Diamondbacks vs. Yankees
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 03 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees are set to host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Yankee Stadium on April 3, 2025, aiming to avoid a series sweep after dropping the first two games. The Diamondbacks, buoyed by strong pitching performances, seek to capitalize on their momentum and complete the sweep.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 03, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (3-2)

Diamondbacks Record: (4-2)

OPENING ODDS

ARI Moneyline: +111

NYY Moneyline: -131

ARI Spread: +1.5

NYY Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 10

ARI
Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the spread in both games of the current series against the Yankees, reflecting their strong performance on the road.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have failed to cover the spread in their recent games against the Diamondbacks, indicating struggles in meeting betting expectations at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Diamondbacks’ recent success against the Yankees has defied expectations, as they were not favored to dominate the series.

ARI vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carroll over 7 Fantasy Score.

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Arizona vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/3/25

As the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Yankees square off for the finale of their three-game series at Yankee Stadium on April 3, 2025, all eyes are on the Yankees to respond. After dropping the first two games at home, New York finds itself on the brink of a surprising sweep at the hands of a Diamondbacks team that entered the Bronx as underdogs but has played with poise and dominance. Arizona has leaned heavily on its pitching, with a particularly lights-out performance in Game 2 by ace Zac Gallen, who struck out 13 batters over 6 2/3 innings. Offensively, the Diamondbacks have managed to capitalize on key scoring opportunities, stringing together hits and displaying the scrappy approach that made them a World Series team in 2023. For the Yankees, who began the season with high expectations and a roster loaded with talent, this series has served as a wake-up call. Their inability to generate consistent offense and capitalize on their home-field advantage has raised concerns that they will look to answer decisively in this final matchup. Arizona’s game plan has been executed nearly to perfection in the series so far. In Game 1, their lineup showcased its depth, manufacturing a balanced attack that put pressure on the Yankees’ pitching staff from the early innings.

They followed that up in Game 2 with a more narrowly contested win, driven by elite pitching and clutch run prevention. The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has also stepped up, holding the Yankees scoreless in late-inning situations and managing high-leverage moments with veteran-like calm. This blend of effective starting pitching, timely offense, and airtight relief has proven to be a winning formula in this series. As they head into Game 3, Arizona will look to keep the pressure on and maintain their aggressive base running and smart situational hitting that has kept the Yankees on their heels. A sweep on the road would not only be a significant early-season boost for Arizona but a statement to the rest of the National League that their 2023 success was no fluke. The Yankees, on the other hand, face mounting urgency to turn things around. Despite Aaron Judge and Juan Soto anchoring what should be one of the most potent lineups in the American League, the Yankees have struggled with runners in scoring position and failed to sustain offensive pressure across innings. Their starting pitchers have allowed early deficits, putting the bullpen in constant catch-up mode. Additionally, defensive lapses have extended innings, allowing Arizona to exploit second-chance opportunities. Manager Aaron Boone will likely emphasize the fundamentals—better pitch selection, defensive focus, and sharper bullpen usage—to avoid a sweep at home, a rare and reputationally damaging outcome for a team with championship aspirations. This game presents not just a chance to salvage the series but to reset the tone for the team’s broader trajectory. With a hostile media market and demanding fanbase, the Yankees will need to show urgency, grit, and execution to bounce back. Whether they can do so against a confident Diamondbacks squad remains the critical storyline heading into Thursday’s showdown in the Bronx.

Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter the final game of their three-game set against the New York Yankees with an opportunity to complete a stunning sweep in the Bronx—something few predicted but which now feels well within reach. Coming off a strong 2023 season in which they reached the World Series, Arizona has continued to prove that their success was not a flash in the pan. They’ve opened the 2025 campaign with grit, cohesion, and a clear identity: solid pitching, opportunistic hitting, and disciplined execution. In the first two games of this series, the Diamondbacks have outplayed the Yankees in nearly every phase of the game. From Zac Gallen’s 13-strikeout masterpiece in Game 2 to Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s timely home run and Ketel Marte’s steady infield presence, the D-backs are playing with confidence and sharpness that defy their road underdog status. Manager Torey Lovullo’s group has bought into a system that prioritizes team-first baseball, and so far, the results speak for themselves. Pitching has been the cornerstone of Arizona’s early success. Gallen, the team’s ace, was electric in his outing, mixing fastballs, curveballs, and changeups with surgical command. Backing him up has been a bullpen that has shown poise under pressure. A.J. Puk closed out Game 2 with authority, earning his second save of the season, while middle relievers have handled high-leverage innings without faltering. What’s most impressive is Arizona’s ability to pitch with a plan. They’ve managed to neutralize the Yankees’ right-handed-heavy lineup by keeping the ball down, changing speeds, and avoiding predictable sequencing. With New York’s sluggers largely kept in check through the first two games, the D-backs head into the series finale with a clear edge in pitching consistency and strategic execution.

The next starter will aim to replicate the success of Gallen and keep the pressure squarely on a Yankees team that’s searching for answers. Offensively, the Diamondbacks have done more than enough to win. While not overpowering at the plate, they’ve been opportunistic—capitalizing on runners in scoring position and taking advantage of defensive miscues. Gurriel Jr.’s two-run homer in Game 2 was a perfect example of how Arizona has seized momentum at key moments. Ketel Marte, fresh off a six-year contract extension, has been a steady contributor both with the bat and the glove. Corbin Carroll and Christian Walker also bring speed and power to the lineup, offering multiple ways to manufacture runs even when the long ball isn’t available. Arizona’s offensive approach—grinding out at-bats, putting balls in play, and staying aggressive on the basepaths—has kept New York off-balance and unable to dictate tempo. Defensively, Arizona has backed up their pitching staff with clean, efficient fielding, further reducing any chances for the Yankees to swing momentum. With a sweep in sight, the Diamondbacks are likely to stick to the formula that has worked: control the strike zone, limit mistakes, and capitalize on every opportunity. A win in Game 3 would not only complete a confidence-building sweep in a hostile environment, it would reinforce Arizona’s position as one of the National League’s most complete and quietly dangerous teams.

The New York Yankees are set to host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Yankee Stadium on April 3, 2025, aiming to avoid a series sweep after dropping the first two games. The Diamondbacks, buoyed by strong pitching performances, seek to capitalize on their momentum and complete the sweep. Arizona vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees came into the 2025 season carrying the weight of championship expectations after an aggressive offseason and a strong start against the Milwaukee Brewers. Their revamped roster, featuring big-name acquisitions like Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger to complement Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, was designed to create one of the most formidable lineups in baseball. However, their performance in this current series against the Arizona Diamondbacks has not reflected the hype. After back-to-back losses at home, the Yankees now find themselves in the unfamiliar position of fighting to avoid a sweep at Yankee Stadium. The offense, which looked sharp in the opening series, has gone quiet, particularly in clutch moments. The top of the order has been unable to string together rallies, and despite Judge breaking a streak of consecutive strikeouts in Game 2, the team as a whole has lacked the timely hitting necessary to overcome early deficits. Pitching, too, has been inconsistent. Carlos Rodón struggled mightily in his last outing, surrendering four runs in the first two innings and immediately putting his team in a hole. Although he recovered to pitch more effectively in the middle innings, the damage was already done. While the Yankees’ bullpen showed promise—especially through the efforts of Yoendrys Gómez, who delivered three shutout innings in relief—too often the relievers have been tasked with keeping games within reach rather than protecting leads.

Boone may now consider altering the rotation or using bullpen matchups more aggressively to generate early-game stability. Given the heavy load placed on the bullpen already this series, a deep and efficient start from whoever takes the mound in Game 3 will be critical if New York is to reverse the momentum. Defensively, the Yankees have had their share of mental lapses and physical errors, which have extended innings and added unnecessary pressure on the pitching staff. These small mistakes have compounded into big problems, especially when paired with Arizona’s opportunistic offense. The infield hasn’t displayed the tight cohesion expected from a veteran group, and the outfield’s coverage gaps have been exploited by Arizona’s aggressive base running. As they enter the final game of this home stand, the Yankees must focus on playing clean, fundamental baseball—catch the ball, throw it accurately, and execute smart situational plays. With the home crowd likely to grow restless after two straight losses, the team will need to harness that energy in a positive way. A strong performance from their stars, both at the plate and on the mound, could not only salvage the series but also reassert the Yankees’ identity as a team built to dominate, not just compete. With an AL East race sure to be highly competitive, dropping three straight at home to a National League opponent is not the tone New York wants to set in April. Thursday’s game is not just about one win—it’s about proving that this team can respond when the pressure is on.

Arizona vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Diamondbacks and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carroll over 7 Fantasy Score.

Arizona vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Diamondbacks and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on New York Yankees’s strength factors between a Diamondbacks team going up against a possibly healthy Yankees team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Arizona vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Diamondbacks vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have covered the spread in both games of the current series against the Yankees, reflecting their strong performance on the road.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have failed to cover the spread in their recent games against the Diamondbacks, indicating struggles in meeting betting expectations at home.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

The Diamondbacks’ recent success against the Yankees has defied expectations, as they were not favored to dominate the series.

Arizona vs. New York Yankees Game Info

Arizona vs New York Yankees starts on April 03, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: Arizona +111, New York Yankees -131
Over/Under: 10

Arizona: (4-2)  |  New York Yankees: (3-2)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carroll over 7 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Diamondbacks’ recent success against the Yankees has defied expectations, as they were not favored to dominate the series.

ARI trend: The Diamondbacks have covered the spread in both games of the current series against the Yankees, reflecting their strong performance on the road.

NYY trend: The Yankees have failed to cover the spread in their recent games against the Diamondbacks, indicating struggles in meeting betting expectations at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Arizona vs. New York Yankees Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Arizona vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Arizona vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

ARI Moneyline: +111
NYY Moneyline: -131
ARI Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 10

Arizona vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees Yankees on April 03, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN