The New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks conclude their six-game season series on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, at Chase Field in Phoenix, with the series currently tied and both teams looking to claim the rubber match. The Mets enter this final game riding a wave of momentum following a narrow 5–4 victory on Monday, highlighted by Francisco Lindor’s three-run homer and a game-saving defensive play in the ninth inning, while the Diamondbacks are aiming to snap a skid that’s seen them go 1–6 against the spread in their last seven contests. On the mound, New York hands the ball to Kodai Senga, who has been outstanding this season with a 3–2 record and a minuscule 1.38 ERA, using his signature ghost forkball to keep hitters off balance and limit scoring opportunities. Arizona counters with veteran righty Merrill Kelly, who holds a 3–1 record but carries a more vulnerable 4.41 ERA and is looking to rebound after a rough outing against the Mets in his last start. Offensively, the Mets are led by Pete Alonso, currently batting .349 with nine home runs, anchoring a lineup that has also leaned heavily on Lindor’s timely hitting and defense. However, the Mets face a challenge with designated hitter Jesse Winker now sidelined for six to eight weeks due to an oblique injury, prompting the recall of Brett Baty from Triple-A Syracuse in hopes of adding depth to the lineup. For Arizona, Eugenio Suárez leads the power numbers with 10 homers, while Geraldo Perdomo has emerged as a productive bat, leading the team with 30 RBIs.

The Diamondbacks have been dangerous when their offense clicks, but their bullpen and defensive execution have cost them in close games. Defensively, both teams have shown flashes of excellence, but the Mets, particularly with Lindor’s glove work, have consistently delivered in high-leverage moments. Betting trends favor New York in this matchup—the Mets are 5–1 against the spread in their last six games versus Arizona, and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings, hinting at the possibility of another high-scoring affair if either starter gets chased early. The Diamondbacks have home-field advantage but will need to clean up defensive miscues and get a quality start from Kelly to stand a chance against Senga, who has been elite at suppressing offense. On the flip side, the Mets will look to jump out early, take pressure off their bullpen, and continue leaning on their stars in the absence of Winker. With the series on the line and each team seeking traction in their respective division races, this finale has the makings of an intense, competitive game that could be decided by one swing or one play late, especially in a ballpark like Chase Field that often yields offense when the roof is open and the balls start flying.