Mets vs. Yankees
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 17 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Mets and New York Yankees resume their Subway Series rivalry on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at Yankee Stadium with a 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch. The Yankees are slight home favorites, but both teams enter the game leading their respective divisions and boasting elite-level talent on both sides of the ball.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 17, 2025
Start Time: 1:05 PM EST​
Venue: Yankee Stadium​
Yankees Record: (26-18)
Mets Record: (28-17)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: +111
NYY Moneyline: -131
NYM Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have excelled against the spread this season with a 15-4 ATS record, one of the best marks in the majors.
NYY
Betting Trends
- The Yankees hold a 23-21 ATS record on the season, demonstrating solid, if slightly less consistent, betting value.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Mets have covered the run line in 16 of their last 27 games and posted a 27% ROI on those bets, while the Yankees have hit the first five innings run line in six of their last eight games away from Yankee Stadium, reflecting fast starts despite some late-game volatility.
NYM vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Bellinger over 0.5 Total Bases.
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New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/17/25
Aaron Judge is in MVP form once again, sporting a .412 average, 15 homers, and a blistering OPS that regularly puts the Yankees on the scoreboard early. Clarke Schmidt gets the nod for New York, and while he’s shown flashes of strikeout ability, his 4.80 ERA is inflated by home run issues, which will be an area of concern against a Mets lineup that can do damage with one swing. Injuries to Gerrit Cole and Giancarlo Stanton have tested New York’s depth, but players like Trent Grisham, Gleyber Torres, and DJ LeMahieu have stepped up with timely contributions to balance the lineup. The Yankees’ bullpen is solid but vulnerable in spots, making it essential that Schmidt works deep into the game to preserve late-inning matchups. Both teams have compelling narratives: the Mets, with their elite arms and underdog-turned-dominant status, and the Yankees, with their explosive offense and sustained success in the face of adversity. Saturday’s showdown could hinge on whether Schmidt can navigate the top third of the Mets’ order without damage and whether the Yankees’ bats can crack the Mets’ near-unbreakable pitching corps. With both teams playing crisp, playoff-caliber baseball and looking to make a statement in one of MLB’s most iconic rivalries, this contest promises drama, strategy, and star power in equal measure.
Lindor brings home Alvarez. #LGM pic.twitter.com/f37HqB9bI7
— New York Mets (@Mets) May 17, 2025
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets come into Saturday’s game at Yankee Stadium as a formidable force in the National League, boasting a 28-16 record that places them comfortably atop the NL East and among the top-tier contenders in all of baseball. Their success so far in 2025 has been built on the foundation of elite pitching, a disciplined approach at the plate, and a steadily improving lineup that features three of the league’s most dynamic hitters. On the mound for the Mets will be Griffin Canning, who has revitalized his career with a sharp increase in ground ball rates and an improved slider that has proven effective against both righties and lefties. Canning’s ability to generate weak contact will be critical in this contest given Yankee Stadium’s tendency to reward fly balls with short-porch home runs, especially to right field. New York’s pitching staff currently leads MLB with a 2.74 ERA, a testament not only to the rotation but also to the bullpen, where closer Edwin DĂaz has regained top form and A.J. Minter has emerged as a key setup man. Their staff has been particularly adept at avoiding big innings, and they’ve consistently limited walks and home runs—two critical factors in handling an offense as powerful as the Yankees. Offensively, the Mets are led by the trio of Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Juan Soto, all of whom are performing at elite levels. Alonso leads the team with 15 home runs and has been especially dangerous in high-leverage situations, while Lindor is delivering both offensively and defensively, with a 146 wRC+ and Gold Glove-caliber play at shortstop.
Soto, while not hitting for average, has maintained a high OBP and slugging percentage, driving the team’s ability to wear down opposing pitchers. The Mets’ depth also shines through with contributions from Jeff McNeil and Brett Baty, who offer lineup versatility and defensive flexibility. Despite a relatively modest team batting average of .219, New York consistently delivers in clutch moments and has built a reputation for coming through in tight games, which is reflected in their impressive 15-4 ATS record. Manager Carlos Mendoza has emphasized aggressive but smart baserunning, solid defensive positioning, and a bullpen management style that maximizes matchups in high-leverage innings. As they enter Yankee Stadium for this crosstown clash, the Mets will look to continue their trend of silencing powerful lineups through precise pitching and capitalizing on key scoring chances. A win on Saturday would not only secure a series edge against their Bronx rivals but also serve as another statement of their legitimacy as World Series contenders in 2025. With the pressure mounting on both sides and the eyes of the city fixed on this historic rivalry, expect the Mets to stay true to the formula that has powered them all season: elite pitching, timely hitting, and a relentless, composed approach to every inning.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview
The New York Yankees enter Saturday’s game against the Mets as a dangerous and battle-tested team leading the AL East with a 25-18 record, navigating a season filled with both exceptional offensive production and key injuries that have tested their depth and resolve. At the center of their success is Aaron Judge, who has delivered one of the most dominant starts in baseball with a .412 batting average, 15 home runs, and a league-leading OPS that anchors one of MLB’s highest-scoring offenses at 5.81 runs per game. Judge’s production has come at a critical time, especially with Giancarlo Stanton sidelined and ace Gerrit Cole still recovering from injury, shifting more responsibility to younger and secondary contributors. Clarke Schmidt will take the mound for the Yankees, aiming to rebound from inconsistency and a 4.80 ERA that has been marred by issues with the long ball; his ability to navigate the Mets’ powerful top of the order without letting the game get out of hand early will be pivotal. Despite those challenges, New York has found a way to keep pace at the top of their division, thanks to the emergence of key role players like Trent Grisham—who brings elite defense and surprising pop—and Gleyber Torres, whose bat has started to heat up in recent weeks. The Yankees’ approach at the plate has been patient and opportunistic, with the lineup capable of turning any inning into a rally thanks to a combination of speed, power, and discipline.
Defensively, the Yankees remain solid, with Anthony Volpe showing marked improvement at shortstop and DJ LeMahieu providing infield versatility and leadership. The bullpen, while still a strength anchored by Clay Holmes and Michael King, has shown signs of fatigue in recent outings, making it even more crucial for Schmidt to work deep into the game and limit high-stress innings. One of the Yankees’ key betting trends has been their strong performance in the first five innings, where they’ve frequently jumped out to early leads—an encouraging sign given their tendency to occasionally falter late. Saturday’s matchup will test the Yankees’ ability to hit elite pitching, as the Mets bring MLB’s best ERA and one of the stingiest bullpens in baseball, meaning the Bronx Bombers will need to make the most of any mistakes or early scoring opportunities. The home crowd at Yankee Stadium should provide an extra jolt of energy for a team that thrives in high-profile games, especially in a rivalry as intense as the Subway Series. Manager Aaron Boone will look to keep his club poised and aggressive, relying on the veterans to set the tone and the young talent to follow suit. With the season entering a crucial stretch and division rivals close behind, the Yankees know that every game carries playoff weight, and a win against their crosstown rivals would reinforce their status as a team capable of contending despite the adversity. Expect a focused and determined effort from a Yankees team that feeds off pressure, spotlight, and the electric energy of the Bronx.
Goodnight from 161st đź‘‹#RepBX pic.twitter.com/V2KeohtUIN
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 17, 2025
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Mets and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors often put on New York Mets’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly healthy Yankees team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York Mets vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Mets vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have excelled against the spread this season with a 15-4 ATS record, one of the best marks in the majors.
Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees hold a 23-21 ATS record on the season, demonstrating solid, if slightly less consistent, betting value.
Mets vs. Yankees Matchup Trends
The Mets have covered the run line in 16 of their last 27 games and posted a 27% ROI on those bets, while the Yankees have hit the first five innings run line in six of their last eight games away from Yankee Stadium, reflecting fast starts despite some late-game volatility.
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Game Info
What time does New York Mets vs New York Yankees start on May 17, 2025?
New York Mets vs New York Yankees starts on May 17, 2025 at 1:05 PM EST.
Where is New York Mets vs New York Yankees being played?
Venue: Yankee Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New York Mets vs New York Yankees?
Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets +111, New York Yankees -131
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for New York Mets vs New York Yankees?
New York Mets: (28-17) Â |Â New York Yankees: (26-18)
What is the AI best bet for New York Mets vs New York Yankees?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Bellinger over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York Mets vs New York Yankees trending bets?
The Mets have covered the run line in 16 of their last 27 games and posted a 27% ROI on those bets, while the Yankees have hit the first five innings run line in six of their last eight games away from Yankee Stadium, reflecting fast starts despite some late-game volatility.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have excelled against the spread this season with a 15-4 ATS record, one of the best marks in the majors.
What are New York Yankees trending bets?
NYY trend: The Yankees hold a 23-21 ATS record on the season, demonstrating solid, if slightly less consistent, betting value.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York Mets vs New York Yankees?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York Mets vs New York Yankees Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
+111 NYY Moneyline: -131
NYM Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
New York Mets vs New York Yankees Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+196
-240
|
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-178
|
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+135
-160
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+196
-240
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
|
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+175
-210
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+150
-178
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+122
-145
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+118
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-140
+118
|
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
|
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
|
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. New York Yankees Yankees on May 17, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |