Yankees vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 05)

Updated: 2025-04-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on April 5, 2025, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees enter the game with a 4-2 record, while the Pirates are seeking to improve upon their 2-5 start to the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 05, 2025

Start Time: 4:05 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (2-6)

Yankees Record: (5-2)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -151

PIT Moneyline: +127

NYY Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have covered the spread in three of their first six games, reflecting a solid performance against the spread (ATS) early in the season.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their first seven games, mirroring their overall challenging start.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Yankees have demonstrated a strong offensive presence, leading the American League in scoring during their opening homestand. Conversely, the Pirates have faced offensive challenges, scoring no more than four runs in any of their first seven games. This contrast suggests a potential edge for the Yankees in terms of offensive production.

NYY vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Rodriguez over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/5/25

Saturday’s interleague contest between the New York Yankees and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park offers a classic David vs. Goliath scenario as the powerhouse Yankees look to maintain their hot start against a Pirates squad eager to find traction early in the season. The Yankees have begun their 2025 campaign with a strong 4–2 record, flashing the kind of star-powered lineup and deep pitching rotation that made them a preseason World Series favorite. On the flip side, the Pirates sit at 2–5 and are still searching for an identity as they navigate a transitional period filled with promising young talent and a desire to rebuild their winning culture. With Marcus Stroman expected to take the mound for the Yankees and lefty Bailey Falter getting the nod for the Pirates, this matchup pits veteran savvy against an underdog team trying to punch above its weight class. While the odds lean heavily in New York’s favor, Pittsburgh’s scrappy, high-ceiling lineup and home-field edge could make things interesting—if they can find rhythm on both sides of the ball. The Yankees have looked every bit the juggernaut through their first week of play. Their offense, anchored by Aaron Judge and recent acquisition Paul Goldschmidt, has provided consistent run production and flashed power across the lineup. Judge, already at 320 career home runs, is one shy of tying Babe Ruth’s Yankees record for homers in a player’s first 1,000 games—an incredible benchmark that underscores just how dominant he’s been. Goldschmidt has proven to be a valuable veteran addition, driving in key runs while adding stability and discipline to the heart of the lineup. Behind them, Gleyber Torres and Anthony Volpe have provided timely hits and excellent baserunning, giving New York a multi-dimensional offensive attack. On the mound, Marcus Stroman brings grit and efficiency, relying on his elite ground ball rate and command to keep hitters off-balance. The bullpen—featuring names like Clay Holmes and Jonathan Loáisiga—has held up well, limiting damage in close games and preserving leads late. Defensively, the Yankees are sharp and versatile, with Gold Glove-caliber infielders and athletic outfielders who cut off extra-base hits.

Manager Aaron Boone has the luxury of depth, experience, and a lineup that can beat teams in a variety of ways, which makes the Yankees a constant threat regardless of the setting. Pittsburgh, by contrast, is still very much a work in progress, but they’ve shown flashes of competitiveness even in the midst of a slow start. Their 2–5 record belies a roster that contains rising stars and a few seasoned vets capable of turning a game. Oneil Cruz remains a major x-factor, with his towering frame, immense raw power, and surprising agility making him one of the most exciting young players in baseball. Alongside Bryan Reynolds—who continues to be a reliable bat and defensive anchor in center field—the Pirates possess some offensive tools but lack consistency in approach. Bailey Falter gets the start and will need to navigate a deep Yankees lineup with care. His ERA around 4.50 indicates some effectiveness, but he’s also susceptible to giving up big innings if he misses his spots. The Pirates’ bullpen, featuring Justin Lawrence and Ryan Borucki, has struggled with command, placing added pressure on the starters to go deeper into games than ideal. Defensively, Pittsburgh has improved from previous years, with third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes providing Gold Glove-level play and helping to solidify the infield. Still, the Pirates must play nearly perfect baseball to hang with a team as disciplined and talented as New York. For them, Saturday is not just another game—it’s a test of resilience, execution, and belief. In total, this matchup is a microcosm of the broader paths these franchises are on. The Yankees are chasing championships with a “win-now” roster, while the Pirates are trying to develop and compete with homegrown pieces and selective veteran additions. Expect New York to push the tempo early, especially if they sense vulnerability in Falter’s command. For Pittsburgh, getting through the first few innings unscathed and finding a way to manufacture runs against Stroman will be key to keeping the game competitive. Ultimately, while the Yankees are the clear favorite on paper, baseball’s unpredictability always leaves room for surprises—especially in a ballpark as unique as PNC on a cool April afternoon.

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter their April 5, 2025 road matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park carrying a 4-2 record and plenty of optimism following a strong opening homestand. This iteration of the Yankees has already shown flashes of the championship-caliber team fans and analysts projected during the offseason, boasting a potent blend of veteran leadership, marquee power hitters, and a retooled pitching staff. While the early-season schedule has had its bumps—particularly on the mound—the offense has more than compensated, currently leading the American League in total runs scored. The Pirates present an opportunity for the Yankees to continue this offensive momentum while giving one of their prized offseason acquisitions, Max Fried, a chance to find his footing on the mound after a rocky debut in pinstripes. Fried is scheduled to make his second start for New York after struggling in his first outing, where command issues and early runs against him prevented a deep start. Despite that, the organization remains confident in Fried’s long-term value, both as a top-end left-handed starter and a stabilizing presence in a rotation that’s built for October. Against a Pirates lineup that ranks among the least productive in baseball through the first week—scoring fewer than four runs in any game so far—Fried has an ideal platform to regain his rhythm and work into the later innings. His signature curveball and deceptive fastball command will be critical, especially if he can establish dominance early and prevent Pittsburgh from gaining any offensive confidence. A strong outing here could quickly realign Fried’s trajectory and solidify his spot as a key cog in the Yankees’ rotation moving forward. On the offensive side, the Yankees have been firing on all cylinders.

Aaron Judge remains the anchor of the lineup, and his consistency continues to put him on the verge of history—approaching Babe Ruth’s franchise mark of 321 home runs in the first 1,000 games. He’s been supported by the likes of Giancarlo Stanton and offseason addition Paul Goldschmidt, whose disciplined approach and clutch bat have already delivered several key hits. Goldschmidt’s presence has lengthened the lineup and added stability at first base, helping to reinforce a more balanced offensive attack. Gleyber Torres and Anthony Volpe have also looked sharp at the plate, with Volpe showcasing an improved eye and better contact rate in his sophomore campaign. The team has shown an encouraging trend of situational hitting, working counts, and producing with runners in scoring position—an area that was often a weakness in previous seasons. Defensively, the Yankees are trending in the right direction. With Goldschmidt tightening up the infield defense and Volpe maturing at shortstop, errors have been minimal. The outfield, anchored by Judge and supported by Alex Verdugo, has demonstrated solid range and strong arms, preventing extra-base hits and closing gaps efficiently. The bullpen, while not perfect, remains a strength when managed well. Clay Holmes continues to handle closing duties, while Jonathan Loáisiga and Ian Hamilton offer dependable setup options. Heading into Pittsburgh, the Yankees are poised to take care of business. If Fried delivers a bounce-back start and the offense continues to apply early pressure, the Yankees are well positioned to leave PNC Park with a win and further establish themselves as one of the most complete and dangerous teams in baseball.

The New York Yankees are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on April 5, 2025, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees enter the game with a 4-2 record, while the Pirates are seeking to improve upon their 2-5 start to the season. New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates return to PNC Park for their April 5, 2025 clash against the New York Yankees with a 2-5 record and a growing sense of urgency to steady the ship after a rough opening week. The Pirates opened the season with hopes of building on the progress shown during a competitive 2024 campaign, but have so far struggled to find consistency at the plate and on the mound. Offensive woes have been the most glaring issue—they’ve yet to score more than four runs in a game, a stat that underscores their lack of timely hitting and failure to capitalize on scoring opportunities. With a roster that combines emerging talent and developing pieces, the Pirates are still in the midst of a rebuild. But in front of a home crowd and with a marquee opponent like the Yankees in town, there’s a renewed sense of focus to deliver a statement performance. Leading the Pirates on the mound is right-hander Mitch Keller, who signed a five-year, $77 million extension just prior to the season and now serves as the cornerstone of Pittsburgh’s rotation. Keller has earned that trust after two consecutive strong seasons, and his 2025 debut—six innings of solid work against the Marlins—suggests he’s prepared to shoulder the responsibility of being the staff ace. He mixes a mid-90s fastball with a sharp slider and developing changeup, giving him the arsenal to neutralize even elite lineups like the Yankees. The challenge, of course, will be managing traffic against a New York team that leads the American League in runs scored and boasts one of the most dangerous hearts of the order in baseball. Keller will need to locate early, stay ahead in counts, and trust his defense to convert outs—particularly if he’s going to navigate around power bats like Aaron Judge and Paul Goldschmidt.

Offensively, the Pirates need more production from their top and middle-order hitters. The bright spot has been shortstop Oneil Cruz, who has started the season with energy, power, and much-needed offensive spark. Cruz’s combination of bat speed and athleticism makes him one of the most exciting young players in the National League, but he needs help from veterans like Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes to extend rallies and create run-scoring opportunities. So far, situational hitting has been lacking, with too many strikeouts in key spots and not enough quality contact when runners are in scoring position. The Pirates’ strategy should revolve around pressuring Max Fried early in counts, forcing him to labor and ideally work into the bullpen by the middle innings. If Pittsburgh can scratch out a couple of early runs, it might boost confidence and shift the pressure back onto a Yankees team that has yet to be tested by adversity. Defensively, the Pirates have been largely reliable, but there’s little margin for error when facing a team with the depth and firepower of New York. Hayes remains a gold-glove caliber third baseman, and the outfield—anchored by Reynolds—has good range and solid arms. The bullpen will play a key role if the game stays close. Colin Holderman and David Bednar are Pittsburgh’s best relief weapons, and manager Derek Shelton will need to deploy them strategically to hold any late-inning leads. While the odds are stacked against the Pirates on paper, this is the kind of game that can build belief and spark momentum. If Keller is sharp, the bats show life, and the defense holds steady, Pittsburgh has the tools to play spoiler and notch a statement win at home.

New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Rodriguez over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Yankees and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors often put on New York Yankees’s strength factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Yankees vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have covered the spread in three of their first six games, reflecting a solid performance against the spread (ATS) early in the season.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their first seven games, mirroring their overall challenging start.

Yankees vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

The Yankees have demonstrated a strong offensive presence, leading the American League in scoring during their opening homestand. Conversely, the Pirates have faced offensive challenges, scoring no more than four runs in any of their first seven games. This contrast suggests a potential edge for the Yankees in terms of offensive production.

New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh starts on April 05, 2025 at 4:05 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees -151, Pittsburgh +127
Over/Under: 9

New York Yankees: (5-2)  |  Pittsburgh: (2-6)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Rodriguez over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Yankees have demonstrated a strong offensive presence, leading the American League in scoring during their opening homestand. Conversely, the Pirates have faced offensive challenges, scoring no more than four runs in any of their first seven games. This contrast suggests a potential edge for the Yankees in terms of offensive production.

NYY trend: The Yankees have covered the spread in three of their first six games, reflecting a solid performance against the spread (ATS) early in the season.

PIT trend: The Pirates have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their first seven games, mirroring their overall challenging start.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -151
PIT Moneyline: +127
NYY Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 05, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN