The San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies are set to meet on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at Coors Field in what appears to be a lopsided National League West matchup based on early-season form, with San Diego entering at 23-13 and leading the division while Colorado continues to sink with a league-worst 6-31 record. The Padres are currently riding a four-game winning streak and most recently lit up Colorado’s pitching staff for 13 runs in a 13-9 victory, showcasing the depth and power of a rejuvenated lineup. Gavin Sheets and Martín Maldonado both had major impacts in that game, with Sheets driving in four runs and Maldonado adding a home run that helped extend an early lead. San Diego’s success hasn’t just come from the offense, though, as the pitching staff has been equally sharp—Saturday’s starter Stephen Kolek has been lights out in limited action, entering with a 1-0 record and a 0.00 ERA through his appearances so far.

The Padres are built on a foundation of veteran leadership, aggressive baserunning, and clean defense, and they’ve executed that formula well throughout April and into May. Meanwhile, Colorado continues to spiral, coming off yet another loss that highlighted all of their current deficiencies—poor starting pitching, leaky defense, and a lack of offensive rhythm outside of the occasional home-field Coors Field boost. Saturday’s starter Bradley Blalock enters with a bloated 8.03 ERA and has struggled to keep hitters off base, especially when pitching out of the stretch. The Rockies’ bullpen has offered little relief, and defensively, they have committed multiple costly errors that have extended innings and compounded their pitching issues. With San Diego owning the clear advantage in almost every statistical category—batting average, ERA, home run differential, and fielding percentage—the biggest challenge for the Padres may simply be avoiding complacency and staying locked in on the road. Historically, they’ve covered the spread in five of their last seven games against the Rockies, and with the Rockies now just 6-31 ATS on the year, trends are heavily in San Diego’s favor. Expect San Diego to be aggressive early, push for a big inning against Blalock, and then hand things over to a bullpen that has been far more reliable than Colorado’s. Unless the Rockies can find unexpected brilliance from their starter or capitalize on Coors Field’s unique offensive environment, the Padres look primed to extend their winning streak and further cement their place atop the division.