Mets vs Nationals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 26)
Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Mets (18–8) and the Washington Nationals (12–14) face off at Nationals Park on Saturday, April 26, 2025, at 4:05 PM ET. The Mets aim to rebound after a 5–4 walk-off loss in the series opener, while the Nationals look to build momentum following their dramatic victory.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 26, 2025
Start Time: 4:05 PM EST
Venue: Nationals Park
Nationals Record: (12-14)
Mets Record: (18-8)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: -174
WAS Moneyline: +146
NYM Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
NYM vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.
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New York Mets vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/26/25
Offensively, the Mets welcome the return of Francisco Alvarez and Jeff McNeil, two key pieces who bring much-needed versatility, defensive stability, and timely hitting to a roster that already boasts dangerous bats like Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Lindor. The Nationals, despite their struggles, have been scrappy at home and will look to ride the energy from Friday night’s win, but their bullpen remains a significant question mark, having repeatedly faltered in high-pressure situations this season. For the Mets, the game plan is clear: Holmes must pitch deep into the game to minimize bullpen exposure, the offense needs to jump on Lord early and force the Nationals to tap into their vulnerable middle relief, and the defense must avoid the lapses that have occasionally plagued them during tight games. For Washington, the keys are patience at the plate, pressuring Holmes by extending at-bats, taking advantage of any defensive mistakes, and finding a way to string together hits with runners in scoring position, an area where they have often come up short. Given recent head-to-head trends where the total runs have gone over in five of the last seven meetings, fans can expect an entertaining, high-scoring affair unless both starters manage to establish early dominance. With the weather expected to be ideal for hitters and both teams feeling the urgency for different reasons, Saturday’s contest promises to feature intensity, big swings, and critical moments that could shift the momentum not just of the series but of the broader outlook for both clubs moving into the final stretch of April.
Tyrone on target 🎯 pic.twitter.com/M5QfwN9wj8
— New York Mets (@Mets) April 26, 2025
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets enter Saturday’s contest at Nationals Park determined to bounce back after a rare stumble in what has otherwise been a highly successful start to their 2025 season, carrying an 18–8 record that has them among the National League’s elite. The loss in the series opener was a tough one, not only because it ended their winning momentum but also because it exposed some lingering concerns around late-inning bullpen management and missed scoring opportunities, both of which they will aim to address immediately against Washington. Clay Holmes gets the start for New York, and with a 2–1 record and a sharp 3.16 ERA, he has been a steadying presence in the rotation, relying on a devastating sinker-slider mix that generates ground balls and limits big innings. Offensively, the Mets are in a stronger position entering Saturday’s game with the returns of Francisco Alvarez and Jeff McNeil, two versatile pieces who deepen the lineup and offer significant defensive upgrades. Alvarez’s power from the catcher position and McNeil’s ability to work counts and deliver situational hitting complement a core that already includes stars like Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Brandon Nimmo, giving the Mets one of the most balanced lineups in baseball when fully healthy.
The key for New York will be to reestablish early momentum by pressuring Nationals starter Brad Lord, forcing long innings, and capitalizing on runners in scoring position—areas where the Mets have sometimes struggled during recent losses. Defensively, the Mets need to play cleanly to support Holmes and avoid extending innings against a Nationals team that thrives on opportunistic baseball. If Holmes can work efficiently through the early innings and the offense can build a lead, New York’s late-inning bullpen arms like Edwin Díaz and Brooks Raley are more than capable of shutting the door and returning the Mets to their winning ways. Every game matters in a competitive NL East, and Saturday offers a prime opportunity for the Mets to reassert themselves, demonstrate resilience after a tough loss, and continue laying the groundwork for what they hope will be a deep postseason run in 2025.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Washington Nationals MLB Preview
The Washington Nationals step into Saturday’s matchup against the New York Mets with a renewed sense of energy following a thrilling 5–4 walk-off win that showcased both the promise and the volatility of their young roster. Sitting at 12–14, the Nationals have outperformed modest preseason expectations by playing scrappy, competitive baseball, though inconsistencies on both sides of the ball continue to hinder their ability to string together sustained success. Manager Dave Martinez continues to lean heavily on emerging stars like James Wood, whose combination of power and athleticism gives the lineup a legitimate threat, and CJ Abrams, whose speed and defensive prowess at shortstop provide a spark at the top of the order. On the mound, Brad Lord will get the start, looking to secure his first Major League win after beginning the season 0–2 with a 4.73 ERA; Lord has shown flashes of strong command but has been prone to giving up hard contact when he falls behind in counts.
For the Nationals, the offensive game plan must revolve around patient, selective at-bats against Mets starter Clay Holmes, who thrives when opponents chase pitches outside the zone. Defensively, Washington must avoid the costly errors that have plagued them in close games and give Lord a chance to settle in without added pressure. The bullpen remains a major question mark, having blown several late-inning leads already this season, and Martinez will need to manage his relievers carefully to avoid overexposing vulnerable arms in tight situations. Success on Saturday will hinge on getting early production from the offense, putting pressure on the Mets’ defense, and executing fundamentals late in the game to maintain any advantage they manage to build. A victory against one of the league’s top teams would be another strong statement that Washington’s rebuild is heading in the right direction, and it would continue to instill confidence in a roster packed with young, high-ceiling talent eager to make its mark in the National League East.
coulda wooda shoulda pic.twitter.com/Jfv14tl92B
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) April 26, 2025
New York Mets vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)
New York Mets vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Mets and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly tired Nationals team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Washington picks, computer picks Mets vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.
Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.
Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Trends
In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
New York Mets vs. Washington Game Info
What time does New York Mets vs Washington start on April 26, 2025?
New York Mets vs Washington starts on April 26, 2025 at 4:05 PM EST.
Where is New York Mets vs Washington being played?
Venue: Nationals Park.
What are the opening odds for New York Mets vs Washington?
Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -174, Washington +146
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for New York Mets vs Washington?
New York Mets: (18-8) | Washington: (12-14)
What is the AI best bet for New York Mets vs Washington?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York Mets vs Washington trending bets?
In head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against the Nationals. Additionally, the total runs have gone over in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Their consistent performance has made them a favorable pick for bettors.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Nationals have struggled ATS at home, posting a 3–7 record in their last 10 home games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging pick for bettors.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York Mets vs Washington?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York Mets vs. Washington Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New York Mets vs Washington Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
-174 WAS Moneyline: +146
NYM Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
New York Mets vs Washington Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+107
-128
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+165)
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O 7.5 (-115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Washington Nationals on April 26, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |