Padres vs. Tigers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 21 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The San Diego Padres (15–6) travel to Comerica Park to face the Detroit Tigers (12–8) on April 21, 2025, in a compelling interleague matchup. Both teams are off to strong starts, with the Padres leading the NL West and the Tigers atop the AL Central.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 21, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: Comerica Park
Tigers Record: (13-9)
Padres Record: (16-6)
OPENING ODDS
SD Moneyline: +111
DET Moneyline: -130
SD Spread: +1.5
DET Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
SD
Betting Trends
- The Padres have covered the spread in 12 of their 21 games this season, showcasing their consistent performance.
DET
Betting Trends
- The Tigers have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 6 of their 8 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Padres have a +34 run differential, indicating their offensive prowess, while the Tigers have a +19 run differential, reflecting their balanced play.
SD vs. DET
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Torkelson over 0.5 Total Bases.
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San Diego vs Detroit Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/21/25
Manager A.J. Hinch has done an excellent job rotating his pieces to optimize matchups, especially at Comerica Park, where the Tigers are 6–2 this season. Pitching has also been a revelation, with Tarik Skubal delivering ace-like performances and the bullpen—led by Alex Lange—showing resilience in high-leverage moments. Though Detroit doesn’t blow opponents away with gaudy numbers, their +11 run differential and ability to win tight games point to a team that plays disciplined, situational baseball. In this matchup, their best path to victory lies in disrupting San Diego’s rhythm by working deep counts, limiting mistakes in the field, and keeping the game close into the late innings where they can leverage their bullpen and home-field advantage. With the crowd behind them and the belief growing inside the clubhouse, the Tigers will look to prove they can beat baseball’s elite—not just compete with them. Overall, this game offers an early litmus test for both clubs. For the Padres, it’s a chance to prove their dominance translates across leagues, particularly against a feisty, high-effort AL squad playing at home. For the Tigers, it’s an opportunity to show that their start isn’t a fluke and that their combination of developing star power and pitching depth can challenge baseball’s best. Expect a strategic battle, where San Diego looks to jump ahead early through the middle of the order, while Detroit leans on pitching and defense to keep things close and apply pressure late. With both teams surging and rosters that bring a mix of power, speed, and poise, this interleague matchup has all the makings of a hard-fought, entertaining game with implications that go beyond just one win or loss.
Mission complete. pic.twitter.com/UFXbQeuqLS
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) April 21, 2025
San Diego Padres MLB Preview
The San Diego Padres enter their April 21, 2025 matchup against the Detroit Tigers riding high on a 15–6 record and a spot atop the National League West, built on the back of one of the most potent offenses in baseball. They’ve posted a +34 run differential and have scored at least five runs in 13 of their 21 games, powered by an explosive lineup featuring Fernando Tatis Jr., Juan Soto, and Manny Machado. Tatis Jr., in particular, is on an early-season tear, slashing .351 with 7 home runs and 15 RBIs, showcasing the electric combination of bat speed, plate coverage, and basepath aggression that has made him one of the game’s most feared talents. Machado and Xander Bogaerts have also contributed consistent production, and even the lower half of the order—led by players like Luis Campusano and Ha-Seong Kim—has chipped in with timely hits and strong defensive play. The Padres’ approach at the plate has evolved into a more balanced attack, with hitters showing better discipline, working counts, and capitalizing in high-leverage situations. Their team OPS sits among the top in MLB, and their slugging percentage reflects a roster that thrives on gap-to-gap power as well as the long ball. While their home record has been excellent, the Padres know they need to show more consistency on the road, where they’re 3–5 heading into Detroit. Randy Vásquez takes the mound for this contest, looking to improve on a 1–1 start to the season.
The young right-hander has flashed impressive movement on his breaking pitches and a developing feel for sequencing, but he’ll need to show sharper command and avoid falling behind early in counts to a Detroit lineup that has shown it can take advantage of mistakes at home. San Diego’s bullpen has quietly been a strength, with Robert Suarez converting early save opportunities and middle relievers like Wandy Peralta and Jhony Brito stepping up in bridge innings. Defensively, the Padres have been crisp, particularly in the infield, where Kim and Bogaerts have formed a reliable double-play duo and Machado remains elite at third base. Catching has also stabilized with Campusano emerging as a solid option behind the plate, both with pitch framing and game calling. For the Padres, this road matchup serves as both a trap game and a proving ground. The Tigers are not pushovers, especially at Comerica Park, where they’re 6–2, and their young core brings energy and unpredictability to every game. Vásquez will need early run support, and the Padres will benefit from jumping on Detroit starter Keider Montero, who’s still finding his footing in the big leagues. If the Padres’ top four hitters can set the tone early and get into the Tigers’ bullpen by the fifth or sixth inning, San Diego’s depth and discipline could carry them to a statement road win. Ultimately, this game represents a chance for the Padres to reinforce their status as one of MLB’s most complete teams, regardless of venue, and to continue building the kind of winning habits that define postseason-ready ballclubs. With power, polish, and purpose, the Padres look to keep their roll alive in Motor City.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Detroit Tigers MLB Preview
The Detroit Tigers enter their April 21, 2025 matchup against the San Diego Padres with renewed confidence and growing momentum as they continue to assert themselves as a legitimate contender in the American League Central. At 12–8 overall and an impressive 6–2 at Comerica Park, the Tigers have transformed from a rebuilding project into a competitive, cohesive unit under the steady leadership of manager A.J. Hinch. Much of their early-season success has been fueled by the maturation of their young core, particularly Spencer Torkelson, who leads the team with 6 home runs and 16 RBIs, and Kerry Carpenter, whose .295 average and five home runs have provided much-needed power from the left side of the plate. This offensive duo has been supported by Riley Greene and Matt Vierling, both of whom have brought energy and timely hitting to the middle of the lineup. While Detroit may not match the star power or offensive explosion of a team like the Padres, their approach is rooted in discipline, contact hitting, and clutch at-bats. They’ve been particularly effective in manufacturing runs at home, using Comerica’s spacious gaps to rack up doubles and extend innings with aggressive baserunning. On the mound, Keider Montero gets the start, still seeking his first win of the season but showing glimpses of potential in his early outings. The right-hander has demonstrated poise under pressure and the ability to generate ground balls, traits that will be critical against a San Diego lineup known for its patience and power.
The Tigers’ bullpen has been a pleasant surprise, with Alex Lange anchoring the ninth inning and Will Vest and Jason Foley providing quality innings in setup roles. Pitching and defense have been the backbone of Detroit’s success at home, and that trend will need to continue against a Padres team that ranks among the league leaders in run differential and OPS. Defensively, the Tigers have tightened up their infield play, with Zach McKinstry and Javier Báez providing strong range and sure hands up the middle, while Jake Rogers has stabilized things behind the plate with his pitch-framing and game-calling. The emphasis on clean, efficient defense has kept them competitive in tight games and minimized damage when opponents do threaten. This game presents a significant early-season challenge and opportunity for the Tigers—to prove that their strong start isn’t just a hot stretch, but a reflection of sustainable growth and competitiveness. A win over the Padres would not only push them to a 7–2 home record but also send a message to the rest of the league that Detroit is capable of standing toe-to-toe with elite National League teams. For the Tigers to succeed, Montero will need to pitch to contact and avoid falling behind in counts, while the offense must stay aggressive and capitalize on any mistakes made by San Diego’s starter Randy Vásquez. If Detroit can control the pace, string together quality at-bats, and maintain the defensive sharpness that has carried them so far, they’ll be in excellent position to claim another series-opening win and continue shaping what’s becoming one of the more compelling comeback stories of the 2025 MLB season.
Fire up Tigs! pic.twitter.com/7cwql8KzE0
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) April 20, 2025
San Diego vs. Detroit Prop Picks (AI)
San Diego vs. Detroit Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Padres and Tigers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly deflated Tigers team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI San Diego vs Detroit picks, computer picks Padres vs Tigers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have covered the spread in 12 of their 21 games this season, showcasing their consistent performance.
Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 6 of their 8 home games.
Padres vs. Tigers Matchup Trends
The Padres have a +34 run differential, indicating their offensive prowess, while the Tigers have a +19 run differential, reflecting their balanced play.
San Diego vs. Detroit Game Info
What time does San Diego vs Detroit start on April 21, 2025?
San Diego vs Detroit starts on April 21, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is San Diego vs Detroit being played?
Venue: Comerica Park.
What are the opening odds for San Diego vs Detroit?
Spread: Detroit -1.5
Moneyline: San Diego +111, Detroit -130
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for San Diego vs Detroit?
San Diego: (16-6) | Detroit: (13-9)
What is the AI best bet for San Diego vs Detroit?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Torkelson over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are San Diego vs Detroit trending bets?
The Padres have a +34 run differential, indicating their offensive prowess, while the Tigers have a +19 run differential, reflecting their balanced play.
What are San Diego trending bets?
SD trend: The Padres have covered the spread in 12 of their 21 games this season, showcasing their consistent performance.
What are Detroit trending bets?
DET trend: The Tigers have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 6 of their 8 home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for San Diego vs Detroit?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
San Diego vs. Detroit Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs Detroit trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
San Diego vs Detroit Opening Odds
SD Moneyline:
+111 DET Moneyline: -130
SD Spread: +1.5
DET Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
San Diego vs Detroit Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+192
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-178
|
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+135
-160
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+192
-235
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
|
O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+175
-210
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+150
-178
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+122
-145
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+118
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-145
+122
|
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
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O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigers on April 21, 2025 at Comerica Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |