Yankees vs Mariners Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 14)

Updated: 2025-05-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 14, 2025, the New York Yankees (24–18) and Seattle Mariners (23–18) will conclude their three-game series at T-Mobile Park. Both teams, leading their respective divisions, aim to secure the series win in this pivotal matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 14, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: T-Mobile Park​

Mariners Record: (23-18)

Yankees Record: (24-18)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -114

SEA Moneyline: -105

NYY Spread: -1.5

SEA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees are 3–8 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 road games, indicating challenges in covering spreads away from home.

SEA
Betting Trends

  • The Mariners have gone 6–4 ATS in their last 10 games, reflecting a solid performance in covering the spread recently.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 home games, suggesting a trend towards higher-scoring contests at T-Mobile Park.

NYY vs. SEA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Volpe over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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New York Yankees vs Seattle Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/14/25

The New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners meet in the decisive finale of their three-game series on May 14, 2025, at T-Mobile Park, in a matchup between two first-place teams aiming to make a mid-May statement in the American League. The Yankees enter at 24–18, sitting atop the AL East and fueled by the scorching bat of Aaron Judge, who leads MLB in fWAR and sports a near-.400/.500/.800 slash line, putting together an MVP-worthy campaign that has powered the offense through injuries and lineup reshuffles. Judge has been backed by the steady bats of Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger, who’ve provided run production and protection, while rookie Ben Rice and Trent Grisham have stepped up in supporting roles to fill the gap left by Juan Soto’s departure. The Yankees send rookie Will Warren to the mound, carrying a 2–2 record and 4.75 ERA into what will be his toughest road test yet, though he’s coming off a breakout outing that flashed his potential and composure under pressure. The Mariners counter with ace Luis Castillo, who is 3–3 with a 3.95 ERA and looking to bounce back from recent inconsistencies while rediscovering the elite swing-and-miss stuff that made him a frontline starter.

Seattle has gone 6–4 ATS in their last 10 and found offensive traction at home, led by Cal Raleigh’s 13 home runs and a resurgent Julio Rodríguez, who’s heating up with two homers and 11 hits in his last 10 games. The Mariners’ home run surge has contributed to the total going over in five of their last six games at T-Mobile Park, signaling a more aggressive approach at the plate that has translated into early scoring bursts. Both teams bring postseason expectations and plenty of firepower to the table, but the key to the finale may rest on which starting pitcher settles in first and whether the bullpens can protect leads late in what could be another high-scoring, closely fought contest. For the Yankees, a win would secure a statement series victory on the road and reinforce their hold atop the AL East, while the Mariners are looking to defend their turf and reassert their dominance in the AL West by responding with a complete team effort. With elite hitters on both sides and top-tier talent on the mound, Wednesday’s matchup offers everything fans could want from a May showdown: power, intensity, and the kind of energy that feels like October a few months early.

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter the May 14, 2025 series finale against the Seattle Mariners with a 24–18 record and a chance to claim a key road series win that would further solidify their grip on the AL East lead, fueled by one of the most dangerous offenses in baseball and anchored by the otherworldly production of Aaron Judge, who continues to dominate at the plate with a league-leading 3.6 fWAR and a staggering slash line nearing .400/.500/.800. Judge has not only shouldered the offensive load but elevated the entire lineup, which has benefited greatly from offseason additions Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger, both of whom have brought power, veteran experience, and timely hitting that have helped fill the void left by Juan Soto’s departure. Supporting them are rising stars like Ben Rice, who has delivered clutch hits from the catcher spot, and a resurgent Trent Grisham, who has become a valuable contributor in the lower half of the lineup, offering power and speed in equal measure. Despite a 3–8 ATS record in their last 11 road games, the Yankees have recently won four of five away from the Bronx, signaling that they’re starting to find a rhythm away from home as they chase consistency and playoff positioning. Rookie right-hander Will Warren will get the ball, bringing a 2–2 record and 4.75 ERA into the contest after his best MLB outing to date, showing increased command and composure that has earned him another high-stakes start.

Warren will be tested against a Mariners lineup that has been hot at home, but his success will depend on whether he can pitch ahead in counts and keep hitters like Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodríguez in check. Defensively, the Yankees have tightened up in recent weeks, while their bullpen—anchored by Clay Holmes—has been reliable in late-inning scenarios, though manager Aaron Boone continues to manage workloads carefully with key arms. If New York can get five solid innings from Warren and apply early pressure to Luis Castillo, they’ll be in strong position to seal the series and take further control of the division. The key for the Yankees will be keeping the energy high and avoiding the offensive lulls that have occasionally plagued them on the road, particularly in pitcher-friendly parks like T-Mobile. With Judge swinging the hottest bat in baseball and the lineup showing improved depth and discipline, the Yankees will look to turn another quality team performance into a defining win that keeps them at the top of the American League hierarchy.

On May 14, 2025, the New York Yankees (24–18) and Seattle Mariners (23–18) will conclude their three-game series at T-Mobile Park. Both teams, leading their respective divisions, aim to secure the series win in this pivotal matchup. New York Yankees vs Seattle AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Seattle Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners return to T-Mobile Park on May 14, 2025, with a 23–18 record and a golden opportunity to take down the AL East-leading New York Yankees in the series finale of a tightly contested three-game set, relying on their deep pitching staff, improving offense, and the electric atmosphere of their home ballpark to secure a much-needed win as they look to reestablish dominance in the AL West. Despite a recent sweep at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays, the Mariners have gone 6–4 ATS over their last 10 games and have found consistency at home, where the total has gone over in five of their last six, driven by the recent surge in production from their power hitters and opportunistic baserunning. Cal Raleigh has been the team’s most dangerous offensive weapon, blasting 13 home runs with a .557 slugging percentage to lead Seattle’s power game, while Julio Rodríguez is showing signs of getting hot again, with two home runs and 11 hits in his last 10 games, bringing much-needed balance to the lineup and forcing opposing pitchers to work deeper into counts. On the mound, the Mariners will turn to ace Luis Castillo, who enters the matchup with a 3–3 record and 3.95 ERA and remains the club’s most trusted starter, despite some recent inconsistency that has seen his strikeout totals remain solid but his pitch efficiency decline, a concern against a disciplined Yankees lineup that thrives on capitalizing early in counts.

Castillo’s success will hinge on his ability to get ahead with the fastball and mix his devastating changeup to keep sluggers like Aaron Judge, Paul Goldschmidt, and Cody Bellinger from settling into the box—especially Judge, who currently leads MLB in WAR and is dismantling every mistake he sees with a historic slash line. The Mariners have been strong defensively, making few errors and supporting their pitchers well with a fundamentally sound infield and a dynamic outfield that tracks down extra-base hits with ease, providing Castillo and the bullpen with the support needed to navigate tight games. Their bullpen, anchored by Andrés Muñoz, has continued to hold leads and close the door in late innings, and with the Yankees likely to press the rookie starter Will Warren into high-leverage situations early, Seattle’s offensive plan will be to jump on any command issues and get into the bullpen by the middle innings. Manager Scott Servais will look to use this finale to build momentum for his team, especially after a tough road stretch, and a win against one of the league’s hottest teams would reestablish Seattle’s credentials as a legitimate AL contender. With home-field energy, a confident ace, and an offense beginning to click, the Mariners will aim to control the tempo, play their brand of aggressive, no-mistake baseball, and close out the series with a win that reinforces their hold atop the division and signals they’re ready for the grind of the summer stretch.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Mariners play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Park in May almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Volpe over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Yankees and Mariners and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly rested Mariners team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Seattle picks, computer picks Yankees vs Mariners, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees are 3–8 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 road games, indicating challenges in covering spreads away from home.

Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have gone 6–4 ATS in their last 10 games, reflecting a solid performance in covering the spread recently.

Yankees vs. Mariners Matchup Trends

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 home games, suggesting a trend towards higher-scoring contests at T-Mobile Park.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Game Info

New York Yankees vs Seattle starts on May 14, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Seattle +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees -114, Seattle -105
Over/Under: 8

New York Yankees: (24-18)  |  Seattle: (23-18)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Volpe over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 home games, suggesting a trend towards higher-scoring contests at T-Mobile Park.

NYY trend: The Yankees are 3–8 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 road games, indicating challenges in covering spreads away from home.

SEA trend: The Mariners have gone 6–4 ATS in their last 10 games, reflecting a solid performance in covering the spread recently.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Seattle trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Yankees vs Seattle Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -114
SEA Moneyline: -105
NYY Spread: -1.5
SEA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

New York Yankees vs Seattle Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners on May 14, 2025 at T-Mobile Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN