Nationals vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 14)

Updated: 2025-04-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Nationals (6–9) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (5–11) on Monday, April 14, 2025, at PNC Park to kick off a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with Brad Lord starting for the Nationals and Paul Skenes taking the mound for the Pirates.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 14, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (5-11)

Nationals Record: (6-9)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: +179

PIT Moneyline: -217

WAS Spread: +1.5

PIT Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have struggled on the road, posting a 1–5 record away from home this season.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have fared better at home, holding a 3–3 record at PNC Park.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -210, while the Nationals are listed at +175. The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at +105 and the under at -125.

WAS vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 5 Fantasy Score.

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Washington vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/14/25

Monday night’s matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park opens a four-game set between two struggling clubs eager to shift early-season momentum in their favor. Both teams sit near the bottom of their respective divisions, with the Nationals entering at 6–9 and the Pirates at 5–11, making this series critical in terms of morale and early positioning. While it’s too early to call anything must-win, neither team wants to fall further behind in April, and with some intriguing young talent on display, this game offers more than just standings relevance—it offers glimpses into each franchise’s developmental progress. The Pirates will send Paul Skenes to the mound, who has been a stabilizing presence in the rotation with a 1–1 record, 3.44 ERA, and 20 strikeouts through 18.1 innings pitched. His mix of high-velocity fastballs and advanced command make him a rising star in Pittsburgh’s system, and he’ll look to rebound from a tough-luck loss in his last outing. Meanwhile, the Nationals will counter with Brad Lord, making just his second career start after a solid debut in which he allowed only one run across five innings, showing poise and command beyond his experience level. Offensively, Washington has had the hotter bats in recent days, led by catcher Keibert Ruiz, who is off to a scorching .373 start at the plate, and rookie standout James Wood, who has already mashed five home runs and driven in 11 RBIs. That offensive firepower gives the Nationals a clear edge in lineup depth, especially with Wood’s emergence as a middle-of-the-order threat.

The Pirates, however, will rely on the consistency of Bryan Reynolds and Adam Frazier, who’ve combined to generate most of the team’s scoring punch despite an overall lack of production from the rest of the lineup. For Pittsburgh, playing at home offers some solace, where they’ve managed a .500 record (3–3) versus a dismal 2–8 mark on the road. On the betting front, the Pirates are favored slightly, with moneyline odds sitting at -210, suggesting that the oddsmakers have confidence in Skenes’ ability to outduel Lord. The Nationals have yet to find success on the road, entering with a 1–5 away record, and their bullpen has been shaky late in games, which could prove costly if the starters exit early. However, if Washington can get a few early runs off Skenes and force Pittsburgh to rely on its inconsistent bullpen, the Nationals have the offensive ceiling to steal a win and potentially swing momentum for the rest of the series. Expect a tight, low-scoring battle dominated early by the starting pitchers, with the outcome likely hinging on timely hits and bullpen efficiency. For both teams, this game presents a chance to not only tally a much-needed win but also lay the groundwork for consistency in what has been an up-and-down April.

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals enter Monday night’s contest at PNC Park with a 6–9 record and a clear directive to reverse their early-season road woes after starting 1–5 away from Nationals Park. Despite the losing record, there are bright spots beginning to shine through, particularly with the emergence of young talents like James Wood and Keibert Ruiz, who are helping to redefine the identity of a rebuilding Washington roster. Wood, the highly touted outfield prospect, has quickly asserted himself as a legitimate offensive threat, already notching five home runs and 11 RBIs in the early going, providing both power and presence in the heart of the lineup. Ruiz, hitting .373, has been among the most consistent contact hitters in the majors this April, giving Washington a reliable bat with the added benefit of veteran savvy behind the plate. These two cornerstones have driven much of the Nationals’ offensive output, though the team still lacks consistency in run production from top to bottom, particularly against upper-tier pitching. That challenge will be front and center Monday as they face off against Pittsburgh’s Paul Skenes, a top prospect in his own right with a high-strikeout arsenal. The Nationals will counter with Brad Lord, a 25-year-old right-hander making just his second career MLB start, after an encouraging debut in which he posted five innings of one-run ball.

If Lord can repeat that level of composure and efficiency, the Nationals may have a fighting chance, especially if the bullpen—often a sore spot in the late innings—can hold serve. Defensively, Washington must play clean baseball; errors and mental lapses have plagued them in key moments, contributing to close losses that might’ve swung their record in a more favorable direction. Manager Dave Martinez continues to juggle a youthful roster while trying to instill discipline and resilience—qualities that will be tested against a Pirates team hungry to reverse their own slump. The key for Washington will be to strike early and give Lord some breathing room; they’ve struggled to play from behind, particularly on the road, and the Pirates’ pitching staff becomes considerably more vulnerable once you get past their starters. For a team still trying to figure out its identity, each win on the road builds confidence, and Monday provides an opportunity to not only pick up a valuable win but also set the tone for the rest of the series. If Wood and Ruiz can continue to carry the offense and the bullpen can avoid costly miscues, the Nationals could surprise oddsmakers and snatch a win from a favored—but equally flawed—Pittsburgh squad.

The Washington Nationals (6–9) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (5–11) on Monday, April 14, 2025, at PNC Park to kick off a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with Brad Lord starting for the Nationals and Paul Skenes taking the mound for the Pirates. Washington vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates return to the friendly confines of PNC Park on Monday night with the goal of reestablishing some consistency after a rocky 5–11 start to their 2025 campaign. While their overall record paints a picture of early-season struggles, the Pirates have been notably better at home, posting a 3–3 record at PNC Park and showing flashes of competitiveness when supported by their loyal home crowd. Leading the charge for Pittsburgh will be rookie phenom Paul Skenes, whose presence on the mound offers both stability and optimism. Skenes, the organization’s prized arm and former top draft pick, enters the matchup with a 1–1 record, a respectable 3.44 ERA, and an impressive 20 strikeouts in just 18.1 innings pitched, showcasing an elite fastball and command beyond his years. He’ll be tasked with keeping Washington’s emerging hitters in check, particularly red-hot catcher Keibert Ruiz and power-hitting rookie James Wood, who already has five home runs this season. Defensively, Pittsburgh must tighten its execution, having shown vulnerability in high-pressure innings, often undermining otherwise solid outings from their starters. Offensively, the Pirates are still searching for consistent production throughout the lineup, but they’ve leaned heavily on veteran contributors like Bryan Reynolds, who has chipped in with key extra-base hits, and Adam Frazier, whose team-leading 6 RBIs have been a quiet spark in tight games.

The Pirates have done well in games where they’ve grabbed early leads, often finding success when playing with tempo and situational awareness at the plate, but they’ve struggled to rally when trailing, with a team batting average that dips significantly after the fifth inning. The middle of the lineup must be more opportunistic, capitalizing on mistakes from inexperienced starters like Washington’s Brad Lord, who is making only his second MLB appearance. Pittsburgh’s bullpen will also need to be sharper, especially in close games, where lapses have cost them valuable opportunities to turn narrow losses into wins. Manager Derek Shelton will be looking for energy, clean defense, and timely hitting—three things the Pirates are capable of when their core plays up to potential. Playing at home gives Pittsburgh a clear edge in this matchup, especially with Skenes on the mound and a Nationals squad that has gone just 1–5 on the road so far. If the Pirates can manufacture runs early and give Skenes some run support, it could be the kind of confidence-building performance the team needs to steady their footing as April progresses. With a favorable moneyline backing them and recent home splits that show signs of promise, this opener against Washington offers a key opportunity for Pittsburgh to reset, regroup, and begin climbing out of their early-season hole.

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Nationals and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 5 Fantasy Score.

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Nationals and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending emphasis human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly improved Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Nationals vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/19 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/19 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have struggled on the road, posting a 1–5 record away from home this season.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have fared better at home, holding a 3–3 record at PNC Park.

Nationals vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

The Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -210, while the Nationals are listed at +175. The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at +105 and the under at -125.

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Washington vs Pittsburgh starts on April 14, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh -1.5
Moneyline: Washington +179, Pittsburgh -217
Over/Under: 7

Washington: (6-9)  |  Pittsburgh: (5-11)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -210, while the Nationals are listed at +175. The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at +105 and the under at -125.

WAS trend: The Nationals have struggled on the road, posting a 1–5 record away from home this season.

PIT trend: The Pirates have fared better at home, holding a 3–3 record at PNC Park.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Washington vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: +179
PIT Moneyline: -217
WAS Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7

Washington vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+105
-125
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 14, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN