Rangers vs. Red Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 07 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox will face off on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, at Fenway Park in the second game of their three-game series. Both teams are hovering around the .500 mark, with the Red Sox at 18–18 and the Rangers at 17–18, making this matchup crucial for momentum as they approach the midseason point.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 07, 2025

Start Time: 6:45 PM EST​

Venue: Fenway Park​

Red Sox Record: (18-19)

Rangers Record: (18-18)

OPENING ODDS

TEX Moneyline: +102

BOS Moneyline: -122

TEX Spread: +1.5

BOS Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

TEX
Betting Trends

  • The Rangers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 1–4 in their last five games, reflecting their offensive challenges and inconsistent performances.

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have a 4–6 ATS record over their last ten games, indicating some difficulties in covering the spread, particularly in close contests.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last ten head-to-head matchups, the total has gone over in six games, suggesting a trend toward higher-scoring affairs when these teams meet.

TEX vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Devers over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Texas vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/7/25

The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox continue their three-game midweek series on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, at Fenway Park in a clash of two evenly matched teams trying to push themselves above .500 and gain ground in highly competitive divisions. The Red Sox come into the game with an 18–18 record, while the Rangers are just behind at 17–18, making this matchup particularly important for momentum as both teams enter a crucial stretch of May baseball. The Rangers are hoping to turn things around offensively, having recently hired former All-Star Bret Boone as their new hitting coach to inject life into a lineup that has underperformed relative to expectations. Despite having a talented roster that includes Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, and Adolis García, Texas has struggled with run production in recent weeks, which has directly impacted their ability to cover the run line—going just 1–4 ATS in their last five games. On the mound, Texas will send right-hander Tyler Mahle to the hill, and although he’s been limited in appearances due to his ongoing return from Tommy John surgery, he’s been effective when healthy, entering the game with a sparkling 1.19 ERA and showing good command and velocity in short stints. For Boston, the story has been one of inconsistency, alternating wins and losses while searching for stability on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they’ve been led by Wilyer Abreu and Rafael Devers, while Triston Casas continues to show power potential, but the Red Sox haven’t quite been able to string together complete performances.

Tanner Houck gets the start for Boston, bringing a 2–3 record and a 3.67 ERA into the game; he’s shown flashes of brilliance but has also had trouble navigating lineups a second and third time through. The total has gone over in six of the last ten meetings between these teams, and with two lineups capable of producing crooked numbers—even amid current inconsistencies—there’s potential for offensive fireworks, particularly with Fenway Park’s hitter-friendly dimensions. The Red Sox have gone 4–6 ATS in their last ten and continue to battle injuries, especially in their pitching staff, where several starters remain sidelined. Defensively, both teams have been mostly solid, though Boston’s infield has shown lapses in late-game situations, which has cost them in several tight losses. The matchup between Mahle’s control and Boston’s aggressive approach at the plate could be the key to the game—if Mahle can keep his pitch count down and avoid long innings, the Rangers could keep the game tight into the later frames. Boston, meanwhile, will look to jump on him early and get to Texas’s bullpen, which has been taxed and vulnerable in recent outings. Both clubs understand the significance of this series in setting the tone for the remainder of May, and with two experienced managers pulling the strings, fans can expect a well-played, high-intensity contest under the lights at Fenway Park.

Texas Rangers MLB Preview

The Texas Rangers enter Wednesday night’s matchup at Fenway Park with a 17–18 record and plenty of urgency as they look to avoid falling deeper into the AL West standings while also attempting to solve a puzzling offensive slump that has recently defined their play. The reigning World Series champions have not resembled their 2023 form through the first five weeks of the season, and the front office made a bold move by bringing in former All-Star Bret Boone as the new hitting coach to try and reenergize a lineup that’s been stuck in neutral. Despite the presence of elite talent in the form of Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, Adolis García, and Josh Jung, the Rangers have failed to generate consistent run support, often going cold with runners in scoring position, a trend that has directly contributed to their recent 1–4 ATS stretch. Still, there are signs of life—García remains a potent threat with 8 home runs and 25 RBIs, while Semien continues to get on base at a solid clip and plays Gold Glove-level defense at second base. On the mound, Texas hands the ball to right-hander Tyler Mahle, who has been slowly ramping up after his return from Tommy John surgery but has been superb in limited action, carrying a 1.19 ERA into this start and displaying his classic mix of fastballs and splitters with confident command. Mahle’s ability to control the tempo and limit traffic on the bases has been key to keeping the Rangers competitive when he’s on the mound.

The bullpen, however, has been inconsistent—blowing multiple late-inning leads—and remains a soft spot that Boston could look to exploit if they can chase Mahle by the middle innings. Defensively, Texas has been relatively clean, with Jonah Heim continuing to handle the pitching staff well behind the plate and a strong infield making routine plays. What the Rangers need is a breakout offensive performance to reset the tone of their road trip, and Fenway Park could be the place for that, given its favorable hitting conditions and shallow corners. Boone’s message to the hitters has been simple: be aggressive early, stay disciplined with two strikes, and don’t leave run-scoring chances on the table. From a betting perspective, Texas has seen the total go over frequently in matchups against Boston, with six of the last ten games between these clubs hitting the over, and the conditions may again favor offense if the bats wake up. If Mahle can give them five or six strong innings and the bats—especially the middle of the order—capitalize on any Boston pitching mistakes, the Rangers will have a real shot to level the series and build some momentum before heading into a key divisional stretch. It’s time for Texas to find the spark they’ve been missing, and Wednesday’s game could be the turning point if they execute the fundamentals and play up to their championship pedigree.

The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox will face off on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, at Fenway Park in the second game of their three-game series. Both teams are hovering around the .500 mark, with the Red Sox at 18–18 and the Rangers at 17–18, making this matchup crucial for momentum as they approach the midseason point. Texas vs Boston AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox return to Fenway Park for the second game of their series against the Texas Rangers with a 18–18 record and a clear goal of climbing above the .500 mark while solidifying their footing in the American League East. After an up-and-down stretch of play marked by both offensive spurts and frustrating inconsistency, the Red Sox have leaned on a young, aggressive lineup headlined by breakout outfielder Wilyer Abreu and power-hitting third baseman Rafael Devers to carry the offensive load. Abreu has impressed with his combination of speed and plate discipline, while Devers continues to be Boston’s most dangerous power bat, already logging 7 home runs and anchoring the middle of the order. Triston Casas has also shown promising power with timely hits, but the Red Sox as a whole have struggled to string together runs consistently and remain just average in team batting average and slugging percentage. On the mound for this game is right-hander Tanner Houck, who brings a 2–3 record and a 3.67 ERA into the start; he’s flashed plenty of upside with swing-and-miss stuff but has also had trouble sustaining success late into games, often running into trouble the second or third time through opposing lineups. That vulnerability will require Boston to be ready to use their bullpen early if necessary, though the relief corps has been spotty, with a few blown saves and inherited runners allowed to score in recent series.

Defensively, the Red Sox have improved compared to early April, with better infield cohesion and more consistent outfield routes, though errors have occasionally crept in late in games under pressure. From a betting perspective, Boston has gone 4–6 against the spread in their last ten games, reflecting their habit of staying close but not always pulling away in winnable situations. Fenway Park remains an advantage, particularly for left-handed hitters and line drives off the Monster, and the Red Sox will likely look to ambush Tyler Mahle early, given he’s coming off limited innings following Tommy John recovery. Manager Alex Cora has emphasized playing fast and creating pressure on the basepaths, something the team has done more of recently with aggressive turns on singles and more stolen base attempts. To win this matchup, Boston needs a solid five innings from Houck, run support from the heart of the order, and clean defense late to prevent the types of collapses that have hurt them in close games this season. The Red Sox understand that taking this game not only means a chance at a series win but also an opportunity to gain confidence and rhythm with key division matchups on the horizon. With home-field energy and some momentum from recent offensive output, Boston is poised to challenge a Rangers squad that has looked vulnerable of late, but they’ll need to be sharper in execution and smarter in high-leverage moments to finish the job.

Texas vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Rangers and Red Sox play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Fenway Park in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Devers over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Texas vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Rangers and Red Sox and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors regularly put on Texas’s strength factors between a Rangers team going up against a possibly deflated Red Sox team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Texas vs Boston picks, computer picks Rangers vs Red Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 1–4 in their last five games, reflecting their offensive challenges and inconsistent performances.

Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have a 4–6 ATS record over their last ten games, indicating some difficulties in covering the spread, particularly in close contests.

Rangers vs. Red Sox Matchup Trends

In their last ten head-to-head matchups, the total has gone over in six games, suggesting a trend toward higher-scoring affairs when these teams meet.

Texas vs. Boston Game Info

Texas vs Boston starts on May 07, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.

Spread: Boston -1.5
Moneyline: Texas +102, Boston -122
Over/Under: 9.5

Texas: (18-18)  |  Boston: (18-19)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Devers over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last ten head-to-head matchups, the total has gone over in six games, suggesting a trend toward higher-scoring affairs when these teams meet.

TEX trend: The Rangers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 1–4 in their last five games, reflecting their offensive challenges and inconsistent performances.

BOS trend: The Red Sox have a 4–6 ATS record over their last ten games, indicating some difficulties in covering the spread, particularly in close contests.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Texas vs. Boston Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Texas vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Texas vs Boston Opening Odds

TEX Moneyline: +102
BOS Moneyline: -122
TEX Spread: +1.5
BOS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Texas vs Boston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox on May 07, 2025 at Fenway Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN