Padres vs Yankees Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 06)

Updated: 2025-05-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The San Diego Padres and New York Yankees will square off on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. Both teams are looking to gain momentum in the early part of the season, with the Padres aiming to improve their road performance and the Yankees seeking consistency at home.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 06, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (19-16)

Padres Record: (23-11)

OPENING ODDS

SD Moneyline: -110

NYY Moneyline: -109

SD Spread: -1.5

NYY Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

SD
Betting Trends

  • The Padres have been competitive against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly on the road, where they have covered in 5 of their last 7 away games.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have struggled ATS at home recently, covering in only 3 of their last 8 games at Yankee Stadium.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have covered the spread 4 times against the Yankees, indicating a favorable trend for San Diego bettors.

SD vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.

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San Diego vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/6/25

The San Diego Padres and New York Yankees square off in a marquee interleague showdown on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, featuring two teams with legitimate postseason aspirations and star power on both sides of the field. The Padres come into this matchup with a 21-11 record and riding high in the National League West, powered by a balanced offensive attack and one of the most stable pitching staffs in baseball. At the center of San Diego’s success is Fernando Tatis Jr., who continues to dazzle at the plate with his combination of speed, power, and flair, providing the spark atop a lineup that also includes big bats like Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts. Their rotation has been led by Joe Musgrove, whose command and competitive edge make him a dependable option in any ballpark, and while Blake Snell and Yu Darvish have battled inconsistencies, the overall staff ERA remains among the best in the league. The Padres have also quietly improved on defense, turning double plays with ease and reducing errors that plagued them in past seasons, which has translated into more confidence for their arms and crisper play in tight games. On the other side, the Yankees have gotten off to a strong 17-12 start, thanks in large part to the red-hot bat of Aaron Judge, who is batting a blistering .405 with 8 home runs and 28 RBIs—reminding the league that he remains one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball when healthy and locked in.

New York has added significant firepower in the form of Paul Goldschmidt, who has been nearly as impressive with a .361 batting average, giving the Yankees a devastating 1-2 punch that is capable of carrying the offense on any given night. Their rotation has held steady behind Clarke Schmidt, who is slated to start Tuesday’s game, and while Gerrit Cole remains sidelined, the staff has managed to keep opponents in check by limiting hard contact and pitching deep into games. However, one area of concern for the Yankees has been their inconsistent performance at home ATS, covering the spread in only 3 of their last 8 games at Yankee Stadium, which raises questions about their ability to dominate in front of the Bronx faithful. Conversely, the Padres have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 road games and seem to thrive in hostile environments with their mix of veteran poise and young talent. The key to this matchup will likely come down to whether the Padres can limit the Yankees’ early-inning production and whether San Diego’s offense can get to Schmidt before New York’s bullpen—which has been solid—can take over. With both lineups loaded with star power and two capable starters on the mound, expect a tightly contested, high-intensity game that could swing on one big inning or a critical defensive play. This game could also serve as a potential postseason preview, as both clubs look primed to contend deep into October if they can stay healthy and maintain their current form. Whether it’s Judge’s bat or Tatis’ legs, there will be no shortage of fireworks in the Bronx as two of baseball’s most marketable franchises go head-to-head under the spotlight.

San Diego Padres MLB Preview

The San Diego Padres enter Tuesday’s matchup at Yankee Stadium with a strong 21-11 record and a clear statement of intent to remain among the National League’s elite contenders. Offensively, the Padres are headlined by the electric Fernando Tatis Jr., who has been the tone-setter both at the top of the order and in the field with his blend of speed, bat control, and swagger that continues to energize the team and its fanbase. His presence is amplified by Manny Machado’s leadership and power from the middle of the lineup, with Xander Bogaerts and Ha-Seong Kim offering dependable bats and defense that help lengthen a lineup capable of scoring in bunches. This depth has made San Diego one of the more difficult teams to pitch to, as opposing starters struggle to find easy outs anywhere in the order. On the mound, Joe Musgrove has emerged once again as a stabilizing ace for the rotation, bringing command, mound presence, and an ERA that consistently hovers in the mid-3s, giving the Padres confidence every fifth day. While the supporting rotation pieces like Blake Snell and Yu Darvish have had their ups and downs, the Padres’ bullpen has helped offset some of those inconsistencies, with reliable late-inning options keeping the team in position to close out tight games.

Defensively, San Diego has improved significantly this season, turning key double plays and showing cleaner fielding all around, which has reduced the pressure on their pitching and kept innings from unraveling. On the road, the Padres have quietly been one of the most efficient teams in the league, covering the spread in five of their last seven away contests, which speaks to their ability to remain composed in hostile environments like Yankee Stadium. One of the keys for Tuesday’s matchup will be patience at the plate—drawing walks, working deep counts against Clarke Schmidt, and forcing the Yankees into their bullpen early—where San Diego can take advantage of middle relief matchups before closer Clay Holmes enters the picture. With their power bats heating up and the ability to manufacture runs in multiple ways, the Padres are a legitimate threat to continue their hot streak and steal another win on the road. Manager Mike Shildt has done a solid job keeping the team focused and competitive across the board, managing both stars and role players effectively and making the right moves in high-leverage situations. If Tatis gets on base, Musgrove delivers a quality start, and the bullpen continues to hold its own, the Padres have the formula to take down even the best lineups—and doing it in the Bronx would only add to their growing credibility as a serious World Series threat in 2025.

The San Diego Padres and New York Yankees will square off on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. Both teams are looking to gain momentum in the early part of the season, with the Padres aiming to improve their road performance and the Yankees seeking consistency at home. San Diego vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees return to Yankee Stadium on Tuesday night riding the high of a 17-12 start to the 2025 season and the elite form of their captain Aaron Judge, whose blistering .405 batting average, 8 home runs, and 28 RBIs have once again solidified his position as one of baseball’s most feared hitters. Judge has been the emotional and statistical backbone of a Yankees offense that has shown explosive potential, particularly when paired with Paul Goldschmidt, who has been nearly as effective at the plate with a .361 average and a steady presence in the middle of the order. Together, this duo gives New York a power core that can swing momentum in a single inning and has already produced multiple game-winning hits. Around them, the lineup has gotten timely production from players like Gleyber Torres and Anthony Volpe, with Giancarlo Stanton slowly rounding into form, providing occasional thunder from the DH spot. On the pitching side, the Yankees have weathered the absence of ace Gerrit Cole thanks in large part to Clarke Schmidt, who has stepped into a bigger role and delivered consistent starts, showing improved command and poise under pressure. Schmidt is expected to take the ball Tuesday against a loaded Padres lineup, and while he’ll face one of his toughest tests of the season, his ability to mix pitches and stay away from the heart of the plate will be crucial if the Yankees hope to keep San Diego in check.

The bullpen has continued to be a team strength, with Clay Holmes anchoring the ninth inning and strong middle relief from Jonathan Loáisiga and Wandy Peralta giving manager Aaron Boone the flexibility to play matchups late in games. Defensively, the Yankees have been steady, though occasional lapses in the infield have extended innings, something they’ll need to avoid against a Padres team that capitalizes on mistakes. Despite their strong overall record, the Yankees have struggled a bit ATS at home, covering in only three of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium—a stat that suggests some of their wins have come in closer-than-expected fashion. That said, Yankee Stadium remains one of the most difficult parks for opponents, and the home crowd energy often sparks quick offensive surges, especially in late innings. For Tuesday’s game, the Yankees must focus on striking early against Joe Musgrove, avoiding a low-scoring duel that could tilt in favor of San Diego’s bullpen, and getting continued production from the top of the order to keep pressure on throughout. If Schmidt can limit traffic and keep Tatis and Machado quiet, and if Judge continues his MVP-level tear, the Yankees are in excellent position to defend their home turf and prove they can hang with one of the National League’s best. This matchup has all the makings of a statement game for the Yankees—a chance to flex their star power, trust their depth, and reassert dominance in the Bronx.

San Diego vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Padres and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.

San Diego vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Padres and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly unhealthy Yankees team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI San Diego vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Padres vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been competitive against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly on the road, where they have covered in 5 of their last 7 away games.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have struggled ATS at home recently, covering in only 3 of their last 8 games at Yankee Stadium.

Padres vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have covered the spread 4 times against the Yankees, indicating a favorable trend for San Diego bettors.

San Diego vs. New York Yankees Game Info

San Diego vs New York Yankees starts on May 06, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees +1.5
Moneyline: San Diego -110, New York Yankees -109
Over/Under: 8

San Diego: (23-11)  |  New York Yankees: (19-16)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have covered the spread 4 times against the Yankees, indicating a favorable trend for San Diego bettors.

SD trend: The Padres have been competitive against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly on the road, where they have covered in 5 of their last 7 away games.

NYY trend: The Yankees have struggled ATS at home recently, covering in only 3 of their last 8 games at Yankee Stadium.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Diego vs. New York Yankees Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

San Diego vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

SD Moneyline: -110
NYY Moneyline: -109
SD Spread: -1.5
NYY Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

San Diego vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees Yankees on May 06, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN