Mets vs Nationals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 26)

Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets (18–8) and the Washington Nationals (12–14) face off at Nationals Park on Saturday, April 26, 2025, at 4:05 PM ET. The Mets aim to rebound after a 5–4 walk-off loss in the series opener, while the Nationals look to build momentum following their dramatic victory.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 26, 2025

Start Time: 4:05 PM EST​

Venue: Nationals Park​

Nationals Record: (12-14)

Mets Record: (18-8)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -174

WAS Moneyline: +146

NYM Spread: -1.5

WAS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.

NYM vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Mets vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/26/25

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals continue their series at Nationals Park on April 26, 2025, with both teams looking to make statements at very different stages of their seasons, as the Mets try to solidify their position atop the National League standings while the Nationals aim to claw their way back to respectability. The Mets, sitting at an impressive 18–8, are eager to rebound after a tough 5–4 walk-off loss in the series opener, where late-inning bullpen struggles and missed offensive opportunities cost them a chance to add to their momentum. New York turns to Clay Holmes, who has been effective with a 2–1 record and a 3.16 ERA, showcasing a devastating mix of sinkers and sliders that have kept opposing hitters off-balance and generated plenty of weak contact. Holmes will look to establish himself early against a young Nationals lineup that has struggled with consistency but has enough firepower to punish mistakes, led by promising stars like James Wood and CJ Abrams. The Nationals, who come into the game with a 12–14 record, are trying to build on the excitement of their dramatic walk-off win and will counter with right-hander Brad Lord, who has yet to record a victory and carries a 4.73 ERA into the start.

Offensively, the Mets welcome the return of Francisco Alvarez and Jeff McNeil, two key pieces who bring much-needed versatility, defensive stability, and timely hitting to a roster that already boasts dangerous bats like Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Lindor. The Nationals, despite their struggles, have been scrappy at home and will look to ride the energy from Friday night’s win, but their bullpen remains a significant question mark, having repeatedly faltered in high-pressure situations this season. For the Mets, the game plan is clear: Holmes must pitch deep into the game to minimize bullpen exposure, the offense needs to jump on Lord early and force the Nationals to tap into their vulnerable middle relief, and the defense must avoid the lapses that have occasionally plagued them during tight games. For Washington, the keys are patience at the plate, pressuring Holmes by extending at-bats, taking advantage of any defensive mistakes, and finding a way to string together hits with runners in scoring position, an area where they have often come up short. Given recent head-to-head trends where the total runs have gone over in five of the last seven meetings, fans can expect an entertaining, high-scoring affair unless both starters manage to establish early dominance. With the weather expected to be ideal for hitters and both teams feeling the urgency for different reasons, Saturday’s contest promises to feature intensity, big swings, and critical moments that could shift the momentum not just of the series but of the broader outlook for both clubs moving into the final stretch of April.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets enter Saturday’s contest at Nationals Park determined to bounce back after a rare stumble in what has otherwise been a highly successful start to their 2025 season, carrying an 18–8 record that has them among the National League’s elite. The loss in the series opener was a tough one, not only because it ended their winning momentum but also because it exposed some lingering concerns around late-inning bullpen management and missed scoring opportunities, both of which they will aim to address immediately against Washington. Clay Holmes gets the start for New York, and with a 2–1 record and a sharp 3.16 ERA, he has been a steadying presence in the rotation, relying on a devastating sinker-slider mix that generates ground balls and limits big innings. Offensively, the Mets are in a stronger position entering Saturday’s game with the returns of Francisco Alvarez and Jeff McNeil, two versatile pieces who deepen the lineup and offer significant defensive upgrades. Alvarez’s power from the catcher position and McNeil’s ability to work counts and deliver situational hitting complement a core that already includes stars like Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Brandon Nimmo, giving the Mets one of the most balanced lineups in baseball when fully healthy.

The key for New York will be to reestablish early momentum by pressuring Nationals starter Brad Lord, forcing long innings, and capitalizing on runners in scoring position—areas where the Mets have sometimes struggled during recent losses. Defensively, the Mets need to play cleanly to support Holmes and avoid extending innings against a Nationals team that thrives on opportunistic baseball. If Holmes can work efficiently through the early innings and the offense can build a lead, New York’s late-inning bullpen arms like Edwin Díaz and Brooks Raley are more than capable of shutting the door and returning the Mets to their winning ways. Every game matters in a competitive NL East, and Saturday offers a prime opportunity for the Mets to reassert themselves, demonstrate resilience after a tough loss, and continue laying the groundwork for what they hope will be a deep postseason run in 2025.

The New York Mets (18–8) and the Washington Nationals (12–14) face off at Nationals Park on Saturday, April 26, 2025, at 4:05 PM ET. The Mets aim to rebound after a 5–4 walk-off loss in the series opener, while the Nationals look to build momentum following their dramatic victory. New York Mets vs Washington AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals step into Saturday’s matchup against the New York Mets with a renewed sense of energy following a thrilling 5–4 walk-off win that showcased both the promise and the volatility of their young roster. Sitting at 12–14, the Nationals have outperformed modest preseason expectations by playing scrappy, competitive baseball, though inconsistencies on both sides of the ball continue to hinder their ability to string together sustained success. Manager Dave Martinez continues to lean heavily on emerging stars like James Wood, whose combination of power and athleticism gives the lineup a legitimate threat, and CJ Abrams, whose speed and defensive prowess at shortstop provide a spark at the top of the order. On the mound, Brad Lord will get the start, looking to secure his first Major League win after beginning the season 0–2 with a 4.73 ERA; Lord has shown flashes of strong command but has been prone to giving up hard contact when he falls behind in counts.

For the Nationals, the offensive game plan must revolve around patient, selective at-bats against Mets starter Clay Holmes, who thrives when opponents chase pitches outside the zone. Defensively, Washington must avoid the costly errors that have plagued them in close games and give Lord a chance to settle in without added pressure. The bullpen remains a major question mark, having blown several late-inning leads already this season, and Martinez will need to manage his relievers carefully to avoid overexposing vulnerable arms in tight situations. Success on Saturday will hinge on getting early production from the offense, putting pressure on the Mets’ defense, and executing fundamentals late in the game to maintain any advantage they manage to build. A victory against one of the league’s top teams would be another strong statement that Washington’s rebuild is heading in the right direction, and it would continue to instill confidence in a roster packed with young, high-ceiling talent eager to make its mark in the National League East.

New York Mets vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Mets and Nationals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Nationals Park in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Mets vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Mets and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly tired Nationals team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Washington picks, computer picks Mets vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.

Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Trends

In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.

New York Mets vs. Washington Game Info

New York Mets vs Washington starts on April 26, 2025 at 4:05 PM EST.

Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -174, Washington +146
Over/Under: 9.5

New York Mets: (18-8)  |  Washington: (12-14)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.

NYM trend: The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.

WAS trend: The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. Washington Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Mets vs Washington Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -174
WAS Moneyline: +146
NYM Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

New York Mets vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+107
-128
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+165)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Washington Nationals on April 26, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN