Yankees vs Rays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 17)

Updated: 2025-04-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees (9–7) and Tampa Bay Rays (6–8) open a four-game series tonight at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida, with first pitch scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. Due to damage at Tropicana Field from Hurricane Milton, the Rays are temporarily hosting games at the Yankees’ spring training facility.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 17, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (8-10)

Yankees Record: (11-7)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: +100

TB Moneyline: -120

NYY Spread: -1.5

TB Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games, demonstrating strong recent performance against the spread.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have covered the run line in two of their last five games, indicating a less consistent performance against the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Yankees have covered the run line in three games, suggesting a slight edge in recent encounters.

NYY vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Walls over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/17/25

Tonight’s matchup between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays kicks off a four-game AL East showdown that carries extra intrigue due to an unusual venue shift—Tropicana Field remains out of commission following hurricane-related damage, meaning the Rays will host the series at George M. Steinbrenner Field, the Yankees’ spring training complex in Tampa. While the Yankees technically play as the visiting team, they’ll do so in familiar surroundings, and enter the contest with momentum and a 9–7 record that currently places them atop the division. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging nearly six runs per game, with a .258 team batting average and a league-best 33 home runs already on the board. The catalyst for that offensive power surge has undoubtedly been Aaron Judge, who is off to one of the hottest starts in baseball—batting .409 with seven home runs and 21 RBIs through just over two weeks of play. Judge isn’t alone, as the Yankees’ lineup has seen solid contributions from Giancarlo Stanton, Gleyber Torres, and newcomer Juan Soto, forming a lethal top half that wears pitchers down and turns mistakes into crooked numbers. They’ll look to stay aggressive tonight against Rays starter Taj Bradley, a young arm who’s pitched well but faces his toughest lineup to date. On the hill for New York is right-hander Will Warren, making just his second start after earning a win in his debut despite a modest 5.14 ERA.

Warren showed promise in that outing with solid fastball command and a knack for generating ground balls, though he’ll need to work deeper into tonight’s game to preserve a bullpen that has already seen heavy usage in recent series. Manager Aaron Boone will be looking for five solid innings from the rookie, ideally handing the game over to a relief corps that includes Clay Holmes, Ian Hamilton, and Jonathan Loáisiga—names that have proven capable of locking down late-inning leads when not overtaxed. The Yankees’ defense, anchored by Anthony Volpe at shortstop and Judge in the outfield, has been crisp and supportive, committing few errors and showing steady range behind the staff. Offensively, New York’s approach has been patient but opportunistic, and they lead the majors in slugging thanks to power throughout the lineup. The key tonight will be getting to Bradley early and preventing the Rays from leaning on their bullpen, which remains one of the more efficient in the American League. The Rays come into the series with a 6–8 record and an identity that’s still forming after a mixed opening stretch. Tampa has played significantly better at home—where they’re 6–4 despite the displacement—but their offense has lacked punch outside of standout performances from Jonathan Aranda (.396 average) and Junior Caminero (4 HR). If Bradley can keep the Yankees’ bats quiet and the Rays’ offense can jump on Warren early, this matchup could set the tone for a surprisingly competitive series. However, with the Yankees swinging hot bats and effectively playing in their own backyard, the edge swings in their favor. Still, expect a tight, intense divisional battle with plenty of strategy, late-game drama, and implications for early positioning in one of baseball’s most unforgiving divisions.
New York Yankees Yankees

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter tonight’s road game—albeit played at their own spring training facility, George M. Steinbrenner Field—with a 9–7 record and an offense that’s been lighting up scoreboards at a torrid pace. Despite officially being the visiting team, the Yankees are anything but uncomfortable in this setting, and they’ll look to use the familiarity of the ballpark and their current offensive surge to their advantage as they begin a four-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays. New York leads the American League East in scoring, averaging 5.9 runs per game, thanks in large part to the historic start by Aaron Judge, who is batting .409 with seven home runs and 21 RBIs through just 16 games. Judge has been the centerpiece of a formidable lineup that also includes Juan Soto’s elite on-base skills, Giancarlo Stanton’s raw power, and Gleyber Torres’ timely hitting. Collectively, the Yankees have already launched 33 home runs—more than any other team in the majors—and boast a team batting average of .258, combining patience with thunder in the box. Their ability to score in bunches from both the top and middle of the order has made them dangerous in any inning, particularly against teams like the Rays that rely heavily on pitching precision. Starting on the mound for New York is right-hander Will Warren, who enters his second career MLB start with a 1–0 record and a 5.14 ERA. Warren earned his first win in his debut despite not going deep into the game, relying on a solid mix of fastballs and off-speed pitches to generate weak contact and keep hitters off balance.

While his margin for error is slim against a Rays lineup that can capitalize on inexperience, Warren benefits from a bullpen that has been dependable and effective when given a lead. The Yankees’ relief corps, anchored by Clay Holmes and supported by Ian Hamilton, Jonathan Loáisiga, and Tommy Kahnle, has shown the ability to shut the door in close games, giving the team a significant edge in the later innings. If Warren can give them five innings while limiting walks and damage from hitters like Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero, New York is well-positioned to control the game with its bullpen and let its bats handle the rest. The key will be staying ahead in counts and forcing Tampa Bay to swing early—something the Yankees’ pitching staff has executed effectively in recent outings. Defensively, the Yankees have performed with quiet efficiency. Anthony Volpe has provided a steady glove at shortstop, Judge continues to cover ground with ease in right field, and the outfield as a whole has done a strong job limiting extra bases. This defensive stability has helped support a pitching staff that thrives on contact, and their ability to turn balls in play into outs will be especially critical against a Rays team that can manufacture runs with smart baserunning and aggressive situational hitting. Although the setting for tonight’s game is unusual, the Yankees’ comfort level in their spring home should only enhance their performance. With the bats clicking, the bullpen rested, and Warren eager to solidify his role, New York enters this series with confidence and a clear mission—to stay hot, win on the “road,” and send a message to their division rivals that the AL East crown will go through them.

The New York Yankees (9–7) and Tampa Bay Rays (6–8) open a four-game series tonight at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida, with first pitch scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. Due to damage at Tropicana Field from Hurricane Milton, the Rays are temporarily hosting games at the Yankees’ spring training facility. New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter tonight’s unusual “home” series opener against the New York Yankees with a 6–8 record, looking to build consistency and rebound from a sluggish start to their 2025 campaign. Despite the displacement from Tropicana Field due to hurricane damage, the Rays have adapted quickly to hosting games at George M. Steinbrenner Field, though the optics of playing at the Yankees’ spring training facility certainly tilt the environment in favor of the visitors. Still, Tampa Bay has maintained a winning record at home, currently 6–4 in designated home contests, and they’ll look to replicate that form tonight behind the reliable arm of Taj Bradley. The 23-year-old right-hander enters the game 2–0 with a 3.71 ERA and has quickly emerged as a stabilizing presence in the Rays’ rotation. Bradley’s command, movement, and poise on the mound give Tampa a legitimate shot at shutting down one of the hottest lineups in baseball, though the Yankees present his biggest challenge of the season thus far. If he can get ahead in counts and limit long balls—New York currently leads the league in home runs—he can give the Rays a much-needed anchor in the series opener. Offensively, the Rays are still trying to find their stride. They enter tonight averaging 4.5 runs per game with a team batting average of .267, which on paper suggests they’ve been productive—but the scoring has come in bursts rather than sustained rallies.

Jonathan Aranda has been their most consistent threat, hitting .396 and serving as the table-setter in the lineup, while Junior Caminero leads the team with four home runs and has demonstrated his potential as a rising power bat. However, they’ve yet to see a prolonged surge from more seasoned hitters like Randy Arozarena and Yandy Díaz, both of whom are capable of anchoring the offense and must step up if the Rays are to keep pace with a Yankees team averaging nearly six runs per game. The key for Tampa Bay will be manufacturing runs early, especially with a rookie starter on the mound for New York, and forcing the Yankees into using their bullpen before the middle innings. The Rays’ ability to play small ball—bunts, steals, hit-and-runs—remains an asset, particularly in spacious parks like Steinbrenner Field, where the long ball may be harder to rely on consistently. Defensively, the Rays continue to pride themselves on clean, efficient play. Their infield defense, led by slick-fielding shortstop Taylor Walls and the versatile Díaz, has helped limit damage behind the pitching staff. The bullpen remains a strength as well, with arms like Jason Adam, Pete Fairbanks, and Garrett Cleavinger providing reliability in late innings. If Tampa can hand off a lead to their relief corps, they’ve shown they can finish games with discipline and precision. The challenge tonight will be containing a red-hot Yankees lineup and navigating the psychological wrinkle of “hosting” a team in its own facility. Still, this is the kind of scenario where Tampa Bay’s grit and strategic discipline often shine, and with Bradley on the mound and their lineup due for a breakout, the Rays have every intention of turning a logistical disadvantage into a gritty, much-needed division win.

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Rays play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Walls over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Yankees and Rays and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly healthy Rays team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Yankees vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games, demonstrating strong recent performance against the spread.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have covered the run line in two of their last five games, indicating a less consistent performance against the spread.

Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Yankees have covered the run line in three games, suggesting a slight edge in recent encounters.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay starts on April 17, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees +100, Tampa Bay -120
Over/Under: 9

New York Yankees: (11-7)  |  Tampa Bay: (8-10)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Walls over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Yankees have covered the run line in three games, suggesting a slight edge in recent encounters.

NYY trend: The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games, demonstrating strong recent performance against the spread.

TB trend: The Rays have covered the run line in two of their last five games, indicating a less consistent performance against the spread.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: +100
TB Moneyline: -120
NYY Spread: -1.5
TB Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays on April 17, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN