The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets are set for a compelling Saturday showdown on May 10, 2025, at Citi Field in a matchup that pits two National League contenders against each other with division standings and momentum hanging in the balance. The Mets come in as one of the hottest teams in baseball, holding a 25-14 record and sitting atop the NL East, while the Cubs enter at 22-16, looking to snap a three-game losing skid and keep pace in a crowded NL Central. Both teams are solid against the spread, with the Cubs at 22-16 ATS and the Mets at 21-17 ATS, and their recent head-to-head history favors New York, who has won three of the last five matchups while covering in 60% of those games. Saturday’s game features a promising pitching duel between Tylor Megill for the Mets and Brad Keller for the Cubs, two starters who have exceeded expectations in the early part of the season. Megill has emerged as a reliable presence in New York’s rotation, posting a 3-2 record with a sharp 2.50 ERA and 45 strikeouts, offering the Mets both length and swing-and-miss capability. Keller, on the other hand, has a 3.78 ERA with 18 strikeouts and has kept his team in games with his command and ability to induce ground balls. Offensively, the Mets have been anchored by Pete Alonso, who leads the team with a .328 average and 9 home runs, while Francisco Lindor continues to be a critical run producer with 7 home runs and 24 RBIs.

The Mets’ lineup is deep and disciplined, often grinding out at-bats and creating high-pressure innings that break down opposing pitchers. Meanwhile, the Cubs rely on their mix of youth and steady veterans, with Pete Crow-Armstrong providing speed at the top of the order and Seiya Suzuki offering balanced contact and occasional pop. Chicago has been effective at manufacturing runs, using situational hitting and stolen bases to force the issue, though they’ve had trouble sustaining offense during recent losses. Defensively, both teams have played clean baseball, with the Cubs backing their pitchers well in the field and the Mets minimizing errors behind a well-positioned infield. The bullpens could play a decisive role, with both clubs boasting arms capable of shutting down late-inning rallies but also showing occasional vulnerability under pressure. With the Cubs looking to avoid a series slide and the Mets aiming to extend their dominance at home, this game will likely come down to which team can execute in clutch moments—turning leadoff walks into runs, getting two-out hits, and converting save chances without drama. It’s a pivotal mid-May clash between two postseason hopefuls, and for the Cubs especially, a win would help re-establish their momentum and confidence on the road, while the Mets will look to send another statement that they are not only built to lead the NL East—but to stay there.