Mets vs. Yankees
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 17 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets and New York Yankees resume their Subway Series rivalry on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at Yankee Stadium with a 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch. The Yankees are slight home favorites, but both teams enter the game leading their respective divisions and boasting elite-level talent on both sides of the ball.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 17, 2025

Start Time: 1:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (26-18)

Mets Record: (28-17)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: +111

NYY Moneyline: -131

NYM Spread: +1.5

NYY Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have excelled against the spread this season with a 15-4 ATS record, one of the best marks in the majors.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees hold a 23-21 ATS record on the season, demonstrating solid, if slightly less consistent, betting value.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mets have covered the run line in 16 of their last 27 games and posted a 27% ROI on those bets, while the Yankees have hit the first five innings run line in six of their last eight games away from Yankee Stadium, reflecting fast starts despite some late-game volatility.

NYM vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Bellinger over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/17/25

The second game of the 2025 Subway Series between the New York Mets and New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium sets the stage for a high-stakes clash between two division leaders with vastly different team identities but equally high expectations. The Mets arrive with a 28-16 record, perched atop the NL East behind the best pitching staff in the majors, anchored by a collective ERA of 2.74 and a bullpen that has emerged as a genuine strength thanks to the dominance of closer Edwin Díaz and key setup man A.J. Minter. Griffin Canning, who gets the start on Saturday, has reinvented his career by leaning into a sinker-slider combination that has been highly effective at inducing ground balls and limiting hard contact, a critical skill in a homer-friendly venue like Yankee Stadium. Offensively, the Mets lean on a potent trio of Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, and Pete Alonso, who are all producing at elite levels—Soto with his consistent OBP and plate discipline, Lindor with renewed MVP-level defense and offensive production, and Alonso with raw power that has already netted 15 homers and a 182 wRC+. The Mets’ success in tight games and against the spread—15-4 ATS—is evidence of their ability to consistently outperform expectations, particularly when their pitching can suppress opponent scoring. On the other side, the Yankees come in at 25-18 and sit atop the AL East, thanks largely to an offense that ranks second in MLB in runs per game, averaging nearly six per contest.

Aaron Judge is in MVP form once again, sporting a .412 average, 15 homers, and a blistering OPS that regularly puts the Yankees on the scoreboard early. Clarke Schmidt gets the nod for New York, and while he’s shown flashes of strikeout ability, his 4.80 ERA is inflated by home run issues, which will be an area of concern against a Mets lineup that can do damage with one swing. Injuries to Gerrit Cole and Giancarlo Stanton have tested New York’s depth, but players like Trent Grisham, Gleyber Torres, and DJ LeMahieu have stepped up with timely contributions to balance the lineup. The Yankees’ bullpen is solid but vulnerable in spots, making it essential that Schmidt works deep into the game to preserve late-inning matchups. Both teams have compelling narratives: the Mets, with their elite arms and underdog-turned-dominant status, and the Yankees, with their explosive offense and sustained success in the face of adversity. Saturday’s showdown could hinge on whether Schmidt can navigate the top third of the Mets’ order without damage and whether the Yankees’ bats can crack the Mets’ near-unbreakable pitching corps. With both teams playing crisp, playoff-caliber baseball and looking to make a statement in one of MLB’s most iconic rivalries, this contest promises drama, strategy, and star power in equal measure.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets come into Saturday’s game at Yankee Stadium as a formidable force in the National League, boasting a 28-16 record that places them comfortably atop the NL East and among the top-tier contenders in all of baseball. Their success so far in 2025 has been built on the foundation of elite pitching, a disciplined approach at the plate, and a steadily improving lineup that features three of the league’s most dynamic hitters. On the mound for the Mets will be Griffin Canning, who has revitalized his career with a sharp increase in ground ball rates and an improved slider that has proven effective against both righties and lefties. Canning’s ability to generate weak contact will be critical in this contest given Yankee Stadium’s tendency to reward fly balls with short-porch home runs, especially to right field. New York’s pitching staff currently leads MLB with a 2.74 ERA, a testament not only to the rotation but also to the bullpen, where closer Edwin Díaz has regained top form and A.J. Minter has emerged as a key setup man. Their staff has been particularly adept at avoiding big innings, and they’ve consistently limited walks and home runs—two critical factors in handling an offense as powerful as the Yankees. Offensively, the Mets are led by the trio of Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Juan Soto, all of whom are performing at elite levels. Alonso leads the team with 15 home runs and has been especially dangerous in high-leverage situations, while Lindor is delivering both offensively and defensively, with a 146 wRC+ and Gold Glove-caliber play at shortstop.

Soto, while not hitting for average, has maintained a high OBP and slugging percentage, driving the team’s ability to wear down opposing pitchers. The Mets’ depth also shines through with contributions from Jeff McNeil and Brett Baty, who offer lineup versatility and defensive flexibility. Despite a relatively modest team batting average of .219, New York consistently delivers in clutch moments and has built a reputation for coming through in tight games, which is reflected in their impressive 15-4 ATS record. Manager Carlos Mendoza has emphasized aggressive but smart baserunning, solid defensive positioning, and a bullpen management style that maximizes matchups in high-leverage innings. As they enter Yankee Stadium for this crosstown clash, the Mets will look to continue their trend of silencing powerful lineups through precise pitching and capitalizing on key scoring chances. A win on Saturday would not only secure a series edge against their Bronx rivals but also serve as another statement of their legitimacy as World Series contenders in 2025. With the pressure mounting on both sides and the eyes of the city fixed on this historic rivalry, expect the Mets to stay true to the formula that has powered them all season: elite pitching, timely hitting, and a relentless, composed approach to every inning.

The New York Mets and New York Yankees resume their Subway Series rivalry on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at Yankee Stadium with a 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch. The Yankees are slight home favorites, but both teams enter the game leading their respective divisions and boasting elite-level talent on both sides of the ball. New York Mets vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter Saturday’s game against the Mets as a dangerous and battle-tested team leading the AL East with a 25-18 record, navigating a season filled with both exceptional offensive production and key injuries that have tested their depth and resolve. At the center of their success is Aaron Judge, who has delivered one of the most dominant starts in baseball with a .412 batting average, 15 home runs, and a league-leading OPS that anchors one of MLB’s highest-scoring offenses at 5.81 runs per game. Judge’s production has come at a critical time, especially with Giancarlo Stanton sidelined and ace Gerrit Cole still recovering from injury, shifting more responsibility to younger and secondary contributors. Clarke Schmidt will take the mound for the Yankees, aiming to rebound from inconsistency and a 4.80 ERA that has been marred by issues with the long ball; his ability to navigate the Mets’ powerful top of the order without letting the game get out of hand early will be pivotal. Despite those challenges, New York has found a way to keep pace at the top of their division, thanks to the emergence of key role players like Trent Grisham—who brings elite defense and surprising pop—and Gleyber Torres, whose bat has started to heat up in recent weeks. The Yankees’ approach at the plate has been patient and opportunistic, with the lineup capable of turning any inning into a rally thanks to a combination of speed, power, and discipline.

Defensively, the Yankees remain solid, with Anthony Volpe showing marked improvement at shortstop and DJ LeMahieu providing infield versatility and leadership. The bullpen, while still a strength anchored by Clay Holmes and Michael King, has shown signs of fatigue in recent outings, making it even more crucial for Schmidt to work deep into the game and limit high-stress innings. One of the Yankees’ key betting trends has been their strong performance in the first five innings, where they’ve frequently jumped out to early leads—an encouraging sign given their tendency to occasionally falter late. Saturday’s matchup will test the Yankees’ ability to hit elite pitching, as the Mets bring MLB’s best ERA and one of the stingiest bullpens in baseball, meaning the Bronx Bombers will need to make the most of any mistakes or early scoring opportunities. The home crowd at Yankee Stadium should provide an extra jolt of energy for a team that thrives in high-profile games, especially in a rivalry as intense as the Subway Series. Manager Aaron Boone will look to keep his club poised and aggressive, relying on the veterans to set the tone and the young talent to follow suit. With the season entering a crucial stretch and division rivals close behind, the Yankees know that every game carries playoff weight, and a win against their crosstown rivals would reinforce their status as a team capable of contending despite the adversity. Expect a focused and determined effort from a Yankees team that feeds off pressure, spotlight, and the electric energy of the Bronx.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Mets and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Bellinger over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Mets and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors often put on New York Mets’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly healthy Yankees team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Mets vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have excelled against the spread this season with a 15-4 ATS record, one of the best marks in the majors.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees hold a 23-21 ATS record on the season, demonstrating solid, if slightly less consistent, betting value.

Mets vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

The Mets have covered the run line in 16 of their last 27 games and posted a 27% ROI on those bets, while the Yankees have hit the first five innings run line in six of their last eight games away from Yankee Stadium, reflecting fast starts despite some late-game volatility.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Game Info

New York Mets vs New York Yankees starts on May 17, 2025 at 1:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets +111, New York Yankees -131
Over/Under: 9.5

New York Mets: (28-17)  |  New York Yankees: (26-18)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Bellinger over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mets have covered the run line in 16 of their last 27 games and posted a 27% ROI on those bets, while the Yankees have hit the first five innings run line in six of their last eight games away from Yankee Stadium, reflecting fast starts despite some late-game volatility.

NYM trend: The Mets have excelled against the spread this season with a 15-4 ATS record, one of the best marks in the majors.

NYY trend: The Yankees hold a 23-21 ATS record on the season, demonstrating solid, if slightly less consistent, betting value.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: +111
NYY Moneyline: -131
NYM Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+196
-240
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+196
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. New York Yankees Yankees on May 17, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS