Orioles vs Nationals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 22)
Updated: 2025-04-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Baltimore Orioles (9–12) and Washington Nationals (9–13) commence a three-game series at Nationals Park on April 22, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 6:45 PM ET. Baltimore’s Dean Kremer (2–2, 6.41 ERA) will face Washington’s Mitchell Parker (2–1, 1.85 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers aiming to set the tone for their respective teams.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Apr 22, 2025
Start Time: 6:45 PM EST
Venue: Nationals Park
Nationals Record: (9-13)
Orioles Record: (9-12)
OPENING ODDS
BAL Moneyline: -133
WAS Moneyline: +113
BAL Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
BAL
Betting Trends
- The Orioles have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, failing to cover in four of their last six games, reflecting inconsistencies in both pitching and offense.
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Nationals have shown improvement ATS, covering in three of their last five games, indicating a positive trend in their recent performances.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Baltimore has a 4–6 ATS record on the road this season, highlighting challenges in away games. Conversely, Washington has covered the run line in four of their last six home games, suggesting a stronger performance at Nationals Park.
BAL vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Baltimore vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/22/25
Mullins, hitting .284 with six home runs and 19 RBIs, continues to be a reliable leadoff threat and one of the most productive bats in the lineup. Baltimore also looks for more consistency from Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson, who have both delivered in spurts but haven’t yet sustained elite-level production. Baltimore’s bullpen, although talented, has been overexposed due to short outings from starters, making Kremer’s efficiency in this game even more critical. On the other side, the Nationals are handing the ball to Mitchell Parker, who’s off to a strong start with a 2–1 record and an impressive 1.85 ERA. Parker has quietly become one of the more effective arms in the Nationals’ rotation, commanding the strike zone with poise and minimizing traffic on the bases. Against a power-heavy Orioles lineup, Parker’s ability to induce weak contact and pitch to ground balls will be essential. The Nationals’ offense is led by rookie James Wood, who already has seven home runs and has brought an energy to the team that fans haven’t seen since their 2019 title run. Keibert Ruiz has also provided consistency at the plate with a .306 batting average and sound defense behind the plate. If the Nationals can pair Parker’s strong outing with timely production from the middle of their order, they could exploit Baltimore’s pitching vulnerabilities. With Washington showing better form at home and Baltimore still searching for a complete game on the road, this series opener leans slightly in the Nationals’ favor. However, if the Orioles’ bats get hot early and Kremer manages to hold the line through five or six innings, the game could tilt quickly in the visitors’ direction. Either way, this matchup offers fans a compelling battle between two hungry clubs trying to claw back into relevance.
Happy birthday, Cionel 🥳 pic.twitter.com/uuGDZCMg3i
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) April 21, 2025
Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview
The Baltimore Orioles arrive at Nationals Park with a 9–12 record, searching for stability after a rocky stretch marked by inconsistency in both pitching and offense. Though the team showed promise last season and entered 2025 with expectations of building on that foundation, they have yet to find a sustained rhythm, particularly on the road where they’ve struggled to cover the spread and string together complete performances. Dean Kremer gets the start for Baltimore, bringing a 2–2 record and a concerning 6.41 ERA into this interleague clash. Kremer has shown the ability to eat innings and keep the ball in the park at times, but control issues and elevated pitch counts have limited his effectiveness, especially away from Camden Yards. For the Orioles to turn the tide in this series, they’ll need Kremer to avoid early damage and keep the game within reach for a bullpen that has been overextended by short starts. Offensively, the Orioles are led by Cedric Mullins, who continues to set the tone at the top of the order with a .284 average, six home runs, and 19 RBIs. Mullins has been a dynamic presence, not just as a leadoff hitter, but also as a sparkplug who can change the game with one swing or on the base paths. His ability to get on base and pressure pitchers opens opportunities for the likes of Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, and Anthony Santander to produce runs in the middle of the lineup. Rutschman, one of the most promising young catchers in baseball, has shown elite pitch recognition and plate discipline but hasn’t yet broken out offensively in 2025.
The same can be said for Santander, who has provided power in previous seasons but has been searching for consistency. The Orioles’ overall offensive numbers remain respectable, but the key challenge lies in executing with runners in scoring position—an area where they’ve missed several key opportunities that could have shifted outcomes in recent games. Defensively, Baltimore has been serviceable, but far from elite. Errors and miscommunications have crept into their infield play, leading to extended innings and increased pressure on their already-taxed pitching staff. These lapses, while not always costly in the box score, often contribute to momentum swings that opposing teams have capitalized on. The bullpen, once a reliable asset, has been stretched thin due to poor starting pitching depth and overuse, with key relievers like Yennier Canó and Cionel Pérez being forced into high-leverage situations night after night. If the Orioles are to reverse their current trajectory, they’ll need more than individual excellence—they’ll need consistency across all facets of the game: solid starts, timely hits, and crisp defensive execution. Against a Nationals team that has been much better at home and is beginning to find an offensive identity, Baltimore must approach the series opener with urgency and discipline. A victory in this matchup would not only provide a morale boost but also a much-needed foundation for improved play as they push deeper into the season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Washington Nationals MLB Preview
The Washington Nationals enter Tuesday’s series opener against the Baltimore Orioles with a 9–13 record, showing modest but meaningful progress in the early stages of the 2025 season. Though the win-loss column doesn’t reflect a dramatic turnaround, this youthful Nationals squad has quietly begun to carve out a more competitive identity, particularly at home where they’ve covered the run line in four of their last six games. The emergence of several young stars, improved pitching, and sharper play on defense have helped Washington remain feisty in matchups that many expected them to simply survive. With the Orioles coming to town and both clubs sitting near the bottom of their respective divisions, this interleague series carries weight—not just in terms of standings, but also for building confidence and rhythm as both teams attempt to forge consistency before May arrives. The Nationals will rely on Mitchell Parker to take the mound in the opener, and the rookie right-hander has been a revelation so far in 2025. Parker sports a 2–1 record with a stellar 1.85 ERA, proving adept at limiting hard contact and working efficiently through lineups despite his relative inexperience. His command of the strike zone and ability to sequence pitches have frustrated hitters and given Washington a chance to win in each of his starts. He faces an Orioles lineup with dangerous hitters, but one that has been inconsistent away from home, which could play into his strengths. Parker’s poise and willingness to pitch to contact allow him to extend outings and preserve the bullpen, which has been a critical factor in his early-season success. Washington’s relief corps, anchored by Hunter Harvey and Kyle Finnegan, has also shown growth, keeping the team in close games and capitalizing when the offense provides a late spark.
Offensively, the Nationals are beginning to establish an identity around their young core. Rookie sensation James Wood has been the centerpiece, slugging seven home runs and injecting much-needed power into a lineup that previously leaned more on contact and speed. His presence in the middle of the order has taken pressure off veterans like Joey Meneses and allowed Keibert Ruiz to operate with more freedom. Ruiz, hitting .306, has provided steady production and leadership from behind the plate, giving Washington a reliable anchor both offensively and defensively. C.J. Abrams and Luis García Jr. have also contributed key moments, helping the team manufacture runs even in low-scoring contests. The Nationals aren’t a team that will routinely mash their way to victory, but they have shown improved situational hitting and a willingness to play small ball when needed—a hallmark of manager Dave Martinez’s preferred style. Defensively, Washington has cleaned up many of the mistakes that plagued them last season. Their infield has made routine plays look routine again, and their outfield, led by Wood and Victor Robles, has covered ground efficiently. The combination of strong defensive positioning, confident young pitching, and a growing offensive punch has turned Nationals Park into a more challenging venue for visiting teams. Against a Baltimore squad that has faltered on the road and is struggling to find consistent starting pitching, Washington will look to set the tone early with Parker’s arm and back it up with smart at-bats. If they can maintain their recent form, the Nationals have a strong opportunity to take control of this series and continue redefining themselves as more than just a rebuilding roster.
HOCKEY GUYS@Jirvy18 x @Mgore181 pic.twitter.com/v09Yj7gguW
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) April 22, 2025
Baltimore vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)
Baltimore vs. Washington Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Orioles and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Orioles team going up against a possibly strong Nationals team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Baltimore vs Washington picks, computer picks Orioles vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, failing to cover in four of their last six games, reflecting inconsistencies in both pitching and offense.
Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals have shown improvement ATS, covering in three of their last five games, indicating a positive trend in their recent performances.
Orioles vs. Nationals Matchup Trends
Baltimore has a 4–6 ATS record on the road this season, highlighting challenges in away games. Conversely, Washington has covered the run line in four of their last six home games, suggesting a stronger performance at Nationals Park.
Baltimore vs. Washington Game Info
What time does Baltimore vs Washington start on April 22, 2025?
Baltimore vs Washington starts on April 22, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.
Where is Baltimore vs Washington being played?
Venue: Nationals Park.
What are the opening odds for Baltimore vs Washington?
Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: Baltimore -133, Washington +113
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Baltimore vs Washington?
Baltimore: (9-12) | Washington: (9-13)
What is the AI best bet for Baltimore vs Washington?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Baltimore vs Washington trending bets?
Baltimore has a 4–6 ATS record on the road this season, highlighting challenges in away games. Conversely, Washington has covered the run line in four of their last six home games, suggesting a stronger performance at Nationals Park.
What are Baltimore trending bets?
BAL trend: The Orioles have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, failing to cover in four of their last six games, reflecting inconsistencies in both pitching and offense.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Nationals have shown improvement ATS, covering in three of their last five games, indicating a positive trend in their recent performances.
Where can I find AI Picks for Baltimore vs Washington?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Baltimore vs. Washington Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Baltimore vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Baltimore vs Washington Opening Odds
BAL Moneyline:
-133 WAS Moneyline: +113
BAL Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
Baltimore vs Washington Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals on April 22, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD@TOR | TOR +1.5 | 56.7% | 2 | WIN |
| TOR@LAD | TOR +1.5 | 55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |