Nationals vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 17)
Updated: 2025-04-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Nationals (6–10) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (6–11) are set to conclude their four-game series at PNC Park, with both teams aiming to gain momentum in the early stages of the season. The Nationals have shown resilience despite a challenging start, while the Pirates look to capitalize on home-field advantage to improve their standing in the NL Central.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 17, 2025
Start Time: 12:35 PM EST
Venue: PNC Park
Pirates Record: (7-12)
Nationals Record: (7-11)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +108
PIT Moneyline: -127
WAS Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Nationals have a 3–2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five games, indicating a moderate success rate in covering the run line.
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–3 record in their last five games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the spread at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last five matchups, the Nationals have covered the run line in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent head-to-head ATS performance.
WAS vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Washington vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/17/25
Their offense has had its moments—none more explosive than their 10-run outburst to open the series—but they’ve been prone to streakiness, often going cold with runners in scoring position. Ke’Bryan Hayes and Oneil Cruz remain central to their success, both defensively and offensively, with Cruz’s raw power and Hayes’ infield consistency anchoring the top of the order. Andrew McCutchen continues to be a veteran presence, providing timely hitting and leadership in a largely youthful clubhouse. On the mound, however, Pittsburgh has struggled with consistency. While starters have shown glimpses of promise, there’s been a lack of deep outings, putting pressure on a bullpen that has not consistently held up under repeated high-leverage scenarios. Their defensive play has also lagged, with errors and miscommunication occasionally undermining otherwise solid efforts. Against Washington, the Pirates have split the series 2–2 so far this season, and tonight provides an opportunity to tip the scales back in their favor before heading back on the road. Both teams enter this game not just hoping for a win, but needing one. For the Nationals, a series win on the road would be a welcome boost to morale and a sign that their young core is coalescing around manager Dave Martinez’s expectations. For the Pirates, a victory would help stall their recent downward trend and offer a tangible reward for flashes of solid play. With two evenly matched teams and recent games marked by big swings in momentum, tonight’s outcome may very well hinge on which club gets the stronger starting pitching performance and avoids the fielding lapses that have cost both squads dearly in prior contests. Expect a tightly contested, emotionally charged affair with both teams playing with an urgency that belies their sub-.500 records, knowing full well that games like these are where confidence—and seasons—can begin to turn.
Washington Nationals MLB Preview
The Washington Nationals head into tonight’s finale at PNC Park with a 6–10 record and a rare opportunity to leave Pittsburgh with a hard-fought series win—a valuable morale boost for a team still shaping its long-term identity. This young Nationals squad, overseen by veteran manager Dave Martinez, has shown signs of steady growth despite the early losses, and their 3–0 shutout win in the previous game exemplified their ideal formula: quality starting pitching, clean defense, and enough timely offense to support a fundamentally sound approach. With a lineup that leans on rising stars like CJ Abrams and Lane Thomas, the Nationals have begun to find offensive rhythm, using a combination of speed, contact, and situational hitting to put pressure on opposing defenses. Joey Meneses has remained a steady contributor in the middle of the order, while players like Luis García and Keibert Ruiz have flashed potential as key secondary pieces. Though the team ranks near the bottom of the National League in runs per game, they’ve proven capable of manufacturing offense in spurts, and their ability to stay aggressive on the basepaths has added an extra dimension to a team otherwise lacking consistent power. On the pitching side, Washington has begun to find some footing after a rocky start, with Josiah Gray, MacKenzie Gore, and Trevor Williams offering competitive outings that have helped reduce strain on the bullpen.
Their 3–0 victory was a blueprint for what works: a deep outing from a starter, followed by seamless work from relievers who limit walks and control the pace. The bullpen, while still a question mark in terms of reliability, has performed well in recent games, with Hunter Harvey and Kyle Finnegan emerging as potential late-inning options capable of locking down close games. Defensively, the Nationals have been much sharper of late, cutting down on errors and demonstrating improved communication across the infield—an area that plagued them in the season’s opening weeks. As they prepare to face a Pirates team that has flashed power but struggled with consistency, Washington’s keys to success remain straightforward: get a solid five to six innings from the starter, avoid free passes, and trust that their evolving offense can do just enough to carry them. The Nationals are not expected to contend this year, but moments like tonight’s game—on the road, in a series-deciding situation—serve as valuable proving grounds for their young core. If they can replicate the disciplined, efficient style they showcased in their shutout victory, they could head back home with a series win and a renewed sense of confidence heading into a stretch of the schedule where continued growth will be paramount. This is a team in transition, yes—but it’s also one quietly laying the foundation for future competitiveness, one gritty game at a time.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter tonight’s matchup against the Washington Nationals with a 6–11 record, looking to salvage a split in their four-game series at PNC Park and snap out of the early-season inconsistency that has plagued them through the opening stretch. After starting the series with an emphatic 10–3 victory, the Pirates have dropped two straight—including a 3–0 shutout in their most recent outing—raising concerns once again about the team’s offensive reliability and bullpen depth. Offensively, Pittsburgh continues to show flashes of promise, led by young cornerstone talents like Oneil Cruz and Ke’Bryan Hayes, both of whom have the potential to shape the Pirates’ lineup for years to come. Cruz’s raw power and athleticism remain undeniable, while Hayes offers solid defensive work at third base and an improving bat that’s crucial for anchoring the middle of the order. The return of Andrew McCutchen to the lineup provides more than nostalgia—it brings veteran stability and timely hitting that has bailed the team out in several close games, though even his efforts haven’t been enough to mask the inconsistency seen with runners in scoring position. From the mound, the Pirates have seen mixed results from their rotation. While there have been some encouraging individual starts, the group has largely struggled to provide deep outings, often handing the game over to a bullpen that hasn’t been able to consistently hold leads.
Relievers like David Bednar and Colin Holderman have had to shoulder heavy loads early in the season, a byproduct of short starts and a lack of offensive insurance. The result has been a bullpen ERA that creeps higher with every late-inning stumble, leaving little margin for error. Defensively, Pittsburgh has been average—far from a liability, but not quite the asset it needs to be for a team that isn’t built to win shootouts. They’ve played well at times in the field but have also committed untimely errors that open the door for opponents to extend innings and tack on insurance runs. With the series on the line and a chance to stabilize before hitting the road again, the Pirates must focus on putting together a complete effort—something that’s eluded them in many of their 17 games thus far. The key will be early scoring to relieve pressure from the bullpen, coupled with clean defense and a starter who can work into the sixth inning or beyond. Despite the disappointing record, the Pirates have the pieces to compete, and a win tonight would not only avoid a series loss at home but also inject some much-needed momentum into a clubhouse eager to turn potential into performance. For a team still hovering in rebuild mode but inching toward expectation, games like this one carry more weight than the standings might suggest—they’re litmus tests of resilience and focus, the exact traits Pittsburgh must exhibit to shift its narrative this season.
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Nationals and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Washington’s strength factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly tired Pirates team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Nationals vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals have a 3–2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five games, indicating a moderate success rate in covering the run line.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–3 record in their last five games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the spread at home.
Nationals vs. Pirates Matchup Trends
In their last five matchups, the Nationals have covered the run line in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent head-to-head ATS performance.
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
What time does Washington vs Pittsburgh start on April 17, 2025?
Washington vs Pittsburgh starts on April 17, 2025 at 12:35 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Pittsburgh being played?
Venue: PNC Park.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
Spread: Pittsburgh -1.5
Moneyline: Washington +108, Pittsburgh -127
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
Washington: (7-11) | Pittsburgh: (7-12)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Pittsburgh trending bets?
In their last five matchups, the Nationals have covered the run line in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent head-to-head ATS performance.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Nationals have a 3–2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five games, indicating a moderate success rate in covering the run line.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–3 record in their last five games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the spread at home.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Washington vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+108 PIT Moneyline: -127
WAS Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Washington vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+112
-123
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+171)
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O 7.5 (-114)
U 7.5 (-101)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 17, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |