Mariners vs Athletics Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 05)
Updated: 2025-05-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Seattle Mariners (20-12) will face the Sacramento Athletics (18-16) on Monday, May 5, 2025, at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California. This matchup features two American League West teams aiming to strengthen their positions in the division standings.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 05, 2025
Start Time: 10:05 PM EST
Venue: Sutter Health Park
Athletics Record: (19-16)
Mariners Record: (20-13)
OPENING ODDS
SEA Moneyline: -114
ATH Moneyline: -105
SEA Spread: -1.5
ATH Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
SEA
Betting Trends
- The Mariners have covered the spread in 60% of their last five games, demonstrating strong recent performance against the spread.
ATH
Betting Trends
- The Athletics have covered the spread in 60% of their last five games, indicating competitive play in recent matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Mariners are favored at -115 on the moneyline, while the Athletics are slight underdogs at -105. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, suggesting expectations for a moderately high-scoring game.
SEA vs. ATH
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Kurtz over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Seattle vs Athletics Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/5/25
However, their pitching staff remains a liability, carrying a team ERA of 4.52, with rotation depth thinned by injuries like the absence of Ken Waldichuk, which has forced the Athletics to lean on younger, less proven arms. The bullpen, while occasionally effective, has lacked the consistency needed to support close contests, and it remains the team’s most vulnerable area, especially when starters fail to go deep. Defensively, the A’s have been adequate, though they’ve shown occasional lapses that can cost them in high-leverage innings. Both teams enter with recent ATS momentum—each covering the spread in 60% of their last five games—which suggests a competitive clash, but the Mariners’ superior starting pitching, bullpen reliability, and ability to apply pressure from both the top and bottom of the lineup gives them a distinct edge. With the Mariners slightly favored at -115 and the over/under set at nine runs, expectations point to a moderately high-scoring game, but much will hinge on how well the Athletics can contain Seattle’s early offensive surge and whether they can chase a Mariners starter early to expose the bullpen. For Seattle, this is an opportunity to stretch their division lead and reinforce their position as one of the most complete teams in baseball; for Sacramento, it’s a chance to prove they can punch above their weight against top-tier competition and earn legitimacy in the divisional race. If the Mariners execute their game plan with the same balance they’ve displayed all season, they’ll be difficult to beat—but the Athletics’ power bats and home-field energy ensure this game has the potential for drama.
had to dust off the loss graphic ☹️ pic.twitter.com/ArbbHrzROy
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) May 4, 2025
Seattle Mariners MLB Preview
The Seattle Mariners enter Monday’s matchup against the Sacramento Athletics at Sutter Health Park with a 20-12 record, firmly in control of first place in the AL West and playing some of their most complete baseball of the young 2025 season. Seattle’s formula for success has been built on elite pitching and well-balanced offense, with their staff posting a collective 2.65 ERA—among the lowest in Major League Baseball—thanks to dominant starting pitching and a reliable, high-leverage bullpen. Logan Gilbert and Luis Castillo have consistently delivered quality starts, giving the Mariners a stable foundation every time they take the mound, while Andrés Muñoz has emerged as one of the top closers in the league, routinely shutting the door in tight contests with overpowering stuff and pinpoint command. Offensively, Seattle continues to benefit from the dynamic presence of Julio Rodríguez, who not only sets the tone with his speed and plate discipline but also has the power to flip games with one swing, while Cal Raleigh has taken a significant step forward as a run-producing force in the middle of the order, supplying consistent home run power and driving in key runs.
The lineup as a whole has improved in situational hitting, moving runners with purpose and executing in late-inning spots, a trait that’s helped them close out competitive series against divisional opponents like the Rangers and Angels in recent weeks. Seattle has also shown impressive consistency against the spread, covering in 60% of their last five games, a sign of both their ability to win and to exceed expectations, even when favored. Defensively, the Mariners continue to rank as one of the more fundamentally sound teams in baseball, committing few errors and making the routine plays that help preserve tight leads and avoid unnecessary pressure on their pitchers. Their road performance has been commendable as well, with the team showing the same discipline and execution away from home as they do at T-Mobile Park. Heading into Sacramento, Seattle is narrowly favored at -115 in what oddsmakers expect to be a closely contested matchup, and given the Athletics’ suspect pitching and heavy reliance on power bats, the Mariners’ goal will be to jump ahead early, let their pitching control the tempo, and grind out a win in typical Mariners fashion. For a team that’s built on consistency, balance, and execution, the Mariners will look to take care of business in this divisional matchup, extend their lead in the standings, and reinforce the idea that they are legitimate AL contenders capable of winning games with both power and precision.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Athletics Athletics MLB Preview
The Sacramento Athletics return home to Sutter Health Park with an 18-16 record that has kept them firmly in the mix in the AL West despite the ongoing challenges of relocation and a roster still taking shape around a core of offensive firepower and evolving pitching depth. While not among the preseason favorites, the Athletics have consistently played competitive baseball through the season’s first month, driven by an aggressive approach at the plate that’s resulted in one of the more dangerous offenses in the American League. Brent Rooker and Shea Langeliers have been the cornerstones of the attack—Rooker providing a steady supply of home runs and clutch extra-base hits while Langeliers, with his emerging power and improved plate discipline, has added needed production in key middle-inning situations. As a result, the A’s are averaging 5.3 runs per game and boast a team slugging percentage of .440, both figures placing them in the upper tier of MLB lineups and giving them the ability to hang with even the most dominant pitching staffs when their bats are clicking. However, pitching remains Sacramento’s Achilles heel, as the team’s 4.52 ERA is among the worst in the league and a reflection of a rotation forced to do more with less, particularly in the wake of injuries to expected contributors like Ken Waldichuk. The rotation has lacked stability, often putting pressure on a bullpen that, while occasionally effective, lacks the depth or shutdown arms needed to consistently hold late-inning leads.
This inconsistency has contributed to the Athletics’ inability to sustain winning streaks, and against a team like Seattle, known for capitalizing on pitching mistakes and manufacturing runs with disciplined at-bats, this vulnerability becomes even more concerning. On defense, the Athletics have been adequate—occasionally flashing strong infield play and outfield range—but haven’t excelled enough to overcome their pitching shortfalls in close games. That said, Sacramento has fared well against the spread in recent outings, covering in 60% of their last five games and showing resilience in tight matchups, particularly at home where their energetic fan base and hitter-friendly park have provided a subtle advantage. Heading into Monday’s contest as slight underdogs at -105, the Athletics will aim to match Seattle’s execution by turning the game into an offensive duel where their bats can tilt the balance. If they can get a surprisingly solid outing from their starter and give the bullpen a lead to protect, Sacramento has the firepower to push the division leaders to the brink. But the margin for error is razor thin, and success will hinge on keeping Julio Rodríguez and the Mariners’ lineup from building early momentum. If the A’s can strike first and feed off the home atmosphere, this series opener could serve as both a confidence booster and a critical stepping stone in their quest to remain relevant in a division that’s still wide open.
Tyler Ferguson picks up his first save of the season! pic.twitter.com/XJPiL4tbin
— Athletics (@Athletics) May 4, 2025
Seattle vs. Athletics Prop Picks (AI)
Seattle vs. Athletics Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Mariners and Athletics and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Seattle’s strength factors between a Mariners team going up against a possibly rested Athletics team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Seattle vs Athletics picks, computer picks Mariners vs Athletics, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners have covered the spread in 60% of their last five games, demonstrating strong recent performance against the spread.
Athletics Betting Trends
The Athletics have covered the spread in 60% of their last five games, indicating competitive play in recent matchups.
Mariners vs. Athletics Matchup Trends
The Mariners are favored at -115 on the moneyline, while the Athletics are slight underdogs at -105. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, suggesting expectations for a moderately high-scoring game.
Seattle vs. Athletics Game Info
What time does Seattle vs Athletics start on May 05, 2025?
Seattle vs Athletics starts on May 05, 2025 at 10:05 PM EST.
Where is Seattle vs Athletics being played?
Venue: Sutter Health Park.
What are the opening odds for Seattle vs Athletics?
Spread: Athletics +1.5
Moneyline: Seattle -114, Athletics -105
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Seattle vs Athletics?
Seattle: (20-13) | Athletics: (19-16)
What is the AI best bet for Seattle vs Athletics?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Kurtz over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Seattle vs Athletics trending bets?
The Mariners are favored at -115 on the moneyline, while the Athletics are slight underdogs at -105. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, suggesting expectations for a moderately high-scoring game.
What are Seattle trending bets?
SEA trend: The Mariners have covered the spread in 60% of their last five games, demonstrating strong recent performance against the spread.
What are Athletics trending bets?
ATH trend: The Athletics have covered the spread in 60% of their last five games, indicating competitive play in recent matchups.
Where can I find AI Picks for Seattle vs Athletics?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Seattle vs. Athletics Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Seattle vs Athletics trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Seattle vs Athletics Opening Odds
SEA Moneyline:
-114 ATH Moneyline: -105
SEA Spread: -1.5
ATH Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
Seattle vs Athletics Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+112
-123
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+171)
|
O 7.5 (-114)
U 7.5 (-101)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics Athletics on May 05, 2025 at Sutter Health Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |