Phillies vs. Mets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 22 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Philadelphia Phillies (13–9) and New York Mets (15–7) continue their NL East rivalry on April 22, 2025, at Citi Field, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sánchez (2–0, 2.96 ERA) will face New York’s Griffin Canning (2–1, 3.43 ERA) in a matchup of promising starters.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 22, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: Citi Field
Mets Record: (16-7)
Phillies Record: (13-10)
OPENING ODDS
PHI Moneyline: -130
NYM Moneyline: +110
PHI Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
PHI
Betting Trends
- The Phillies have a 5–5 record against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performances in covering the run line.
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have been strong at home, with a 9–1 record at Citi Field, indicating a favorable trend in covering the run line in home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Philadelphia has been favored in 17 games this season, winning 10 (58.8%) of those contests. The Mets have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as underdogs this season.
PHI vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Stott oiver 0.5 Total Bases.
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Philadelphia vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/22/25
On offense, the Mets have clicked into rhythm early in the year, with Francisco Lindor setting the tone both at the plate and in the field. Lindor’s leadership and timely hitting have provided a spark, while Pete Alonso continues to be a devastating presence in the heart of the lineup with his power and run production. Complementary hitters like Starling Marte and Brett Baty have done enough to keep the pressure on opposing pitchers, and the Mets’ offensive balance has been crucial to their early success. The Phillies, meanwhile, rely heavily on Kyle Schwarber’s power bat and the steady presence of Bryce Harper, who is once again anchoring the lineup with a blend of clutch hitting and mature plate appearances. Philadelphia has also benefited from the improved production of Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott, but they’ve shown a tendency to go cold for stretches, especially on the road, which could be costly against a Mets team that has thrived at home. Defensively, both teams have been sound, with the Mets arguably holding a slight edge due to their infield coordination and outfield range. Their bullpen has also been sharper to this point in the season, frequently closing out narrow leads and keeping games within reach. The Phillies’ bullpen has been more volatile, though improved, and could be a deciding factor if this game goes deep tied or within a run. Given the Mets’ outstanding home form and the consistency of their lineup, they enter this matchup as slight favorites. However, if Sánchez can quiet New York’s bats early and the Phillies capitalize on their power opportunities, the game could swing in Philadelphia’s favor. This is a classic divisional battle where each pitch, each at-bat, and each defensive play could have postseason implications down the road.
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) April 22, 2025
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies enter this critical NL East matchup against the New York Mets with a 13–9 record, sitting within striking distance of first place but still striving to establish consistent rhythm on both sides of the ball. Coming off a season in which they made significant noise in the postseason, expectations remain high for this veteran-laden roster, and their performance thus far has reflected a mix of steady leadership and moments of vulnerability. The Phillies have been solid against weaker competition, but they’ve yet to fully assert themselves against the top-tier teams in the division, making this series against the Mets a valuable barometer for how playoff-ready this group is. Away from home, the Phillies have been unpredictable, alternating between explosive offensive outbursts and games where their bats fall uncharacteristically silent. In a challenging road environment like Citi Field—where the Mets are 9–1 this year—Philadelphia must tap into its veteran experience and avoid the types of early-inning deficits that have derailed some of their recent road efforts. On the mound for the Phillies is Cristopher Sánchez, the quietly effective left-hander who has posted a 2–0 record and a 2.96 ERA in his first handful of starts. Sánchez doesn’t rely on overpowering velocity but instead works with precision, movement, and poise beyond his years. His changeup has become a genuine weapon, and he has consistently limited hard contact by working low in the zone and getting ground ball outs. Against a potent Mets lineup that thrives on momentum and feeds off energy at home, Sánchez’s ability to manage traffic on the bases and avoid big innings will be pivotal.
He’ll need to be especially careful with Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, two hitters capable of changing the game with one swing. The Phillies’ bullpen behind him has shown signs of improvement, but recent outings have revealed cracks that manager Rob Thomson will need to monitor closely. Holding a lead—or keeping the game within striking distance—will depend not only on Sánchez’s start but also on middle relief arms like Seranthony Domínguez and José Alvarado bridging effectively to closer Gregory Soto. Offensively, the Phillies continue to lean on their core of sluggers, led by Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Harper remains the soul of this team, delivering at-bats with grit, power, and leadership, while Schwarber’s left-handed bat gives them the ability to swing games in their favor quickly. Alec Bohm has provided some much-needed consistency with runners in scoring position, and Bryson Stott’s development continues to bolster the bottom half of the lineup. However, Philadelphia’s overall offensive output has lacked consistency, particularly in the later innings, which has cost them opportunities to come from behind or put games away. In this road contest, run production will need to come early and often, especially with the Mets’ strong bullpen capable of locking things down late. If the Phillies are going to walk away from this series with a win, they must bring disciplined approaches at the plate, aggressive base-running, and support Sánchez with clean defensive play. Against a surging Mets team that’s been nearly unbeatable at home, Philadelphia must play with urgency and precision from the very first pitch.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets take the field at Citi Field on April 22 with a commanding 15–7 record and a dominant 9–1 mark at home, underscoring just how formidable they’ve become in front of their own fans in the early stages of the 2025 season. What’s particularly impressive about the Mets’ performance so far is the balance and stability they’ve found across all facets of their game. From timely hitting to dependable pitching and consistent defensive execution, the Mets have managed to build and maintain momentum while navigating the usual early-season hurdles. They enter this pivotal NL East clash against the Philadelphia Phillies not only with superior recent form but also with the advantage of home-field familiarity and a bullpen that has proven it can close the door in tight games. This matchup provides another opportunity for the Mets to solidify their position atop the division and make a statement against a playoff-tested rival looking to regain its footing. Starting for the Mets is right-hander Griffin Canning, who has been a welcome addition to the rotation with a 2–1 record and a solid 3.43 ERA. Canning has excelled at keeping hitters off balance with a deep arsenal of pitches, including a sharp slider and a well-located fastball. He’s not a high-strikeout arm in the traditional mold, but his ability to limit damage and pitch deep into games has become a valuable asset for a Mets club that relies on efficient starts to minimize bullpen strain.
Canning’s challenge in this outing will be managing a Philadelphia lineup that’s built for power and features several left-handed threats. Look for him to work the edges of the strike zone and stay ahead in counts to avoid giving hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper the opportunity to extend at-bats and create big innings. Should Canning exit with a lead, the Mets will confidently turn the game over to their bullpen, where arms like Edwin Díaz, Brooks Raley, and Drew Smith have delivered consistently in high-leverage spots. On offense, the Mets are driven by the leadership and versatility of Francisco Lindor, who has been their most complete player through the first month. Lindor’s ability to impact games both offensively and defensively has been invaluable—he’s setting the tone at the plate, creating chaos on the bases, and anchoring the middle infield with Gold Glove-caliber defense. Pete Alonso, the team’s premier slugger, continues to supply power in the middle of the lineup, and his presence forces opposing pitchers to be careful when navigating through the heart of the order. The supporting cast—Starling Marte, Jeff McNeil, and rookie Brett Baty—has also stepped up, producing runs and getting on base consistently enough to ensure the offense doesn’t lean too heavily on its stars. The Mets’ lineup has a mix of power, speed, and situational discipline, which has made them one of the more complete teams in the National League early in the year. Defensively, the Mets have committed few errors and maintained sharp positioning, which has played a significant role in their ability to keep games close even when the bats cool off. With Citi Field becoming a fortress this season, the Mets will look to maintain their dominance at home and apply pressure to a Phillies team that has struggled to maintain consistency on the road. If they can continue to pair solid pitching with timely hitting and tight defensive execution, the Mets are well-positioned to secure another series victory and strengthen their grip on the NL East standings.
Mets WWWWWin pic.twitter.com/sAU3aIJp35
— New York Mets (@Mets) April 22, 2025
Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)
Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Phillies and Mets and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly strong Mets team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Phillies vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have a 5–5 record against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performances in covering the run line.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been strong at home, with a 9–1 record at Citi Field, indicating a favorable trend in covering the run line in home games.
Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Trends
Philadelphia has been favored in 17 games this season, winning 10 (58.8%) of those contests. The Mets have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as underdogs this season.
Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Game Info
What time does Philadelphia vs New York Mets start on April 22, 2025?
Philadelphia vs New York Mets starts on April 22, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Philadelphia vs New York Mets being played?
Venue: Citi Field.
What are the opening odds for Philadelphia vs New York Mets?
Spread: New York Mets +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -130, New York Mets +110
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Philadelphia vs New York Mets?
Philadelphia: (13-10) | New York Mets: (16-7)
What is the AI best bet for Philadelphia vs New York Mets?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Stott oiver 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Philadelphia vs New York Mets trending bets?
Philadelphia has been favored in 17 games this season, winning 10 (58.8%) of those contests. The Mets have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as underdogs this season.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: The Phillies have a 5–5 record against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performances in covering the run line.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have been strong at home, with a 9–1 record at Citi Field, indicating a favorable trend in covering the run line in home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Philadelphia vs New York Mets?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Philadelphia vs New York Mets Opening Odds
PHI Moneyline:
-130 NYM Moneyline: +110
PHI Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
Philadelphia vs New York Mets Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
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+190
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
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–
–
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-180
|
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+130
-155
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+185
-225
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
|
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+170
-205
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+145
-175
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+135
-165
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+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
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+115
-140
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-165
+135
|
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
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O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+105
-125
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
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O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Mets on April 22, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |