Nationals vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 14)
Updated: 2025-04-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Nationals (6–9) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (5–11) on Monday, April 14, 2025, at PNC Park to kick off a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with Brad Lord starting for the Nationals and Paul Skenes taking the mound for the Pirates.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 14, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: PNC Park
Pirates Record: (5-11)
Nationals Record: (6-9)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +179
PIT Moneyline: -217
WAS Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Nationals have struggled on the road, posting a 1–5 record away from home this season.
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have fared better at home, holding a 3–3 record at PNC Park.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -210, while the Nationals are listed at +175. The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at +105 and the under at -125.
WAS vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 5 Fantasy Score.
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Washington vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/14/25
The Pirates, however, will rely on the consistency of Bryan Reynolds and Adam Frazier, who’ve combined to generate most of the team’s scoring punch despite an overall lack of production from the rest of the lineup. For Pittsburgh, playing at home offers some solace, where they’ve managed a .500 record (3–3) versus a dismal 2–8 mark on the road. On the betting front, the Pirates are favored slightly, with moneyline odds sitting at -210, suggesting that the oddsmakers have confidence in Skenes’ ability to outduel Lord. The Nationals have yet to find success on the road, entering with a 1–5 away record, and their bullpen has been shaky late in games, which could prove costly if the starters exit early. However, if Washington can get a few early runs off Skenes and force Pittsburgh to rely on its inconsistent bullpen, the Nationals have the offensive ceiling to steal a win and potentially swing momentum for the rest of the series. Expect a tight, low-scoring battle dominated early by the starting pitchers, with the outcome likely hinging on timely hits and bullpen efficiency. For both teams, this game presents a chance to not only tally a much-needed win but also lay the groundwork for consistency in what has been an up-and-down April.
FIFTEEN. pic.twitter.com/1YsJFNQ4yf
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) April 13, 2025
Washington Nationals MLB Preview
The Washington Nationals enter Monday night’s contest at PNC Park with a 6–9 record and a clear directive to reverse their early-season road woes after starting 1–5 away from Nationals Park. Despite the losing record, there are bright spots beginning to shine through, particularly with the emergence of young talents like James Wood and Keibert Ruiz, who are helping to redefine the identity of a rebuilding Washington roster. Wood, the highly touted outfield prospect, has quickly asserted himself as a legitimate offensive threat, already notching five home runs and 11 RBIs in the early going, providing both power and presence in the heart of the lineup. Ruiz, hitting .373, has been among the most consistent contact hitters in the majors this April, giving Washington a reliable bat with the added benefit of veteran savvy behind the plate. These two cornerstones have driven much of the Nationals’ offensive output, though the team still lacks consistency in run production from top to bottom, particularly against upper-tier pitching. That challenge will be front and center Monday as they face off against Pittsburgh’s Paul Skenes, a top prospect in his own right with a high-strikeout arsenal. The Nationals will counter with Brad Lord, a 25-year-old right-hander making just his second career MLB start, after an encouraging debut in which he posted five innings of one-run ball.
If Lord can repeat that level of composure and efficiency, the Nationals may have a fighting chance, especially if the bullpen—often a sore spot in the late innings—can hold serve. Defensively, Washington must play clean baseball; errors and mental lapses have plagued them in key moments, contributing to close losses that might’ve swung their record in a more favorable direction. Manager Dave Martinez continues to juggle a youthful roster while trying to instill discipline and resilience—qualities that will be tested against a Pirates team hungry to reverse their own slump. The key for Washington will be to strike early and give Lord some breathing room; they’ve struggled to play from behind, particularly on the road, and the Pirates’ pitching staff becomes considerably more vulnerable once you get past their starters. For a team still trying to figure out its identity, each win on the road builds confidence, and Monday provides an opportunity to not only pick up a valuable win but also set the tone for the rest of the series. If Wood and Ruiz can continue to carry the offense and the bullpen can avoid costly miscues, the Nationals could surprise oddsmakers and snatch a win from a favored—but equally flawed—Pittsburgh squad.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates return to the friendly confines of PNC Park on Monday night with the goal of reestablishing some consistency after a rocky 5–11 start to their 2025 campaign. While their overall record paints a picture of early-season struggles, the Pirates have been notably better at home, posting a 3–3 record at PNC Park and showing flashes of competitiveness when supported by their loyal home crowd. Leading the charge for Pittsburgh will be rookie phenom Paul Skenes, whose presence on the mound offers both stability and optimism. Skenes, the organization’s prized arm and former top draft pick, enters the matchup with a 1–1 record, a respectable 3.44 ERA, and an impressive 20 strikeouts in just 18.1 innings pitched, showcasing an elite fastball and command beyond his years. He’ll be tasked with keeping Washington’s emerging hitters in check, particularly red-hot catcher Keibert Ruiz and power-hitting rookie James Wood, who already has five home runs this season. Defensively, Pittsburgh must tighten its execution, having shown vulnerability in high-pressure innings, often undermining otherwise solid outings from their starters. Offensively, the Pirates are still searching for consistent production throughout the lineup, but they’ve leaned heavily on veteran contributors like Bryan Reynolds, who has chipped in with key extra-base hits, and Adam Frazier, whose team-leading 6 RBIs have been a quiet spark in tight games.
The Pirates have done well in games where they’ve grabbed early leads, often finding success when playing with tempo and situational awareness at the plate, but they’ve struggled to rally when trailing, with a team batting average that dips significantly after the fifth inning. The middle of the lineup must be more opportunistic, capitalizing on mistakes from inexperienced starters like Washington’s Brad Lord, who is making only his second MLB appearance. Pittsburgh’s bullpen will also need to be sharper, especially in close games, where lapses have cost them valuable opportunities to turn narrow losses into wins. Manager Derek Shelton will be looking for energy, clean defense, and timely hitting—three things the Pirates are capable of when their core plays up to potential. Playing at home gives Pittsburgh a clear edge in this matchup, especially with Skenes on the mound and a Nationals squad that has gone just 1–5 on the road so far. If the Pirates can manufacture runs early and give Skenes some run support, it could be the kind of confidence-building performance the team needs to steady their footing as April progresses. With a favorable moneyline backing them and recent home splits that show signs of promise, this opener against Washington offers a key opportunity for Pittsburgh to reset, regroup, and begin climbing out of their early-season hole.
Game 3 in Cincy.
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) April 13, 2025
📺 @SNPittsburgh
📻 @937theFan | The PRN#LetsGoBucs x @bet365_us pic.twitter.com/WGuC5cCnBF
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Nationals and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending emphasis human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly improved Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Nationals vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/19 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/19 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals have struggled on the road, posting a 1–5 record away from home this season.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have fared better at home, holding a 3–3 record at PNC Park.
Nationals vs. Pirates Matchup Trends
The Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -210, while the Nationals are listed at +175. The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at +105 and the under at -125.
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
What time does Washington vs Pittsburgh start on April 14, 2025?
Washington vs Pittsburgh starts on April 14, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Pittsburgh being played?
Venue: PNC Park.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
Spread: Pittsburgh -1.5
Moneyline: Washington +179, Pittsburgh -217
Over/Under: 7
What are the records for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
Washington: (6-9) | Pittsburgh: (5-11)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Pittsburgh trending bets?
The Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -210, while the Nationals are listed at +175. The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at +105 and the under at -125.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Nationals have struggled on the road, posting a 1–5 record away from home this season.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have fared better at home, holding a 3–3 record at PNC Park.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Pittsburgh?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Pittsburgh Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+179 PIT Moneyline: -217
WAS Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
Washington vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+105
-125
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+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 14, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |