Rays vs Marlins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 17)

Updated: 2025-05-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins clash at loanDepot Park on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at 4:10 PM ET, in the second game of their interleague series. Both teams aim to rebound from challenging starts to the season, with the Rays holding a 20-24 record and the Marlins at 17-26.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 17, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (17-26)

Rays Record: (20-24)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: -149

MIA Moneyline: +125

TB Spread: -1.5

MIA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have a 7-5 record on the road this season, indicating a stronger performance away from home.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have an 11-12 record at home, reflecting struggles to capitalize on home-field advantage.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Rays have demonstrated resilience on the road, while the Marlins’ home performance has been inconsistent. This matchup presents an opportunity for both teams to shift their momentum.

TB vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Rortvedt under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Tampa Bay vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/17/25

The interleague matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at loanDepot Park features two Florida clubs searching for consistency and momentum as they navigate the early stages of the season. The Rays enter the game at 20-24, sitting below .500 but showing a surprising spark on the road with a 7-5 record that suggests they’re capable of playing above their overall record in away settings. Tampa Bay’s offense has been fueled by the breakout of Junior Caminero, who leads the team with 8 home runs and 20 RBIs, and by the steady bat of Yandy Díaz, whose 35 hits have provided much-needed contact in a lineup that mixes power potential with streaky results. Drew Rasmussen will start for the Rays, entering with a 1-4 record but a respectable 3.38 ERA, showing signs of reliability despite a lack of run support in several outings. Rasmussen’s ability to navigate the Marlins’ top of the order will be critical, especially in keeping Kyle Stowers in check, as the slugger has emerged as Miami’s most dangerous offensive threat with 10 home runs and a .299 average. The Marlins, currently 17-26, have continued to flounder following their promising 2023 campaign, and a big reason for their struggles has been the sharp regression of former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara, who takes the mound on Saturday with a shocking 2-5 record and an inflated 8.10 ERA.

Alcantara has struggled with command and hard contact, and the Marlins’ defense behind him has not done much to help, often extending innings and increasing pressure on the bullpen. Despite their 11-12 home record, the Marlins have been unable to leverage home-field advantage effectively and have dropped several close games due to bullpen inconsistency and a lack of timely hitting. This game provides an opportunity for both teams to stabilize: the Rays can use a win to climb back toward .500 and build off their road success, while the Marlins desperately need a strong outing from Alcantara and a bounce-back win to avoid further slipping down the NL East standings. The game could hinge on early momentum—if the Rays jump on Alcantara early and let Rasmussen settle in, they’ll be in prime position to control the pace—but if Miami’s offense can ignite and give their ace some breathing room, the Marlins could flip the narrative. With both teams underachieving thus far but featuring notable individual talent, this matchup presents a chance for one side to find a turning point. The Battle of Florida may not have postseason implications just yet, but the urgency and opportunity on both sides will bring energy and tension to this mid-May clash.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter Saturday’s interleague showdown against the Miami Marlins with a 20-24 record and a quiet sense of optimism fueled by their 7-5 success rate on the road this season, a notable bright spot in what has otherwise been an inconsistent start to their 2025 campaign. Under manager Kevin Cash, the Rays continue to embrace their identity as a flexible, matchup-driven team that relies on timely hitting, smart defensive alignments, and pitching depth to stay competitive, even when the offense goes cold. The offensive engine for Tampa Bay in 2025 has been Junior Caminero, who has emerged as a legitimate power threat in the heart of the order, leading the team with 8 home runs and 20 RBIs while showing impressive poise at the plate. Alongside him, Yandy Díaz remains one of the most consistent contact hitters in the American League, with 35 hits and a knack for working counts and delivering in clutch moments. The rest of the lineup has had its ups and downs, with players like Randy Arozarena and Isaac Paredes showing flashes but still seeking rhythm, and the team as a whole ranks in the middle of the league in most offensive metrics. On the mound, Drew Rasmussen will get the ball, carrying a deceptive 1-4 record that doesn’t reflect the quality of his outings, as evidenced by a solid 3.38 ERA and excellent command.

Rasmussen’s mix of fastball velocity and a tight slider gives him the tools to suppress hard contact, and against a Marlins lineup that has been overly reliant on Kyle Stowers for run production, his ability to generate ground balls and avoid long innings could be a key factor. Defensively, the Rays continue to execute at a high level, with slick fielding from Wander Franco and strong outfield coverage contributing to their run prevention strategy. The bullpen, as always with Tampa Bay, has been a point of strength and reliability, with multiple arms capable of handling high-leverage innings and shortening games when given a lead. Despite a sub-.500 record, the Rays are far from out of contention in a competitive AL East and view games like this—against struggling teams outside the division—as must-win opportunities to keep pace and gain confidence. Facing a Miami squad that has underperformed and is sending an out-of-form Sandy Alcantara to the mound presents a clear opening for the Rays to assert control early, especially if their patient bats can work deep counts and force mistakes. With a history of bouncing back from slow starts and a roster built for adaptability, the Rays will look to Saturday’s matchup as a potential turning point in their season. If Rasmussen can command the zone and the offense continues to be led by the reliable duo of Caminero and Díaz, Tampa Bay could very well leave Miami with a win that helps reignite their push back into the playoff conversation.

The Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins clash at loanDepot Park on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at 4:10 PM ET, in the second game of their interleague series. Both teams aim to rebound from challenging starts to the season, with the Rays holding a 20-24 record and the Marlins at 17-26. Tampa Bay vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins return to loanDepot Park for Saturday’s game against the Tampa Bay Rays carrying a 17-26 record and a growing sense of urgency as the 2025 season continues to slip away. With an 11-12 home record, the Marlins have been unable to establish any real consistency in front of their own fans, and their latest stretch has only reinforced the struggles that have defined their early season. A major storyline has been the ongoing decline of ace Sandy Alcantara, who will take the mound Saturday with a troubling 2-5 record and an alarming 8.10 ERA, a far cry from his Cy Young form just two seasons ago. Alcantara has struggled with command and has been susceptible to hard contact, often falling behind in counts and surrendering multi-run innings that have put the Marlins in early deficits. The bullpen, meanwhile, has been erratic, contributing to a number of blown leads and late-game collapses, adding further pressure to a rotation that hasn’t been able to eat innings consistently. Offensively, the team has leaned heavily on Kyle Stowers, who has been one of the few bright spots in the lineup, slashing .299 with 10 home runs and driving in key runs when given the opportunity.

However, the rest of the batting order has been inconsistent, with several hitters underperforming relative to expectations and too many scoring chances squandered with runners in scoring position. The Marlins rank near the bottom of the National League in most key offensive categories, which has made it difficult to play from behind—something they’ve been forced to do far too often. Defensively, the club has committed errors at critical moments, further compounding their issues and putting additional stress on an already overworked pitching staff. First-year manager Clayton McCullough is facing a steep challenge in keeping the clubhouse focused and motivated, knowing that a lack of execution rather than effort has been the root cause of many defeats. Facing a Rays team that plays clean, strategic baseball means the Marlins must minimize mistakes and give Alcantara early run support if they hope to pull out a win. If Stowers can stay hot and one or two other bats like Jazz Chisholm Jr. or Bryan De La Cruz can step up, the Marlins might have the offensive push they need to back their ace and challenge the Rays’ bullpen late. Saturday’s game represents a critical test—not just to snap out of a funk, but to show signs of life and fight in a season that is rapidly approaching a point of no return. A win would not only halt their downward slide but also provide a confidence boost for a young roster still trying to define its identity. The Marlins know that if there’s ever a time to turn the tide, doing it at home against an in-state rival could be the spark they’ve desperately needed.

Tampa Bay vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Rays and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Rortvedt under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Tampa Bay vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Rays and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly improved Marlins team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Miami picks, computer picks Rays vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have a 7-5 record on the road this season, indicating a stronger performance away from home.

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have an 11-12 record at home, reflecting struggles to capitalize on home-field advantage.

Rays vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

The Rays have demonstrated resilience on the road, while the Marlins’ home performance has been inconsistent. This matchup presents an opportunity for both teams to shift their momentum.

Tampa Bay vs. Miami Game Info

Tampa Bay vs Miami starts on May 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -149, Miami +125
Over/Under: 8

Tampa Bay: (20-24)  |  Miami: (17-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Rortvedt under 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Rays have demonstrated resilience on the road, while the Marlins’ home performance has been inconsistent. This matchup presents an opportunity for both teams to shift their momentum.

TB trend: The Rays have a 7-5 record on the road this season, indicating a stronger performance away from home.

MIA trend: The Marlins have an 11-12 record at home, reflecting struggles to capitalize on home-field advantage.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Tampa Bay vs Miami Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: -149
MIA Moneyline: +125
TB Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Tampa Bay vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins on May 17, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN