Padres vs Cubs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 05)

Updated: 2025-04-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The San Diego Padres will face the Chicago Cubs on April 5, 2025, at Wrigley Field in Chicago. This matchup features the Padres, who have started the season with an impressive 7-0 record, against the Cubs, who are 6-4 and looking to gain momentum early in the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 05, 2025

Start Time: 2:20 PM EST​

Venue: Wrigley Field​

Cubs Record: (6-4)

Padres Record: (7-1)

OPENING ODDS

SD Moneyline: +101

CHC Moneyline: -120

SD Spread: -1.5

CHC Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7

SD
Betting Trends

  • The Padres have been strong against the spread (ATS) early in the season, covering in several of their initial games.

CHC
Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have had a mixed performance ATS, with some games covering the spread and others falling short.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Cubs have a solid home record against the Padres, with a .579 winning percentage at Wrigley Field. However, the Padres’ current undefeated streak and strong bullpen performance could influence betting outcomes in this matchup.

SD vs. CHC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Suzuki over 0.5 Total Bases.

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San Diego vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/5/25

The San Diego Padres have burst out of the gates in 2025, opening the season with a flawless 7-0 record and emerging as one of the hottest teams in Major League Baseball. This start is not merely a statistical quirk—it’s a reflection of comprehensive dominance across all facets of the game. From top-tier starting pitching and a lights-out bullpen to a deep and productive lineup, the Padres are executing at a high level with remarkable consistency. Heading into their April 5 matchup against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field, the Padres find themselves in an enviable position. They’ve swept every series to date, including strong performances against both divisional opponents and quality pitching staffs. Now on the road, San Diego is focused on maintaining momentum and continuing to prove that their early success is sustainable over the long haul. Nick Pivetta is set to take the mound for San Diego, bringing with him the confidence of a spectacular last outing in which he allowed only one hit over seven shutout innings. Pivetta, acquired in the offseason to bolster the rotation, has wasted no time validating that investment. He’s mixing his pitches with precision, commanding the strike zone, and keeping hitters off balance with a dynamic fastball-slider combination. His ability to work deep into games has given the bullpen much-needed rest, though San Diego’s relief corps has barely flinched even when called upon frequently. In fact, the bullpen has been one of the club’s most potent weapons—relievers like Robert Suarez, Jason Adam, and Jeremiah Estrada have combined to allow just one earned run all season. Against a Chicago team with an offense that can heat up quickly, having a steady hand like Pivetta at the helm is a major asset.

Offensively, the Padres are proving that they don’t need to rely solely on the long ball to manufacture runs. The trio of Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, and rookie standout Jackson Merrill has created a formidable top of the order, blending power, speed, and situational awareness. Merrill, in particular, has drawn attention for his poise at the plate and defensive reliability—making him a key contributor in both scoring rallies and run prevention. Meanwhile, the Padres have utilized a balanced approach by mixing in small-ball tactics, aggressive baserunning, and clutch hitting. This versatility makes them difficult to game-plan against and allows them to thrive in close games or blowouts. As they face the Cubs and veteran lefty Matthew Boyd, the Padres will look to stay disciplined at the plate and exploit any lapses in command or defensive alignment. What has set San Diego apart thus far is not just individual performances but their cohesion as a unit. They’re playing clean, efficient baseball with few errors, timely execution, and a clear sense of identity. Manager Mike Shildt has the club dialed in early, and the chemistry between veterans and young talent is palpable. Playing at Wrigley Field brings unique challenges—variable weather, passionate fans, and a historically difficult environment for visiting teams—but the Padres have shown resilience and adaptability. With a confident ace on the mound, a lineup firing on all cylinders, and a bullpen that has yet to blink, San Diego is poised to continue its early-season dominance. A win against the Cubs on the road would not only extend their perfect run but further solidify their status as one of the league’s most complete and dangerous teams.

San Diego Padres MLB Preview

The San Diego Padres arrive at Wrigley Field on April 5, 2025, as the hottest team in baseball, having kicked off their season with an electrifying 7-0 record. This unbeaten run is no fluke—it’s the result of a highly disciplined, fundamentally sound, and fearlessly aggressive baseball team executing in all phases. From stellar pitching to timely hitting, the Padres have managed to not just win but dominate. Each victory has featured a balanced blend of offensive pressure, stingy bullpen work, and crisp defensive play. Their early-season form has quickly shifted the narrative around the club after an offseason of questions about consistency, leadership, and chemistry. So far, those concerns have been buried beneath a tidal wave of production, confidence, and cohesion. San Diego’s scheduled starter for the matchup, Nick Pivetta, has been lights-out in his early outings and is one of the biggest reasons the rotation has overachieved to start the year. In his last start, Pivetta was nearly untouchable—carving through opposing hitters with precision, allowing just one hit across seven shutout innings while racking up strikeouts. The right-hander, acquired in the offseason, has immediately stepped into a leadership role on the pitching staff. His fastball-slider combo has been devastating, and he’s shown veteran command by locating early in counts and limiting free passes. What’s equally important is that he’s going deep into games, taking pressure off the bullpen, though San Diego’s relief corps has barely needed help. The Padres bullpen, which features arms like Robert Suarez, Jason Adam, and Jeremiah Estrada, has allowed only a single run across the team’s first seven games. That’s not just dominant—it’s historic. The Padres’ offense, too, has been a showcase of efficiency and execution.

While the team isn’t leading the league in home runs, they’ve found other ways to punish opposing pitchers. Fernando Tatis Jr. continues to be the heartbeat of the offense with his power-speed dynamic, and Manny Machado has delivered in key moments with veteran poise. But the real revelation has been rookie shortstop Jackson Merrill, who has stepped into the spotlight with maturity well beyond his years. Merrill has not only handled defensive responsibilities with composure, but he’s also delivered clutch at-bats, helping to extend innings and capitalize on scoring chances. This trio is supported by a lineup that grinds out at-bats, pressures opposing defenses with baserunning, and consistently delivers productive outs. Their ability to manufacture runs—rather than just wait for the long ball—makes the Padres one of the most adaptable and dangerous lineups in baseball. San Diego enters this game with a chance to make a real statement by extending their undefeated streak against a competitive Cubs team in one of baseball’s most iconic and challenging venues. The stakes aren’t just about maintaining a perfect record—they’re about asserting dominance, building separation in the standings, and continuing to send a message to the rest of the league. If the Padres continue to pitch with precision, execute offensively with balance, and avoid defensive lapses, there’s little reason to believe the Cubs—or anyone else—can slow them down. Right now, San Diego isn’t just winning—they’re setting the tone for the entire National League.

The San Diego Padres will face the Chicago Cubs on April 5, 2025, at Wrigley Field in Chicago. This matchup features the Padres, who have started the season with an impressive 7-0 record, against the Cubs, who are 6-4 and looking to gain momentum early in the season. San Diego vs Chicago Cubs AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Chicago Cubs Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs return to Wrigley Field on April 5, 2025, carrying a respectable 6-4 record into an early-season litmus test against the red-hot San Diego Padres. After a promising start to the year that included a hard-fought series win over the Colorado Rockies, the Cubs now face a new challenge: cooling off an undefeated Padres squad that has been firing on all cylinders. While the Cubs have not been flawless, they’ve shown resilience and adaptability, traits that will be critical as they prepare to host one of the league’s most balanced and dangerous teams. Playing at Wrigley provides an additional boost, as the Cubs have long used their iconic home field as a source of energy and grit—qualities that will be vital in halting San Diego’s momentum. On the mound for Chicago is veteran left-hander Matthew Boyd, a crafty southpaw known for his ability to mix pitches and generate swings and misses. Boyd’s success has traditionally come from keeping hitters off balance rather than overpowering them, and his command will be tested against a Padres lineup that thrives on punishing mistakes. In his first start of the season, Boyd showed flashes of the pitcher who once anchored Detroit’s rotation—working through five innings with solid strikeout totals and minimal hard contact. However, he’ll need to be at his sharpest against the Padres, who are capable of jumping on early-count fastballs and extending innings with timely hitting. If Boyd can locate his breaking stuff early and get ahead in counts, he’ll give Chicago a real chance to neutralize the Padres’ top bats.

The bullpen, meanwhile, will be counted on heavily if the game stays close into the later innings. Key arms like Adbert Alzolay, Julian Merryweather, and Mark Leiter Jr. will need to be sharp against San Diego’s aggressive late-inning approach. Offensively, the Cubs bring a deep and capable lineup to the plate, though they’ve been somewhat inconsistent in capitalizing on run-scoring opportunities. Dansby Swanson and Seiya Suzuki have been reliable sparks at the top of the order, setting the table with quality at-bats and solid contact. Christopher Morel continues to offer game-changing pop in the middle of the lineup, while Ian Happ and Cody Bellinger—when healthy—provide left-handed threats capable of flipping momentum with one swing. The challenge will be piecing together sustained offense against Padres starter Nick Pivetta, who is coming off a masterful start. Chicago’s best path to success lies in grinding out long at-bats, making Pivetta work deep into counts, and creating traffic on the bases to force pressure situations. If the Cubs can manufacture early runs and put the Padres on the defensive, it could shift the tone of the entire game. Defensively, the Cubs have been solid so far this season, avoiding costly errors and maintaining good infield chemistry—especially between Swanson and Nico Hoerner up the middle. Outfield defense has also been a strong point, with Suzuki and Happ covering ground effectively and limiting extra bases. As they prepare to take on San Diego, the Cubs understand that defensive precision will be crucial to complement their pitching and limit big innings. This game will serve as an early barometer for Chicago’s ability to compete with elite teams. If they can match the Padres pitch for pitch, maintain discipline at the plate, and execute in key moments, the Cubs have the tools to hand San Diego their first loss and make a statement of their own in front of a packed Wrigley crowd.

San Diego vs. Chicago Cubs Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Padres and Cubs play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Wrigley Field in Apr can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Suzuki over 0.5 Total Bases.

San Diego vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Padres and Cubs and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the growing factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly improved Cubs team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI San Diego vs Chicago Cubs picks, computer picks Padres vs Cubs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been strong against the spread (ATS) early in the season, covering in several of their initial games.

Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have had a mixed performance ATS, with some games covering the spread and others falling short.

Padres vs. Cubs Matchup Trends

Historically, the Cubs have a solid home record against the Padres, with a .579 winning percentage at Wrigley Field. However, the Padres’ current undefeated streak and strong bullpen performance could influence betting outcomes in this matchup.

San Diego vs. Chicago Cubs Game Info

San Diego vs Chicago Cubs starts on April 05, 2025 at 2:20 PM EST.

Spread: Chicago Cubs +1.5
Moneyline: San Diego +101, Chicago Cubs -120
Over/Under: 7

San Diego: (7-1)  |  Chicago Cubs: (6-4)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Suzuki over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Cubs have a solid home record against the Padres, with a .579 winning percentage at Wrigley Field. However, the Padres’ current undefeated streak and strong bullpen performance could influence betting outcomes in this matchup.

SD trend: The Padres have been strong against the spread (ATS) early in the season, covering in several of their initial games.

CHC trend: The Cubs have had a mixed performance ATS, with some games covering the spread and others falling short.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Diego vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs Chicago Cubs trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

San Diego vs Chicago Cubs Opening Odds

SD Moneyline: +101
CHC Moneyline: -120
SD Spread: -1.5
CHC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7

San Diego vs Chicago Cubs Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Cubs on April 05, 2025 at Wrigley Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN