Rays vs. Padres
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 26 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Rays (12–14) face the San Diego Padres (17–9) at Petco Park on Saturday, April 26, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 8:40 PM ET. The Rays aim to extend their three-game winning streak, while the Padres look to rebound from a series-opening loss.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 26, 2025
Start Time: 8:40 PM EST
Venue: Petco Park
Padres Record: (17-9)
Rays Record: (12-14)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: +130
SD Moneyline: -155
TB Spread: +1.5
SD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
TB
Betting Trends
- The Rays have covered the spread in 4 of their last 10 games, showing signs of improvement on the road. However, their overall away ATS record remains a concern.
SD
Betting Trends
- The Padres have been strong against the spread at home, covering in 7 of their last 10 games at Petco Park. Their recent success includes a dominant home record, which they aim to maintain.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have covered the spread in 3 games against the Rays. Additionally, the total has gone over in 4 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
TB vs. SD
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Caminero over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Tampa Bay vs San Diego Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/26/25
Offensively, the Rays have leaned on contributions from Yandy Díaz, Brandon Lowe, and Josh Lowe, combining veteran patience with youthful energy to create pressure on opposing defenses, while the Padres continue to boast a formidable lineup anchored by Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Xander Bogaerts, all capable of flipping a game with one swing. Defensively, San Diego has been more reliable over the course of the season, but Tampa Bay’s aggressive baserunning and situational awareness have allowed them to manufacture runs and grind out tight games recently. The head-to-head trends suggest a tilt toward high-scoring affairs when these teams meet, and with neither starting pitcher coming in with dominant recent form, fans could be treated to another lively offensive showing. For the Padres, the formula is simple: Cease needs to establish the strike zone early, trust his defense, and avoid the big innings that have derailed some of his starts, while the offense must seize opportunities with runners in scoring position, an area where they faltered in the opener. For the Rays, continuing to work patient at-bats, applying pressure on the basepaths, and getting a quality outing from Pepiot will be crucial in their effort to secure a fourth straight win and move closer to .500. With both clubs fully aware of the stakes even this early in the season, Saturday’s contest promises high energy, plenty of intensity, and no shortage of pivotal moments that could swing the series—and possibly set the tone for the rest of their respective road trips and homestands.
It's Friday, Friday
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) April 26, 2025
Gotta get down on Friday pic.twitter.com/6oXXYJY9W1
Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays enter Saturday’s game against the San Diego Padres with a renewed sense of urgency and quiet confidence, having rattled off three straight wins and showing signs that they are beginning to find the consistency that has defined their franchise’s success over the past several seasons. At 12–14, Tampa Bay knows they are not yet where they want to be in the crowded AL East race, but their recent surge—including an impressive series-opening win against a tough Padres team on the road—has demonstrated the resilience and adaptability that make them a perennial threat. Ryan Pepiot gets the nod for the Rays, carrying a 1–3 record and a 4.82 ERA, and while his numbers are uneven, he has flashed the ability to dominate when commanding the strike zone and mixing his pitches effectively to keep hitters off balance. Manager Kevin Cash’s team has begun clicking offensively, led by Yandy Díaz’s steady bat and clutch contributions from Brandon Lowe and Josh Lowe, who have combined power, speed, and timely hitting to stretch opposing defenses and manufacture runs without relying solely on the long ball.
Defensively, the Rays have returned to form in recent games, minimizing mistakes, converting crucial double plays, and backing up their pitchers with crisp, alert fielding that has helped preserve leads. Tampa Bay’s aggressive baserunning has also paid dividends, adding another layer of pressure on opposing pitching staffs that must constantly be mindful of stolen bases and hit-and-run possibilities. Against Dylan Cease, the Rays’ approach will be to remain patient at the plate, force high pitch counts early, and take advantage of any lapses in control, something that has derailed Cease’s outings at times this season. Pepiot’s ability to keep the Padres’ power hitters in the park and avoid the big inning will be critical, and the bullpen, which has quietly rounded into solid form after early season struggles, must be ready to protect any lead with poise and precision. A win on Saturday would not only extend Tampa Bay’s winning streak to four games but would also send a clear message that the Rays are heating up and ready to climb back into serious playoff contention, reinforcing the belief that even when overlooked early, they are never far from becoming one of the most dangerous teams in baseball.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
San Diego Padres MLB Preview
The San Diego Padres approach Saturday’s matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays at Petco Park looking to quickly bounce back from a disappointing loss in the series opener that saw them struggle both offensively and on the mound despite entering the game on a strong run at home. Holding a 17–9 record, the Padres remain among the early frontrunners in the National League thanks to their balanced lineup, strong defensive play, and a pitching staff that has generally held its own against some tough opponents, but Friday’s stumble served as a reminder that consistency will be key if they hope to maintain their pace. Dylan Cease will take the mound for San Diego, and while he brings electric strikeout potential to every outing, his 6.04 ERA reveals the inconsistency that has occasionally plagued him; minimizing walks and working ahead in counts will be critical for Cease as he faces a Rays lineup that thrives on creating traffic and applying pressure. Offensively, San Diego continues to lean heavily on the production of Manny Machado, who remains the engine of the lineup with a .318 batting average and significant power numbers, while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Xander Bogaerts provide veteran leadership and dynamic two-way contributions that have helped the Padres sustain rallies and manufacture runs in multiple ways.
Manager Mike Shildt’s team has excelled when playing clean, fundamental baseball, and defensively they have been among the best in the league at limiting errors and turning key double plays, a strength they will need to lean on if Cease runs into trouble against Tampa Bay’s aggressive approach. The Padres’ bullpen, typically a strength, showed some cracks in the series opener, and a sharper performance from the late-inning crew will be necessary to close out tight games, particularly with the Rays showing a recent knack for stealing close contests with late rallies. San Diego’s formula for Saturday is clear: Cease must give them at least five strong innings without allowing the big inning, the offense needs to cash in on early scoring opportunities to avoid falling into a reactive posture, and the bullpen must return to its lockdown form if given a lead. A victory would not only even the series but also reaffirm San Diego’s standing as one of the National League’s most complete and dangerous teams, while restoring the home-field dominance they have worked hard to establish early this season.
¡Tirso Ornelas conecta su primer hit en las Grandes Ligas! pic.twitter.com/mW01r42yhx
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) April 26, 2025
Tampa Bay vs. San Diego Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. San Diego Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Rays and Padres and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly unhealthy Padres team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs San Diego picks, computer picks Rays vs Padres, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have covered the spread in 4 of their last 10 games, showing signs of improvement on the road. However, their overall away ATS record remains a concern.
Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been strong against the spread at home, covering in 7 of their last 10 games at Petco Park. Their recent success includes a dominant home record, which they aim to maintain.
Rays vs. Padres Matchup Trends
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have covered the spread in 3 games against the Rays. Additionally, the total has gone over in 4 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
Tampa Bay vs. San Diego Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs San Diego start on April 26, 2025?
Tampa Bay vs San Diego starts on April 26, 2025 at 8:40 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs San Diego being played?
Venue: Petco Park.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs San Diego?
Spread: San Diego -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +130, San Diego -155
Over/Under: 7
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs San Diego?
Tampa Bay: (12-14) | San Diego: (17-9)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs San Diego?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Caminero over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs San Diego trending bets?
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have covered the spread in 3 games against the Rays. Additionally, the total has gone over in 4 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Rays have covered the spread in 4 of their last 10 games, showing signs of improvement on the road. However, their overall away ATS record remains a concern.
What are San Diego trending bets?
SD trend: The Padres have been strong against the spread at home, covering in 7 of their last 10 games at Petco Park. Their recent success includes a dominant home record, which they aim to maintain.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs San Diego?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. San Diego Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs San Diego trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tampa Bay vs San Diego Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
+130 SD Moneyline: -155
TB Spread: +1.5
SD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
Tampa Bay vs San Diego Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+192
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
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–
–
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-178
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-1.5 (+115)
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O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
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+135
-160
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+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+192
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
|
O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+175
-210
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+150
-178
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+122
-145
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+118
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-145
+122
|
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
|
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Diego Padres on April 26, 2025 at Petco Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |