Mets vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 26 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Mets (18–8) and the Washington Nationals (12–14) face off at Nationals Park on Saturday, April 26, 2025, at 4:05 PM ET. The Mets aim to rebound after a 5–4 walk-off loss in the series opener, while the Nationals look to build momentum following their dramatic victory.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 26, 2025
Start Time: 4:05 PM EST
Venue: Nationals Park
Nationals Record: (12-14)
Mets Record: (18-8)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: -174
WAS Moneyline: +146
NYM Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
NYM vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.
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New York Mets vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/26/25
Offensively, the Mets welcome the return of Francisco Alvarez and Jeff McNeil, two key pieces who bring much-needed versatility, defensive stability, and timely hitting to a roster that already boasts dangerous bats like Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Lindor. The Nationals, despite their struggles, have been scrappy at home and will look to ride the energy from Friday night’s win, but their bullpen remains a significant question mark, having repeatedly faltered in high-pressure situations this season. For the Mets, the game plan is clear: Holmes must pitch deep into the game to minimize bullpen exposure, the offense needs to jump on Lord early and force the Nationals to tap into their vulnerable middle relief, and the defense must avoid the lapses that have occasionally plagued them during tight games. For Washington, the keys are patience at the plate, pressuring Holmes by extending at-bats, taking advantage of any defensive mistakes, and finding a way to string together hits with runners in scoring position, an area where they have often come up short. Given recent head-to-head trends where the total runs have gone over in five of the last seven meetings, fans can expect an entertaining, high-scoring affair unless both starters manage to establish early dominance. With the weather expected to be ideal for hitters and both teams feeling the urgency for different reasons, Saturday’s contest promises to feature intensity, big swings, and critical moments that could shift the momentum not just of the series but of the broader outlook for both clubs moving into the final stretch of April.
Tyrone on target 🎯 pic.twitter.com/M5QfwN9wj8
— New York Mets (@Mets) April 26, 2025
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets enter Saturday’s contest at Nationals Park determined to bounce back after a rare stumble in what has otherwise been a highly successful start to their 2025 season, carrying an 18–8 record that has them among the National League’s elite. The loss in the series opener was a tough one, not only because it ended their winning momentum but also because it exposed some lingering concerns around late-inning bullpen management and missed scoring opportunities, both of which they will aim to address immediately against Washington. Clay Holmes gets the start for New York, and with a 2–1 record and a sharp 3.16 ERA, he has been a steadying presence in the rotation, relying on a devastating sinker-slider mix that generates ground balls and limits big innings. Offensively, the Mets are in a stronger position entering Saturday’s game with the returns of Francisco Alvarez and Jeff McNeil, two versatile pieces who deepen the lineup and offer significant defensive upgrades. Alvarez’s power from the catcher position and McNeil’s ability to work counts and deliver situational hitting complement a core that already includes stars like Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Brandon Nimmo, giving the Mets one of the most balanced lineups in baseball when fully healthy.
The key for New York will be to reestablish early momentum by pressuring Nationals starter Brad Lord, forcing long innings, and capitalizing on runners in scoring position—areas where the Mets have sometimes struggled during recent losses. Defensively, the Mets need to play cleanly to support Holmes and avoid extending innings against a Nationals team that thrives on opportunistic baseball. If Holmes can work efficiently through the early innings and the offense can build a lead, New York’s late-inning bullpen arms like Edwin Díaz and Brooks Raley are more than capable of shutting the door and returning the Mets to their winning ways. Every game matters in a competitive NL East, and Saturday offers a prime opportunity for the Mets to reassert themselves, demonstrate resilience after a tough loss, and continue laying the groundwork for what they hope will be a deep postseason run in 2025.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Washington Nationals MLB Preview
The Washington Nationals step into Saturday’s matchup against the New York Mets with a renewed sense of energy following a thrilling 5–4 walk-off win that showcased both the promise and the volatility of their young roster. Sitting at 12–14, the Nationals have outperformed modest preseason expectations by playing scrappy, competitive baseball, though inconsistencies on both sides of the ball continue to hinder their ability to string together sustained success. Manager Dave Martinez continues to lean heavily on emerging stars like James Wood, whose combination of power and athleticism gives the lineup a legitimate threat, and CJ Abrams, whose speed and defensive prowess at shortstop provide a spark at the top of the order. On the mound, Brad Lord will get the start, looking to secure his first Major League win after beginning the season 0–2 with a 4.73 ERA; Lord has shown flashes of strong command but has been prone to giving up hard contact when he falls behind in counts.
For the Nationals, the offensive game plan must revolve around patient, selective at-bats against Mets starter Clay Holmes, who thrives when opponents chase pitches outside the zone. Defensively, Washington must avoid the costly errors that have plagued them in close games and give Lord a chance to settle in without added pressure. The bullpen remains a major question mark, having blown several late-inning leads already this season, and Martinez will need to manage his relievers carefully to avoid overexposing vulnerable arms in tight situations. Success on Saturday will hinge on getting early production from the offense, putting pressure on the Mets’ defense, and executing fundamentals late in the game to maintain any advantage they manage to build. A victory against one of the league’s top teams would be another strong statement that Washington’s rebuild is heading in the right direction, and it would continue to instill confidence in a roster packed with young, high-ceiling talent eager to make its mark in the National League East.
coulda wooda shoulda pic.twitter.com/Jfv14tl92B
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) April 26, 2025
New York Mets vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)
New York Mets vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Mets and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly deflated Nationals team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Washington picks, computer picks Mets vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.
Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.
Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Trends
In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
New York Mets vs. Washington Game Info
What time does New York Mets vs Washington start on April 26, 2025?
New York Mets vs Washington starts on April 26, 2025 at 4:05 PM EST.
Where is New York Mets vs Washington being played?
Venue: Nationals Park.
What are the opening odds for New York Mets vs Washington?
Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -174, Washington +146
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for New York Mets vs Washington?
New York Mets: (18-8) | Washington: (12-14)
What is the AI best bet for New York Mets vs Washington?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York Mets vs Washington trending bets?
In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York Mets vs Washington?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York Mets vs. Washington Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York Mets vs Washington Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
-174 WAS Moneyline: +146
NYM Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
New York Mets vs Washington Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
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–
–
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+190
-235
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
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–
–
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-175
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-1.5 (+115)
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O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
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+130
-155
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+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
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–
–
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+185
-225
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
|
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+170
-205
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+135
-165
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+115
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-165
+135
|
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
|
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Washington Nationals on April 26, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |