Marlins vs. White Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 11 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Marlins and Chicago White Sox will conclude their three-game series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. The Marlins aim to secure a series win, while the White Sox look to bounce back and avoid a sweep.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 11, 2025
Start Time: 2:10 PM EST
Venue: Rate Field
White Sox Record: (11-29)
Marlins Record: (15-23)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: -135
CHW Moneyline: +115
MIA Spread: -1.5
CHW Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Miami Marlins have covered the spread in 19 of their 36 games this season, resulting in a 19-17 ATS record.
CHW
Betting Trends
- The Chicago White Sox have an ATS record of 20-18 this season, covering the spread in 20 of their 38 games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Marlins have a 3-0 record as moneyline favorites this season, while the White Sox have yet to be favored in any game. The over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 8 runs, with the Marlins favored at -135 and the White Sox at +115.
MIA vs. CHW
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Myers over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
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Miami vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/11/25
On the other side, Chicago’s offense centers around Luis Robert Jr., who leads the league with 15 stolen bases and continues to be one of the lone bright spots in an otherwise stagnant lineup. Andrew Benintendi provides veteran consistency and situational awareness, but the club as a whole struggles to string together rallies and has consistently left runners in scoring position. From a betting perspective, both teams hover around average ATS performance—Miami at 19-17 and Chicago at 20-18—though the Marlins have been slightly better as moneyline favorites. The over/under for Sunday’s game is set at eight runs, which reflects the general uncertainty around both starting pitchers and each bullpen’s reliability. Defensively, both clubs rank near the bottom in fielding metrics, and any errors could swing the game in either direction. With each team searching for identity and stability, Sunday’s game represents more than just a series decider—it’s an opportunity to establish momentum, build clubhouse morale, and take a positive step toward reversing what’s been a disappointing start to the season. For the Marlins, a win would mean a rare series victory and a possible turning point for Alcantara. For the White Sox, it’s about pride, damage control, and the hope that a strong team performance can spark a stretch of competitive baseball before the season slips further out of reach.
WAG IN HIS BAG 💼 First career triple pic.twitter.com/bjKHOUXRKk
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) May 11, 2025
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins head into Sunday’s series finale against the Chicago White Sox with a chance to secure a much-needed series win and build momentum as they attempt to climb out of the bottom tier of the NL East. Sporting a 15-23 record, the Marlins have struggled to find consistent footing in 2025, battling through erratic offense, underwhelming pitching, and the frustrating regression of ace Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara, once the rock of the Marlins’ rotation and the 2022 NL Cy Young Award winner, has seen a steep decline in form this season, entering Sunday’s start with a 2-4 record and an alarming 8.42 ERA. His control has been erratic, his strikeout rate has dipped, and he’s been far more hittable than in past years, putting additional pressure on the Marlins’ bullpen and lineup to play near-perfect baseball. Still, the Marlins remain hopeful that a matchup against a struggling White Sox team—one that has failed to generate consistent offense—could be exactly what Alcantara needs to get back on track. Offensively, the Marlins are leaning heavily on Kyle Stowers, who leads the team with a .300 batting average and has become a steady run producer despite the club’s struggles. Xavier Edwards adds a valuable dimension with speed and defense, already swiping six bases while consistently putting pressure on opposing pitchers. However, the rest of Miami’s lineup has lacked both power and depth, often failing to capitalize on scoring opportunities and making it difficult to support even strong pitching performances.
The Marlins’ bullpen has shown flashes of capability, but it has also contributed to several blown leads, adding another layer of volatility to late-game situations. If Alcantara can provide a quality start and keep the White Sox off the board early, Miami will need to manufacture runs through smart base running, situational hitting, and defensive sharpness. That latter point has improved in recent weeks, but the Marlins remain vulnerable to miscues, especially when playing on the road. Their ATS record of 19-17 reflects a tendency to keep games close and competitive, even when they don’t come out on top, and Sunday’s finale presents a real opportunity to secure back-to-back series victories for the first time this season. To do that, Miami must not only count on Alcantara finding his form but also see greater contributions from the heart of their lineup, minimize bullpen mistakes, and execute clean, focused baseball. A win would not only lift their record to a slightly more manageable 16-23 but could also serve as a pivotal confidence builder heading into the next stretch of their schedule. For a team still trying to rediscover the spark that propelled them to last year’s postseason appearance, Sunday’s game is about far more than just a win—it’s about finding direction, regaining belief, and reminding themselves that the season is still salvageable with the right mix of execution and resilience.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Chicago White Sox White Sox MLB Preview
The Chicago White Sox enter Sunday’s series finale against the Miami Marlins desperate to stop a trend of poor play that has left them with an 11-29 record and firmly planted at the bottom of the AL Central. Their 2025 season to this point has been defined by injuries, ineffective pitching, and an offense that has too often failed to produce in key moments. Despite flashes of promise, particularly from young contributors and a few established veterans, the White Sox have struggled to piece together complete games. Sunday presents a chance to secure a home series win, a rare achievement this season, and they’ll turn to right-hander Sean Burke in hopes of accomplishing that goal. Burke enters the game with a 2-4 record and a 4.35 ERA—not overwhelming, but relatively solid considering the inconsistency throughout the rotation. He’ll be tasked with navigating a Marlins lineup that has underwhelmed at the plate but features a handful of pesky hitters capable of capitalizing on mistakes. Burke’s success will likely depend on his ability to get ahead in counts and induce soft contact early to keep his pitch count manageable. Offensively, the White Sox have leaned heavily on Luis Robert Jr., who leads the team—and the league—with 15 stolen bases and remains one of the most electrifying players in baseball when healthy. His mix of speed, power, and defensive range makes him a constant threat, but his supporting cast must step up if the White Sox hope to climb out of their early-season hole.
Andrew Benintendi has delivered steady contributions, serving as a reliable left-handed bat who can grind out at-bats and keep innings alive. Still, the team as a whole has struggled with timely hitting, ranking near the bottom of the majors in average with runners in scoring position. Defensively, the White Sox continue to battle inconsistency, with costly errors and miscommunications frequently swinging close games in their opponents’ favor. Their bullpen has been another sore spot, often unable to hold late leads or keep tight games from unraveling, making run support and early-game execution all the more important. With an ATS record of 20-18, the White Sox have managed to keep games close, but moral victories won’t be enough to satisfy a fan base growing impatient with another rebuild cycle. A win on Sunday would not only provide some immediate relief but could also give the team something to build on—a rare series win at home and a small momentum boost ahead of their next stretch. To do that, they’ll need clean defense, a quality start from Burke, and key hits from the heart of their order to overcome a Marlins team also trying to right the ship. For a team in search of identity and stability, Sunday offers a chance to pause the bleeding, restore a bit of pride, and perhaps plant the first seeds of a long-overdue turnaround.
A no doubter. pic.twitter.com/TLJQFSluRR
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) May 10, 2025
Miami vs. Chicago White Sox Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Marlins and White Sox and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Chicago White Sox’s strength factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly deflated White Sox team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Chicago White Sox picks, computer picks Marlins vs White Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins have covered the spread in 19 of their 36 games this season, resulting in a 19-17 ATS record.
White Sox Betting Trends
The Chicago White Sox have an ATS record of 20-18 this season, covering the spread in 20 of their 38 games.
Marlins vs. White Sox Matchup Trends
The Marlins have a 3-0 record as moneyline favorites this season, while the White Sox have yet to be favored in any game. The over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 8 runs, with the Marlins favored at -135 and the White Sox at +115.
Miami vs. Chicago White Sox Game Info
What time does Miami vs Chicago White Sox start on May 11, 2025?
Miami vs Chicago White Sox starts on May 11, 2025 at 2:10 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Chicago White Sox being played?
Venue: Rate Field.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Chicago White Sox?
Spread: Chicago White Sox +1.5
Moneyline: Miami -135, Chicago White Sox +115
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Miami vs Chicago White Sox?
Miami: (15-23) | Chicago White Sox: (11-29)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Chicago White Sox?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Myers over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Chicago White Sox trending bets?
The Marlins have a 3-0 record as moneyline favorites this season, while the White Sox have yet to be favored in any game. The over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 8 runs, with the Marlins favored at -135 and the White Sox at +115.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Miami Marlins have covered the spread in 19 of their 36 games this season, resulting in a 19-17 ATS record.
What are Chicago White Sox trending bets?
CHW trend: The Chicago White Sox have an ATS record of 20-18 this season, covering the spread in 20 of their 38 games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Chicago White Sox?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Chicago White Sox Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Chicago White Sox trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Miami vs Chicago White Sox Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
-135 CHW Moneyline: +115
MIA Spread: -1.5
CHW Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
Miami vs Chicago White Sox Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
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0
3
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+950
-2000
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+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-130)
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O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
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St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
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0
0
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-185
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-1.5 (+105)
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O 9.5 (-125)
U 9.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+140
-170
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+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
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–
–
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-105
-115
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
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–
–
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+190
-235
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
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–
–
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-140
+115
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-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
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–
–
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+105
-125
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-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
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–
–
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+175
-215
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+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
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–
–
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+110
-130
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
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–
–
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+145
-175
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+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
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–
–
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+120
-145
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
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–
–
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+115
-140
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+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
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–
–
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-145
+120
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-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
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O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
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–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
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–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Chicago White Sox White Sox on May 11, 2025 at Rate Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |