Brewers vs. Rays
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 11 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays will face off in the finale of their three-game interleague series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Rays aim to secure a series win after a dramatic 3-2 walk-off victory on Saturday, while the Brewers look to bounce back and even the series.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 11, 2025

Start Time: 1:40 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (18-21)

Brewers Record: (19-21)

OPENING ODDS

MIL Moneyline: +121

TB Moneyline: -142

MIL Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

MIL
Betting Trends

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the spread in 16 of their 37 games this season, resulting in a 16-21 ATS record.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have an ATS record of 16-21 this season, covering the spread in 16 of their 37 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 9.5 runs, with the Brewers listed as +114 underdogs and the Rays as -134 favorites. Both teams have identical ATS records, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.

MIL vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chourio under 8.5 Fantasy Score.

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Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/11/25

The Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays prepare to close out their interleague series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, in what promises to be a competitive rubber match between two teams trying to regain consistency and traction in their respective divisions. The Rays evened the series with a dramatic 3-2 walk-off win on Saturday night, thanks to a game-winning RBI single by Travis Jankowski in the ninth inning, capping a game that saw both teams struggle to generate consistent offense. As they meet at George M. Steinbrenner Field—a temporary home for Tampa Bay due to damage at Tropicana Field—the spotlight now shifts to the pitching matchup between Milwaukee’s Chad Patrick and Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen. Patrick enters with a 2-3 record and a strong 3.08 ERA, continuing to prove himself as one of the more dependable arms in Milwaukee’s rotation amid an injury-plagued season. The Brewers currently sit at 19-20, just below .500, and are looking to avoid slipping further in the highly competitive NL Central. Their offense has shown flashes of power, particularly from Brice Turang and rookie Jackson Chourio, who have combined for 12 home runs while providing solid contributions both at the plate and in the field. However, consistency has been elusive, with the lineup prone to dry spells and missed opportunities with runners in scoring position. Defensively and in the bullpen, Milwaukee has been relatively sound, but the offense needs to better support quality starts like the one Patrick is hoping to deliver.

On the other side, the Rays come into the finale with a 17-21 record, also searching for an identity in an AL East division where wins have been hard-earned. Rasmussen, despite his 1-3 record, has been effective with a 3.09 ERA and brings experience and command that could help contain a streaky Brewers lineup. The Rays’ offense is led by the power duo of Junior Caminero and Yandy Díaz, who have combined for 13 home runs and provided key run production in recent weeks. The bullpen has done its job when called upon, as evidenced by the clutch finish in Game 2, and Tampa Bay has leaned heavily on its depth while navigating injuries and the unique challenge of playing home games away from their usual venue. Sunday’s matchup will likely hinge on run prevention and who can capitalize on the few scoring chances that present themselves in what has been a low-scoring series. With both teams carrying identical 16-21 ATS records, this finale is not only about winning the series but also about gaining momentum as the season edges toward the summer stretch. The Brewers need a strong outing from Patrick and timely hitting to support their push back toward .500, while the Rays aim to build on their walk-off momentum, ride Rasmussen’s arm, and claw their way back into the AL East mix. In a matchup of two under-the-radar clubs with postseason aspirations, Sunday’s game is more than a series closer—it’s an early test of grit, depth, and direction.

Milwaukee Brewers MLB Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers enter Sunday’s series finale against the Tampa Bay Rays with a 19-20 record, hovering just below .500 and eager to flip the momentum back in their favor after a crushing 3-2 walk-off loss on Saturday. The Brewers took the series opener with a blend of timely hitting and solid pitching, but they’ve struggled all season to maintain offensive consistency, often relying on scattered contributions rather than sustained rallies. Sunday provides an opportunity for the team to reset and refocus, particularly with right-hander Chad Patrick taking the mound. Patrick has been a bright spot in an otherwise injury-depleted rotation, posting a 2-3 record with a 3.08 ERA and demonstrating an impressive ability to work through lineups with efficiency and command. With Brandon Woodruff and Garrett Mitchell still sidelined, Patrick’s ability to deliver a quality start is crucial if the Brewers are to secure the series win. Milwaukee’s offense will need to step up in support, and that begins with the emerging duo of Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio, who have combined for 12 home runs and injected much-needed energy into the lineup. Turang has developed into a reliable top-of-the-order presence, while Chourio’s combination of raw power and bat speed gives the Brewers a dangerous right-handed threat. However, Milwaukee continues to struggle with runners in scoring position, and their inability to cash in on opportunities was on full display in Game 2.

Veteran bats such as Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins will need to do more in terms of situational hitting and driving in runs, especially against a Tampa Bay pitching staff that doesn’t give many free passes. On defense, the Brewers remain solid, ranking among the top half of the league in fielding percentage and routinely flashing above-average range in the infield. Their bullpen, a usual strength, has been somewhat uneven in recent outings, and manager Pat Murphy may be more aggressive with bullpen matchups on Sunday to avoid another late-game collapse. Milwaukee’s ability to limit damage, avoid free passes, and manufacture runs will be critical as they face Drew Rasmussen, who has quietly put together a solid campaign despite the team’s record. The Brewers are just 16-21 against the spread, which reflects how often they’ve played in close, grind-it-out games where offensive production is at a premium. Sunday’s rubber match isn’t just about winning the series—it’s about restoring rhythm in a season that’s seen the club ping-pong between promise and missed potential. If Milwaukee can back Patrick with a few early runs and maintain defensive sharpness, they’ll give themselves a strong chance to walk away from Tampa with a winning road trip and much-needed confidence heading back into divisional play. For a team trying to stay afloat while navigating injuries and offensive inconsistency, every game carries added weight, and Sunday’s contest could serve as a launching point for a sustained push toward the top of the NL Central.

The Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays will face off in the finale of their three-game interleague series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Rays aim to secure a series win after a dramatic 3-2 walk-off victory on Saturday, while the Brewers look to bounce back and even the series. Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays return to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Sunday aiming to build on Saturday’s thrilling 3-2 walk-off win and capture a much-needed series victory against the visiting Milwaukee Brewers. The Rays have endured a turbulent start to the 2025 season, sitting at 17-21 and grappling with the effects of injuries and displacement after damage to Tropicana Field forced them to play home games at the Yankees’ spring training complex. Yet despite the adversity, the Rays have shown signs of life, particularly in the clutch, and their Game 2 victory reflected the resilience that has been a hallmark of this organization in recent years. Outfielder Travis Jankowski played the hero role Saturday, delivering a game-winning RBI single in the ninth to help Tampa Bay avoid a series loss and inject some momentum into a team looking for consistency. On the mound for the Rays on Sunday is Drew Rasmussen, who brings a 1-3 record but a respectable 3.09 ERA into the start. Rasmussen has pitched better than his record suggests, limiting hard contact and giving the Rays a chance to win in most of his outings. He’ll need to stay ahead in counts and keep Milwaukee’s aggressive hitters off balance, especially against a Brewers lineup that has shown the ability to strike with power, even if sporadically.

Offensively, the Rays continue to rely on the production of Junior Caminero and Yandy Díaz, both of whom have combined for 13 home runs and remain the team’s most consistent threats. Caminero’s power and Díaz’s ability to work counts and deliver in big moments have kept the Rays competitive, particularly as they await more from the rest of the supporting cast. Tampa Bay has not had the same depth or power from its bench this year, making it all the more critical for the top half of the lineup to set the tone early. The Rays’ bullpen, a traditional strength, has been solid if not dominant, and Saturday’s ability to hold the Brewers in check in the later innings was a welcome sight after some recent letdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay has remained sharp, with a reliable infield anchored by slick glove work and strong situational awareness. With identical ATS records to the Brewers at 16-21, the Rays know this matchup is evenly poised and may come down to execution in high-leverage moments. Sunday offers more than just a potential series win—it’s a chance to establish rhythm, build confidence in a temporary home setting, and continue clawing back in an ultra-competitive AL East. With Rasmussen set to toe the rubber, Caminero and Díaz leading the offense, and a clubhouse eager to find stability, the Rays are well-positioned to carry the emotional lift of Saturday’s walk-off into a focused, all-hands-on-deck effort to win the series and make a statement about their resilience moving forward.

Milwaukee vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Brewers and Rays play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in May can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chourio under 8.5 Fantasy Score.

Milwaukee vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Brewers and Rays and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor human bettors tend to put on Milwaukee’s strength factors between a Brewers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Rays team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Brewers vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the spread in 16 of their 37 games this season, resulting in a 16-21 ATS record.

Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays have an ATS record of 16-21 this season, covering the spread in 16 of their 37 games.

Brewers vs. Rays Matchup Trends

The over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 9.5 runs, with the Brewers listed as +114 underdogs and the Rays as -134 favorites. Both teams have identical ATS records, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.

Milwaukee vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay starts on May 11, 2025 at 1:40 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Milwaukee +121, Tampa Bay -142
Over/Under: 8.5

Milwaukee: (19-21)  |  Tampa Bay: (18-21)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chourio under 8.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 9.5 runs, with the Brewers listed as +114 underdogs and the Rays as -134 favorites. Both teams have identical ATS records, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.

MIL trend: The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the spread in 16 of their 37 games this season, resulting in a 16-21 ATS record.

TB trend: The Tampa Bay Rays have an ATS record of 16-21 this season, covering the spread in 16 of their 37 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Milwaukee vs. Tampa Bay Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

MIL Moneyline: +121
TB Moneyline: -142
MIL Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays on May 11, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN