Mets vs Yankees Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 18)

Updated: 2025-05-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets and New York Yankees will conclude their highly anticipated Subway Series on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET on ESPN. Both teams, leading their respective divisions, aim to secure the series victory in this nationally televised showdown.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 18, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (26-19)

Mets Record: (29-17)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: +142

NYY Moneyline: -169

NYM Spread: +1.5

NYY Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 23–21 against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 6 of their last 10 games.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees hold a 21–22 ATS record in 2025, with a 3–8 ATS mark in their last 11 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Mets’ last 7 games, while the Yankees have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games. In head-to-head matchups, the Yankees have a slight edge, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings.

NYM vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Volpe over 5 Fantasy Score.

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New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/18/25

The New York Mets and New York Yankees will close out the 2025 Subway Series on Sunday, May 18, at Yankee Stadium in what promises to be one of the most compelling matchups of the season. With both teams leading their respective divisions and splitting the first two games of the series, the rubber match not only carries massive implications for bragging rights in the Big Apple, but also offers a high-stakes clash between two legitimate championship contenders. The Mets enter the finale with a 28–16 record, driven by one of the best pitching staffs in the league and a lineup that features the powerful trio of Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, and Pete Alonso. Soto, who made headlines in the offseason by signing a record $765 million deal with the Mets, returns to Yankee Stadium for the first time since the move, adding an emotional charge to an already intense rivalry. While his bat was slow to heat up in April, Soto has surged in May and remains one of the most feared left-handed hitters in baseball. The Mets will send lefty David Peterson to the mound, whose 2025 campaign has been defined by strong command and a groundball-heavy profile—an essential skill set when facing the slugging Yankees. On the other side, the Yankees, 25–18 and leading the AL East, counter with ace Max Fried, who has been nothing short of spectacular with a league-leading 1.11 ERA and a perfect blend of command, deception, and mound presence that has shut down even the most elite lineups.

Fried has the poise to thrive under the bright lights of a nationally televised game and will be counted on to neutralize a Mets lineup that’s adept at working deep counts and creating traffic on the bases. Offensively, the Yankees continue to ride the bat of Aaron Judge, who is off to an MVP-caliber start, hitting .412 with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs. Judge’s performance this season has been superhuman, and if he comes up with another big game, it could tip the scales in the Yankees’ favor. He’s supported by the likes of Paul Goldschmidt and Trent Grisham, who have both stepped up in clutch spots and deepened the offensive threat. Defensively, both teams rank among the league’s best, with the Yankees’ infield defense and Mets’ outfield positioning providing consistent support to their pitching staffs. The bullpens have also been outstanding, with the Mets featuring former Yankee Clay Holmes in a setup role and Edwin Díaz closing games with his usual dominance, while the Yankees counter with Jonathan Loáisiga and Tommy Kahnle to handle the late innings. This game will likely come down to which ace can blink first—Fried or Peterson—and whether Soto or Judge can deliver a game-changing hit. With national attention, elite talent on both sides, and a packed Yankee Stadium as the backdrop, Sunday night’s finale will be a showcase of New York baseball at its highest level, and the winner will take much more than just one game—they’ll seize momentum, headlines, and the heart of the city.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets head into Sunday night’s Subway Series finale at Yankee Stadium with a 28–16 record and a chance to walk away with a signature win that would cap off their ascension into one of baseball’s most complete teams through the first two months of the 2025 season. After splitting the first two games of the series, the Mets arrive for the finale with their ace-level offense heating up and their pitching staff looking to reinforce their reputation against an equally loaded Yankees roster. Much of the spotlight has been on Juan Soto, whose return to the Bronx has reignited old tensions and fueled national interest after his blockbuster $765 million free-agent signing with the Mets during the offseason. Soto, despite a modest start to the year, has picked things up significantly in May, delivering disciplined at-bats, timely RBIs, and powerful swings that have helped transform the middle of the Mets’ order. He’s been complemented by Pete Alonso, who boasts a 1.004 OPS and continues to crush both fastballs and off-speed pitches, and Francisco Lindor, whose glove remains elite and whose bat is showing signs of heating up. On the mound, left-hander David Peterson gets the start and brings a steady presence with a command-first approach and an emphasis on inducing ground balls, a vital weapon against the Yankees’ powerful lineup.

Peterson may not overpower hitters, but his ability to mix speeds, limit walks, and avoid the barrel has kept him effective, particularly when working with the Mets’ improved infield defense. New York’s bullpen remains one of the best in the National League, anchored by closer Edwin Díaz and setup man Clay Holmes, a former Yankee who has quietly emerged as a high-leverage weapon against right-handed hitters. The bullpen’s effectiveness has allowed manager Carlos Mendoza to manage matchups aggressively and protect slim leads with confidence, which could prove critical in what figures to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Defensively, the Mets have shown marked improvement in 2025, with solid positioning, athletic outfield play, and consistent infield execution all contributing to their pitching staff’s overall success. If the Mets want to take the finale, the formula is clear: Peterson must limit the long ball, Soto and Alonso must cash in with runners on base, and the bullpen must hold steady in the final frames against a Yankees lineup that can strike quickly. With a win, the Mets would not only claim a series victory but also leave Yankee Stadium with a symbolic edge in the city’s eternal baseball rivalry—fueled by high-priced stars, elite arms, and a roster that believes it’s built to win now. For a franchise long in the Yankees’ shadow, this game offers a shot at pride, positioning, and proof that the balance of power in New York might just be shifting to Queens.

The New York Mets and New York Yankees will conclude their highly anticipated Subway Series on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET on ESPN. Both teams, leading their respective divisions, aim to secure the series victory in this nationally televised showdown. New York Mets vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees return to Yankee Stadium on Sunday night with a 25–18 record and a chance to secure a series victory over the rival Mets in the Subway Series finale, powered by the sensational start of Aaron Judge and the emergence of Max Fried as one of the most dominant pitchers in the game. Judge has been the undisputed leader of the Yankees in 2025, delivering jaw-dropping numbers across the board—batting .412 with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs—and his ability to change the game with one swing has made him the center of every opposing scouting report. With Judge anchoring the heart of the lineup, the Yankees have averaged nearly six runs per game and routinely find themselves in control when he makes early contact or draws walks to set the table for Paul Goldschmidt and Trent Grisham, both of whom have provided key RBI production and balance to the lineup. Manager Aaron Boone has leaned into the team’s aggressive but patient offensive identity, combining power with timely situational hitting, and this lineup’s depth has made it difficult for even the league’s best pitchers to navigate unscathed. On the mound, Max Fried will make his Subway Series debut carrying a league-best 1.11 ERA and a calm, cerebral presence that has defined every one of his starts this season.

Fried has been practically untouchable when ahead in counts, generating ground balls and weak flyouts with a fastball-curveball combination that neutralizes both right-handed and left-handed hitters. He will be tasked with containing a Mets lineup that thrives on pitch selection and features one of the most dangerous 2-3-4 combinations in baseball with Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, and Pete Alonso, but Fried’s pinpoint command and ability to sequence will be his biggest weapon under the Sunday night lights. Defensively, the Yankees remain steady and efficient, with solid infield chemistry and outfield range that has erased numerous run-scoring chances throughout the season, while the bullpen—anchored by Jonathan Loáisiga and Tommy Kahnle—has delivered consistent late-inning relief with minimal damage. Though their recent ATS record at home is underwhelming (3–8 in their last 11), the Yankees have typically risen to the moment in rivalry matchups, and the buzz at Yankee Stadium should elevate the club in a game filled with October-level tension. To secure the win, the Yankees will look for Fried to dominate early and Judge to strike first blood with one of his signature big-game moments. A win not only delivers the Subway Series to the Bronx, it also sends a message that the Yankees, despite offseason noise surrounding Soto’s departure and early inconsistency, remain the standard for New York baseball—formidable, focused, and fueled by the bright lights of rivalry baseball.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Mets and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Volpe over 5 Fantasy Score.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Mets and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly strong Yankees team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Mets vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets are 23–21 against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 6 of their last 10 games.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees hold a 21–22 ATS record in 2025, with a 3–8 ATS mark in their last 11 home games.

Mets vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Mets’ last 7 games, while the Yankees have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games. In head-to-head matchups, the Yankees have a slight edge, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Game Info

New York Mets vs New York Yankees starts on May 18, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets +142, New York Yankees -169
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Mets: (29-17)  |  New York Yankees: (26-19)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Volpe over 5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Mets’ last 7 games, while the Yankees have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games. In head-to-head matchups, the Yankees have a slight edge, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings.

NYM trend: The Mets are 23–21 against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 6 of their last 10 games.

NYY trend: The Yankees hold a 21–22 ATS record in 2025, with a 3–8 ATS mark in their last 11 home games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: +142
NYY Moneyline: -169
NYM Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. New York Yankees Yankees on May 18, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN