Mets vs. Marlins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 31 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-29T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Marlins will host the New York Mets on March 31, 2025, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida, marking the beginning of a three-game series between these National League East rivals. Both teams aim to start their divisional play on a strong note, setting the tone for their 2025 campaigns.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 31, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: loanDepot park
Marlins Record: (3-1)
Mets Record: (1-2)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: -188
MIA Moneyline: +156
NYM Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
NYM
Betting Trends
- In the 2024 season, the Mets were favored in 95 games, winning 58 of those matchups, resulting in a 61.1% success rate.
MIA
Betting Trends
- During the 2024 season, the Marlins played as underdogs in 145 games, securing 58 victories, reflecting a 40% success rate.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, when the Mets have been favored with odds of -187 or shorter, they have achieved a 66.7% win rate, while the Marlins have a 40% success rate as underdogs.
NYM vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Wagaman over 0.5 Total Bases.
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New York Mets vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 3/31/25
Defensively, both teams aim to minimize errors and provide solid support for their pitchers. The Mets’ infield, anchored by Lindor, emphasizes precision and agility, while the Marlins focus on cohesive team defense to counteract the Mets’ offensive threats. Historically, the Mets have performed well when favored, with a 61.1% win rate in such scenarios during the 2024 season. The Marlins, as underdogs, secured victories in 40% of their games, highlighting the challenges they face against higher-ranked opponents. Key factors to watch in this series include the effectiveness of the starting pitchers, bullpen performance in high-leverage situations, and the ability of each team’s lineup to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Defensive execution and strategic base running will also play pivotal roles in determining the outcomes of these games. Fans can anticipate a competitive series as both teams strive to establish momentum early in the season. The outcomes will provide insights into the strengths and areas for improvement for both the Mets and the Marlins as they navigate the challenges of the 2025 season.
That's ✌️ pic.twitter.com/3CYnJ36toP
— New York Mets (@Mets) March 30, 2025
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets begin their 2025 MLB season on the road against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on March 31, bringing with them renewed expectations and the weight of championship ambitions. After an offseason highlighted by major acquisitions and strategic roster development, the Mets are aiming to assert themselves early as a dominant force in the National League East. Under the guidance of manager Carlos Mendoza, the Mets are entering this campaign with arguably one of the most balanced and talent-rich rosters in recent memory, looking to convert potential into postseason success from the very first pitch. Leading the charge for the Mets is superstar outfielder Juan Soto, acquired in a blockbuster trade during the offseason that instantly shifted the balance of power in the division. Soto’s combination of elite on-base skills, power, and clutch hitting make him one of the most dangerous offensive players in the game. His presence in the heart of the Mets’ lineup brings a new level of intimidation for opposing pitchers, particularly when paired with slugger Pete Alonso, who remains one of baseball’s premier power hitters. Alonso’s consistent home run production and ability to drive in runs make him the perfect complement to Soto, forming one of the most fearsome middle-of-the-order tandems in the league. Francisco Lindor continues to serve as a cornerstone both on the field and in the clubhouse. Despite a slow start last year, Lindor rebounded with a productive campaign and remains one of the game’s premier shortstops, providing elite defense and switch-hitting ability. His leadership and reliability set the tone for a Mets infield that also features rising talent Brett Baty at third base and Jeff McNeil’s steady presence at second. With Brandon Nimmo continuing to anchor the top of the order as a disciplined leadoff hitter, the Mets boast both power and on-base proficiency throughout their lineup.
On the mound, the Mets will turn to left-hander David Peterson to start the opener, with several key arms including Kodai Senga and José Quintana poised to anchor the rotation moving forward. Peterson, while not the ace of the staff, brings solid stuff and the ability to generate ground balls and limit damage, making him a serviceable and often underrated option in the rotation. The bullpen has also been reinforced, with Edwin Díaz returning as the dominant closer Mets fans remember from his stellar 2022 campaign. His electric fastball-slider combination gives the Mets a significant edge in closing tight games, while setup roles will be filled by veterans like Adam Ottavino and Brooks Raley, ensuring the Mets can lock down leads effectively. Defensively, the Mets are positioned to be one of the more polished units in the league. Lindor’s range and instincts at shortstop, Alonso’s improved work at first base, and strong outfield coverage from Soto and Nimmo make run prevention a strength to complement their potent offense. The team has focused heavily on tightening defensive fundamentals during spring training, ensuring every aspect of their game is postseason-ready. Off the field, the Mets’ front office has sent a clear signal with their aggressive roster moves: this season is World Series or bust. The additions of Soto and other key veterans have not only elevated expectations but also brought a sense of urgency to a franchise hungry for October glory. Every game, including this opener in Miami, will be treated with that sense of importance. As they take the field against a rebuilding but scrappy Marlins squad, the Mets are expected to set the tone early. Their depth, star power, and experience give them the edge on paper, but execution will be key. A strong opening performance would not only validate the high hopes placed on this team but also serve as an early warning to the rest of the league that the Mets are here to contend.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter the 2025 MLB season opener against the New York Mets on March 31 at loanDepot park focused on demonstrating tangible improvement following a challenging 2024 campaign that saw them finish with a 62-100 record. As the Marlins begin their season at home, there is cautious optimism surrounding the team’s strategy of blending developing young talent with selective veteran leadership, all under the steady guidance of their experienced coaching staff. This approach, intended to foster sustainable growth, provides the framework for Miami’s ambitions to become increasingly competitive within the rigorous National League East. Offensively, Miami’s success will hinge significantly upon their young core, featuring dynamic players such as Otto Lopez, who showcased impressive potential last season. Lopez, known for his ability to consistently put the ball in play and create opportunities on the bases with his speed, is expected to play a pivotal role in setting the offensive tone for the team. His contributions are crucial, particularly in generating run-scoring opportunities against elite pitching staffs like the Mets’. Additionally, Jazz Chisholm Jr., with his combination of power, speed, and charisma, continues to represent one of the team’s most exciting offensive weapons. His capacity for driving extra-base hits and disrupting opposing defenses through aggressive baserunning will be essential to Miami’s success. The Marlins also benefit from the steady presence of experienced hitters like Jorge Soler and Garrett Cooper, whose veteran leadership and run-producing capabilities provide critical stability in the lineup. Soler’s power potential remains a valuable asset, especially in critical RBI situations, while Cooper’s consistent contact hitting and situational awareness further enhance the team’s offensive depth. Together, these veterans and young talents form a lineup capable of exceeding expectations if they manage consistency and timely production. Pitching remains central to the Marlins’ overall strategy for improvement, highlighted by the anticipated performance of Frankie Montas, who is expected to take a leading role in the rotation this season.
Montas brings a blend of experience, power pitching, and competitive tenacity that the Marlins desperately need to anchor their starting staff. His effectiveness against potent lineups like the Mets’ will be crucial in setting a positive trajectory for Miami’s rotation. Behind Montas, young arms like Edward Cabrera and Max Meyer, who have shown glimpses of significant promise, will need to consistently deliver quality starts to bolster Miami’s competitiveness. The bullpen, a consistent area of concern in previous seasons, has received strategic attention during the offseason. Closer A.J. Puk, alongside dependable setup men such as Steven Okert and Tanner Scott, will shoulder significant responsibility in preserving leads and keeping games competitive. Their collective ability to handle high-leverage situations, particularly against strong divisional opponents like New York, will be critical to Miami’s chances of securing important wins. Defensively, the Marlins emphasize disciplined execution and improved team cohesion, particularly within their infield. Anchored by Chisholm Jr. and Lopez, the Marlins’ defense has shown noticeable improvement in reducing errors and executing double plays. In the outfield, enhanced range and athleticism from young players will be essential in limiting opponents’ offensive production and supporting the pitching staff effectively. Manager Skip Schumaker stresses disciplined plate appearances, smart base-running, and fundamental defensive execution as cornerstones of the team’s philosophy. His approach to player development emphasizes adaptability and mental toughness, traits essential for Miami’s growth throughout the demanding MLB season. As they welcome the Mets for this opening series, the Marlins recognize the significance of a strong start, particularly against a division rival heavily favored due to significant offseason enhancements. Miami’s performance in this opening matchup will not only provide a valuable early-season indicator of their competitive status but also offer insight into their prospects for the broader 2025 campaign. A successful showing could energize both the clubhouse and the fanbase, serving as a critical foundation upon which the Marlins seek to build their future success.
Good vibes all around after Opening Weekend 😁 pic.twitter.com/4PM29moK4o
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) March 30, 2025
New York Mets vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
New York Mets vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Mets and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly deflated Marlins team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Miami picks, computer picks Mets vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
In the 2024 season, the Mets were favored in 95 games, winning 58 of those matchups, resulting in a 61.1% success rate.
Marlins Betting Trends
During the 2024 season, the Marlins played as underdogs in 145 games, securing 58 victories, reflecting a 40% success rate.
Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Trends
Historically, when the Mets have been favored with odds of -187 or shorter, they have achieved a 66.7% win rate, while the Marlins have a 40% success rate as underdogs.
New York Mets vs. Miami Game Info
What time does New York Mets vs Miami start on March 31, 2025?
New York Mets vs Miami starts on March 31, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is New York Mets vs Miami being played?
Venue: loanDepot park.
What are the opening odds for New York Mets vs Miami?
Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -188, Miami +156
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for New York Mets vs Miami?
New York Mets: (1-2) | Miami: (3-1)
What is the AI best bet for New York Mets vs Miami?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Wagaman over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York Mets vs Miami trending bets?
Historically, when the Mets have been favored with odds of -187 or shorter, they have achieved a 66.7% win rate, while the Marlins have a 40% success rate as underdogs.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: In the 2024 season, the Mets were favored in 95 games, winning 58 of those matchups, resulting in a 61.1% success rate.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: During the 2024 season, the Marlins played as underdogs in 145 games, securing 58 victories, reflecting a 40% success rate.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York Mets vs Miami?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York Mets vs. Miami Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York Mets vs Miami Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
-188 MIA Moneyline: +156
NYM Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
New York Mets vs Miami Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
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0
3
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+950
-2000
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+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-130)
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O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
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In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
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0
0
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-185
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-1.5 (+105)
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O 9.5 (-125)
U 9.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+140
-170
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+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
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–
–
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-105
-115
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
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–
–
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+190
-235
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
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–
–
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-140
+115
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-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
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–
–
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+105
-125
|
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+175
-215
|
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
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+145
-175
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+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+120
-145
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+115
-140
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+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
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–
–
|
-145
+120
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-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
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O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Miami Marlins on March 31, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |