Rays vs. Diamondbacks
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 23 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks conclude their interleague series on April 23, 2025, at Chase Field in Phoenix. Both teams aim to gain momentum as they navigate the early stages of the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 23, 2025

Start Time: 9:40 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Field​

Diamondbacks Record: (14-9)

Rays Record: (9-14)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: +121

ARI Moneyline: -143

TB Spread: +1.5

ARI Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 0–5 record in their last five games and a 1–6 straight-up (SU) record in their last seven games.

ARI
Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have been solid ATS, posting a 5–3 record in their last eight games as favorites, indicating consistent performance when expected to win.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their recent matchups, the Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games against the Rays, with the total going under in 4 of those 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

TB vs. ARI
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carroll over 7.5 Fantasy Score.

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Tampa Bay vs Arizona Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/23/25

The Tampa Bay Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks close out their short interleague set at Chase Field on April 23, 2025, in a game that not only pits two stylistically contrasting teams against one another, but also serves as a crucial early-season measuring stick for the direction each club is heading. The Rays come into the finale at 4–5, searching for form and continuity amid a rocky start, particularly on the road where they are winless through three games and have struggled both at the plate and on the mound. The strength of Tampa Bay’s recent seasons—elite bullpen usage, creative baserunning, and disciplined offensive approaches—has yet to reappear consistently, and their most recent losses suggest that the team is still trying to find its identity in the post-Wander Franco and Kevin Kiermaier era. The offense has been sporadic, with emerging talents like Junior Caminero and Jonathan Aranda showing flashes but not yet sustaining the kind of performance needed to anchor the lineup. Meanwhile, the pitching staff has been uneven, with Taj Bradley and others showing swing-and-miss stuff but struggling with pitch efficiency and command, often leaving the bullpen overexposed by the fifth inning. On the other side, the Diamondbacks look every bit the upstart contender that pushed deep into the postseason just two years ago, entering this matchup with a strong 13–10 record and leading the National League in runs scored, fueled by the dynamic presence of Corbin Carroll, who continues to electrify with his bat, speed, and defense.

Arizona’s lineup, also featuring key contributors like Josh Naylor, Ketel Marte, and Christian Walker, has embraced an aggressive-yet-disciplined identity, consistently turning walks and singles into rallies with sharp situational hitting and smart base running. Their ability to manufacture offense has masked occasional inconsistencies in the back half of the rotation, and with Brandon Pfaadt on the mound, the D-backs have a shot at a quality outing from a young right-hander showing signs of growth in his second full season. Defensively, the Diamondbacks have been sharp, particularly in the outfield where Carroll and Alek Thomas track balls effectively and deny opponents the extra-base hits that often change game tempo. If Arizona can jump on Bradley early and continue forcing Tampa Bay’s bullpen into early use, the advantage swings heavily in their favor. For the Rays, this finale represents more than just an opportunity to avoid a sweep—it’s a chance to reset their season’s narrative, reignite their identity, and prove they can compete with one of the National League’s hottest clubs. Both teams have the tools to create momentum quickly, but Arizona’s form, depth, and home-field edge make them the favorites unless Tampa Bay finds a way to play a near-flawless game from the first pitch to the last. With one team rising and the other regrouping, this matchup will be defined by execution, in-game adjustments, and whichever side better capitalizes on its chances in what promises to be a tightly contested battle in the desert.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays head into the final game of their series against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field facing both immediate pressure and long-term questions, as their 4–5 record has been shaped by a sluggish offensive start and a troubling 0–3 mark on the road that has exposed cracks in a system once known for sharp execution and tactical precision. The team’s identity, which in recent seasons was rooted in elite run prevention, aggressive baserunning, and a deep bullpen, has yet to take hold in 2025, and their inconsistencies at the plate have been particularly costly, with key bats like Junior Caminero and Jonathan Aranda still struggling to find rhythm against high-velocity pitching and off-speed sequencing. While they’ve been able to generate occasional scoring bursts, the Rays have failed to consistently string together quality at-bats, often going cold with runners in scoring position and relying too heavily on the long ball to stay competitive. On the mound, Taj Bradley is expected to start, and while his electric stuff and strikeout potential remain enticing, he’s yet to establish the kind of control and composure that would allow him to work deeper into games and keep the bullpen fresh. Bradley’s performance will be pivotal, as the Rays’ bullpen—though still solid on paper—has been overextended in recent games and has not had the same lock-down effectiveness that carried them through tough stretches in prior seasons. Pitch sequencing and fastball command will be crucial for Bradley, especially against an Arizona lineup that leads the NL in runs per game and thrives on turning walks and singles into big innings with aggressive baserunning and high-contact approaches.

Defensively, the Rays are traditionally strong, and while they’ve had a few uncharacteristic miscues in 2025, they still feature elite glove work from players like Jose Caballero and Taylor Walls, who have the range and instincts to change momentum with their glove. To have any shot at salvaging a win, Tampa Bay will need to set the tone early—ideally scoring in the first three innings and giving Bradley a lead to work with—while avoiding the middle-inning scoring droughts that have plagued them all season. They’ll also need improved situational hitting, a sharper two-strike approach, and better plate discipline to grind down Arizona’s starter and force an early bullpen call. Despite their struggles, the Rays have the type of roster that can turn things around quickly if they begin executing the way they’re built to, and this series finale presents a critical moment to reestablish that identity and walk away from Phoenix with something to build on. A win here wouldn’t erase a shaky start, but it would offer validation that the process remains intact, the pieces are there, and that this team still has the resilience and grit to weather early adversity and climb back into postseason contention.

The Tampa Bay Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks conclude their interleague series on April 23, 2025, at Chase Field in Phoenix. Both teams aim to gain momentum as they navigate the early stages of the season. Tampa Bay vs Arizona AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter the final game of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays at Chase Field with momentum, a 13–10 record, and an opportunity to affirm their status as one of the most balanced and dangerous teams in the National League so far in 2025. After a statement-making start to the season that includes leading the league in runs per game, the Diamondbacks have built their identity around speed, contact, and relentless offensive pressure, all of which have been on full display throughout this homestand. Corbin Carroll has been the spark at the top of the order, igniting rallies with his elite baserunning and consistent ability to reach base, while Ketel Marte and Josh Naylor have consistently driven in runs and punished pitchers for even the smallest mistakes. Arizona’s ability to apply pressure to both starters and bullpens makes them a difficult matchup from top to bottom, particularly at Chase Field, where they’ve created a rhythm that amplifies their aggressive style. Brandon Pfaadt takes the mound for the finale, and while he’s still young and developing, he’s shown notable growth this season in his command and poise, limiting big innings and displaying an improving feel for sequencing. Pfaadt doesn’t overpower hitters with velocity, but he disrupts timing well with a varied mix and has kept the ball in the park—a critical trait in a hitter-friendly home environment. Behind him, the bullpen has quietly become a dependable group, anchored by Paul Sewald in the ninth and supported by Kevin Ginkel and Joe Mantiply in middle relief, giving manager Torey Lovullo flexibility in how he bridges the game from starter to closer.

Defensively, the Diamondbacks are one of the league’s most athletic teams, with Carroll and Alek Thomas covering wide ground in the outfield, and the infield showing clean hands and strong arms, particularly in double-play situations that have helped stifle momentum in close games. Against a Rays team that has yet to find its groove on the road, Arizona will look to attack early, control tempo, and put pressure on Taj Bradley, whose electric arm is countered by command issues that have led to short outings. The Diamondbacks thrive when they can extend at-bats, draw walks, and force young pitchers into tough spots, and that script fits perfectly with what Tampa Bay has shown so far in 2025. A win in this game wouldn’t just clinch the series—it would serve as further confirmation that the D-backs’ deep October run in 2023 was no fluke and that they are capable of pacing the NL West through both firepower and discipline. With a chance to continue their dominance at home and build momentum heading into the next stretch of the schedule, the Diamondbacks will take the field with confidence, cohesion, and the kind of chemistry that’s made them one of the early-season success stories across Major League Baseball.

Tampa Bay vs. Arizona Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Rays and Diamondbacks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Field in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carroll over 7.5 Fantasy Score.

Tampa Bay vs. Arizona Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Rays and Diamondbacks and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the trending emphasis emotional bettors often put on Arizona’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly healthy Diamondbacks team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Arizona picks, computer picks Rays vs Diamondbacks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 0–5 record in their last five games and a 1–6 straight-up (SU) record in their last seven games.

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been solid ATS, posting a 5–3 record in their last eight games as favorites, indicating consistent performance when expected to win.

Rays vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Trends

In their recent matchups, the Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games against the Rays, with the total going under in 4 of those 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

Tampa Bay vs. Arizona Game Info

Tampa Bay vs Arizona starts on April 23, 2025 at 9:40 PM EST.

Spread: Arizona -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +121, Arizona -143
Over/Under: 9

Tampa Bay: (9-14)  |  Arizona: (14-9)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carroll over 7.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their recent matchups, the Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games against the Rays, with the total going under in 4 of those 5 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

TB trend: The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 0–5 record in their last five games and a 1–6 straight-up (SU) record in their last seven games.

ARI trend: The Diamondbacks have been solid ATS, posting a 5–3 record in their last eight games as favorites, indicating consistent performance when expected to win.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. Arizona Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Arizona trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Tampa Bay vs Arizona Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: +121
ARI Moneyline: -143
TB Spread: +1.5
ARI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Tampa Bay vs Arizona Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
0
3
+950
-2000
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-130)
O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
0
0
 
-185
 
-1.5 (+105)
O 9.5 (-125)
U 9.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
-105
-115
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+190
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-140
+115
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+105
-125
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-215
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks on April 23, 2025 at Chase Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS