Padres vs. Rockies
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 11 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies conclude their three-game series at Coors Field on Sunday, May 11, 2025. The Padres aim for a series sweep, while the Rockies seek to avoid extending their losing streak.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 11, 2025

Start Time: 3:10 PM EST​

Venue: Coors Field​

Rockies Record: (6-33)

Padres Record: (25-13)

OPENING ODDS

SD Moneyline: -278

COL Moneyline: +225

SD Spread: -1.5

COL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 11.5

SD
Betting Trends

  • The Padres have covered the spread in 77.8% of games as moneyline favorites this season, with a 14-4 record in such situations.

COL
Betting Trends

  • The Rockies have been underdogs in 35 games this season, winning five, resulting in a 14.3% success rate.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Padres have dominated the season series against the Rockies, leading 5-0, including a 21-0 victory on May 10. The Rockies have lost eight consecutive games, highlighting their struggles this season.

SD vs. COL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Iglesias under 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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San Diego vs Colorado Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/11/25

The San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies will meet on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at Coors Field to close out their three-game set, a matchup that has dramatically highlighted the massive gap between a surging contender and a rebuilding club mired in historic struggles. The Padres have completely dominated the series, including a 21-0 rout in Game 2, and will enter the finale with a 25-13 record, sitting second in the NL West behind only the Dodgers. Their balanced combination of elite starting pitching, defensive consistency, and top-tier offensive production has them poised for a deep postseason run, and Sunday offers a prime opportunity to complete a series sweep and keep pressure on the division leaders. Meanwhile, the Rockies, now 6-33, are enduring one of the worst starts in franchise history and remain winless through their first five games against the Padres this season. On the mound for San Diego will be Nick Pivetta, who has been one of the league’s most effective starters in the early going, entering with a 5-1 record and a 2.01 ERA. His ability to command the strike zone, miss bats, and work deep into games gives the Padres stability and a major edge in this matchup. Opposing him is German Márquez, who returns for Colorado with an 0-6 record and an alarming 9.90 ERA—numbers that reflect both his own inconsistency and the overwhelming burden placed on a pitching staff that lacks depth and confidence. At the plate, San Diego is led by Fernando Tatis Jr., who’s been red-hot with a .319 batting average, eight home runs, and 19 RBIs.

He’s flanked by Manny Machado and Luis Arraez, both of whom are batting over .290 and bringing veteran presence and consistent production to a deep and disciplined lineup. On Saturday, the Padres’ offense exploded for 21 runs and five home runs, showing just how dangerous they are when locked in. In contrast, the Rockies have sputtered offensively all season, averaging just over three runs per game and carrying a team batting average of .211. Hunter Goodman has been a lone bright spot, batting .264 with five home runs, but injuries to key contributors like Kris Bryant and Austin Gomber have made it even harder for Colorado to gain traction. Their bullpen continues to be a liability, converting just 45.5% of save opportunities, and the defense ranks near the bottom of the league with a .980 fielding percentage and 26 errors. Sunday’s game presents a mismatch in nearly every category, with the Padres’ 88.2% save conversion rate and league-best team ERA (3.00) starkly contrasting the Rockies’ 5.47 ERA and league-worst record. San Diego is 5-0 against Colorado this season and has won 14 of the last 16 meetings overall. With a complete team clicking in all phases of the game, the Padres are not only heavy favorites to sweep the series but also to continue positioning themselves as one of the most dangerous teams in the National League. For the Rockies, Sunday represents little more than an opportunity to play spoiler and stop the bleeding—though against a Padres team this potent, even that may be too much to ask.

San Diego Padres MLB Preview

The San Diego Padres enter Sunday’s series finale against the Colorado Rockies brimming with confidence and intent on completing a sweep at Coors Field, a park where they’ve thrived this season and historically dominated their division rivals. At 25-13, the Padres are playing with the balance and firepower of a legitimate National League contender, standing just behind the Dodgers in the NL West while riding a wave of both offensive dominance and elite pitching. Their latest display—a 21-0 dismantling of the Rockies on Saturday—underscored just how dangerous this team can be when firing on all cylinders. The offense erupted for five home runs in that blowout, led by a red-hot Fernando Tatis Jr., who has anchored the top of the order with a .319 batting average, eight home runs, and 19 RBIs. Around him, Manny Machado and Luis Arraez have consistently delivered, each batting over .290 and showing a veteran’s ability to set the tone and manufacture runs both in small-ball situations and with timely power. The Padres have also benefited from the deeper parts of their lineup finally contributing, with names like Jake Cronenworth and Ha-Seong Kim adding speed and situational awareness that have turned close innings into big frames. On the mound, San Diego will send Nick Pivetta, who has emerged as one of the most effective starters in the National League so far in 2025. Pivetta holds a 5-1 record and a dominant 2.01 ERA, showcasing improved command and a more refined approach that has kept hitters off balance through six or more innings consistently.

His WHIP of 0.98 and strikeout-to-walk ratio further reinforce how locked in he’s been—exactly the type of presence the Padres need to avoid bullpen overuse and close out road series with authority. The Padres’ bullpen has also been a force, converting 88.2% of save opportunities and supporting the starters with high-leverage composure. Defensively, the Padres have committed only 18 errors through nearly 40 games, ranking among the top in fielding percentage and defensive efficiency, which has directly fed into the confidence of their pitchers to attack the zone. Against a struggling Rockies squad with one of the worst records in baseball and a depleted, injury-laden roster, San Diego is clearly favored in every facet of the matchup. The Padres have outscored Colorado 43-11 through the first five meetings this season and are 14-2 in their last 16 games against them overall. If Pivetta pitches to form and the offense continues its barrage of contact and power, San Diego should have no problem notching their sixth straight win over the Rockies this season. With momentum, depth, and superior execution in all phases of the game, Sunday represents more than just a sweep opportunity—it’s a chance for the Padres to continue cementing their identity as one of the National League’s most complete and dangerous ballclubs.

The San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies conclude their three-game series at Coors Field on Sunday, May 11, 2025. The Padres aim for a series sweep, while the Rockies seek to avoid extending their losing streak. San Diego vs Colorado AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Colorado Rockies MLB Preview

The Colorado Rockies return to Coors Field on Sunday desperately seeking answers and a way to halt what has become an avalanche of early-season struggles, as they prepare to close their series against the San Diego Padres. After suffering a humiliating 21-0 defeat on Saturday—their most lopsided loss of the season—the Rockies now sit at 6-33, owning the worst record in Major League Baseball and having lost eight straight games. Their current form reflects issues on every level: inconsistent and ineffective pitching, a stagnant offense that has failed to produce runs in bunches, and a defense that’s committed 26 errors and ranks among the bottom five in fielding percentage. On the mound Sunday is right-hander Germán Márquez, a once-reliable starter now mired in a brutal 0-6 start with a bloated 9.90 ERA. Márquez has been unable to regain his former command or control, often falling behind in counts and allowing damaging contact, which is especially risky at hitter-friendly Coors Field. He’ll be tasked with containing a Padres offense that has scored a staggering 43 runs in five games against the Rockies this year, including back-to-back double-digit outputs in the current series. Offensively, Colorado has shown little fight of late, entering the game with a .211 team batting average and an offense that averages just 3.1 runs per game. Hunter Goodman remains one of the few bright spots, leading the team with a .264 average and five home runs, but he hasn’t had much help around him. Injuries to key contributors like Kris Bryant and Austin Gomber have left the Rockies shorthanded, and their inability to build rallies or capitalize with runners in scoring position has made them easy to game plan against.

Even at home—where Colorado traditionally performs better—the team has struggled, as Coors Field’s offensive advantage has not been enough to overcome their pitching and fielding deficiencies. The bullpen has compounded their issues, converting just 45.5% of save opportunities and frequently entering games already out of hand. Manager Bud Black has tried lineup adjustments and aggressive base running to spark momentum, but nothing has consistently clicked for a club that looks overmatched nightly. Sunday’s game presents an opportunity for pride and damage control, if nothing else. A strong start from Márquez and a rare early lead could help restore some confidence in a fan base growing increasingly disillusioned. The Rockies must execute flawlessly—limit walks, make routine plays, and get timely hits—to stand a chance against a red-hot Padres squad. Though postseason hopes are already distant, each game still offers a chance to evaluate young players, build internal momentum, and attempt to avoid the worst record in franchise history. If Colorado hopes to end its losing streak and salvage a shred of momentum, Sunday will require its most complete effort of the season, one that’s eluded them far too often in a year quickly slipping away.

San Diego vs. Colorado Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Padres and Rockies play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Coors Field in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Iglesias under 5.5 Fantasy Score.

San Diego vs. Colorado Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Padres and Rockies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on Colorado’s strength factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly tired Rockies team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI San Diego vs Colorado picks, computer picks Padres vs Rockies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have covered the spread in 77.8% of games as moneyline favorites this season, with a 14-4 record in such situations.

Rockies Betting Trends

The Rockies have been underdogs in 35 games this season, winning five, resulting in a 14.3% success rate.

Padres vs. Rockies Matchup Trends

The Padres have dominated the season series against the Rockies, leading 5-0, including a 21-0 victory on May 10. The Rockies have lost eight consecutive games, highlighting their struggles this season.

San Diego vs. Colorado Game Info

San Diego vs Colorado starts on May 11, 2025 at 3:10 PM EST.

Spread: Colorado +1.5
Moneyline: San Diego -278, Colorado +225
Over/Under: 11.5

San Diego: (25-13)  |  Colorado: (6-33)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Iglesias under 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Padres have dominated the season series against the Rockies, leading 5-0, including a 21-0 victory on May 10. The Rockies have lost eight consecutive games, highlighting their struggles this season.

SD trend: The Padres have covered the spread in 77.8% of games as moneyline favorites this season, with a 14-4 record in such situations.

COL trend: The Rockies have been underdogs in 35 games this season, winning five, resulting in a 14.3% success rate.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Diego vs. Colorado Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs Colorado trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

San Diego vs Colorado Opening Odds

SD Moneyline: -278
COL Moneyline: +225
SD Spread: -1.5
COL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 11.5

San Diego vs Colorado Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+196
-240
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+196
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies on May 11, 2025 at Coors Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS