Mariners vs. Red Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 23 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox are set to face off on April 23, 2025, at Fenway Park, concluding their midweek series. Both teams are aiming to secure a series win and gain momentum in their respective divisions.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 23, 2025

Start Time: 6:45 PM EST​

Venue: Fenway Park​

Red Sox Record: (14-11)

Mariners Record: (12-11)

OPENING ODDS

SEA Moneyline: +114

BOS Moneyline: -135

SEA Spread: +1.5

BOS Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 10

SEA
Betting Trends

  • The Mariners have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 games, demonstrating strong performance against the spread recently.

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in 5 of their last 10 home games, indicating inconsistent performance against the spread at Fenway Park.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the last 6 meetings between the Mariners and Red Sox, the total has gone OVER 4 times, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring games in this matchup.

SEA vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Arozarena over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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Seattle vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/23/25

The series finale between the Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox on April 23, 2025, at Fenway Park features two clubs looking to assert themselves in competitive divisional races and close out this midweek clash with a statement win. The Mariners have been gaining momentum after a slightly uneven start to the season, entering this contest with a 7-3 record against the spread in their last ten games and an offense that’s finding rhythm behind improved plate discipline and timely power. Their bats have begun to heat up, particularly in clutch moments, and they’ve shown the ability to play well in tough environments like Fenway, where they’ve historically had mixed results. Seattle’s lineup, driven by sluggers like Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh, has been the key to their recent offensive surge, with both players producing extra-base hits and setting the tone for a team that doesn’t rely on small ball to score. Complementing that effort has been a bullpen that ranks among the more reliable in the American League, consistently closing out tight contests and bailing out starters when necessary. Boston, meanwhile, enters this matchup seeking stability at home, where they’ve gone 5-5 against the spread in their last ten outings.

Their offense continues to be their strength, with Rafael Devers anchoring a batting order that’s capable of putting up crooked numbers in a hurry, especially at Fenway Park where their left-handed power thrives. The Red Sox have struggled at times to get consistency from their rotation, making the bullpen’s workload a little heavier than desired, but the offense has done enough to keep them in the playoff conversation. This final game will likely come down to which starting pitcher can settle in early and limit traffic on the bases, as both teams are capable of explosive innings when momentum shifts. There’s also the matter of the recent trend toward high-scoring affairs between these two clubs—four of their last six meetings have gone over the total—underscoring how offense has dictated outcomes when they square off. Defensive execution and bullpen management will be equally vital, as any misstep could open the door for late-game heroics. With the Mariners aiming to build on their road success and Boston looking to assert home dominance, this matchup offers the type of intensity and strategic back-and-forth that’s typical of interleague battles between playoff hopefuls. Both managers will likely keep a short leash on their starters and manage aggressively in the middle innings if things get tight. Whether it’s the Mariners’ rising power game or the Red Sox’s veteran-laden offense that seizes the spotlight, fans can expect a game rich in tension, production, and postseason-style urgency. The winner walks away with more than a series win—it’s an early confidence builder in a long season where every edge, and every game like this, matters.

Seattle Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners head into the final game of their road series against the Boston Red Sox with confidence and a growing sense of identity as they look to close out their East Coast swing with another win that reinforces their status as a serious contender in the American League. With a strong 7-3 stretch against the spread over their last ten games, Seattle has found a groove built on a well-balanced offense, sharp bullpen work, and the kind of road resilience that separates playoff teams from pretenders. Julio Rodríguez remains the heartbeat of the Mariners’ lineup, combining power, speed, and defense to make an impact in every phase of the game, and his presence at the top of the order sets the tone for an offense that has grown more disciplined and productive over the last two weeks. He’s flanked by the likes of Cal Raleigh, who has become one of the league’s most reliable power-hitting catchers, and Ty France, who brings a steady bat and high-contact approach that helps extend innings and capitalize on run-scoring opportunities. The Mariners’ recent surge in run production is no accident—they’ve improved their walk rate, cut down on strikeouts in key moments, and delivered in clutch situations with runners in scoring position, which has made them far more dangerous than their early-season numbers might suggest. That offensive growth has taken pressure off the pitching staff, which continues to be one of Seattle’s calling cards.

Their rotation has consistently delivered quality starts, with most outings going five to six innings and keeping games within reach even when the offense starts slowly. On the backend, the Mariners boast one of the most quietly effective bullpens in baseball, anchored by flamethrower Andrés Muñoz and supported by Gabe Speier, Trent Thornton, and a cast of role-specific arms who thrive in high-leverage situations. Manager Scott Servais has done an excellent job managing workloads and matchups, often pulling the right strings when the game tightens in the late innings. Defensively, Seattle has been sharp and efficient, rarely giving away extra outs and supporting their pitchers with good positioning and reliable glove work in both the infield and outfield. As they face a potent Boston offense at Fenway Park, where runs can pile up quickly, the Mariners will look to set the tone early, avoid falling behind, and use their disciplined pitching and timely hitting to control tempo. Their approach on the road has been particularly mature, marked by a businesslike mentality and an ability to grind out wins even when they aren’t firing on all cylinders offensively. If Seattle can stay aggressive on the bases, execute with runners on, and keep the ball in the yard against Boston’s left-handed power, they’ll be well positioned to close out the series with a win and continue climbing the AL West standings. With each game holding added weight in a tightly bunched league, this finale represents a key opportunity for the Mariners to affirm their momentum and send a message that they’re not just a streaking team—they’re built to last.

The Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox are set to face off on April 23, 2025, at Fenway Park, concluding their midweek series. Both teams are aiming to secure a series win and gain momentum in their respective divisions. Seattle vs Boston AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox enter the final game of their home series against the Seattle Mariners looking to rediscover consistency and assert their offensive identity at Fenway Park, where they’ve hovered around .500 and shown flashes of high-powered potential without fully capitalizing on their home-field advantage. With a 5-5 ATS record in their last ten home games, the Red Sox have delivered competitive performances but have lacked the late-game execution and pitching consistency to string together extended success. Offensively, Boston continues to lean on the bat of Rafael Devers, whose elite bat speed and power to all fields make him a threat in any count and a centerpiece of the team’s run production. Jarren Duran has added a spark at the top of the lineup with his blend of contact hitting and speed, while veterans like Masataka Yoshida and Trevor Story provide valuable depth and situational hitting, creating a lineup that can hurt opponents from multiple angles when firing on all cylinders. The challenge, however, has been sustaining that production across nine innings and complementing it with reliable starting pitching, something the Red Sox have struggled to consistently find during the early part of the season.

Their bullpen, while showing promise in stretches, has had difficulty maintaining leads in high-leverage situations, a weakness that becomes particularly dangerous against disciplined lineups like Seattle’s that know how to capitalize on free passes and defensive miscues. On the mound for Boston, the starting assignment carries added pressure, with the Mariners’ offense heating up and Boston’s need to avoid extended bullpen exposure growing with every close contest. The Red Sox will need to rely on sharp infield defense and smart pitch sequencing to neutralize power bats like Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh while also managing the run game against an aggressive Seattle squad that’s not afraid to test arms on the bases. Manager Alex Cora will look to deploy his relievers strategically, especially in the middle innings where Boston has often lost control of the pace of the game. For the Red Sox to win this series and keep pace in the fiercely competitive AL East, they’ll need to strike early, protect any lead with precision, and avoid the types of mental lapses that have cost them close games. A win would not only deliver a needed morale boost heading into their next series but also help reestablish Fenway as a difficult place for opponents to win, something that was foundational to Boston’s success in previous years. With both pride and standings implications on the line, expect the Red Sox to come out aggressive at the plate, sharp in the field, and fully committed to ending this series with a complete performance that validates the talent on their roster and sends a signal that Boston intends to contend, not just compete, throughout 2025.

Seattle vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Mariners and Red Sox play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Fenway Park in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Arozarena over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

Seattle vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Mariners and Red Sox and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Mariners team going up against a possibly deflated Red Sox team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Seattle vs Boston picks, computer picks Mariners vs Red Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 games, demonstrating strong performance against the spread recently.

Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have covered the run line in 5 of their last 10 home games, indicating inconsistent performance against the spread at Fenway Park.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Matchup Trends

In the last 6 meetings between the Mariners and Red Sox, the total has gone OVER 4 times, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring games in this matchup.

Seattle vs. Boston Game Info

Seattle vs Boston starts on April 23, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.

Spread: Boston -1.5
Moneyline: Seattle +114, Boston -135
Over/Under: 10

Seattle: (12-11)  |  Boston: (14-11)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Arozarena over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the last 6 meetings between the Mariners and Red Sox, the total has gone OVER 4 times, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring games in this matchup.

SEA trend: The Mariners have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 games, demonstrating strong performance against the spread recently.

BOS trend: The Red Sox have covered the run line in 5 of their last 10 home games, indicating inconsistent performance against the spread at Fenway Park.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Seattle vs. Boston Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Seattle vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Seattle vs Boston Opening Odds

SEA Moneyline: +114
BOS Moneyline: -135
SEA Spread: +1.5
BOS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 10

Seattle vs Boston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox on April 23, 2025 at Fenway Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN