Braves vs. Red Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 18 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox will conclude their three-game interleague series on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at Fenway Park. Both teams, hovering around the .500 mark, aim to secure the series win and build momentum as they approach the season’s midpoint.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 18, 2025

Start Time: 1:35 PM EST​

Venue: Fenway Park​

Red Sox Record: (23-24)

Braves Record: (23-23)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: -133

BOS Moneyline: +113

ATL Spread: -1.5

BOS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves have covered the spread in 12 of their last 18 games, showcasing a strong performance against the spread.

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have a 5–5 record against the spread in their last 10 games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Braves’ last 9 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

ATL vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Narvaez over 3.5 Fantasy Score.

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Atlanta vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/18/25

The Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox close out their competitive three-game interleague set on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at Fenway Park in a rubber match that could prove pivotal for both teams as they jockey for momentum in the middle third of the season. Each team has claimed a game so far in the series, with Boston’s explosive offense putting pressure on Atlanta’s pitchers in one game, and the Braves’ balanced attack and reliable pitching staff responding in the other. The Red Sox enter this finale with a 22–23 record, looking to climb back to .500 and shake off a 4–6 stretch in their last 10 games. They’ve relied on a high-powered offense that has scored 221 runs this season—more than most AL clubs—powered by key bats like Rafael Devers, Wilyer Abreu, and Alex Bregman. However, their defense and bullpen have been major liabilities, often allowing close games to slip away. On the mound for Boston will be Brayan Bello, who carries a 2.33 ERA into the start, a surface stat that looks great but masks some underlying warning signs. Bello has been allowing elevated contact, and his xERA and WHIP suggest regression is coming if he doesn’t tighten up command, especially against a Braves lineup that thrives when it works deep into counts and drives the ball to all fields.

Atlanta, also sitting even at 22–22, has shaken off a sluggish start to the season and enters this game on the back of winning 9 of its last 12 games. Their offense hasn’t been as electric as Boston’s, tallying 175 runs so far, but they’ve been incredibly efficient, and their run differential remains competitive due to a pitching staff that has only allowed 171 runs. Rookie right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach takes the mound for Atlanta, and he’s been one of the team’s most intriguing arms, posting a 3.31 ERA through his first several starts. Schwellenbach has demonstrated excellent poise for a young pitcher, consistently keeping hitters off balance with a sharp slider and well-located fastball. While he doesn’t overpower hitters, his ability to induce soft contact and avoid big innings has been a key to Atlanta’s recent success. Defensively, the Braves have played clean and sharp baseball, limiting errors and supporting their pitchers with smart positioning and range in the infield. Their bullpen has also stabilized after a rocky start, with closer Raisel Iglesias and setup man A.J. Minter combining to shut the door in late innings. Sunday’s game will likely be decided by execution—whether Boston can continue to mash and give Bello run support before their bullpen gets exposed, or if Atlanta’s pitching depth and opportunistic offense can control the tempo. With both teams eyeing momentum and separation in competitive divisions, this finale could carry far more weight than just one win. Expect a tight, strategic game at Fenway with both managers eager to manage aggressively, knowing a series win could provide the springboard both clubs are hunting for.

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves come into Sunday’s series finale at Fenway Park sitting at 22–22, having clawed back to .500 after a rough start to the season that included an 0–7 stretch out of the gate. Under manager Brian Snitker, the Braves have steadily righted the ship, winning 9 of their last 12 games with a more consistent blend of quality starting pitching, timely hitting, and sound defense. Their offense has tallied 175 runs on the year, which places them in the middle of the league, but they’ve become increasingly efficient in run production by capitalizing on high-leverage moments and avoiding extended scoring droughts. Veterans like Matt Olson and Ronald Acuña Jr. continue to drive the Braves’ offense—Olson with his home run power and Acuña with his all-around game, including speed, on-base skills, and game-changing energy at the top of the order. Marcell Ozuna has also been a reliable source of power in the middle of the lineup, and the team is starting to see more productive at-bats from the supporting cast, including Michael Harris II and Orlando Arcia. On the mound for Atlanta is rookie right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach, who has impressed early in his major league tenure with a 3.31 ERA. Schwellenbach doesn’t blow hitters away but has showcased mature pitch sequencing and an ability to induce weak contact by living on the edges of the zone with a mix of sinkers, sliders, and changeups.

His poise and command have given Atlanta a solid boost at the back end of the rotation, and if he can keep Boston’s dangerous left-handed bats quiet, particularly Rafael Devers and Wilyer Abreu, he could turn in another efficient outing. The Braves’ bullpen has emerged as a strength in recent weeks, with closer Raisel Iglesias locking down tight games and A.J. Minter and Pierce Johnson providing reliable support in setup roles. Defensively, the Braves have played crisp, efficient baseball, consistently ranking near the top in fielding percentage and double plays turned, giving their pitchers added confidence to pitch to contact when needed. Sunday’s game presents an opportunity for the Braves not only to win a hard-fought road series against a potent offensive team but also to push above the .500 mark for the first time in nearly a month. To do so, they’ll need continued strong starting pitching from Schwellenbach, disciplined at-bats against Boston’s talented but hittable starter Brayan Bello, and late-inning execution from both the bullpen and defense. In a season where every road win counts in a tight NL East race, the Braves will treat this finale as a chance to prove that their early struggles are officially behind them and that they’re once again ready to contend.

The Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox will conclude their three-game interleague series on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at Fenway Park. Both teams, hovering around the .500 mark, aim to secure the series win and build momentum as they approach the season’s midpoint. Atlanta vs Boston AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox return to Fenway Park on Sunday afternoon looking to close out their three-game series against the Atlanta Braves with a win that would bring them back to .500 at 23–23. After splitting the first two games of the series, Boston enters the finale needing a bounce-back performance to steady their trajectory in a hotly contested AL East. Despite a talented lineup that has produced 221 runs this season—among the most in the American League—the Red Sox have struggled with consistency, going 4–6 over their last 10 games due to defensive miscues, bullpen collapses, and missed opportunities with runners in scoring position. Offensively, the club is led by Rafael Devers, who continues to provide elite left-handed power in the heart of the order, and Alex Bregman, whose veteran presence and knack for key hits has stabilized the lineup. Wilyer Abreu has also added value with his contact skills and defensive range, helping the team maintain offensive pressure through the middle of the order. However, the team’s performance has frequently been undermined by sloppy fielding and a bullpen that has not delivered in high-leverage moments, surrendering late leads and giving up extra-base hits at an alarming clip. On the mound for Boston will be right-hander Brayan Bello, who enters the game with a sparkling 2.33 ERA, the lowest among the team’s qualified starters.

Bello has shown elite stuff at times, featuring a mid-90s fastball and a wipeout slider, but advanced metrics suggest some potential regression, as his WHIP and expected ERA indicate he’s been dancing around trouble thanks to good defensive positioning and timely double plays. If Bello can keep Atlanta’s power hitters like Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna in check and avoid deep counts, he’ll have a solid shot to get through six innings while giving his team a chance to win. The Red Sox defense will need to tighten up behind him, especially against a Braves team that thrives on putting balls in play and exploiting errors. Manager Alex Cora will likely keep a close eye on bullpen matchups late in the game, as the relief corps has been unpredictable, with no single reliever consistently locking down the closer role. For Boston, the key to securing the win will be early offense to back Bello, limiting defensive lapses, and executing in situational hitting—an area they’ve struggled with lately despite their strong overall run total. With the chance to take a series over a Braves team that’s found its rhythm, Sunday’s game represents a significant test of Boston’s resilience and readiness to contend as they continue to navigate the challenging early-season schedule. A win would help build momentum and give the club a platform to reestablish themselves as a serious threat in the division.

Atlanta vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Braves and Red Sox play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Fenway Park in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Narvaez over 3.5 Fantasy Score.

Atlanta vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Braves and Red Sox and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors regularly put on Boston’s strength factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly improved Red Sox team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Boston picks, computer picks Braves vs Red Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have covered the spread in 12 of their last 18 games, showcasing a strong performance against the spread.

Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have a 5–5 record against the spread in their last 10 games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the spread.

Braves vs. Red Sox Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Braves’ last 9 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

Atlanta vs. Boston Game Info

Atlanta vs Boston starts on May 18, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.

Spread: Boston +1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -133, Boston +113
Over/Under: 9

Atlanta: (23-23)  |  Boston: (23-24)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Narvaez over 3.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Braves’ last 9 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

ATL trend: The Braves have covered the spread in 12 of their last 18 games, showcasing a strong performance against the spread.

BOS trend: The Red Sox have a 5–5 record against the spread in their last 10 games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the spread.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Atlanta vs. Boston Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Atlanta vs Boston Opening Odds

ATL Moneyline: -133
BOS Moneyline: +113
ATL Spread: -1.5
BOS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

Atlanta vs Boston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox on May 18, 2025 at Fenway Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN