like Ke’Bryan Hayes and Andrew McCutchen have flashed their experience and leadership, but the team’s inability to string together consistent offense or prevent costly errors has made even well-pitched games hard to win. Against an energized Phillies lineup and with the home crowd behind a talented rookie pitcher, the Pirates will need to play clean baseball and find timely hits if they want to avoid the sweep. For the Phillies, Sunday’s game is about continuing to ride the wave of momentum, giving Abel a smooth introduction to the majors, and showing they have the depth to thrive not just with their stars but also through their pipeline of rising talent. A sweep would solidify Philadelphia’s current hot stretch and send a message that they are built to contend deep into the season, while the Pirates simply need a win to avoid deepening their current slump and to reset mentally before the next leg of their road trip. The battle between two of baseball’s most hyped young arms gives this game added excitement, but the teams are clearly trending in opposite directions—and Sunday will reveal if Pittsburgh can dig deep or if Philadelphia’s momentum will carry them to another commanding win.
Final. pic.twitter.com/rtRXxNzkaT
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) May 18, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter Sunday’s series finale at Citizens Bank Park with a 15–31 record and riding a four-game losing streak, desperate to avoid a sweep at the hands of the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies and salvage something from a rough road stretch that has exposed the club’s lingering offensive inconsistencies, bullpen volatility, and lack of defensive sharpness. Despite flashes of promise earlier in the month, the Pirates have failed to generate sustained momentum, dropping the first two games of this series 8–4 and 5–2, managing just six total runs while allowing 13 and struggling to contain Philadelphia’s relentless top-of-the-order attack. Sunday offers a glimmer of hope with the presence of rookie phenom Paul Skenes on the mound, the one major bright spot in an otherwise frustrating season for Pittsburgh; Skenes has dazzled in his initial MLB starts with a 3–4 record and a 2.63 ERA, showing elite-level stuff including a fastball that touches triple digits, a sharp-breaking slider, and an advanced feel for sequencing that gives him a chance to dominate even against playoff-caliber lineups like the Phillies. The rookie will be tasked with containing a lineup that’s clicking behind Bryce Harper and Trea Turner, both of whom have reached base consistently throughout the series, and will need to go deep into the game to relieve pressure on a Pirates bullpen that has been inconsistent and at times unreliable in high-leverage situations.
Offensively, Pittsburgh continues to search for consistency, with Andrew McCutchen providing veteran leadership and Ke’Bryan Hayes delivering strong defense and flashes of contact ability, but the team as a whole ranks among the league’s worst in runs scored and slugging, often failing to capitalize on the few scoring opportunities they create. The lack of production from the bottom half of the lineup has made it difficult for the Pirates to mount rallies or provide cushion for their starters, and it places even more weight on the shoulders of Skenes to hold the opposition to minimal damage. Defensively, the Pirates have also struggled, committing untimely errors and miscommunications that have extended innings and allowed opponents to flip momentum, further compounding the margin for error. Manager Don Kelly will need a complete, mistake-free performance from his team—starting with sharp infield execution, efficient bullpen innings, and a few clutch hits in key moments—to pull off a series-ending win against a Phillies team playing with confidence and cohesion. For Pittsburgh, the goal is not only to avoid a sweep but to find signs of progress within a difficult season, and there’s no better tone-setter than Skenes, whose presence on the mound continues to be a reason for optimism amid the losses. If the bats can offer even modest support and the defense remains focused behind their ace, the Pirates have a chance to walk away with a win and a small but meaningful shift in momentum as they prepare for the next leg of their road trip.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies return to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday aiming to complete a sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates and continue their strong run through May, entering the game with a 27–18 record and sitting comfortably near the top of the NL East thanks to a balanced attack, solid defense, and a bullpen that has quietly become one of the team’s key assets. After winning the first two games of the series by scores of 8–4 and 5–2, the Phillies have outscored the Pirates 13–6 and showcased the kind of consistency and situational hitting that has eluded many teams through the early stretch of the season. Bryce Harper has been a central figure in this surge, producing at a high level with timely extra-base hits, while Trea Turner continues to ignite the offense with leadoff energy and multi-hit games, keeping pressure on opposing starters from the first pitch. Nick Castellanos and Alec Bohm have added depth and versatility to the middle of the order, and the Phillies have also benefited from improved plate discipline and patience, helping to drive up pitch counts and chase starters early. On the mound for Sunday’s finale will be highly anticipated rookie McLean Abel, making his major league debut after dominating at the Triple-A level with a fastball-slider combo that has drawn praise from scouts for both velocity and control; his presence gives the Phillies a chance to gauge the next generation of rotation talent while riding a hot streak at home.
The Phillies’ defense has supported the pitching staff effectively, with crisp infield play and an outfield that covers ground well, keeping rallies short and preventing the type of defensive lapses that often swing close games. The bullpen, anchored by closer José Alvarado, who recorded his seventh save of the season on Friday, has been sharp in late innings, combining power arms with strategic matchups to protect narrow leads. Philadelphia has also been one of the league’s best home teams, feeding off the crowd and using the energy at Citizens Bank Park to fuel momentum in key series like this one, where they’ve seized control early and forced Pittsburgh to play from behind. Manager Rob Thomson has done a strong job managing both veteran talent and emerging contributors, and Sunday’s contest offers a perfect mix of long-term evaluation and short-term opportunity—a chance to win a series, rest some key bullpen arms if Abel delivers, and extend their win streak before a tougher stretch in the schedule. While facing a talented young arm in Paul Skenes, the Phillies have proven they can wear down even the best starters by working counts and manufacturing runs, and if they continue to stay aggressive on the bases and sharp on defense, there’s little doubt they’ll have a prime chance to walk away with the sweep and further cement their place as one of the NL’s most consistent and dangerous teams through the season’s first two months.
Series W secured#RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/OQ3szHd2Ft
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) May 18, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Pirates and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly deflated Phillies team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Pirates vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have covered the spread in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating inconsistent performance against the spread.
Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, showing a moderate trend in covering the spread.
Pirates vs. Phillies Matchup Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Phillies’ last 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.
Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia start on May 18, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia starts on May 18, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia being played?
Venue: Citizens Bank Park.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia?
Spread: Philadelphia +1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -114, Philadelphia -105
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia?
Pittsburgh: (15-31) | Philadelphia: (27-18)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia trending bets?
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Phillies’ last 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have covered the spread in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating inconsistent performance against the spread.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: The Phillies have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, showing a moderate trend in covering the spread.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
-114 PHI Moneyline: -105
PIT Spread: -1.5
PHI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+196
-240
|
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
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–
–
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-178
|
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
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+135
-160
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
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+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+196
-240
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
|
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+175
-210
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+150
-178
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+122
-145
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+118
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-140
+118
|
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
|
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
|
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies on May 18, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |