Royals vs Orioles Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 04)
Updated: 2025-05-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles will face off in the final game of their three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday, May 4, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Both teams are looking to gain momentum in their respective divisions as they conclude this weekend matchup.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 04, 2025
Start Time: 1:35 PM EST
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles Record: (13-19)
Royals Record: (18-16)
OPENING ODDS
KC Moneyline: +110
BAL Moneyline: -131
KC Spread: +1.5
BAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
KC
Betting Trends
- The Royals have covered the spread in 8 of their 12 games as favorites this season, translating to a 66.7% success rate. As underdogs, they have covered in 8 of 19 games, a 42.1% rate.
BAL
Betting Trends
- The Orioles have covered the spread in 7 of their 16 games as favorites (43.8%) and in 6 of 13 games as underdogs (46.2%).
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last five head-to-head matchups, the underdog has covered the spread in four games. Additionally, the total has gone under in three of those five games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring contests.
KC vs. BAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Waters over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Kansas City vs Baltimore Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/4/25
On the Baltimore side, Cedric Mullins (.267, 6 HR) has been the most consistent producer, while Ryan O’Hearn’s .303 average and power have provided a lift in the middle of the lineup, though key contributors like Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have had uneven stretches. This series finale may come down to which bullpen performs better under pressure—Kansas City’s relief corps has been surprisingly effective, with arms like James McArthur and John Schreiber stepping into high-leverage roles and delivering, while Baltimore’s bullpen has been far more volatile, struggling to hold late leads and protect slim margins. The Royals also hold a slight edge defensively, showing solid infield fundamentals and the ability to convert double plays efficiently, while the Orioles have had occasional lapses that have extended innings and allowed opponents to capitalize. The broader context of this matchup is equally compelling: Kansas City is looking to prove their start isn’t a fluke and that they can hang in a competitive Central, while Baltimore is desperate to stop the bleeding and avoid falling too far behind in a stacked AL East. With two experienced starters on the mound, young talent on both sides, and divisional pride at stake, this game is set up to be a tightly contested battle that could swing on one or two critical at-bats or managerial decisions. Both teams know what’s at stake, and Sunday’s contest should reflect that urgency, intensity, and competitive spirit that defines early May baseball for clubs hoping to find their identity.
Bounce-back night.#HEYHEYHEYHEY pic.twitter.com/Y06BivZ3Ti
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) May 4, 2025
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals head into Sunday’s finale at Oriole Park with a 17-16 record and the chance to walk away with a valuable road series win that would further legitimize their encouraging start to the 2025 season. After years of rebuilding, the Royals are starting to see the fruits of their development pipeline with a lineup that blends young, dynamic talent with veteran presence. Bobby Witt Jr. remains the engine of the offense, batting .312 with a mix of gap-to-gap power, elite baserunning, and improved plate discipline that continues to make him one of the most exciting young stars in baseball. He’s been well-supported by Maikel Garcia, who’s hitting .288 and playing excellent defense on the left side of the infield, while Vinnie Pasquantino, despite a cold stretch (.179 AVG), remains a middle-of-the-order bat the Royals believe will heat up. Veteran catcher Salvador Pérez adds a steadying influence, both at the plate and behind it, with his ability to call games, frame pitches, and deliver timely power still very much intact. On the mound, right-hander Michael Lorenzen gets the ball with a 3-3 record and 3.48 ERA, representing one of the most stable arms in Kansas City’s rotation. Lorenzen has shown veteran poise, limiting walks and generating weak contact through a combination of a riding fastball, a fading changeup, and a tight cutter that keeps hitters off balance.
The Royals have done a good job providing him early run support this year, and if they can get on the board quickly, Lorenzen is more than capable of pitching deep into the game. Behind him, the Royals’ bullpen has emerged as a strength, with James McArthur and John Schreiber anchoring the late innings and consistently closing the door when given a lead. Defensively, Kansas City has looked sharp, executing double plays efficiently and limiting mistakes, a reflection of manager Matt Quatraro’s emphasis on fundamentals and situational awareness. The team’s improved base running has also helped generate extra opportunities, with players like Witt and Garcia applying pressure on opposing defenses when they get on base. Against a struggling Orioles club and a vulnerable starter in Kyle Gibson, the Royals have a chance to be aggressive early and force Baltimore’s bullpen into action before the middle innings. Sunday presents more than just a chance for a series win—it’s another opportunity for the Royals to build momentum and send a message that they’re not just a feel-good story in the AL Central but a legitimate postseason contender. With solid pitching, defensive execution, and a rising young core, Kansas City looks to leave Baltimore with a statement victory and a winning record to take into the next leg of their schedule.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview
The Baltimore Orioles enter Sunday’s matchup against the Kansas City Royals looking to avoid another series loss and reverse their slow start to the 2025 campaign, which has left them at 13-18 and searching for consistency across the board. After a breakout 2024 season that saw Baltimore return to playoff relevance, the current year has been more turbulent, with flashes of the team’s potential frequently overshadowed by pitching woes and uneven offensive production. Manager Brandon Hyde will hand the ball to veteran right-hander Kyle Gibson, a pitcher the team hoped would provide stability but who has struggled with command and run prevention early this season. Gibson’s performance on Sunday will be key—not only for giving his team a chance to win but also to help reset a starting rotation that has lacked length and reliability. The Orioles’ bullpen has been forced to carry more innings than expected, and while certain relievers like Yennier Canó have performed well, the unit overall has been stretched thin and vulnerable late in games. On the offensive side, Baltimore still boasts an exciting core led by Cedric Mullins, who is hitting .267 with 6 home runs and a team-leading energy both in the field and at the plate. Ryan O’Hearn has quietly been one of the most effective bats in the lineup, with a .303 average and clutch production, and Adley Rutschman continues to be the glue behind the plate, even if his offensive numbers haven’t yet met expectations.
Gunnar Henderson has had an up-and-down start, providing power and defensive highlight-reel plays, but he’ll need to find more consistency to anchor the middle of the order. Despite the star power and talent in the lineup, the Orioles have struggled in situational hitting, particularly with runners in scoring position, leading to missed opportunities and close losses. Defensively, the team remains sound, with good range in the outfield and strong arms across the diamond, but even excellent fielding can’t overcome a pitching staff that struggles to keep games close early. Sunday’s game is critical, not just to avoid a home series defeat, but to inject a much-needed sense of momentum into a season that risks falling behind quickly in the stacked AL East. Baltimore’s home crowd at Camden Yards has continued to show up in support, and a strong outing from Gibson coupled with early run support could be exactly what the team needs to reset. If the Orioles can manufacture runs, manage pitch counts more effectively, and keep the Royals’ dynamic young hitters in check, they stand a good chance of salvaging the finale. With May now underway, the sense of urgency is real, and Baltimore must begin stringing wins together to stay in touch with division rivals who have come out of the gates much hotter. Sunday presents an opportunity to stabilize and start building back the confidence that defined the 2024 squad.
トモがマウンドに上がる。
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) May 3, 2025
Tomo takes the mound. pic.twitter.com/G7J7cB2mrP
Kansas City vs. Baltimore Prop Picks (AI)
Kansas City vs. Baltimore Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Royals and Orioles and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Kansas City’s strength factors between a Royals team going up against a possibly deflated Orioles team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Baltimore picks, computer picks Royals vs Orioles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have covered the spread in 8 of their 12 games as favorites this season, translating to a 66.7% success rate. As underdogs, they have covered in 8 of 19 games, a 42.1% rate.
Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have covered the spread in 7 of their 16 games as favorites (43.8%) and in 6 of 13 games as underdogs (46.2%).
Royals vs. Orioles Matchup Trends
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the underdog has covered the spread in four games. Additionally, the total has gone under in three of those five games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring contests.
Kansas City vs. Baltimore Game Info
What time does Kansas City vs Baltimore start on May 04, 2025?
Kansas City vs Baltimore starts on May 04, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.
Where is Kansas City vs Baltimore being played?
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
What are the opening odds for Kansas City vs Baltimore?
Spread: Baltimore -1.5
Moneyline: Kansas City +110, Baltimore -131
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Kansas City vs Baltimore?
Kansas City: (18-16) | Baltimore: (13-19)
What is the AI best bet for Kansas City vs Baltimore?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Waters over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Kansas City vs Baltimore trending bets?
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the underdog has covered the spread in four games. Additionally, the total has gone under in three of those five games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring contests.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Royals have covered the spread in 8 of their 12 games as favorites this season, translating to a 66.7% success rate. As underdogs, they have covered in 8 of 19 games, a 42.1% rate.
What are Baltimore trending bets?
BAL trend: The Orioles have covered the spread in 7 of their 16 games as favorites (43.8%) and in 6 of 13 games as underdogs (46.2%).
Where can I find AI Picks for Kansas City vs Baltimore?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kansas City vs. Baltimore Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Baltimore trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Kansas City vs Baltimore Opening Odds
KC Moneyline:
+110 BAL Moneyline: -131
KC Spread: +1.5
BAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Kansas City vs Baltimore Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles on May 04, 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD@TOR | TOR +1.5 | 56.7% | 2 | WIN |
| TOR@LAD | TOR +1.5 | 55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |