Phillies vs. Mets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 22 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies (13–9) and New York Mets (15–7) continue their NL East rivalry on April 22, 2025, at Citi Field, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sánchez (2–0, 2.96 ERA) will face New York’s Griffin Canning (2–1, 3.43 ERA) in a matchup of promising starters.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 22, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (16-7)

Phillies Record: (13-10)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -130

NYM Moneyline: +110

PHI Spread: -1.5

NYM Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have a 5–5 record against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performances in covering the run line.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have been strong at home, with a 9–1 record at Citi Field, indicating a favorable trend in covering the run line in home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Philadelphia has been favored in 17 games this season, winning 10 (58.8%) of those contests. The Mets have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as underdogs this season.

PHI vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Stott oiver 0.5 Total Bases.

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Philadelphia vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/22/25

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are set to clash on April 22, 2025, in what promises to be a heated National League East showdown at Citi Field. Both teams have emerged as early contenders in the division, with the Mets riding a red-hot 15–7 start and the Phillies not far behind at 13–9. This second game of their series is layered with importance, as it could swing early-season momentum in a division that figures to remain tightly contested all year. The Mets have been dominant at home, sporting a 9–1 record at Citi Field, while the Phillies aim to re-establish consistency after a few uneven outings. The pitching matchup pits Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sánchez (2–0, 2.96 ERA) against New York’s Griffin Canning (2–1, 3.43 ERA), two rising starters who have been effective early and offer contrasting styles that will challenge both lineups in different ways. Cristopher Sánchez has quietly become one of the Phillies’ most reliable arms. The left-hander mixes in a deceptive changeup with a lively fastball and has excelled at keeping hitters off balance through his first four starts. His ability to control the zone and limit free passes has helped him avoid major damage even in hitter-friendly situations. Opposing him, Griffin Canning has provided the Mets with dependable innings and composure, especially in tight games. Though not overpowering, he’s been smart in his pitch sequencing and has excelled at getting ground ball outs, making him a perfect fit for a Mets team that thrives on defensive execution. With two pitchers who rely more on finesse and command than pure power, this matchup may come down to which lineup makes the most of limited scoring chances.

On offense, the Mets have clicked into rhythm early in the year, with Francisco Lindor setting the tone both at the plate and in the field. Lindor’s leadership and timely hitting have provided a spark, while Pete Alonso continues to be a devastating presence in the heart of the lineup with his power and run production. Complementary hitters like Starling Marte and Brett Baty have done enough to keep the pressure on opposing pitchers, and the Mets’ offensive balance has been crucial to their early success. The Phillies, meanwhile, rely heavily on Kyle Schwarber’s power bat and the steady presence of Bryce Harper, who is once again anchoring the lineup with a blend of clutch hitting and mature plate appearances. Philadelphia has also benefited from the improved production of Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott, but they’ve shown a tendency to go cold for stretches, especially on the road, which could be costly against a Mets team that has thrived at home. Defensively, both teams have been sound, with the Mets arguably holding a slight edge due to their infield coordination and outfield range. Their bullpen has also been sharper to this point in the season, frequently closing out narrow leads and keeping games within reach. The Phillies’ bullpen has been more volatile, though improved, and could be a deciding factor if this game goes deep tied or within a run. Given the Mets’ outstanding home form and the consistency of their lineup, they enter this matchup as slight favorites. However, if Sánchez can quiet New York’s bats early and the Phillies capitalize on their power opportunities, the game could swing in Philadelphia’s favor. This is a classic divisional battle where each pitch, each at-bat, and each defensive play could have postseason implications down the road.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter this critical NL East matchup against the New York Mets with a 13–9 record, sitting within striking distance of first place but still striving to establish consistent rhythm on both sides of the ball. Coming off a season in which they made significant noise in the postseason, expectations remain high for this veteran-laden roster, and their performance thus far has reflected a mix of steady leadership and moments of vulnerability. The Phillies have been solid against weaker competition, but they’ve yet to fully assert themselves against the top-tier teams in the division, making this series against the Mets a valuable barometer for how playoff-ready this group is. Away from home, the Phillies have been unpredictable, alternating between explosive offensive outbursts and games where their bats fall uncharacteristically silent. In a challenging road environment like Citi Field—where the Mets are 9–1 this year—Philadelphia must tap into its veteran experience and avoid the types of early-inning deficits that have derailed some of their recent road efforts. On the mound for the Phillies is Cristopher Sánchez, the quietly effective left-hander who has posted a 2–0 record and a 2.96 ERA in his first handful of starts. Sánchez doesn’t rely on overpowering velocity but instead works with precision, movement, and poise beyond his years. His changeup has become a genuine weapon, and he has consistently limited hard contact by working low in the zone and getting ground ball outs. Against a potent Mets lineup that thrives on momentum and feeds off energy at home, Sánchez’s ability to manage traffic on the bases and avoid big innings will be pivotal.

He’ll need to be especially careful with Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, two hitters capable of changing the game with one swing. The Phillies’ bullpen behind him has shown signs of improvement, but recent outings have revealed cracks that manager Rob Thomson will need to monitor closely. Holding a lead—or keeping the game within striking distance—will depend not only on Sánchez’s start but also on middle relief arms like Seranthony Domínguez and José Alvarado bridging effectively to closer Gregory Soto. Offensively, the Phillies continue to lean on their core of sluggers, led by Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Harper remains the soul of this team, delivering at-bats with grit, power, and leadership, while Schwarber’s left-handed bat gives them the ability to swing games in their favor quickly. Alec Bohm has provided some much-needed consistency with runners in scoring position, and Bryson Stott’s development continues to bolster the bottom half of the lineup. However, Philadelphia’s overall offensive output has lacked consistency, particularly in the later innings, which has cost them opportunities to come from behind or put games away. In this road contest, run production will need to come early and often, especially with the Mets’ strong bullpen capable of locking things down late. If the Phillies are going to walk away from this series with a win, they must bring disciplined approaches at the plate, aggressive base-running, and support Sánchez with clean defensive play. Against a surging Mets team that’s been nearly unbeatable at home, Philadelphia must play with urgency and precision from the very first pitch.

The Philadelphia Phillies (13–9) and New York Mets (15–7) continue their NL East rivalry on April 22, 2025, at Citi Field, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sánchez (2–0, 2.96 ERA) will face New York’s Griffin Canning (2–1, 3.43 ERA) in a matchup of promising starters. Philadelphia vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets take the field at Citi Field on April 22 with a commanding 15–7 record and a dominant 9–1 mark at home, underscoring just how formidable they’ve become in front of their own fans in the early stages of the 2025 season. What’s particularly impressive about the Mets’ performance so far is the balance and stability they’ve found across all facets of their game. From timely hitting to dependable pitching and consistent defensive execution, the Mets have managed to build and maintain momentum while navigating the usual early-season hurdles. They enter this pivotal NL East clash against the Philadelphia Phillies not only with superior recent form but also with the advantage of home-field familiarity and a bullpen that has proven it can close the door in tight games. This matchup provides another opportunity for the Mets to solidify their position atop the division and make a statement against a playoff-tested rival looking to regain its footing. Starting for the Mets is right-hander Griffin Canning, who has been a welcome addition to the rotation with a 2–1 record and a solid 3.43 ERA. Canning has excelled at keeping hitters off balance with a deep arsenal of pitches, including a sharp slider and a well-located fastball. He’s not a high-strikeout arm in the traditional mold, but his ability to limit damage and pitch deep into games has become a valuable asset for a Mets club that relies on efficient starts to minimize bullpen strain.

Canning’s challenge in this outing will be managing a Philadelphia lineup that’s built for power and features several left-handed threats. Look for him to work the edges of the strike zone and stay ahead in counts to avoid giving hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper the opportunity to extend at-bats and create big innings. Should Canning exit with a lead, the Mets will confidently turn the game over to their bullpen, where arms like Edwin Díaz, Brooks Raley, and Drew Smith have delivered consistently in high-leverage spots. On offense, the Mets are driven by the leadership and versatility of Francisco Lindor, who has been their most complete player through the first month. Lindor’s ability to impact games both offensively and defensively has been invaluable—he’s setting the tone at the plate, creating chaos on the bases, and anchoring the middle infield with Gold Glove-caliber defense. Pete Alonso, the team’s premier slugger, continues to supply power in the middle of the lineup, and his presence forces opposing pitchers to be careful when navigating through the heart of the order. The supporting cast—Starling Marte, Jeff McNeil, and rookie Brett Baty—has also stepped up, producing runs and getting on base consistently enough to ensure the offense doesn’t lean too heavily on its stars. The Mets’ lineup has a mix of power, speed, and situational discipline, which has made them one of the more complete teams in the National League early in the year. Defensively, the Mets have committed few errors and maintained sharp positioning, which has played a significant role in their ability to keep games close even when the bats cool off. With Citi Field becoming a fortress this season, the Mets will look to maintain their dominance at home and apply pressure to a Phillies team that has struggled to maintain consistency on the road. If they can continue to pair solid pitching with timely hitting and tight defensive execution, the Mets are well-positioned to secure another series victory and strengthen their grip on the NL East standings.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Mets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Stott oiver 0.5 Total Bases.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Phillies and Mets and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly strong Mets team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Phillies vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have a 5–5 record against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performances in covering the run line.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been strong at home, with a 9–1 record at Citi Field, indicating a favorable trend in covering the run line in home games.

Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Trends

Philadelphia has been favored in 17 games this season, winning 10 (58.8%) of those contests. The Mets have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as underdogs this season.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Game Info

Philadelphia vs New York Mets starts on April 22, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -130, New York Mets +110
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia: (13-10)  |  New York Mets: (16-7)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Stott oiver 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Philadelphia has been favored in 17 games this season, winning 10 (58.8%) of those contests. The Mets have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as underdogs this season.

PHI trend: The Phillies have a 5–5 record against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performances in covering the run line.

NYM trend: The Mets have been strong at home, with a 9–1 record at Citi Field, indicating a favorable trend in covering the run line in home games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Philadelphia vs New York Mets Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -130
NYM Moneyline: +110
PHI Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-180
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Mets on April 22, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN