Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 01)

Updated: 2025-04-29T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets will conclude their three-game series on May 1, 2025, at Citi Field. The Mets aim to secure a series win, while the Diamondbacks look to even the series in this early afternoon matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 01, 2025

Start Time: 1:10 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (21-10)

Diamondbacks Record: (16-14)

OPENING ODDS

ARI Moneyline: +134

NYM Moneyline: -159

ARI Spread: +1.5

NYM Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

ARI
Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have a 14–16 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the run line consistently.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 18–13 ATS this season, showcasing a strong performance in covering the run line.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -157, while the Diamondbacks are underdogs at +132; the over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

ARI vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Vientos over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Arizona vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/1/25

The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets will meet in the final game of a three-game series on May 1, 2025, at Citi Field, in a contest that showcases one of the hottest teams in baseball against a talented but uneven challenger. The Mets, currently 21–10 and sitting near the top of the National League standings, have consistently demonstrated balance on both sides of the ball, combining top-tier starting pitching, strong defense, and a deep, high-powered lineup. Arizona, on the other hand, enters the game at 16–14, showing offensive potency but struggling with consistency on the mound and defensively, allowing five runs per game on average. The starting pitching matchup features two high-profile right-handers in contrasting form: New York’s Kodai Senga, one of the league’s most dominant arms to start the season, boasts a 3–1 record and dazzling 1.26 ERA, while Arizona’s Zac Gallen has been a surprising source of volatility with a 1–4 record and 5.57 ERA, despite strong strikeout numbers and solid underlying metrics. Offensively, the Mets have been led by Pete Alonso, whose .346 average and .664 slugging percentage rank among the league’s best, and he’s had plenty of help from Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto, both of whom provide OBP and slugging threats from either side of the plate.

That trio has helped the Mets generate 148 runs (ninth in MLB), and their ability to apply pressure early in games often forces opposing pitchers into high-stress innings. Arizona has its own offensive stars in Corbin Carroll and Josh Naylor—Carroll boasting a .298 average and explosive slugging presence, while Naylor provides elite contact skills and power from the left side—but the D-backs have frequently had to overcome poor pitching and defensive lapses to stay in games. With an over/under set at 7.5 runs and the Mets favored at -157, expectations are for a tightly contested but pitching-dominant affair, especially given the presence of Senga and New York’s elite bullpen behind him. The outcome may hinge on Gallen’s ability to contain New York’s offense through six innings and whether Arizona’s lineup can crack the code against Senga’s devastating splitters and late movement. For the Mets, a win would cap another series victory and extend their dominant stretch into May, while Arizona seeks to even the series and shake off some of the early-season inconsistency that’s left them hovering around .500. It’s a compelling matchup that highlights the contrast between a club thriving in all phases and one trying to stabilize its identity, and it could serve as an early benchmark for both teams in terms of how they’ll stack up in the National League hierarchy.

Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter the series finale against the New York Mets with a 16–14 record and a clear mission to bounce back and even the series after an up-and-down performance through the first two games. Despite their offensive capabilities, the D-backs have struggled to string together consistency, particularly on the mound and in the field, which has led to a frustrating trend of missed opportunities and narrow defeats. The team is powered offensively by rising star Corbin Carroll, who continues to show MVP-caliber potential with a .298 batting average and a .645 slugging percentage, offering both speed and power at the top of the lineup. Alongside Carroll, Josh Naylor has emerged as a reliable force in the heart of the order, batting .318 with a .388 OBP and giving Arizona a much-needed left-handed power presence capable of driving in runs in clutch situations. As a team, Arizona ranks sixth in the majors in total runs scored with 157, and their .244 team batting average speaks to their ability to apply pressure up and down the lineup. However, that offensive strength has often been undercut by a pitching staff that enters this game allowing five runs per game on average, a number that places them among the more vulnerable units in the National League. On the mound, Zac Gallen will look to turn around what has been a surprisingly difficult start to the season. Coming into the game with a 1–4 record and a 5.57 ERA, Gallen has shown flashes of brilliance—particularly with his 35 strikeouts in just over 32 innings—but has struggled with command and consistency, often finding trouble in the middle innings.

The ace of Arizona’s staff is more than capable of shutting down even elite offenses, and if he can locate his curveball and changeup with precision, he has the tools to outduel Mets starter Kodai Senga. But with New York’s lineup featuring multiple elite hitters and few weak spots, Gallen will have little margin for error. Arizona’s bullpen has also been shaky, with inconsistent performances late in games that have cost them key leads, and manager Torey Lovullo may need to be aggressive with matchups if Gallen exits early. Defensively, the D-backs have not done their pitchers many favors, ranking near the bottom in defensive efficiency and frequently making mistakes that lead to extended innings and additional scoring chances for opponents. For the Diamondbacks to secure a win in this finale, they’ll need Gallen to deliver a quality start, limit the long ball, and rely on Carroll and Naylor to spark the offense against one of the stingiest pitching staffs in the league. The road environment at Citi Field and New York’s early dominance present challenges, but Arizona has proven they can compete with top-tier teams when they play clean, high-energy baseball. A win would not only even the series but also inject confidence into a team still trying to establish its identity as a serious postseason threat in 2025.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets will conclude their three-game series on May 1, 2025, at Citi Field. The Mets aim to secure a series win, while the Diamondbacks look to even the series in this early afternoon matchup. Arizona vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 01. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets take the field for the series finale against the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 21–10 record and all the momentum of a team firing on all cylinders as the season enters its second month. With wins in five of their last six games and a 1–0 edge in this series, the Mets have found a rhythm built on elite pitching, a relentless offense, and reliable defense—all under the calm leadership of manager Carlos Mendoza. Their biggest weapon heading into this matchup is starting pitcher Kodai Senga, who has dazzled in 2025 with a 3–1 record and a minuscule 1.26 ERA across 28 2/3 innings. Known for his devastating splitter and pinpoint control, Senga has allowed opponents to bat just .208 against him, and he’s posted two quality starts already this season while routinely giving the Mets a chance to control games from the first pitch. His presence on the mound not only neutralizes potent opposing lineups like Arizona’s but also sets the tone for the rest of the staff, which has held opposing teams to an MLB-best 2.7 runs per game. With a bullpen that features experienced arms and high-leverage stoppers, New York is equipped to shut down games late, allowing the offense to play confidently and aggressively from the start.

Offensively, the Mets have been equally impressive. Pete Alonso has been the club’s anchor at the plate, leading the charge with a .346 batting average, a .462 on-base percentage, and a monstrous .664 slugging percentage, making him one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball right now. He’s had support throughout the lineup, with Francisco Lindor contributing a .302 average and strong defense at shortstop, while Juan Soto continues to be an on-base machine with a .374 OBP and excellent plate discipline. The Mets have racked up 148 runs (ninth in MLB) and hit effectively in all phases, from clutch two-out hits to timely power surges that have changed the complexion of games. Their lineup features depth as well, with production from Jeff McNeil and Brandon Nimmo further stretching opposing pitchers and keeping pressure on throughout the order. In this matchup, the Mets will look to jump on struggling Arizona ace Zac Gallen early, especially with the knowledge that Gallen has a 5.57 ERA and has had difficulty with control in recent starts. Defensively, the Mets have been sharp, minimizing errors and converting routine plays with consistency. That dependability behind Senga has been critical to their success and gives the team the confidence to maintain aggressive positioning and strategies. With Citi Field providing a supportive home crowd and the team’s confidence at a season high, the Mets are in prime position to clinch another series win and extend their strong start to the year. If Senga pitches to form and the offense continues to produce the way it has against right-handed starters, the Mets will be well on their way to closing out the Diamondbacks and taking one more step toward solidifying themselves as one of the NL’s most complete teams in 2025.

Arizona vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Diamondbacks and Mets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Vientos over 0.5 Total Bases.

Arizona vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Diamondbacks and Mets and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Diamondbacks team going up against a possibly strong Mets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Arizona vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Diamondbacks vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have a 14–16 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the run line consistently.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets are 18–13 ATS this season, showcasing a strong performance in covering the run line.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Matchup Trends

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -157, while the Diamondbacks are underdogs at +132; the over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Arizona vs. New York Mets Game Info

Arizona vs New York Mets starts on May 01, 2025 at 1:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets -1.5
Moneyline: Arizona +134, New York Mets -159
Over/Under: 7.5

Arizona: (16-14)  |  New York Mets: (21-10)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Vientos over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -157, while the Diamondbacks are underdogs at +132; the over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

ARI trend: The Diamondbacks have a 14–16 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the run line consistently.

NYM trend: The Mets are 18–13 ATS this season, showcasing a strong performance in covering the run line.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Arizona vs. New York Mets Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Arizona vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Arizona vs New York Mets Opening Odds

ARI Moneyline: +134
NYM Moneyline: -159
ARI Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Arizona vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+104
-127
+1.5 (-206)
-1.5 (+166)
O 7.5 (-116)
U 7.5 (-104)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Mets on May 01, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN