Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 14)

Updated: 2025-05-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 14, 2025, the St. Louis Cardinals and the Philadelphia Phillies will face off in a split doubleheader at Citizens Bank Park, with games scheduled for 1:05 PM and 6:15 PM EDT. The Cardinals, currently at 23–19, look to gain ground in the NL Central, while the Phillies, at 24–17, aim to maintain their lead in the NL East.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 14, 2025

Start Time: 1:05 PM EST​

Venue: Citizens Bank Park​

Phillies Record: (24-17)

Cardinals Record: (23-19)

OPENING ODDS

STL Moneyline: +156

PHI Moneyline: -188

STL Spread: +1.5

PHI Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

STL
Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have a 21–19 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including a 13–8 ATS record on the road.

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies hold a 20–19 ATS record this season, with a 10–9 ATS record at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games against St. Louis, and the Phillies are 6–1 SU in their last 7 home games against the Cardinals.

STL vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Bohm over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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St. Louis vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/14/25

The St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies are set to square off in a doubleheader on May 14, 2025, at Citizens Bank Park in what promises to be a critical day for both clubs as they navigate a competitive early-season landscape in their respective divisions. This matchup comes after a rainout earlier in the series, creating an opportunity for both teams to make a statement with two games that could impact the standings and provide early playoff positioning leverage. The Cardinals come in at 23–19 and have been playing efficient, balanced baseball with solid pitching performances and timely offense, while the Phillies hold a 24–17 record and have excelled at home, using their power-heavy lineup and deep rotation to stay near the top of the NL East. Game 1 will feature Erick Fedde on the mound for the Cardinals, who enters with a 3–3 record and 3.86 ERA, going up against Aaron Nola of the Phillies, whose 1–6 record and 4.89 ERA belie his potential for dominance when he’s locating effectively and working ahead in counts. Nola has struggled with command and early-inning efficiency, and this matchup may determine whether Philadelphia can set the tone or play from behind.

The second game shifts to a duel between St. Louis veteran Sonny Gray, who is 4–1 with a 3.50 ERA and remains one of the most composed starters in the National League, and Jesús Luzardo, who has been lights out for the Phillies with a 3–0 record and sparkling 2.11 ERA, showcasing premium velocity and movement from the left side. The Cardinals’ offense will look to Brendan Donovan and Nolan Arenado to carry the load, with Donovan hitting .312 and Arenado providing veteran stability in the middle of the order, while the Phillies counter with Kyle Schwarber, who leads the team and the majors with 14 home runs and 32 RBIs, anchoring a power-centric lineup that can explode in any inning. Both bullpens have performed admirably, and given the doubleheader format, managing arms will be crucial—whichever team can preserve bullpen efficiency and avoid overexposure in Game 1 will have a strategic edge entering the nightcap. Statistically, the Phillies have won six of their last seven home games against St. Louis and continue to dominate at Citizens Bank Park, while the total has gone under in eight of the last nine meetings between these two teams, suggesting tight, low-scoring contests that are often decided by late-inning execution and situational hitting. With both teams entering the day with winning records and playoff aspirations, the doubleheader represents a measuring stick moment for each club: the Cardinals hope to prove their road resilience with a possible sweep, while the Phillies aim to protect home turf and assert their power pitching against a scrappy, opportunistic St. Louis squad. As fans settle in for a full day of baseball, the series promises a compelling mix of veteran pitching, big bats, and playoff-caliber urgency from two teams already eyeing October.

St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals enter their May 14, 2025 doubleheader at Citizens Bank Park with a 23–19 record and the momentum of a team that has found its footing in the National League Central, built around a resilient pitching staff, a steady offense, and a defense that has consistently made the routine plays while occasionally flashing brilliance. The Cardinals are 13–8 against the spread on the road, reflecting their ability to stay competitive in tough environments, and they’ll look to carry that same poise into a challenging two-game set against a dangerous Phillies squad. In the first game, Erick Fedde will take the mound, bringing a 3–3 record and 3.86 ERA into the contest, and while he doesn’t overpower hitters, his pitch-to-contact approach and improved command have given the Cardinals consistent innings and a chance to win nearly every time he starts. Fedde will be tasked with navigating a Philadelphia lineup that features some of the league’s top power threats, but his success will hinge on keeping the ball down and working efficiently through the middle innings. In the second game, the Cardinals turn to Sonny Gray, the veteran right-hander who has been one of the team’s most valuable arms with a 4–1 record and 3.50 ERA, providing elite pitch sequencing and the experience to handle pressure situations, which will be especially critical in a doubleheader where bullpen depth can become a factor late.

On the offensive side, St. Louis leans on Brendan Donovan, who has been a catalyst at the top of the order with a .312 batting average, and Nolan Arenado, who continues to anchor the middle of the lineup with timely hits, steady defense, and leadership that helps set the tone in the clubhouse. The Cardinals don’t often rely on explosive innings but thrive in grind-it-out games where base-running, situational hitting, and clean fielding are rewarded—qualities that become even more important in doubleheaders where scoring chances are often at a premium. With a solid bullpen that has held leads and managed inherited runners effectively, St. Louis has the pieces to compete toe-to-toe with a powerful Phillies lineup, but the key will be getting five to six strong innings from both starters and not overextending the relievers. A sweep would be a huge statement on the road, but even a split would solidify their status as a legitimate contender in the National League. The Cardinals’ ability to play clean, fundamental baseball and their recent success in tight games give them a real shot to emerge from this doubleheader with more than just momentum—they’re aiming to inch closer to the top of the division and prove they can win against any opponent, home or away.

On May 14, 2025, the St. Louis Cardinals and the Philadelphia Phillies will face off in a split doubleheader at Citizens Bank Park, with games scheduled for 1:05 PM and 6:15 PM EDT. The Cardinals, currently at 23–19, look to gain ground in the NL Central, while the Phillies, at 24–17, aim to maintain their lead in the NL East. St. Louis vs Philadelphia AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies return to Citizens Bank Park on May 14, 2025, for a doubleheader against the visiting St. Louis Cardinals with a 24–17 record and a chance to strengthen their grip on the NL East in front of their home crowd, where they’ve gone 10–9 against the spread and have historically performed well against St. Louis. With two games on the docket following a rainout earlier in the series, the Phillies will need to maximize their pitching depth and maintain their offensive rhythm to keep pace in a tightly contested division. In Game 1, veteran right-hander Aaron Nola gets the ball and enters with a surprising 1–6 record and a 4.89 ERA, numbers that belie his true potential; though he’s been inconsistent to start the season, Nola has the ability to dominate when he’s commanding his curveball and getting ahead early in counts. He’ll be looking to rebound from recent outings and help set the tone for the day against a contact-heavy Cardinals lineup. The nightcap features rising star Jesús Luzardo, who’s off to a fantastic start with a 3–0 record and 2.11 ERA, using his mid-90s fastball and deceptive breaking stuff to keep hitters off balance and build trust as a top-of-the-rotation presence. On the offensive side, Kyle Schwarber leads the charge with 14 home runs and 32 RBIs, tied for the league lead in homers and giving the Phillies a serious power threat in the heart of the order. Alongside him, Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott have continued to provide consistency and contact, allowing Philadelphia to string together rallies and capitalize on extra-base opportunities.

Their ability to produce runs in spurts has allowed the Phillies to stay in games even when starting pitching has been shaky, and that will be key in a long day of baseball where depth will be tested and timely hitting could determine both outcomes. Defensively, the Phillies have improved from last season, with Bryson Stott and Trea Turner forming a reliable middle infield, and the outfield corps playing solid defense behind a pitching staff that relies on inducing fly balls. Manager Rob Thomson will need to be strategic with his bullpen management, especially if Nola cannot go deep in Game 1, though the relief corps—anchored by José Alvarado and Seranthony Domínguez—has done well in high-leverage spots. The Phillies are 6–1 in their last seven home games against the Cardinals and have also seen eight of the last nine games between the two teams go under the total, suggesting a trend of tightly contested, low-scoring battles that could define both games of this doubleheader. With a combination of power, solid starting pitching, and the advantage of playing at home, the Phillies are well positioned to take control of the series and keep their momentum rolling into the second half of May. If their offense continues to support the rotation and the bullpen holds serve, Philadelphia could walk away with a sweep—and a firm statement to the rest of the National League.

St. Louis vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Cardinals and Phillies play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citizens Bank Park in May can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Bohm over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

St. Louis vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Cardinals and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Cardinals team going up against a possibly improved Phillies team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI St. Louis vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Cardinals vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have a 21–19 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including a 13–8 ATS record on the road.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies hold a 20–19 ATS record this season, with a 10–9 ATS record at home.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games against St. Louis, and the Phillies are 6–1 SU in their last 7 home games against the Cardinals.

St. Louis vs. Philadelphia Game Info

St. Louis vs Philadelphia starts on May 14, 2025 at 1:05 PM EST.

Spread: Philadelphia -1.5
Moneyline: St. Louis +156, Philadelphia -188
Over/Under: 8.5

St. Louis: (23-19)  |  Philadelphia: (24-17)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Bohm over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games against St. Louis, and the Phillies are 6–1 SU in their last 7 home games against the Cardinals.

STL trend: The Cardinals have a 21–19 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including a 13–8 ATS record on the road.

PHI trend: The Phillies hold a 20–19 ATS record this season, with a 10–9 ATS record at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

St. Louis vs. Philadelphia Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the St. Louis vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

St. Louis vs Philadelphia Opening Odds

STL Moneyline: +156
PHI Moneyline: -188
STL Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

St. Louis vs Philadelphia Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+110
-130
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies on May 14, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN