Padres vs. Rockies
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 11 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies conclude their three-game series at Coors Field on Sunday, May 11, 2025. The Padres aim for a series sweep, while the Rockies seek to avoid extending their losing streak.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 11, 2025
Start Time: 3:10 PM EST​
Venue: Coors Field​
Rockies Record: (6-33)
Padres Record: (25-13)
OPENING ODDS
SD Moneyline: -278
COL Moneyline: +225
SD Spread: -1.5
COL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 11.5
SD
Betting Trends
- The Padres have covered the spread in 77.8% of games as moneyline favorites this season, with a 14-4 record in such situations.
COL
Betting Trends
- The Rockies have been underdogs in 35 games this season, winning five, resulting in a 14.3% success rate.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Padres have dominated the season series against the Rockies, leading 5-0, including a 21-0 victory on May 10. The Rockies have lost eight consecutive games, highlighting their struggles this season.
SD vs. COL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Iglesias under 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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San Diego vs Colorado Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/11/25
He’s flanked by Manny Machado and Luis Arraez, both of whom are batting over .290 and bringing veteran presence and consistent production to a deep and disciplined lineup. On Saturday, the Padres’ offense exploded for 21 runs and five home runs, showing just how dangerous they are when locked in. In contrast, the Rockies have sputtered offensively all season, averaging just over three runs per game and carrying a team batting average of .211. Hunter Goodman has been a lone bright spot, batting .264 with five home runs, but injuries to key contributors like Kris Bryant and Austin Gomber have made it even harder for Colorado to gain traction. Their bullpen continues to be a liability, converting just 45.5% of save opportunities, and the defense ranks near the bottom of the league with a .980 fielding percentage and 26 errors. Sunday’s game presents a mismatch in nearly every category, with the Padres’ 88.2% save conversion rate and league-best team ERA (3.00) starkly contrasting the Rockies’ 5.47 ERA and league-worst record. San Diego is 5-0 against Colorado this season and has won 14 of the last 16 meetings overall. With a complete team clicking in all phases of the game, the Padres are not only heavy favorites to sweep the series but also to continue positioning themselves as one of the most dangerous teams in the National League. For the Rockies, Sunday represents little more than an opportunity to play spoiler and stop the bleeding—though against a Padres team this potent, even that may be too much to ask.
Cool, Calm & Kolek-ted pic.twitter.com/SGMLFlEzVN
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 11, 2025
San Diego Padres MLB Preview
The San Diego Padres enter Sunday’s series finale against the Colorado Rockies brimming with confidence and intent on completing a sweep at Coors Field, a park where they’ve thrived this season and historically dominated their division rivals. At 25-13, the Padres are playing with the balance and firepower of a legitimate National League contender, standing just behind the Dodgers in the NL West while riding a wave of both offensive dominance and elite pitching. Their latest display—a 21-0 dismantling of the Rockies on Saturday—underscored just how dangerous this team can be when firing on all cylinders. The offense erupted for five home runs in that blowout, led by a red-hot Fernando Tatis Jr., who has anchored the top of the order with a .319 batting average, eight home runs, and 19 RBIs. Around him, Manny Machado and Luis Arraez have consistently delivered, each batting over .290 and showing a veteran’s ability to set the tone and manufacture runs both in small-ball situations and with timely power. The Padres have also benefited from the deeper parts of their lineup finally contributing, with names like Jake Cronenworth and Ha-Seong Kim adding speed and situational awareness that have turned close innings into big frames. On the mound, San Diego will send Nick Pivetta, who has emerged as one of the most effective starters in the National League so far in 2025. Pivetta holds a 5-1 record and a dominant 2.01 ERA, showcasing improved command and a more refined approach that has kept hitters off balance through six or more innings consistently.
His WHIP of 0.98 and strikeout-to-walk ratio further reinforce how locked in he’s been—exactly the type of presence the Padres need to avoid bullpen overuse and close out road series with authority. The Padres’ bullpen has also been a force, converting 88.2% of save opportunities and supporting the starters with high-leverage composure. Defensively, the Padres have committed only 18 errors through nearly 40 games, ranking among the top in fielding percentage and defensive efficiency, which has directly fed into the confidence of their pitchers to attack the zone. Against a struggling Rockies squad with one of the worst records in baseball and a depleted, injury-laden roster, San Diego is clearly favored in every facet of the matchup. The Padres have outscored Colorado 43-11 through the first five meetings this season and are 14-2 in their last 16 games against them overall. If Pivetta pitches to form and the offense continues its barrage of contact and power, San Diego should have no problem notching their sixth straight win over the Rockies this season. With momentum, depth, and superior execution in all phases of the game, Sunday represents more than just a sweep opportunity—it’s a chance for the Padres to continue cementing their identity as one of the National League’s most complete and dangerous ballclubs.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Colorado Rockies MLB Preview
The Colorado Rockies return to Coors Field on Sunday desperately seeking answers and a way to halt what has become an avalanche of early-season struggles, as they prepare to close their series against the San Diego Padres. After suffering a humiliating 21-0 defeat on Saturday—their most lopsided loss of the season—the Rockies now sit at 6-33, owning the worst record in Major League Baseball and having lost eight straight games. Their current form reflects issues on every level: inconsistent and ineffective pitching, a stagnant offense that has failed to produce runs in bunches, and a defense that’s committed 26 errors and ranks among the bottom five in fielding percentage. On the mound Sunday is right-hander Germán Márquez, a once-reliable starter now mired in a brutal 0-6 start with a bloated 9.90 ERA. Márquez has been unable to regain his former command or control, often falling behind in counts and allowing damaging contact, which is especially risky at hitter-friendly Coors Field. He’ll be tasked with containing a Padres offense that has scored a staggering 43 runs in five games against the Rockies this year, including back-to-back double-digit outputs in the current series. Offensively, Colorado has shown little fight of late, entering the game with a .211 team batting average and an offense that averages just 3.1 runs per game. Hunter Goodman remains one of the few bright spots, leading the team with a .264 average and five home runs, but he hasn’t had much help around him. Injuries to key contributors like Kris Bryant and Austin Gomber have left the Rockies shorthanded, and their inability to build rallies or capitalize with runners in scoring position has made them easy to game plan against.
Even at home—where Colorado traditionally performs better—the team has struggled, as Coors Field’s offensive advantage has not been enough to overcome their pitching and fielding deficiencies. The bullpen has compounded their issues, converting just 45.5% of save opportunities and frequently entering games already out of hand. Manager Bud Black has tried lineup adjustments and aggressive base running to spark momentum, but nothing has consistently clicked for a club that looks overmatched nightly. Sunday’s game presents an opportunity for pride and damage control, if nothing else. A strong start from Márquez and a rare early lead could help restore some confidence in a fan base growing increasingly disillusioned. The Rockies must execute flawlessly—limit walks, make routine plays, and get timely hits—to stand a chance against a red-hot Padres squad. Though postseason hopes are already distant, each game still offers a chance to evaluate young players, build internal momentum, and attempt to avoid the worst record in franchise history. If Colorado hopes to end its losing streak and salvage a shred of momentum, Sunday will require its most complete effort of the season, one that’s eluded them far too often in a year quickly slipping away.
Saturday starters ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/0g8G9C5gHd
— Colorado Rockies (@Rockies) May 10, 2025
San Diego vs. Colorado Prop Picks (AI)
San Diego vs. Colorado Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Padres and Rockies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on Colorado’s strength factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly tired Rockies team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI San Diego vs Colorado picks, computer picks Padres vs Rockies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have covered the spread in 77.8% of games as moneyline favorites this season, with a 14-4 record in such situations.
Rockies Betting Trends
The Rockies have been underdogs in 35 games this season, winning five, resulting in a 14.3% success rate.
Padres vs. Rockies Matchup Trends
The Padres have dominated the season series against the Rockies, leading 5-0, including a 21-0 victory on May 10. The Rockies have lost eight consecutive games, highlighting their struggles this season.
San Diego vs. Colorado Game Info
What time does San Diego vs Colorado start on May 11, 2025?
San Diego vs Colorado starts on May 11, 2025 at 3:10 PM EST.
Where is San Diego vs Colorado being played?
Venue: Coors Field.
What are the opening odds for San Diego vs Colorado?
Spread: Colorado +1.5
Moneyline: San Diego -278, Colorado +225
Over/Under: 11.5
What are the records for San Diego vs Colorado?
San Diego: (25-13) Â |Â Colorado: (6-33)
What is the AI best bet for San Diego vs Colorado?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Iglesias under 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are San Diego vs Colorado trending bets?
The Padres have dominated the season series against the Rockies, leading 5-0, including a 21-0 victory on May 10. The Rockies have lost eight consecutive games, highlighting their struggles this season.
What are San Diego trending bets?
SD trend: The Padres have covered the spread in 77.8% of games as moneyline favorites this season, with a 14-4 record in such situations.
What are Colorado trending bets?
COL trend: The Rockies have been underdogs in 35 games this season, winning five, resulting in a 14.3% success rate.
Where can I find AI Picks for San Diego vs Colorado?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
San Diego vs. Colorado Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs Colorado trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
San Diego vs Colorado Opening Odds
SD Moneyline:
-278 COL Moneyline: +225
SD Spread: -1.5
COL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 11.5
San Diego vs Colorado Live Odds
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New York Yankees
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–
–
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+196
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O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
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U 8.5 (-115)
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–
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+100
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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–
–
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+196
-240
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
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–
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-130
+110
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-1.5 (+130)
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O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
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Tigers
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–
–
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+110
-130
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
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Phillies
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–
–
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+175
-210
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
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–
–
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+115
-135
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
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Atlanta Braves
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–
–
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+150
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+1.5 (-145)
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
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–
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+122
-145
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+1.5 (-190)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
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9/27/25 8:40PM
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–
–
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+118
-140
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
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–
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-140
+118
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-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
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O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
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–
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+100
-120
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+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1.5 (-195)
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O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies on May 11, 2025 at Coors Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |