Nationals vs. Marlins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 11 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Nationals (5–7) face the Miami Marlins (6–6) at loanDepot Park on April 11, 2025, in a pivotal NL East matchup. Both teams aim to gain momentum early in the season, with the Nationals looking to capitalize on their recent offensive surge and the Marlins seeking consistency at home.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 11, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (6-6)

Nationals Record: (5-7)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: -122

MIA Moneyline: +104

WAS Spread: -1.5

MIA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have shown resilience on the road, with a 3–3 away record, indicating competitive performances against the spread in away games.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Marlins hold a 3–3 home record, reflecting challenges in capitalizing on home-field advantage against the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Washington Nationals (5–7) face the Miami Marlins (6–6) at loanDepot Park on April 11, 2025, in a pivotal NL East matchup. Both teams aim to gain momentum early in the season, with the Nationals looking to capitalize on their recent offensive surge and the Marlins seeking consistency at home.

WAS vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Hill over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Washington vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/11/25

The April 11, 2025 matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park kicks off a pivotal three-game NL East series featuring two clubs still searching for a firm identity in the early going. The Nationals enter the contest with a 5–7 record, showing signs of offensive momentum that has begun to gel around a promising young core. They’ve averaged 4.4 runs per game, with Keibert Ruiz leading the team at the plate with a .333 batting average and CJ Abrams providing pop with four home runs already. Rookie slugger James Wood has also been clutch in key moments, driving in a team-leading 10 RBIs. On the mound, Washington will hand the ball to left-hander Mitchell Parker, who has been nothing short of sensational in his first two starts—boasting a 2–0 record with a 0.73 ERA. His dominance, coupled with a bullpen that has held firm in late innings, gives the Nationals confidence heading into Miami, where they’ll face a team with strengths in pitching but inconsistencies at the plate. The Marlins come into the series at 6–6 and back home after a mixed road trip, where run support was sporadic and production largely limited to isolated innings. Offensively, Miami has averaged just 3.6 runs per game, a figure that reflects their ongoing difficulty in generating consistent traffic on the bases. Xavier Edwards leads the team in batting at .283, but the Marlins have yet to find a dependable power source, with Matt Mervis providing a modest spark through three home runs. They’ve struggled with runners in scoring position and are still awaiting breakout performances from expected key contributors like Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jesús Sánchez.

On the mound, they’ll counter with right-hander Cal Quantrill, who has endured a tough start to the year, carrying a 1–1 record with a 6.00 ERA. Quantrill’s inability to avoid early trouble has taxed Miami’s bullpen early in games, though to its credit, the relief corps has responded well—posting a strong 3.68 ERA and ranking among the better units in the National League. Statistically, the Nationals hold a slight edge coming into this matchup, especially considering Parker’s dominance and Miami’s difficulty with left-handed pitching this season. Moreover, Washington has covered the spread in four of its last five road games against teams with .500 records, signaling an ability to rise to the occasion in tightly contested matchups. Historically, games between these two teams have been close and low-scoring, with the under hitting in three of their last five meetings. Expect Friday’s series opener to follow that pattern, with pitching and timely hits likely determining the outcome. If Parker can maintain his current form and the Nationals’ lineup continues its upward trajectory, Washington could set the tone early in this series. On the flip side, the Marlins are eager to flip the narrative at home and get back above .500 in front of their fans. With both clubs looking to solidify their standing in the competitive NL East, this series could prove to be a tone-setter for their respective Aprils.

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals travel to Miami with renewed confidence following a stretch that has seen their young core begin to deliver results, improving their record to 5–7. After a sluggish offensive start to the season, the Nationals have begun to show signs of cohesion at the plate, averaging 4.4 runs per game—enough to keep them competitive in most matchups. Keibert Ruiz has emerged as a consistent presence in the batter’s box, leading the team with a .333 average and providing timely contact in key situations. CJ Abrams has supplied the power, launching four home runs and becoming a key run producer alongside rookie standout James Wood, who already has 10 RBIs to his name. The lineup as a whole has shown better plate discipline in recent games, stringing together more productive innings and capitalizing on opposing pitchers’ mistakes. The real revelation for Washington, however, has come from the mound. Left-hander Mitchell Parker has been nothing short of dominant through his first two starts, boasting a perfect 2–0 record with a microscopic 0.73 ERA. The rookie has delivered poise and command far beyond his years, utilizing a sharp fastball and well-placed secondary pitches to silence opposing bats. His ability to work deep into games has eased the pressure on the bullpen, which has been equally reliable when called upon.

The Nationals’ relievers have quietly become one of the most efficient groups in the National League, protecting narrow leads and limiting damage in high-leverage situations. With Parker setting the tone on the mound, the Nationals are increasingly finding themselves in low-scoring battles where one or two key hits can shift the outcome in their favor. As they face a Marlins team that has struggled to produce runs and whose starting pitcher, Cal Quantrill, has labored to a 6.00 ERA, the Nationals recognize the importance of striking early and letting their pitching dictate the game. Their 3–3 road record indicates a team that competes with focus and energy away from home, and with Parker’s momentum, they have a real chance to start this series strong. Washington’s formula is clear—limit mistakes on the mound, play clean defense, and manufacture enough offense to stay ahead. If their key bats continue to heat up and Parker delivers another strong outing, the Nationals are well-positioned to climb back to .500 and gain valuable ground in the NL East. This road matchup is more than just another game; it’s a chance for a young team to build identity and confidence, proving they can win consistently—even outside the nation’s capital.

The Washington Nationals (5–7) face the Miami Marlins (6–6) at loanDepot Park on April 11, 2025, in a pivotal NL East matchup. Both teams aim to gain momentum early in the season, with the Nationals looking to capitalize on their recent offensive surge and the Marlins seeking consistency at home. Washington vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins return to loanDepot Park for their April 11 matchup against the Washington Nationals with a 6–6 record and a lingering sense of inconsistency that has defined their early season. While a .500 mark reflects resilience in the standings, the underlying performances—particularly on offense—have left much to be desired. The Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, a figure that highlights the team’s ongoing struggle to create sustained rallies or capitalize in key scoring opportunities. Xavier Edwards has been the most consistent bat so far, leading the team with a .283 average, while Matt Mervis has contributed three home runs, offering flashes of power in an otherwise quiet lineup. Miami has lacked a signature offensive identity through two weeks, and without a spark at the plate, the club has repeatedly found itself in low-scoring, high-pressure situations. On the mound, right-hander Cal Quantrill is set to take the ball for Miami, entering the game with a 1–1 record and a concerning 6.00 ERA. Quantrill has struggled with early command and hasn’t been able to escape jams efficiently, often forcing the Marlins’ bullpen into extended work. Despite these setbacks, the bullpen has been one of the team’s brightest spots, boasting a team ERA of 3.68 and keeping the Marlins competitive late in games. If Quantrill can limit damage in the early innings, the Marlins have the arms in relief to hold close margins, but he’ll need to show more consistency in getting ahead in counts and avoiding costly walks.

Defensively, the Marlins have been dependable, minimizing errors and turning key double plays when needed, a reflection of solid fundamentals and positioning behind their pitchers. Hosting a Nationals team led by a red-hot Mitchell Parker and a growing offensive core, the Marlins will need to lean heavily on execution and small-ball tactics to stay in contention. Miami’s lack of big bats places a premium on baserunning, situational hitting, and manufacturing offense through singles and steals rather than home runs. The team has shown that when it executes cleanly and gets production from the top of the order, it can compete with more powerful lineups—but those performances have been too sporadic. Playing at home offers a chance to reset, especially with a three-game series that could help determine early footing in the NL East. For Miami to come out on top, the key lies in Quantrill keeping the Nationals off balance long enough for the offense to build a lead—something they’ve struggled to do against left-handed starters like Parker. If the Marlins can reverse that trend and play clean, focused baseball, they’ll give themselves a real shot at turning their season upward and proving they belong in the early postseason conversation.

Washington vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Nationals and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Hill over 0.5 Total Bases.

Washington vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Nationals and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly strong Marlins team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Miami picks, computer picks Nationals vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have shown resilience on the road, with a 3–3 away record, indicating competitive performances against the spread in away games.

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins hold a 3–3 home record, reflecting challenges in capitalizing on home-field advantage against the spread.

Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

The Washington Nationals (5–7) face the Miami Marlins (6–6) at loanDepot Park on April 11, 2025, in a pivotal NL East matchup. Both teams aim to gain momentum early in the season, with the Nationals looking to capitalize on their recent offensive surge and the Marlins seeking consistency at home.

Washington vs. Miami Game Info

Washington vs Miami starts on April 11, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: Washington -122, Miami +104
Over/Under: 8

Washington: (5-7)  |  Miami: (6-6)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Hill over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Washington Nationals (5–7) face the Miami Marlins (6–6) at loanDepot Park on April 11, 2025, in a pivotal NL East matchup. Both teams aim to gain momentum early in the season, with the Nationals looking to capitalize on their recent offensive surge and the Marlins seeking consistency at home.

WAS trend: The Nationals have shown resilience on the road, with a 3–3 away record, indicating competitive performances against the spread in away games.

MIA trend: The Marlins hold a 3–3 home record, reflecting challenges in capitalizing on home-field advantage against the spread.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Washington vs Miami Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: -122
MIA Moneyline: +104
WAS Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Washington vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
0
3
+950
-2000
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-130)
O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
0
0
 
-185
 
-1.5 (+105)
O 9.5 (-125)
U 9.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
-105
-115
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+190
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-140
+115
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+105
-125
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-215
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins on April 11, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS