Mets vs Marlins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 02)
Updated: 2025-03-31T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Mets will face the Miami Marlins on April 2, 2025, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida, concluding their three-game series. The Mets aim to overcome early-season challenges, while the Marlins look to capitalize on their home-field advantage.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 02, 2025
Start Time: 4:40 PM EST
Venue: loanDepot park
Marlins Record: (4-2)
Mets Record: (2-3)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: -190
MIA Moneyline: +159
NYM Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have covered the spread in 49.4% of their games when favored on the moneyline last season.
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Marlins covered the spread in 54.4% of their games when favored on the moneyline last season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Marlins have a strong home record, covering the spread in 55.6% of their home games last season.
NYM vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: X. Edwards over 6 Fantasy Score.
LIVE MLB ODDS
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New York Mets vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/2/25
The bullpen, always a critical component in close games, has remained dependable, anchored by closer Tanner Scott and set-up man A.J. Puk. This group doesn’t overwhelm with velocity but thrives on location and inducing weak contact. That has allowed Miami to close out tight games—something that has plagued the Mets in their opening stretch. On the other side, the Mets have been reeling. Their rotation took a hit before the season even started, with Sean Manaea experiencing a setback due to an oblique strain and Paul Blackburn landing on the IL with knee inflammation. That’s left the Mets turning to backend starters and spot starters far earlier than planned, taxing a bullpen that isn’t yet in midseason form. The pitching instability has led to an uncharacteristically high number of baserunners and elevated pitch counts. Offensively, the Mets have been up and down. Pete Alonso has yet to find his power stroke, and Francisco Lindor has struggled with timing. Young contributors like Brett Baty and Mark Vientos are being asked to do more, but the lineup overall has lacked the cohesion and plate discipline that defined their better stretches last year. Unless the top half of the order finds consistency, the Mets could be stuck in neutral for longer than anticipated. This game represents a crossroads for both clubs. A win for Miami would continue building early-season confidence and momentum, especially in front of their home crowd. For the Mets, it’s a chance to halt the skid and spark some chemistry before the standings start to matter more. It’s early, but with each passing game, the urgency for New York grows louder—and a red-hot Marlins team might not be the ideal opponent to face in that mindset.
This is ghost. pic.twitter.com/C0KhWIvXxX
— New York Mets (@Mets) April 1, 2025
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets enter their April 2, 2025, matchup against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park in need of a stabilizing performance. After a rocky start to the season plagued by injuries, uneven pitching, and lackluster offense, the Mets are already feeling the weight of early expectations. With a reshaped roster and high hopes following a busy offseason, the pressure is on to turn potential into results before the season begins to slip away. Against a surging Marlins team that thrives at home, the Mets are walking into a difficult environment that will test their depth and resolve. One of the biggest issues facing the Mets so far in 2025 has been the decimated starting rotation. Originally expected to be anchored by veteran lefty Sean Manaea and offseason acquisition Paul Blackburn, the Mets were forced to make early changes after both pitchers landed on the injured list—Manaea with an oblique strain and Blackburn with lingering knee inflammation. These injuries have thrown the rotation into chaos, requiring emergency starts from pitchers like Tylor Megill and David Peterson, while also increasing the strain on the bullpen. Manager Carlos Mendoza has been forced to use relievers in high-leverage spots much earlier than expected, and the wear is already showing. The bullpen, while not without talent, lacks the reliability that defined successful Mets teams in recent years. Edwin Díaz has returned to the closer role but is still working through command issues after missing all of 2023. Brooks Raley and Adam Ottavino have been used heavily in the opening week, and unless the Mets get longer starts, the relief corps is at risk of being overexposed by the end of the first month.
Offensively, the Mets haven’t found a consistent rhythm. Pete Alonso, typically a power anchor in the middle of the lineup, has yet to leave his mark, while Francisco Lindor is struggling with timing and plate discipline. Jeff McNeil and Brandon Nimmo have been solid at the top of the order in terms of on-base skills, but the lineup as a whole has lacked timely hitting. With runners in scoring position, the Mets are among the league’s worst so far this season, failing to cash in on the few opportunities they do create. That inefficiency is compounded by a defense that has also had its share of early lapses, particularly with new players adjusting to unfamiliar roles. Still, the season is young, and there are signs of life. Brett Baty and Mark Vientos are getting regular at-bats and showing flashes of their minor league success. If the Mets can find a groove offensively and stabilize the starting rotation—even temporarily—they have enough pieces to contend. But against a Marlins team that has started strong and plays well at home, New York can’t afford another flat outing. For the Mets, this game isn’t about statement wins—it’s about regaining control. A solid start, a few timely hits, and a clean defensive game would go a long way toward calming the panic beginning to brew among fans and players alike. This isn’t must-win territory yet, but it’s certainly must-respond.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter their April 2, 2025, matchup against the New York Mets with momentum on their side and a strong start to the season already building optimism in South Florida. After narrowly missing the playoffs in 2024, the Marlins made it clear in the offseason they intended to compete, and so far, they’re backing that up with quality performances, particularly at loanDepot park, where they’ve been difficult to beat. With a deep pitching staff, versatile lineup, and defensive fundamentals, the Marlins have quietly evolved into one of the more dangerous teams in the National League when playing at home. Offensively, Miami isn’t overpowering, but they’ve embraced a manufacturing style that wears down opponents. Leadoff man Jazz Chisholm Jr. sets the tone with his energy and athleticism, causing chaos on the bases and extending at-bats with improved plate discipline. Behind him, Bryan De La Cruz and Jake Burger provide middle-of-the-order muscle, with De La Cruz emerging as a key run producer early in the season. Jesús Sánchez adds left-handed power, and Josh Bell has been a steady veteran presence, offering leadership and timely hitting. The team is top-tier in advancing runners and playing small ball—attributes that have helped them consistently capitalize on the Mets’ current pitching vulnerabilities. The Marlins’ pitching staff, a strength dating back to their playoff push in 2020, continues to carry the team through tight contests. Even with left-hander Ryan Weathers sidelined by a forearm strain, the rotation has been sturdy. Edward Cabrera and Braxton Garrett have filled in effectively, and Jesús Luzardo has begun the season in form, flashing his elite strikeout potential.
The bullpen has also been a bright spot, with closer Tanner Scott locking down the ninth inning and setup arms like A.J. Puk and George Soriano giving manager Skip Schumaker flexibility to match up against different parts of the Mets’ lineup. Perhaps what’s most impressive so far has been Miami’s defensive consistency. The infield, led by Luis Arraez at second and Joey Wendle at shortstop, has played cleanly and minimized mistakes. Outfield defense, anchored by Chisholm and De La Cruz, has been aggressive but controlled, routinely cutting down extra-base hits and limiting opponents’ ability to take extra bases. The Marlins’ strong defensive metrics have helped them avoid big innings and preserved leads late in games—especially crucial given their tendency to play in low-scoring affairs. The team’s chemistry also appears to be thriving. With a clubhouse full of young, hungry talent and seasoned leaders, the Marlins seem more cohesive than in past years. Manager Skip Schumaker has emphasized playing fast, smart baseball and has gotten early buy-in from his roster. Unlike the Mets, who are scrambling with injuries and early-season doubt, the Marlins are executing their game plan with confidence and precision. Heading into this matchup, the Marlins have a golden opportunity to continue their strong start and sweep a division rival already on the ropes. If they can jump on the Mets’ vulnerable pitching early and lean on their strengths—speed, defense, and bullpen—they’ll be well-positioned to extend their winning ways and build a case as early contenders in the NL East.
A for the gram moment 📸 2 run double! pic.twitter.com/zC2PDv3T1q
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) April 1, 2025
New York Mets vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
New York Mets vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Mets and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly rested Marlins team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Miami picks, computer picks Mets vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have covered the spread in 49.4% of their games when favored on the moneyline last season.
Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins covered the spread in 54.4% of their games when favored on the moneyline last season.
Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Trends
The Marlins have a strong home record, covering the spread in 55.6% of their home games last season.
New York Mets vs. Miami Game Info
What time does New York Mets vs Miami start on April 02, 2025?
New York Mets vs Miami starts on April 02, 2025 at 4:40 PM EST.
Where is New York Mets vs Miami being played?
Venue: loanDepot park.
What are the opening odds for New York Mets vs Miami?
Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -190, Miami +159
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for New York Mets vs Miami?
New York Mets: (2-3) | Miami: (4-2)
What is the AI best bet for New York Mets vs Miami?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: X. Edwards over 6 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York Mets vs Miami trending bets?
The Marlins have a strong home record, covering the spread in 55.6% of their home games last season.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have covered the spread in 49.4% of their games when favored on the moneyline last season.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Marlins covered the spread in 54.4% of their games when favored on the moneyline last season.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York Mets vs Miami?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York Mets vs. Miami Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York Mets vs Miami Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
-190 MIA Moneyline: +159
NYM Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
New York Mets vs Miami Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+105
-125
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Miami Marlins on April 02, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |