Red Sox vs. Rays
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 14 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Boston Red Sox (7–9) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (6–8) on Monday, April 14, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field to kick off a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET, with both teams aiming to gain ground in the competitive AL East.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 14, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (7-8)

Red Sox Record: (8-9)

OPENING ODDS

BOS Moneyline: -102

TB Moneyline: -118

BOS Spread: -1.5

TB Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have struggled on the road, posting a 3–6 record away from home this season.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have been more consistent at home, holding a 6–5 record at Steinbrenner Field.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Rays are favored with a moneyline of -116, while the Red Sox are listed at -102. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, with the under at -115 and the over at -105.

BOS vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Casas over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Boston vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/14/25

Monday night’s AL East showdown between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field presents a meaningful opportunity for both teams to shake off early inconsistency and gain traction within the division. The Red Sox come into this series at 7–9, having struggled away from Fenway Park with a 3–6 road record, while the Rays sit just behind at 6–8 overall but have been steadier at home, posting a 6–5 mark. Both teams have shown flashes of their potential but have yet to put together a sustained run of form. Boston’s offense is trending upward, with Wilyer Abreu off to a scorching .636 start at the plate, bringing much-needed spark to the top of the lineup, while Rafael Devers—after a sluggish start—is beginning to find his rhythm, driving in runs and working deeper counts. However, pitching inconsistencies have continued to plague the Red Sox, with a staff ERA hovering around 4.61 and questions around the back end of the rotation and bullpen reliability. Garrett Crochet, who is expected to be in line for a start or extended innings soon, has offered promise with a 3.60 ERA, but the team as a whole has not been able to string together shutdown performances. On the opposite side, Tampa Bay enters this series knowing it’s a key opportunity to climb back to .500 and establish control at home, especially with ace Shane Baz back in action and thriving. Baz, boasting a 0.00 ERA and a 1–0 record in early limited action, represents a crucial weapon in the Rays’ rotation, particularly as they navigate offensive inconsistencies.

Offensively, the Rays lean on Brandon Lowe and Junior Caminero—Lowe supplying timely power with two homers and five RBIs, and Caminero serving as their most consistent bat with a .389 average. Yet the Rays, much like Boston, are looking for depth contributors to step up and provide the balance they’ve historically relied on to win tight, low-scoring games. Defensively, Tampa Bay has held its ground, often converting key outs and supporting the pitching staff with clean play. Both teams enter this contest aware of the stakes—not just in terms of standings, but as a tone-setting series between division foes who expect to be competitive throughout the summer. Expect this opener to hinge on which pitching staff can settle in early and avoid giving up crooked numbers, as both lineups are capable of punishing missed locations. If Baz can continue his dominance and neutralize the top of Boston’s order, the Rays could control the tempo and take game one. Conversely, if Abreu and Devers get to Baz early and Boston’s bullpen holds the line, the Red Sox could begin to reverse their road woes. With tight odds and a low-scoring over/under projection, all signs point to a close, strategic game where execution in key innings could decide the outcome.

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox head into Monday night’s road clash with the Tampa Bay Rays carrying a 7–9 record and looking to reverse a troubling 3–6 start away from Fenway Park. Despite their road struggles, there have been key signs of life within Boston’s lineup, most notably from Wilyer Abreu, who enters the series swinging one of the hottest bats in all of baseball with a staggering .636 average. His contact consistency and ability to reach base have helped reignite the top of the Red Sox order, creating more scoring opportunities for Rafael Devers, who is starting to show signs of his usual slugging form after a slow start to the year. Devers remains the cornerstone of Boston’s offense and has looked more comfortable at the plate recently, seeing pitches better and beginning to lift the ball with authority. Still, the Red Sox have struggled to turn individual brilliance into sustained team success, largely due to inconsistent pitching. The starting rotation has lacked reliability, with a staff ERA at 4.61 and an inability to put together quality starts in consecutive games. Garrett Crochet, one of the more promising arms on the roster, has held his own with a 3.60 ERA and shown flashes of dominance, but he hasn’t received enough run support or relief coverage to turn solid outings into wins.

Defensively, the Red Sox have been average—capable of making the routine plays but occasionally plagued by mental lapses or costly fielding errors, especially late in games. That said, the bullpen has been an even greater source of concern, frequently surrendering leads or allowing opponents to creep back into games that Boston seemed to have under control. Manager Alex Cora is likely to lean heavily on his top relievers and keep a short leash on starters this series, especially with a division rival in front of them. Monday’s game offers an opportunity to not only begin chipping away at their road record but also make a statement within the AL East standings. To do so, Boston will need Abreu and Devers to spark the offense early, forcing the Rays to dip into their bullpen sooner than planned, and giving their own pitching staff some margin for error. With the Rays turning to Shane Baz, who has been electric to start the year, Boston will have to grind out at-bats, stay aggressive on the basepaths, and avoid chasing pitches—something they’ve struggled with against elite arms. If the Red Sox can string together quality innings and minimize their bullpen exposure, they could steal momentum in game one and flip the narrative around their early-season inconsistencies.

The Boston Red Sox (7–9) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (6–8) on Monday, April 14, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field to kick off a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET, with both teams aiming to gain ground in the competitive AL East. Boston vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays return to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Monday night looking to stabilize their early-season trajectory and capitalize on home-field momentum as they host the Boston Red Sox in a key divisional matchup. With a 6–8 record overall and a respectable 6–5 showing at home, the Rays are keen to build on the relative steadiness they’ve shown at their own ballpark and shift their momentum against a Red Sox team that has struggled on the road. Tampa Bay’s most potent weapon heading into this contest is undoubtedly right-hander Shane Baz, who has been brilliant in limited action this season, carrying a perfect 1–0 record and an untouched 0.00 ERA into this game. Baz has been dominant through his early innings, showcasing sharp command, velocity in the upper 90s, and a maturing breaking ball that has baffled hitters. With a lineup that has yet to fully click offensively, the Rays are relying on Baz to set the tone and give them a chance to win close, low-scoring games. Offensively, the Rays are still finding their rhythm, though there have been positive signs from key players like Brandon Lowe, who has launched two home runs and driven in five runs, and Junior Caminero, who leads the team with a scorching .389 batting average and has been their most consistent threat at the plate. While the rest of the lineup has yet to string together consistent contributions, Tampa Bay’s philosophy of aggressive base running, platoon flexibility, and situational hitting remains in place.

Manager Kevin Cash continues to maximize matchups, deploying a rotating cast of hitters and fielders based on left-right splits, defensive needs, and game situations. Defensively, the Rays remain one of the more sound units in the league, continuing their tradition of clean, efficient fielding and smart positioning—attributes that will be critical as they look to contain a resurgent Wilyer Abreu and Rafael Devers in the Boston lineup. With the game projected to be low-scoring (over/under at 8), execution on the margins—turning double plays, throwing out runners, making the extra base—will be vital, and that’s an area where the Rays have traditionally thrived. Another edge for Tampa Bay is their bullpen, which, while not as dominant as in recent years, has still managed to hold leads and minimize damage in late-inning scenarios. If Baz can give the Rays five or six solid innings, and if the offense can scratch out early runs against Boston’s shaky rotation, Tampa Bay has a prime opportunity to take control of the game. More than just another early-season contest, this divisional game gives the Rays a chance to regain their footing in the standings, reset their rhythm offensively, and remind the American League that their blend of pitching depth, defensive precision, and tactical adaptability makes them a threat—regardless of record or opponent.

Boston vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Red Sox and Rays play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Casas over 0.5 Total Bases.

Boston vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Red Sox and Rays and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending factor human bettors often put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Red Sox team going up against a possibly strong Rays team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Boston vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Red Sox vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have struggled on the road, posting a 3–6 record away from home this season.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been more consistent at home, holding a 6–5 record at Steinbrenner Field.

Red Sox vs. Rays Matchup Trends

The Rays are favored with a moneyline of -116, while the Red Sox are listed at -102. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, with the under at -115 and the over at -105.

Boston vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Boston vs Tampa Bay starts on April 14, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay +1.5
Moneyline: Boston -102, Tampa Bay -118
Over/Under: 8.5

Boston: (8-9)  |  Tampa Bay: (7-8)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Casas over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Rays are favored with a moneyline of -116, while the Red Sox are listed at -102. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, with the under at -115 and the over at -105.

BOS trend: The Red Sox have struggled on the road, posting a 3–6 record away from home this season.

TB trend: The Rays have been more consistent at home, holding a 6–5 record at Steinbrenner Field.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boston vs. Tampa Bay Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Boston vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Boston vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

BOS Moneyline: -102
TB Moneyline: -118
BOS Spread: -1.5
TB Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Boston vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays on April 14, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN