Mets vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 27 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets (18–8) and the Washington Nationals (11–14) conclude their four-game series on Sunday, April 27, 2025, at Nationals Park, with first pitch scheduled for 1:35 PM ET. The Mets aim to secure a series win, while the Nationals look to even the series and gain momentum in the NL East standings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 27, 2025

Start Time: 1:35 PM EST​

Venue: Nationals Park​

Nationals Record: (12-15)

Mets Record: (18-8)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -147

WAS Moneyline: +124

NYM Spread: -1.5

WAS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have covered the run line in 10 of their last 16 games, yielding a 62.5% cover rate and a +5.40 units return on investment.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have hit the first five innings (F5) run line in 10 of their last 12 home games, resulting in a +7.65 units return and a 51% ROI.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mets have been particularly successful as favorites, winning 14 of 18 games when favored on the moneyline. Conversely, the Nationals have struggled as underdogs, with a 44.4% win rate in 18 games.

NYM vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Mets vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/27/25

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals conclude their four-game series at Nationals Park on Sunday, April 27, 2025, in what promises to be a tightly contested matchup featuring two of the most impressive young arms in the National League. The Mets enter with an 18–8 record, sitting near the top of the NL East standings, while the Nationals come in at 11–14, showing flashes of potential but struggling with consistency. The pitching matchup is a tantalizing one, with Tylor Megill toeing the rubber for the Mets, bringing an outstanding 1.09 ERA into the game and establishing himself as a critical piece of New York’s rotation, while Mitchell Parker counters for Washington, sporting an equally impressive 1.39 ERA and emerging as a bright spot in a rebuilding Nationals squad. Both pitchers have been models of efficiency, attacking hitters early in counts and working deep into games, which suggests Sunday’s affair could tilt toward a low-scoring, tightly managed battle decided by small margins. Offensively, the Mets’ lineup has been energized by the returns of Francisco Álvarez and Jeff McNeil, adding both depth and flexibility, while Pete Alonso continues to anchor the middle of the order with his power threat, supported by consistent contributions from Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto. However, bullpen struggles have lingered for New York, ranking among the bottom ten in MLB for relief ERA, creating a potential vulnerability if the game remains close into the later innings.

The Nationals, on the other hand, have seen strong performances from Keibert Ruiz and rookie sensation James Wood, but their offense as a whole has sputtered, ranking 21st in overall production and struggling to capitalize on scoring opportunities with runners in scoring position. Washington’s bullpen, however, has quietly been a strength, offering stability and closing out games effectively when given the chance. Injuries have hit both teams, with Washington missing Josiah Gray and Cade Cavalli, thinning out their pitching depth, while the Mets have had to shuffle their bullpen roles due to inconsistency. Recent ATS trends favor the Mets, who have covered the spread in 10 of their last 16 games, but the Nationals have been strong in the first five innings at home, covering in 10 of their last 12 games in that situation, suggesting a hot start from Parker could keep things tight early. The game sets up as a fascinating contrast in styles: the Mets with their deep, star-driven lineup and high expectations, versus the Nationals’ scrappy, grind-it-out approach, relying on young pitching and opportunistic offense. With the Mets seeking to secure a series win and the Nationals hoping to split and build some momentum moving into May, the stakes are significant even this early in the season. Expect a competitive, detail-oriented game where pitching dominates, and whichever team executes better in the small moments—whether it be defensive positioning, baserunning decisions, or bullpen management—will likely walk away victorious.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets enter Sunday’s series finale against the Washington Nationals poised to secure yet another series victory, bolstered by the return of key contributors and a lineup that continues to establish itself as one of the more dynamic groups in the National League. Leading the charge on the mound will be Tylor Megill, who has emerged as one of the breakout stars of the Mets’ early season, compiling a 3–2 record and a dazzling 1.09 ERA, fueled by a sharper slider, improved command, and the ability to consistently miss barrels. Megill’s efficiency and ability to pitch deep into games have been critical assets for the Mets, particularly given the ongoing questions surrounding their bullpen, which has been among the bottom 10 in the league in terms of ERA and late-inning performance. Offensively, the Mets are beginning to fire on all cylinders following the returns of Francisco Álvarez and Jeff McNeil, adding depth, versatility, and quality at-bats throughout the lineup, complementing the steady production of Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Juan Soto. Alonso continues to serve as the power anchor, delivering timely home runs and driving in runs with regularity, while Soto’s arrival has transformed the Mets’ lineup with his disciplined approach and ability to change the game with one swing.

Defensively, the Mets have played solid baseball, particularly up the middle, and their improved defensive efficiency has helped support the pitching staff by limiting extra opportunities for opponents. Manager Carlos Mendoza will emphasize the importance of starting fast, using the Mets’ ability to grind out long at-bats to build pitch counts against Mitchell Parker and seize early momentum. The bullpen remains a point of concern, and ideally, the Mets will aim to give Megill enough run support to minimize reliance on a relief corps that has been shaky in high-leverage spots. Strategically, expect the Mets to be aggressive on the base paths, pushing the tempo to create scoring opportunities and put pressure on Washington’s defense. A win on Sunday would cap another successful series, maintain their strong early-season standing atop the NL East, and further solidify the growing belief that this year’s Mets team has the talent, depth, and resilience to make a serious postseason push. With Megill’s confidence surging and the offense clicking, New York will look to continue building momentum and finish their road trip with another statement performance.

The New York Mets (18–8) and the Washington Nationals (11–14) conclude their four-game series on Sunday, April 27, 2025, at Nationals Park, with first pitch scheduled for 1:35 PM ET. The Mets aim to secure a series win, while the Nationals look to even the series and gain momentum in the NL East standings. New York Mets vs Washington AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals come into Sunday’s finale against the New York Mets aiming to salvage a split in the four-game series and continue showcasing the potential of their emerging young core, highlighted by breakout starting pitcher Mitchell Parker. Parker, who enters the game with a 3–1 record and a stellar 1.39 ERA, has provided the Nationals with much-needed stability atop the rotation, demonstrating excellent command, a mature approach to pitch sequencing, and the poise to handle high-pressure situations, a critical asset for a team undergoing a rebuild. Offensively, the Nationals have leaned heavily on catcher Keibert Ruiz, whose bat has provided consistency in the middle of the order, and rookie sensation James Wood, whose combination of power and athleticism offers hope for the future and has already paid dividends this season. While Washington’s lineup has flashed upside, ranking in the lower third of MLB in overall run production remains a glaring issue, particularly when opportunities arise with runners in scoring position, an area where timely hitting has often eluded them.

Nonetheless, the Nationals’ bullpen has been quietly effective, offering manager Dave Martinez the ability to mix and match late in games with reliable arms that can shorten contests when the Nationals hold a lead. Injuries continue to hamper the roster’s depth, most notably the absences of Josiah Gray and Cade Cavalli, which has forced younger pitchers into larger roles, but overall the team has responded with admirable competitiveness. Defensively, Washington has played clean baseball, minimizing errors and maintaining solid defensive metrics across the infield and outfield, giving their pitching staff a solid foundation to work with. As they prepare to face a surging Mets team on Sunday, the Nationals will need Parker to continue his efficient, aggressive pitching approach, generating early contact and relying on a defense that has shown it can support him. At the plate, Washington must be opportunistic, working counts against Tylor Megill, manufacturing runs through aggressive base running and situational hitting, and avoiding the tendency to press when scoring opportunities arise. If the Nationals can scratch out an early lead and turn the game over to their bullpen with a cushion, they stand a legitimate chance to pull off the win and close the series on a positive note. With a vocal home crowd expected to support their young team, the Nationals will look to build on the flashes of progress they’ve shown and send a message that, while rebuilding, they are fully capable of competing with the division’s heavyweights on any given day.

New York Mets vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Mets and Nationals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Nationals Park in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Mets vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Mets and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly rested Nationals team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Washington picks, computer picks Mets vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have covered the run line in 10 of their last 16 games, yielding a 62.5% cover rate and a +5.40 units return on investment.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have hit the first five innings (F5) run line in 10 of their last 12 home games, resulting in a +7.65 units return and a 51% ROI.

Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Trends

The Mets have been particularly successful as favorites, winning 14 of 18 games when favored on the moneyline. Conversely, the Nationals have struggled as underdogs, with a 44.4% win rate in 18 games.

New York Mets vs. Washington Game Info

New York Mets vs Washington starts on April 27, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.

Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -147, Washington +124
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Mets: (18-8)  |  Washington: (12-15)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mets have been particularly successful as favorites, winning 14 of 18 games when favored on the moneyline. Conversely, the Nationals have struggled as underdogs, with a 44.4% win rate in 18 games.

NYM trend: The Mets have covered the run line in 10 of their last 16 games, yielding a 62.5% cover rate and a +5.40 units return on investment.

WAS trend: The Nationals have hit the first five innings (F5) run line in 10 of their last 12 home games, resulting in a +7.65 units return and a 51% ROI.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. Washington Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Mets vs Washington Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -147
WAS Moneyline: +124
NYM Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Mets vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
 
 
pk
pk
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Washington Nationals on April 27, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN