Mets vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 25 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-23T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets (18–7) visit the Washington Nationals (11–14) at Nationals Park on April 25, 2025, at 6:45 PM EDT. The Mets, riding a seven-game winning streak, aim to continue their dominance in the NL East, while the Nationals look to rebound from recent struggles.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 25, 2025

Start Time: 6:45 PM EST​

Venue: Nationals Park​

Nationals Record: (11-14)

Mets Record: (18-7)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -174

WAS Moneyline: +146

NYM Spread: -1.5

WAS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 5 of their last 7 games.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have struggled ATS, failing to cover in 4 of their last 5 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mets are favored with a -1.5 run line, reflecting their recent dominance and the Nationals’ challenges in keeping games close.

NYM vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 7 Fantasy Score.

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New York Mets vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/25/25

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will kick off a three-game series at Nationals Park on April 25, 2025, in what stands as a compelling early-season divisional clash between a team riding high and another looking to stabilize. The Mets enter the matchup as one of the hottest teams in baseball, sporting an 18–7 record and riding a seven-game winning streak that has vaulted them to the top of the NL East. Their surge has been fueled by elite pitching and timely, efficient hitting, and they are now outscoring opponents with consistency and precision, anchored by both veteran leadership and standout individual performances. Kodai Senga will take the mound with a dazzling 0.79 ERA and 3-1 record, spearheading a Mets rotation that currently boasts the lowest team ERA in the majors. On offense, Paul Goldschmidt is batting a scorching .382 and continues to deliver in big moments, while Juan Soto has become a model of discipline and productivity at the plate. Meanwhile, the Nationals arrive with a much different narrative, sitting at 11–14 and having lost four of their last five games, a stretch defined by offensive inconsistency and defensive breakdowns that have placed extra strain on their otherwise capable starting staff. Jake Irvin will start for Washington, entering with a solid 3.68 ERA and a 2-0 record, but he’ll face one of the deepest and most dangerous lineups in the league—a true test of his poise and command. Offensively, the Mets have been nearly unstoppable over the past two weeks, combining power, patience, and smart baserunning to manufacture runs in bunches. Their plate discipline has forced opposing pitchers into high pitch counts, and their ability to cash in with runners in scoring position has turned close games into comfortable victories. Soto and Goldschmidt have been central to that effort, but it’s the consistency from up and down the order—players like Francisco Alvarez, Starling Marte, and Jeff McNeil—that makes the lineup especially difficult to pitch through. Defensively, the Mets have been sharp, limiting errors and executing fundamental baseball, which has complemented their elite pitching and helped them control games from the outset.

Manager Carlos Mendoza has struck a balance between managing rest for veterans and maintaining the team’s rhythm, a strategy that appears to be paying dividends early in the season. For Washington to counter, they’ll need to be nearly perfect, especially on defense, where lapses in concentration have cost them dearly. The Nationals have struggled with runners in scoring position and have been unable to extend innings or capitalize on opportunities when facing strong pitching staffs. For the Nationals, this series could either serve as a wake-up call or become a deeper hole. They’ve shown potential in flashes, particularly through the emergence of slugger James Wood, who leads the team with 8 home runs and 18 RBIs, but a lack of lineup protection and underperformance from veteran hitters has made it difficult for the offense to sustain pressure. Errors and mental miscues on the defensive end have led to unearned runs, a problem that compounds quickly when your offense isn’t firing. If Jake Irvin can navigate the early innings and keep the Mets from building early momentum, Washington has the ability to make it a competitive game, but they’ll need a complete team effort. The stakes may not be postseason-critical just yet, but momentum and division positioning are very much in play, and for the Mets, a series win would further entrench their status as early favorites in the National League. Conversely, if the Nationals can steal a win or two, they might be able to regain confidence and settle into a groove that’s eluded them so far. With contrasting narratives and plenty on the line, Friday night’s series opener is set to be an excellent measuring stick for both clubs.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets arrive at Nationals Park on April 25, 2025, as one of the hottest teams in Major League Baseball, riding a seven-game winning streak and sitting atop the NL East with an 18–7 record built on elite pitching, patient hitting, and veteran leadership. They have completely turned the early season into a showcase of their strengths on both sides of the ball, with a rotation that has overwhelmed opponents and a lineup that has produced timely offense without over-reliance on the long ball. Kodai Senga will get the start in the series opener and brings a spectacular 0.79 ERA and 3-1 record into the contest, giving the Mets a massive advantage on the mound. Senga’s command of his split-finger fastball has baffled hitters throughout April, and his ability to miss bats while working efficiently has allowed New York to control the tempo of games from the first pitch. Offensively, Paul Goldschmidt has been phenomenal, leading the team with a .382 average while adding experience and production in the middle of the order, and Juan Soto’s impact as a disciplined table-setter and run producer has made it nearly impossible for opposing pitchers to find easy outs in the top half of the lineup. Beyond the star power, what’s made the Mets so dangerous during their recent streak is their depth and balance. Francisco Alvarez has emerged as a reliable offensive weapon behind the plate, Jeff McNeil continues to be a glue guy with his high-contact, situational hitting, and Starling Marte has contributed both in the outfield and as a veteran presence. The team’s approach at the plate has emphasized working counts, drawing walks, and taking advantage of mistakes—habits that have extended innings and driven up pitch counts, leading to big scoring opportunities late in games.

Defensively, the Mets have been disciplined and clean, supporting their elite rotation with solid positioning and execution, minimizing errors and ensuring that their pitchers can attack hitters with confidence. The bullpen, anchored by Edwin Díaz and set-up men like Brooks Raley, has been equally sharp, slamming the door on opponents late in games and turning tight leads into secure wins. The Mets have outscored opponents by a significant margin during their win streak, but perhaps most impressively, they’ve won in a variety of ways—blowouts, close games, comebacks, and shutouts—all of which speaks to their adaptability and cohesion as a roster. As they open this series against a struggling Nationals squad, the Mets will look to continue imposing their will with the same formula that has delivered success all season: dominant starting pitching, relentless offensive pressure, and mistake-free baseball. Their goal is not just to win the series but to send a message to the rest of the NL East that they are the clear team to beat. A strong performance from Senga paired with continued offensive execution could quickly turn this game into another feather in the Mets’ cap as they continue to build early-season momentum. If the Mets keep doing what they’ve done—dictating tempo, playing fundamentally sound baseball, and letting their stars lead by example—it’s going to be extremely difficult for Washington to keep pace. For New York, the mission is simple: keep the foot on the gas, collect another road win, and extend one of the most impressive streaks of the 2025 MLB season.

The New York Mets (18–7) visit the Washington Nationals (11–14) at Nationals Park on April 25, 2025, at 6:45 PM EDT. The Mets, riding a seven-game winning streak, aim to continue their dominance in the NL East, while the Nationals look to rebound from recent struggles. New York Mets vs Washington AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 25. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals return home to Nationals Park on April 25, 2025, tasked with halting the momentum of the red-hot New York Mets while trying to stabilize their own season, which has been marked by inconsistency and missed opportunities through the first month. Sitting at 11–14, the Nationals are in search of a spark to lift them out of their recent slump, having lost four of their last five games and struggling to generate sustained offense or play clean baseball in key moments. Manager Dave Martinez will turn to right-hander Jake Irvin, who has been a bright spot in the rotation with a 2-0 record and a 3.68 ERA, bringing a mix of poise and control that the team will lean on heavily as they try to quiet one of the most dangerous lineups in the league. Irvin’s ability to get ahead early in counts and induce weak contact will be essential if Washington hopes to keep the game within reach, especially against a Mets team that grinds out at-bats and capitalizes on even the smallest mistakes. Behind him, however, the Nationals’ bullpen has been shaky, and unless the defense tightens up and avoids the kind of lapses that have plagued them during the early season, any early lead could quickly unravel. Offensively, Washington continues to search for consistency, with flashes of promise from emerging star James Wood providing some hope amid a lineup that otherwise hasn’t produced enough in high-leverage spots. Wood leads the team with 8 home runs and 18 RBIs, demonstrating the kind of power and plate presence that gives the Nationals a middle-of-the-order bat to build around, but he’s lacked consistent support from veterans and complementary pieces.

Players like CJ Abrams and Keibert Ruiz have shown potential, but too often the team finds itself stranding runners or failing to move them into scoring position. This has placed additional pressure on the starting staff, which has been respectable but not deep enough to win low-scoring games on a regular basis. The Nationals’ offensive approach will need to be more aggressive early in counts against a Mets rotation that thrives on control and sequencing, especially with Kodai Senga on the mound—a pitcher whose split-finger fastball has made him one of the toughest starters to square up in the league. If Washington can shorten their swings, avoid chasing pitches out of the zone, and find ways to disrupt Senga’s rhythm with baserunners and patient at-bats, they might be able to open up scoring opportunities in the middle innings. For the Nationals, this game is more than just another divisional contest—it’s an early season test of resilience and execution. Playing at home, they’ll have the benefit of familiar surroundings and crowd energy, but they’ll need more than that to take down a Mets team firing on all cylinders. Clean defense, opportunistic offense, and a solid outing from Irvin will be essential if they want to steal the opener and regain some momentum after a frustrating week. With the NL East shaping up to be highly competitive, the Nationals can’t afford to let games slip away due to unforced errors and lackluster situational play. A win against the division leaders could serve as a turning point, but to get there, Washington must execute across all facets of the game with a level of urgency and precision they’ve lacked in recent outings. The pieces are there, the challenge is clear—and Friday night will reveal whether the Nationals are ready to push back.

New York Mets vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Mets and Nationals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Nationals Park in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 7 Fantasy Score.

New York Mets vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Mets and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly rested Nationals team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Washington picks, computer picks Mets vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 5 of their last 7 games.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have struggled ATS, failing to cover in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Trends

The Mets are favored with a -1.5 run line, reflecting their recent dominance and the Nationals’ challenges in keeping games close.

New York Mets vs. Washington Game Info

New York Mets vs Washington starts on April 25, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.

Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -174, Washington +146
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Mets: (18-7)  |  Washington: (11-14)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 7 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mets are favored with a -1.5 run line, reflecting their recent dominance and the Nationals’ challenges in keeping games close.

NYM trend: The Mets have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in 5 of their last 7 games.

WAS trend: The Nationals have struggled ATS, failing to cover in 4 of their last 5 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. Washington Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Mets vs Washington Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -174
WAS Moneyline: +146
NYM Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Mets vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+122
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+110
-130
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Washington Nationals on April 25, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN