Pirates vs Rays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Mar 31)
Updated: 2025-03-29T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Pittsburgh Pirates on March 31, 2025, at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida, marking the beginning of an interleague series between these two clubs. Both teams aim to start the season strong, setting the tone for their respective campaigns.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 31, 2025
Start Time: 7:05 PM EST
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field
Rays Record: (2-1)
Pirates Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +152
TB Moneyline: -183
PIT Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
PIT
Betting Trends
- In the 2024 season, the Pirates had a challenging record against the spread (ATS) when playing on the road, covering in only 40% of their away games.
TB
Betting Trends
- Conversely, the Rays demonstrated strong performance at home during the 2024 season, covering the spread in 60% of their games at Tropicana Field.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, when the Rays have been favored at home with odds of -150 or shorter, they have achieved a 65% win rate, while the Pirates have a 35% success rate as underdogs in similar scenarios.
PIT vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Aranda over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
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Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 3/31/25
Offensively, the team will look to veterans like Andrew McCutchen to provide leadership and stability, while younger players such as Oneil Cruz are expected to contribute with their dynamic skill sets. Pitching will be a critical area for Pittsburgh, with right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski projected to start the opener. Mlodzinski, a promising arm within the organization, aims to establish himself as a reliable starter and deliver a competitive outing against a potent Rays lineup. The bullpen, featuring closer David Bednar, will need to be effective in preserving leads and keeping games within reach Defensively, the Pirates have emphasized fundamentals and cohesion during spring training, aiming to reduce errors and support their pitching staff more effectively. Improved defensive play will be essential in complementing their overall strategy and enhancing competitiveness. Key factors to watch in this series include the effectiveness of the starting pitchers, bullpen performance in high-leverage situations, and the ability of each team’s lineup to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Defensive execution and strategic base running will also play pivotal roles in determining the outcomes of these games. Fans can anticipate a competitive series as both teams strive to establish momentum early in the season. The outcomes will provide insights into the strengths and areas for improvement for both the Rays and the Pirates as they navigate the challenges of the 2025 season.
Final. pic.twitter.com/VxUdRP9w96
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) March 30, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates begin their 2025 MLB season on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays on March 31, aiming to build a foundation for long-term success after several seasons spent in rebuilding mode. While the club’s 2024 campaign ended with a sub-.500 record, Pittsburgh’s front office continues to invest in its youth movement, supplemented by veteran leadership and a commitment to player development. Under manager Derek Shelton, the Pirates are focused on taking a meaningful step forward in 2025 by fostering consistency on both sides of the ball, especially from their young, high-upside talent. Though expectations for postseason contention remain modest, the organization is optimistic about the trajectory of its core. Leading the offensive charge is shortstop Oneil Cruz, one of the most electrifying young players in the game. After recovering from injuries that cut short his 2023 season, Cruz rebounded last year with flashes of brilliance, showcasing his rare combination of size, speed, and power. With 20+ home run potential and a cannon for an arm at shortstop, Cruz is the focal point of the Pirates’ future, and his performance at the top of the lineup will set the tone for the team’s offensive potential in 2025. Joining him in the infield is veteran first baseman Carlos Santana, brought back for his leadership and steady bat. Santana remains a professional hitter with a high walk rate and timely power, providing Cruz and others with much-needed protection in the order. Another key contributor is outfielder Bryan Reynolds, who remains the most consistent offensive presence on the roster. Reynolds hit over .275 last season with solid power numbers and strong defensive metrics in left field. His ability to get on base and hit in all situations gives Pittsburgh a stabilizing presence, while Ke’Bryan Hayes at third base continues to grow into a two-way force. Hayes is known for his elite glove and improved plate discipline, which the Pirates hope will translate into a more robust offensive profile this season.
Together, these players form a respectable core with the potential to cause problems for even the most established pitching staffs. On the mound, right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski is expected to start the season opener against Tampa Bay. Mlodzinski, a former first-round pick, made strides in the bullpen last season and now steps into a starting role with the opportunity to earn a permanent place in the rotation. His mid-90s fastball and developing secondary pitches offer promise, but consistency and command will be the key to his success as a starter. Behind him, the Pirates will lean on Mitch Keller and Roansy Contreras to lead the rotation, while the bullpen is anchored by All-Star closer David Bednar. Bednar, one of the few elite relievers in the National League last year, continues to be a bright spot in the late innings with a fastball that touches 97 and sharp off-speed offerings. Defensively, the Pirates have made improvements, particularly on the left side of the infield with Cruz and Hayes, both possessing elite arms and quick reaction times. Behind the plate, Henry Davis is expected to take on more responsibility as the full-time catcher. The former No. 1 overall pick brings power and a strong throwing arm, but refining his pitch-calling and receiving will be key for guiding a young pitching staff. Manager Derek Shelton has emphasized energy, fundamentals, and player development as the organization’s pillars. The coaching staff is committed to helping younger players adjust quickly to the demands of the major leagues, and the presence of steady veterans should aid in stabilizing clubhouse chemistry. While the Pirates face a tough task in their opener against a perennial postseason team like the Rays, it also provides a valuable measuring stick. A competitive showing—particularly from their pitching and young offensive core—could build confidence and set the tone for a season in which the primary goal is progress. As they continue their rebuild, games like this one give Pittsburgh a chance to demonstrate that they’re ready to take the next step.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays begin their 2025 MLB season with their home opener on March 31 against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Tropicana Field, entering the year with ambitions to once again contend for the American League East crown. After another postseason appearance in 2024, the Rays retained the core of their roster and strategically added power and depth to both their lineup and pitching staff. Under the guidance of manager Kevin Cash, known for his analytical acumen and tactical flexibility, Tampa Bay continues to operate as one of the most forward-thinking and efficient organizations in baseball, aiming to blend player development with high-level competition. Offensively, the Rays boast one of the most balanced lineups in the American League, featuring a combination of seasoned contributors and high-upside youth. Leading the charge is Brandon Lowe, a veteran second baseman whose blend of power and patience at the plate makes him a key run producer. Lowe is expected to return to his role as a middle-of-the-order threat after battling minor injuries last season. At the top of the lineup, Yandy Díaz brings a disciplined approach and exceptional bat-to-ball skills. Coming off a strong 2024 season where he hit for both average and power, Díaz remains one of the more underrated leadoff hitters in the league. The Rays made a major splash in the offseason by acquiring slugger Eloy Jiménez from the White Sox, adding a much-needed power bat to their lineup. Jiménez is expected to provide protection in the lineup for Lowe and Díaz, and his ability to drive the ball out of any ballpark could prove invaluable in key matchups. Complementing the veteran core are emerging stars like top prospect Junior Caminero and outfielder Josh Lowe, both of whom bring speed, athleticism, and growing offensive impact. The combination of veteran consistency and youthful upside gives Tampa Bay the ability to adapt its offense depending on matchups and situations.
On the mound, the Rays open the season with right-hander Drew Rasmussen, a dependable starter who brings control, command, and excellent pitch sequencing. Rasmussen, who posted a sub-4.00 ERA in 2024, is expected to anchor the early part of the rotation while the Rays ease back other key starters returning from injury. His ability to work efficiently through lineups and limit hard contact aligns perfectly with Tampa Bay’s defensive strengths. Behind him, the rotation includes names like Zach Eflin and Shane Baz, providing both experience and breakout potential as the season progresses. The bullpen remains a defining strength for Tampa Bay. Closer Pete Fairbanks, one of the most dominant late-inning arms in baseball, returns to lead a deep relief corps. Fairbanks, who routinely touches triple digits with his fastball and complements it with a devastating slider, is backed by setup men Jason Adam and Colin Poche, both capable of handling high-leverage innings. The Rays’ bullpen depth allows manager Kevin Cash to aggressively manage matchups, often giving Tampa Bay an advantage in tightly contested games. Defensively, the Rays continue to emphasize versatility and positioning. With infielders like Isaac Paredes, Taylor Walls, and José Caballero capable of playing multiple positions, Tampa Bay has the flexibility to employ defensive shifts and maximize efficiency. The outfield, featuring Manuel Margot and Josh Lowe, provides speed and strong arms, key assets in preventing extra-base hits in the spacious outfield of Tropicana Field. As they begin the season at home against a rebuilding Pirates team, the Rays aim to set the tone early. With a roster that blends proven veterans, dynamic young talent, and a deep pitching staff, Tampa Bay is well-equipped to once again be a factor in the AL playoff race. A strong start at home would reinforce their position as one of the American League’s most consistently successful franchises and send a message that the Rays remain a force to be reckoned with in 2025.
Covered our bases 😜@Budweiserusa
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) March 30, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Pirates and Rays and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly healthy Rays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Pirates vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
In the 2024 season, the Pirates had a challenging record against the spread (ATS) when playing on the road, covering in only 40% of their away games.
Rays Betting Trends
Conversely, the Rays demonstrated strong performance at home during the 2024 season, covering the spread in 60% of their games at Tropicana Field.
Pirates vs. Rays Matchup Trends
Historically, when the Rays have been favored at home with odds of -150 or shorter, they have achieved a 65% win rate, while the Pirates have a 35% success rate as underdogs in similar scenarios.
Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay start on March 31, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay starts on March 31, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +152, Tampa Bay -183
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay?
Pittsburgh: (1-3) | Tampa Bay: (2-1)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Aranda over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
Historically, when the Rays have been favored at home with odds of -150 or shorter, they have achieved a 65% win rate, while the Pirates have a 35% success rate as underdogs in similar scenarios.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: In the 2024 season, the Pirates had a challenging record against the spread (ATS) when playing on the road, covering in only 40% of their away games.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: Conversely, the Rays demonstrated strong performance at home during the 2024 season, covering the spread in 60% of their games at Tropicana Field.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+152 TB Moneyline: -183
PIT Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
–
–
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+110
-121
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+168)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Rays on March 31, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |