Nationals vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 17 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Nationals (6–10) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (6–11) are set to conclude their four-game series at PNC Park, with both teams aiming to gain momentum in the early stages of the season. The Nationals have shown resilience despite a challenging start, while the Pirates look to capitalize on home-field advantage to improve their standing in the NL Central.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 17, 2025

Start Time: 12:35 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (7-12)

Nationals Record: (7-11)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: +108

PIT Moneyline: -127

WAS Spread: +1.5

PIT Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have a 3–2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five games, indicating a moderate success rate in covering the run line.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–3 record in their last five games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the spread at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five matchups, the Nationals have covered the run line in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent head-to-head ATS performance.

WAS vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Washington vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/17/25

Tonight’s series finale between the Washington Nationals and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park closes out a four-game set that has revealed plenty about two teams still in the early phases of development and recalibration. The Nationals, at 6–10, enter the contest riding the momentum of a sharp 3–0 victory that showcased one of their cleaner all-around performances of the season—strong starting pitching, effective bullpen work, and opportunistic offense that did just enough to secure the win. That victory followed a pair of lopsided games earlier in the series, including a 10–3 rout by the Pirates and an 8–4 win by Washington, making this rubber match a key test of focus and resolve for two rosters still searching for early-season identity. Washington has gotten solid production from young talents like CJ Abrams and Lane Thomas, while Joey Meneses continues to serve as a reliable presence in the heart of the lineup. Their offense remains inconsistent but dangerous when they’re able to string together contact and stay aggressive on the basepaths. Pitching-wise, the Nationals have exceeded expectations in stretches, with the rotation keeping games within reach and the bullpen, while imperfect, showing signs of settling into roles more effectively. For the Pirates, the 6–11 record is emblematic of a club that flashes promise but struggles to convert it into sustained results.

Their offense has had its moments—none more explosive than their 10-run outburst to open the series—but they’ve been prone to streakiness, often going cold with runners in scoring position. Ke’Bryan Hayes and Oneil Cruz remain central to their success, both defensively and offensively, with Cruz’s raw power and Hayes’ infield consistency anchoring the top of the order. Andrew McCutchen continues to be a veteran presence, providing timely hitting and leadership in a largely youthful clubhouse. On the mound, however, Pittsburgh has struggled with consistency. While starters have shown glimpses of promise, there’s been a lack of deep outings, putting pressure on a bullpen that has not consistently held up under repeated high-leverage scenarios. Their defensive play has also lagged, with errors and miscommunication occasionally undermining otherwise solid efforts. Against Washington, the Pirates have split the series 2–2 so far this season, and tonight provides an opportunity to tip the scales back in their favor before heading back on the road. Both teams enter this game not just hoping for a win, but needing one. For the Nationals, a series win on the road would be a welcome boost to morale and a sign that their young core is coalescing around manager Dave Martinez’s expectations. For the Pirates, a victory would help stall their recent downward trend and offer a tangible reward for flashes of solid play. With two evenly matched teams and recent games marked by big swings in momentum, tonight’s outcome may very well hinge on which club gets the stronger starting pitching performance and avoids the fielding lapses that have cost both squads dearly in prior contests. Expect a tightly contested, emotionally charged affair with both teams playing with an urgency that belies their sub-.500 records, knowing full well that games like these are where confidence—and seasons—can begin to turn.
Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals head into tonight’s finale at PNC Park with a 6–10 record and a rare opportunity to leave Pittsburgh with a hard-fought series win—a valuable morale boost for a team still shaping its long-term identity. This young Nationals squad, overseen by veteran manager Dave Martinez, has shown signs of steady growth despite the early losses, and their 3–0 shutout win in the previous game exemplified their ideal formula: quality starting pitching, clean defense, and enough timely offense to support a fundamentally sound approach. With a lineup that leans on rising stars like CJ Abrams and Lane Thomas, the Nationals have begun to find offensive rhythm, using a combination of speed, contact, and situational hitting to put pressure on opposing defenses. Joey Meneses has remained a steady contributor in the middle of the order, while players like Luis García and Keibert Ruiz have flashed potential as key secondary pieces. Though the team ranks near the bottom of the National League in runs per game, they’ve proven capable of manufacturing offense in spurts, and their ability to stay aggressive on the basepaths has added an extra dimension to a team otherwise lacking consistent power. On the pitching side, Washington has begun to find some footing after a rocky start, with Josiah Gray, MacKenzie Gore, and Trevor Williams offering competitive outings that have helped reduce strain on the bullpen.

Their 3–0 victory was a blueprint for what works: a deep outing from a starter, followed by seamless work from relievers who limit walks and control the pace. The bullpen, while still a question mark in terms of reliability, has performed well in recent games, with Hunter Harvey and Kyle Finnegan emerging as potential late-inning options capable of locking down close games. Defensively, the Nationals have been much sharper of late, cutting down on errors and demonstrating improved communication across the infield—an area that plagued them in the season’s opening weeks. As they prepare to face a Pirates team that has flashed power but struggled with consistency, Washington’s keys to success remain straightforward: get a solid five to six innings from the starter, avoid free passes, and trust that their evolving offense can do just enough to carry them. The Nationals are not expected to contend this year, but moments like tonight’s game—on the road, in a series-deciding situation—serve as valuable proving grounds for their young core. If they can replicate the disciplined, efficient style they showcased in their shutout victory, they could head back home with a series win and a renewed sense of confidence heading into a stretch of the schedule where continued growth will be paramount. This is a team in transition, yes—but it’s also one quietly laying the foundation for future competitiveness, one gritty game at a time.

The Washington Nationals (6–10) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (6–11) are set to conclude their four-game series at PNC Park, with both teams aiming to gain momentum in the early stages of the season. The Nationals have shown resilience despite a challenging start, while the Pirates look to capitalize on home-field advantage to improve their standing in the NL Central. Washington vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter tonight’s matchup against the Washington Nationals with a 6–11 record, looking to salvage a split in their four-game series at PNC Park and snap out of the early-season inconsistency that has plagued them through the opening stretch. After starting the series with an emphatic 10–3 victory, the Pirates have dropped two straight—including a 3–0 shutout in their most recent outing—raising concerns once again about the team’s offensive reliability and bullpen depth. Offensively, Pittsburgh continues to show flashes of promise, led by young cornerstone talents like Oneil Cruz and Ke’Bryan Hayes, both of whom have the potential to shape the Pirates’ lineup for years to come. Cruz’s raw power and athleticism remain undeniable, while Hayes offers solid defensive work at third base and an improving bat that’s crucial for anchoring the middle of the order. The return of Andrew McCutchen to the lineup provides more than nostalgia—it brings veteran stability and timely hitting that has bailed the team out in several close games, though even his efforts haven’t been enough to mask the inconsistency seen with runners in scoring position. From the mound, the Pirates have seen mixed results from their rotation. While there have been some encouraging individual starts, the group has largely struggled to provide deep outings, often handing the game over to a bullpen that hasn’t been able to consistently hold leads.

Relievers like David Bednar and Colin Holderman have had to shoulder heavy loads early in the season, a byproduct of short starts and a lack of offensive insurance. The result has been a bullpen ERA that creeps higher with every late-inning stumble, leaving little margin for error. Defensively, Pittsburgh has been average—far from a liability, but not quite the asset it needs to be for a team that isn’t built to win shootouts. They’ve played well at times in the field but have also committed untimely errors that open the door for opponents to extend innings and tack on insurance runs. With the series on the line and a chance to stabilize before hitting the road again, the Pirates must focus on putting together a complete effort—something that’s eluded them in many of their 17 games thus far. The key will be early scoring to relieve pressure from the bullpen, coupled with clean defense and a starter who can work into the sixth inning or beyond. Despite the disappointing record, the Pirates have the pieces to compete, and a win tonight would not only avoid a series loss at home but also inject some much-needed momentum into a clubhouse eager to turn potential into performance. For a team still hovering in rebuild mode but inching toward expectation, games like this one carry more weight than the standings might suggest—they’re litmus tests of resilience and focus, the exact traits Pittsburgh must exhibit to shift its narrative this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Nationals and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Apr can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Nationals and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly rested Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Nationals vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have a 3–2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five games, indicating a moderate success rate in covering the run line.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–3 record in their last five games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the spread at home.

Nationals vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

In their last five matchups, the Nationals have covered the run line in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent head-to-head ATS performance.

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Washington vs Pittsburgh starts on April 17, 2025 at 12:35 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh -1.5
Moneyline: Washington +108, Pittsburgh -127
Over/Under: 7.5

Washington: (7-11)  |  Pittsburgh: (7-12)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five matchups, the Nationals have covered the run line in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent head-to-head ATS performance.

WAS trend: The Nationals have a 3–2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five games, indicating a moderate success rate in covering the run line.

PIT trend: The Pirates have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–3 record in their last five games, reflecting inconsistencies in covering the spread at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Washington vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: +108
PIT Moneyline: -127
WAS Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Washington vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+196
-240
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+196
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 17, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS