Mets vs Athletics Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 11)

Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On April 11, 2025, the New York Mets (3–3) will face the Oakland Athletics (2–5) at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, California. Both teams aim to gain momentum in this early-season interleague matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 11, 2025

Start Time: 10:05 PM EST​

Venue: Sutter Health Park​

Athletics Record: (5-8)

Mets Record: (8-4)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -136

ATH Moneyline: +115

NYM Spread: -1.5

ATH Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 10

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have a 3–3 record against the spread (ATS) in their last six games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the run line.

ATH
Betting Trends

  • The Athletics have struggled at home, with a 0–3 record, and have failed to cover the run line in those games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five meetings, the Mets have covered the run line in four games against the Athletics. Notably, the Mets are 4–1 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.

NYM vs. ATH
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Soderstrom over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Mets vs Athletics Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/11/25

The April 11, 2025 interleague clash between the New York Mets and the Oakland Athletics at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento offers a tale of two teams at contrasting stages of development and stability. The Mets, at 3–3, are balancing expectations with growth as they aim to establish early consistency behind a refined pitching staff and the leadership of franchise cornerstones like Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. One of the brightest storylines so far has been the emergence of Griffin Canning, who has embraced a simplified arsenal featuring his slider and changeup with great effect—earning a 2.79 ERA through his first two starts. With the Mets’ rotation searching for stability in the post-Scherzer/deGrom era, Canning’s early form provides much-needed optimism. Offensively, the Mets aren’t overpowering but have shown they can manufacture runs when needed, particularly with timely hits and productive outs from the middle of the order. While they’ve split their first six games, they’ve demonstrated resilience, especially in matchups against struggling teams—a positive sign heading into this series with the 2–5 Athletics. For the Athletics, the early going has underscored many of the challenges expected during their rebuild. With a 2–5 record and no wins at home, the A’s have found themselves falling behind early and unable to mount effective comebacks. Their pitching staff lacks a clear ace, and the rotation has yet to deliver a single quality start—a problem compounded by a bullpen that has struggled to contain rallies once momentum shifts. Offensively, the A’s have been too quiet, especially in run-producing situations.

Their young core is still developing, and the lack of a true veteran presence has made it harder for the lineup to recover after setbacks. Defensive lapses have added to their woes, turning close games into insurmountable deficits. The team’s biggest need at the moment is consistency—from the mound, at the plate, and in the field. Without it, they remain vulnerable even in matchups against teams still finding their own identity, such as the Mets. Given recent trends, New York enters this game as the clear favorite. They are 4–1 ATS in their last five road games against teams with losing records, while the Athletics have failed to cover the spread in each of their first three home contests. The Mets will look to lean on Canning’s strong start and hope the offense can capitalize on early opportunities against an inexperienced Oakland staff. If the A’s hope to compete, they must jump on Canning early, play error-free baseball, and get their bullpen to hold any lead or tie into the late innings. But all signs suggest the Mets are in position to take advantage of the Athletics’ early-season vulnerabilities and build some early-season momentum of their own. Friday’s matchup may not feature two juggernauts, but it holds significant value for two teams trying to define who they are—one rebuilding from the ground up and the other trying to find its next wave of stability and success.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets arrive at Sutter Health Park with a 3–3 record and a growing sense of identity anchored in a revamped pitching staff and the leadership of their seasoned stars. While the Mets have hovered around .500 early in the season, they’ve displayed encouraging signs of cohesion, particularly through the resurgence of right-hander Griffin Canning. In his first two starts, Canning has delivered a 2.79 ERA over 9 2/3 innings, emerging as a reliable force thanks to a simplified approach built around his slider and changeup. His improved command and composure have allowed him to navigate lineups with greater efficiency, and his ability to minimize hard contact has elevated his value as a mid-rotation stabilizer. As he takes the mound against an offensively challenged Athletics team, the Mets are hoping he can set the tone and hand over a manageable situation to a bullpen that has been dependable in preserving close leads and preventing rallies. At the plate, New York has leaned on the familiar production of Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso to generate offense. Lindor’s ability to set the table with a mix of contact and patience has been crucial, while Alonso remains a threat to change the game with one swing. Though the Mets have not overwhelmed in run production, they’ve shown a knack for situational hitting—moving runners over, executing sacrifice plays, and applying pressure through aggressive base running. The lineup’s balance has helped mitigate slow starts from key contributors, with players like Jeff McNeil and Starling Marte offering timely contributions in support.

Against Oakland’s shaky starting rotation and an underperforming bullpen, the Mets will aim to jump out early, control the tempo, and allow Canning to pitch with the lead—a scenario that has suited them well in recent games. Defensively, the Mets have been solid, committing few errors and backing up their pitchers with fundamentally sound play in both the infield and outfield. Their ability to prevent extra bases and turn double plays has helped preserve slim leads and support a pitching staff still shaping its long-term identity. With a 4–1 record ATS in their last five road games against teams with losing records, the Mets have shown they can stay focused and take care of business when expected to do so. Friday night’s matchup presents a key opportunity for New York to not only push above .500 but also assert themselves as a disciplined, playoff-hopeful club capable of handling weaker opponents. If Canning continues his efficient outings and the lineup capitalizes on early chances, the Mets are well positioned to notch another road win and build momentum heading deeper into April.

On April 11, 2025, the New York Mets (3–3) will face the Oakland Athletics (2–5) at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, California. Both teams aim to gain momentum in this early-season interleague matchup. New York Mets vs Athletics AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Athletics Athletics MLB Preview

The Oakland Athletics return home to Sutter Health Park with a 2–5 record and a sense of mounting pressure to reverse their early-season slide. Winless in their first three games at home, the A’s are struggling to find rhythm on both sides of the ball, with inconsistency defining their performance through the first week of April. Their offense, one of the key concerns entering the season, has been largely dormant, averaging under four runs per game and failing to sustain rallies or take advantage of scoring opportunities. The lineup features a handful of promising young bats, but so far the lack of a true veteran anchor or power presence has made it easy for opposing pitchers to work through innings with minimal stress. While there have been flashes—occasional doubles or late-inning bursts—Oakland has yet to put together a complete offensive game, and their inability to deliver with runners in scoring position has stalled any potential momentum. On the pitching front, the situation remains equally unsettled. The rotation has yet to produce a quality start, and most games have seen the A’s fall behind early, leaving the offense to play catch-up with limited firepower. While a long-term rebuild was expected, the early results have exposed how thin the staff is when facing more polished lineups. The bullpen hasn’t fared much better, having already given up multiple leads and struggling to throw strikes consistently in high-leverage spots. With no clear stopper or reliable innings-eater, Oakland’s manager is forced to piece together games with fingers crossed rather than strategic matchups.

Against the Mets—who bring a steady if not explosive offense and a starter like Griffin Canning who can keep games close—the Athletics will need to find some early offense, limit free passes, and ideally play from ahead, something they’ve struggled to do all season. Defensively, the A’s have shown potential but have been undermined by untimely errors and mental lapses that compound their other issues. What should be a fundamental strength for a young, energetic team has instead become a liability in key moments—turning tight games into losses and eroding confidence. To compete with the Mets in this matchup, the Athletics must play clean defense, avoid giving away outs, and show urgency on the basepaths to manufacture runs. A strong performance from one of their young starters—or even a surprise offensive breakout—could help stabilize the team and shift the tone of the clubhouse. Friday’s contest offers a chance to reset and prove that despite their record, they can hang tough with more experienced competition. For a team fighting to avoid falling further behind before mid-April, a win at home would not just boost morale—it could be the first step toward reestablishing belief in their season’s trajectory.

New York Mets vs. Athletics Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Mets and Athletics play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Sutter Health Park in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Soderstrom over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Mets vs. Athletics Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Mets and Athletics and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly healthy Athletics team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Athletics picks, computer picks Mets vs Athletics, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have a 3–3 record against the spread (ATS) in their last six games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the run line.

Athletics Betting Trends

The Athletics have struggled at home, with a 0–3 record, and have failed to cover the run line in those games.

Mets vs. Athletics Matchup Trends

In their last five meetings, the Mets have covered the run line in four games against the Athletics. Notably, the Mets are 4–1 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.

New York Mets vs. Athletics Game Info

New York Mets vs Athletics starts on April 11, 2025 at 10:05 PM EST.

Spread: Athletics +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -136, Athletics +115
Over/Under: 10

New York Mets: (8-4)  |  Athletics: (5-8)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Soderstrom over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five meetings, the Mets have covered the run line in four games against the Athletics. Notably, the Mets are 4–1 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.

NYM trend: The Mets have a 3–3 record against the spread (ATS) in their last six games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the run line.

ATH trend: The Athletics have struggled at home, with a 0–3 record, and have failed to cover the run line in those games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. Athletics Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Athletics trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York Mets vs Athletics Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -136
ATH Moneyline: +115
NYM Spread: -1.5
ATH Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 10

New York Mets vs Athletics Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+104
-127
+1.5 (-206)
-1.5 (+166)
O 7.5 (-116)
U 7.5 (-104)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Athletics Athletics on April 11, 2025 at Sutter Health Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN