Twins vs Braves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 18)
Updated: 2025-04-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Minnesota Twins (7–12) travel to Truist Park to begin a three-game series against the Atlanta Braves (5–13) on Friday night. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET, featuring a pitching matchup between Chris Paddack (0–2, 9.49 ERA) for the Twins and Bryce Elder (0–1, 7.20 ERA) for the Braves.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 18, 2025
Start Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: Truist Park
Braves Record: (5-13)
Twins Record: (7-12)
OPENING ODDS
MIN Moneyline: +114
ATL Moneyline: -135
MIN Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Twins have struggled against the spread (ATS), covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Braves are 3–6 ATS in their last 9 games, including a 2–4 record in their last 6 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 7 head-to-head matchups, the Braves have covered the run line in 6 games, with the over hitting in 5 of those contests.
MIN vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Julien over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Minnesota vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/18/25
If the Braves can get traffic on the basepaths early against Paddack, expect manager Brian Snitker to push the envelope with hit-and-run tactics or aggressive base-stealing to jumpstart the offense. The Twins are similarly constructed around high-upside bats like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton, who provide middle-of-the-order thump and athleticism but have struggled to stay hot at the same time. Minnesota’s offense has often sputtered in critical spots, with multiple games featuring missed chances with runners in scoring position and a lack of sustained rallies. Both clubs will be looking at this game as a turning point—an opportunity to shake off early rust and regain footing in their respective division races. Historically, the Braves have held the edge in head-to-head matchups, covering the run line in six of their last seven meetings against Minnesota, and the over has hit in five of those games—suggesting a high-scoring affair could be in store once again. With both teams sending struggling starters to the hill and both lineups overdue for breakout performances, Friday’s game could come down to which bullpen can steady the ship and which offense capitalizes first. Neither team can afford to let winnable games like this slip away, especially with playoff races expected to tighten quickly by summer. While it’s still April, the stakes are higher than the records suggest, and both clubs know that the road back to contention starts with taking advantage of vulnerable opponents. Whether it’s a late-inning surge or a starter finally finding their groove, Friday’s matchup has all the ingredients for a momentum-shifting outcome.
Kirby. That’s it. That’s the answer. https://t.co/laTzjvSGwP pic.twitter.com/LSgUayBhNB
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) April 16, 2025
Minnesota Twins MLB Preview
The Minnesota Twins enter Friday night’s matchup against the Atlanta Braves with a 7–12 record and a growing need to turn the tide after an erratic start to their 2025 campaign. Despite having one of the more veteran lineups in the American League, the Twins have struggled to generate offensive momentum and have been plagued by missed opportunities at the plate and inconsistencies on the mound. Chris Paddack will get the start and comes in with a troubling 0–2 record and a 9.49 ERA, searching for his first quality outing of the season. Paddack has battled through command issues and hard contact, and he’ll face an Atlanta lineup that, while currently underperforming, remains loaded with talent and power from top to bottom. Paddack’s best shot at keeping this game close will be locating his fastball early, staying out of the middle of the plate, and relying on his changeup to neutralize left-handed bats like Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies. If he can avoid the big inning and get through five frames while limiting damage, Minnesota could stay competitive in what projects to be a high-scoring game between two desperate teams. The Twins’ offensive woes have been particularly frustrating given the pedigree of the roster.
Carlos Correa, who was expected to lead the team both on and off the field, has been unable to consistently deliver in clutch situations, though his glove continues to be a defensive asset. Byron Buxton, when healthy, remains one of the most explosive players in baseball, but he’s been in and out of the lineup with nagging issues and has yet to find sustained rhythm at the plate. With both stars needing to ignite, the pressure falls to emerging contributors like Edouard Julien and Max Kepler to provide energy and run production early in the game. One key for the Twins will be situational hitting—too often, innings have ended with runners stranded due to strikeouts or weak contact, stifling potential rallies. Manager Rocco Baldelli has emphasized a need for more consistent at-bats, aggressive baserunning, and defensive efficiency to support a pitching staff that has been anything but dominant. The Twins’ bullpen, while showing flashes of resilience, has been stretched thin due to short starts and will need to be sharp if Paddack exits early again. With a 3–7 ATS record over their last 10 and no clear indication of momentum, this game presents a critical opportunity for Minnesota to right the ship. The Braves have been just as inconsistent, which levels the playing field slightly and gives the Twins an opening to steal a game on the road. To do that, Paddack must deliver his best performance of the year, and the offense must finally come through with runners in scoring position—something they’ve failed to do far too often this April. Friday night could be a launchpad for a turnaround or another frustrating chapter in a start-and-stop season. The Twins know they’re better than what they’ve shown, but results, not reputation, will be the only thing that matters under the lights at Truist Park.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves return to Truist Park for Friday night’s matchup against the Minnesota Twins with a 5–13 record that reflects a surprisingly sluggish start for a team expected to be among the National League’s elite. After dominating much of the regular season in 2023 and maintaining strong form in 2024, this year’s opening month has been marked by inconsistency on the mound and underperformance at the plate. Bryce Elder will take the ball in Game 1 of this three-game series, carrying an 0–1 record and a 7.20 ERA. Elder has not yet found his form in 2025, struggling with location and failing to finish off hitters in two-strike counts. However, he’s shown signs of improvement and will be facing a Twins lineup that’s also been scuffling and has had trouble producing sustained rallies. Elder’s key to success will be early count efficiency, inducing weak contact, and keeping the ball in the park—an issue that has hurt him in his first few starts. The Braves’ bullpen has also shown vulnerability, which means the onus is on Elder to give them length and avoid a middle-inning collapse that has cost Atlanta several close games so far. Despite the early-season record, the Braves still have the offensive core that can flip the momentum of any game. Ronald Acuña Jr. continues to be the heartbeat of the lineup, bringing elite speed, contact, and game-changing defense to the table, even if his bat hasn’t fully heated up yet.
Matt Olson, Austin Riley, and Ozzie Albies round out a group with legitimate power, though the unit has struggled to string together hits in key situations and often left runners in scoring position. Facing Minnesota starter Chris Paddack, who enters with a bloated 9.49 ERA, the Braves have a golden opportunity to break out of their offensive funk. Paddack has struggled to miss bats, which could bode well for an Atlanta team that thrives when it keeps the ball in play and forces defensive mistakes. Manager Brian Snitker may lean on small ball and baserunning early to ignite the offense, especially given how critical it is for this team to generate early confidence and capitalize on any openings. The Braves average just over four runs per game, a number that’s lower than expected but poised to rise if the top half of the lineup begins to click. Defensively, Atlanta has been adequate, with steady play up the middle and improving metrics in the outfield. Still, with little margin for error given the inconsistency on the mound, clean fielding and double-play execution will be essential in preventing the kind of innings that have derailed recent games. Truist Park has traditionally been a friendly backdrop for Braves hitters, and the home crowd could provide a needed spark to a team eager to turn the page. With six covers in their last seven games against the Twins and the over hitting in five of those contests, Atlanta has historically fared well in this matchup and could use this series as a springboard back to form. A win on Friday would not only stabilize the clubhouse but also send a message that despite their early stumbles, the Braves still have the talent and toughness to contend. It’s not desperation time yet, but the urgency is real—and this home series presents a critical opportunity to get back on track.
Spencer Strider is the fastest primary starting pitcher (min. 50% of app. as SP), by innings pitched, to reach the 500-strikeout milestone. pic.twitter.com/66IQvkX79V
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) April 16, 2025
Minnesota vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
Minnesota vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Twins and Braves and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors tend to put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Twins team going up against a possibly tired Braves team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Twins vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have struggled against the spread (ATS), covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.
Braves Betting Trends
The Braves are 3–6 ATS in their last 9 games, including a 2–4 record in their last 6 home games.
Twins vs. Braves Matchup Trends
In their last 7 head-to-head matchups, the Braves have covered the run line in 6 games, with the over hitting in 5 of those contests.
Minnesota vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does Minnesota vs Atlanta start on April 18, 2025?
Minnesota vs Atlanta starts on April 18, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.
Where is Minnesota vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Truist Park.
What are the opening odds for Minnesota vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Minnesota +114, Atlanta -135
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Minnesota vs Atlanta?
Minnesota: (7-12) | Atlanta: (5-13)
What is the AI best bet for Minnesota vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Julien over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Minnesota vs Atlanta trending bets?
In their last 7 head-to-head matchups, the Braves have covered the run line in 6 games, with the over hitting in 5 of those contests.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Twins have struggled against the spread (ATS), covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Braves are 3–6 ATS in their last 9 games, including a 2–4 record in their last 6 home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Minnesota vs Atlanta?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Minnesota vs. Atlanta Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Minnesota vs Atlanta Opening Odds
MIN Moneyline:
+114 ATL Moneyline: -135
MIN Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Minnesota vs Atlanta Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+104
-127
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+1.5 (-206)
-1.5 (+166)
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O 7.5 (-116)
U 7.5 (-104)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Braves on April 18, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |